• 한국습지학회지
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.385-397
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• 2012

격자 기반의 물리적 분포형 모형은 유역의 물리적 매개변수와 격자 형식의 공간 및 수문자료를 이용해서 유출해석을 수행한다. 본 연구에서는 격자 기반의 물리적 분포형 강우-유출 모형인 GRM(Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model)의 실시간 유출해석 모듈인 GRM RT(Real Time)를 이용해서 실시간 유출해석 시스템을 개발하였다. 실시간으로 수신되는 기상레이더 자료를 기상청의 실시간 AWS 자료를 이용하여 보정한 후 유출해석에 적용하며, 수위관측소 자료로부터 생성되는 유량자료를 이용해서 유출모형을 실시간 보정한다. 본 연구에서는 실시간 유출해석 시스템 구축을 위해서 필요한 데이터베이스를 설계 및 구현하였으며, 분포형 모형과 레이더 자료를 이용한 실시간 유출해석 절차를 정립하였다. 또한 개발된 시스템의 성능을 평가하고 실시간 모형보정에 대한 적용성을 평가하였다. 소양강댐 상류에 위치한 내린천 수위관측소 유역을 대상으로 실시간 유출해석 시스템을 적용하고 그 결과를 평가하였다.

• 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국태양에너지학회 2009년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.184-189
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• 2009

In order to improve the operation of energy systems, it is necessary for the urban communities to have reliable optimization routines, both computerized and manual, implemented in their organizations. However, before a production plan for the energy system units can be constructed, a prediction of the energy systems first needs to be determined. So, several methodologies have been proposed for energy demand prediction, but due to uncertainties in urban community, many of them will fail in practice. The main topic of this paper has been the development of a method for energy demand prediction at urban community. Energy demand prediction is important input parameters to plan for the energy planing. This paper presents a energy demand prediction method which estimates heat and electricity for various building categories. The method has been based on artificial neural networks(ANN). The advantage of ANN with respect to the other method is their ability of modeling a multivariable problem given by the complex relationships between the variables. Also, the ANN can extract the relationships among these variables by means of learning with training data. In this paper, the ANN have been applied in oder to correlate weather conditions, calendar data, schedules, etc. Space heating, cooling, hot water and HVAC electricity can be predicted using this method. This method can produce 10% of errors hourly load profile from individual building to urban community.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.52-59
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• 2016

동절기에 타설되는 대부분의 콘크리트 구조물에서 가설 초기단계에서의 양생방법의 선정은 매우 중요한 요소이다. 동절기에는 초기균열과 강도저하를 방지하기 위하여 열선과 조강시멘트를 이용한 발열양생방법을 주로 적용하게 된다. 하지만 그 적용기법의 단순화 및 경험적 판단에의 의존으로 인하여 대부분의 건설현장에서 최적의 양생방법을 선정하지 못하고 있는 실정이다. 이에 따라 본 논문에서는 비정상상태의 열전달 해법을 통하여 가장 적절한 열선의 가열온도, 기간, 열선 배치간격을 선정하는 평가 알고리즘을 개발하였다. 이를 위하여 관리 매개변수에 주안점을 둔 구조해석 시스템을 통한 사용자 중심의 OOP 루틴을 적용하였다. 본 시스템에서는 입력모듈, DB 모듈, DB저장 모듈, 해석모듈 및 결과분석모듈로 구분하였으며, 각 모듈간의 연계는 visual c# 루틴으로 처리하였다. 또한 그래픽 인터페이스와 DB 테이블은 사용자 편의성을 고려하여 개발하였다.

• 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보통신학회 2018년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.626-628
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• 2018

본 논문에서 기상 데이터를 사용하여 태양광 에너지를 예측하기 위해 기계학습 모델인 SVM(Support Vector Machine)과 ANN(Artificial Neural Network)의 성능을 비교한다. 장 단파 복사선 평균, 강수량, 온도 등 15가지 종류의 기상 데이터를 사용하여 두 모델을 생성하고, 실험을 통해 최적의 SVM의 RBF(Radial Basis Function) 파라미터와 ANN의 은닉층과 노드 개수, 정규화 파라미터를 도출하였다. SVM과 ANN 모델의 성능을 비교하기 위한 지표로서 MAPE(Mean Absolute Percentage Error)와 MAE(Mean Absolute Error)를 사용하였다. 실험 결과 SVM 모델은 MAPE=21.11, MAE=2281417.65의 성능을 달성하였고 ANN은 MAPE=19.54, MAE=2155345.10776의 성능을 달성하였다.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제46권1호
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• pp.137-149
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• 2019

Accurate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (RET) is important to quantify crop evapotranspiration for sustainable water resource management in hydrological, agricultural, and environmental fields. It is estimated by different methods from direct measurements with lysimeters, or by many empirical equations suggested by numerous modeling using local climatic variables. The potential to use some such equations depends on the availability of the necessary meteorological parameters for calculating the RET in specific climatic conditions. The objective of this study was to determine the proper RET equations using limited climatic data and to analyze the temporal and spatial trends of the RET in South Korea. We evaluated the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation (FAO-56 PM) by comparing several simple RET equations and observed small fan evaporation. In this study, the modified Penman equation, Hargreaves equation, and FAO Penman-Monteith equation with missing solar radiation (PM-Rs) data were tested to estimate the RET. Nine weather stations were considered with limited climatic data across South Korea from 1973 - 2017, and the RET equations were calculated for each weather station as well as the analysis of the mean error (ME), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The FAO-56 PM recommended by the Food Agriculture Organization (FAO) showed good performance even though missing solar radiation, relative humidity, and wind speed data and could still be adapted to the limited data conditions. As a result, the RET was increased, and the evapotranspiration rate was increased more in coastal areas than inland.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제31권12호
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• pp.1069-1078
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• 2022

This study investigated the weather conditions, fine particle concentration, and ion components in PM_2.5 when two cold fronts passed through Busan in succession on February 1 and 2, 2021. A analysis of the surface weather chart, AWS, and backward trajectory revealed that the first cold front passed through the Busan at 0900 LST on February 1, 2021, with the second cold front arriving at 0100 LST on February 2, 2021. According to the PM₁₀ concentration of the KMA, the timing of the cold front passage had a close relationship with the occurrence of the highest concentration of fine particles. The transport time of the cold front from Baengnyeongdo to Mt. Gudeok was approximately 11 hours . The PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 concentrations in Busan started to increase after the first cold front had passed, and the maximum concentration occurred two hours after the second cold front passed. The SO₄^2-, NO₃^-, and NH₄⁺ concentration in PM_2.5 started to increase from 1100 to 1200 LST on February 1, after the first cold front passed, and peaked at 0100 LST to 0300 LST on February 2. However, the highest Ca²⁺ concentration was recorded 2-3 hours after the second cold front had passed.

• 한국수산과학회지
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• 제30권1호
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• pp.16-30
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• 1997

Application of digital filter to the wave analysis is studied using the observed data by wave gauge. Sea wave data obtained from wave gauge always include long wave frequency components. In order to estimate the sea wave parameters, we must re-analyzed wave data by using a digital filter and the concept of mean sea level correction method. By the wave by wave analysis and spectral methods, sea wave parameters on the basis of wave data obtained by the conventional method and digital filter are compared. The best-fitted design filter determined by the necessary conditions of frequency responses, can be obtained by calculating various transfer functions. Thus, to get the best the digital filter design, both Butterworth filter and Savitzky-Golay filter of digital filter are used in the frequency and time domain, respectively. Three cases of observation wave data are calculated by applying digital filter. The components of different frequency bands in the surf zone are coexisted in three cases. The wave data for wind wave components is computed using the digital filter the surf zone and off-surf zone, and based on the filtered data, wave parameters are calculated by the spectral analysis and wave by wave analysis methods, respectively. As a results, when sea wave data observed by wave gauge are analyzed, the Savitzky-Golay method is recommended which can well appear cut-off frequency by experimental choosing filter length in the time domain. The better mean sea level correction method is the Butterworth filter in the frequency domain.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제44권3호
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• pp.209-220
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• 2011

입력자료의 불확실성은 강우-유출 모의에서 중요한 불확실성 요소 중의 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 먼저 세 가지의 서로 다른 내삽 기법을 통해 계산된 강수 입력 자료 (관측값을 각 소유역의 중심점으로 내삽하여 추정한 입력자료임)들이 강우-유출 모형에 미치는 영향을 분포형 수문모형 (PRMS)을 이용하여 분석하였으며, 내삽오차를 바탕으로 발생한 입력자료를 앙상블 유량 예측에 이용하는 과정을 수문학적으로 서로 다른 두개 하천 유역에 적용하였다. 또한 Monte Carlo기법을 이용하여 수문 모형의 매개변수가 서로 다른 입력자료의 특성에 따라 변화하는 양상을 구분하여 보았다. 본 연구에서 제시된 앙상블 유량 예측방법은 기상 예측 및 기상 모형의 결과물 등의 입력자료를 이용함으로써 중/장기 유량 예측에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 천문학회지
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• 제45권2호
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• pp.31-38
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• 2012

In this study we apply Support Vector Machine (SVM) to the prediction of geo-effective halo coronal mass ejections (CMEs). The SVM, which is one of machine learning algorithms, is used for the purpose of classification and regression analysis. We use halo and partial halo CMEs from January 1996 to April 2010 in the SOHO/LASCO CME Catalog for training and prediction. And we also use their associated X-ray flare classes to identify front-side halo CMEs (stronger than B1 class), and the Dst index to determine geo-effective halo CMEs (stronger than -50 nT). The combinations of the speed and the angular width of CMEs, and their associated X-ray classes are used for input features of the SVM. We make an attempt to find the best model by using cross-validation which is processed by changing kernel functions of the SVM and their parameters. As a result we obtain statistical parameters for the best model by using the speed of CME and its associated X-ray flare class as input features of the SVM: Accuracy=0.66, PODy=0.76, PODn=0.49, FAR=0.72, Bias=1.06, CSI=0.59, TSS=0.25. The performance of the statistical parameters by applying the SVM is much better than those from the simple classifications based on constant classifiers.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.421-441
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• 2014

With the assistance of typhoon field data at aerial elevation level observed by meteorological satellites and wind velocity and direction records nearby the ground gathered in Guangzhou Weather Station between 1985 and 2001, some key wind field parameters under typhoon climate in Guangzhou region were calibrated based on Monte-Carlo stochastic algorithm and Meng's typhoon numerical model. By using Peak Over Threshold method (POT) and Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD), Wind field characteristics during typhoons for various return periods in several typical engineering fields were predicted, showing that some distribution rules in relation to gradient height of atmosphere boundary layer, power-law component of wind profile, gust factor and extreme wind velocity at 1-3s time interval are obviously different from corresponding items in Chinese wind load Codes. In order to evaluate the influence of typhoon field parameters on long-span flexible bridges, 1:100 reduced-scale wind field of type B terrain was reillustrated under typhoon and normal conditions utilizing passive turbulence generators in TJ-3 wind tunnel, and wind-induced performance tests of aero-elastic model of long-span Guangzhou Xinguang arch bridge were carried out as well. Furthermore, aerodynamic admittance function about lattice cross section in mid-span arch lib under the condition of higher turbulence intensity of typhoon field was identified via using high-frequency force-measured balance. Based on identified aerodynamic admittance expressions, Wind-induced stochastic vibration of Xinguang arch bridge under typhoon and normal climates was calculated and compared, considering structural geometrical non-linearity, stochastic wind attack angle effects, etc. Thus, the aerodynamic response characteristics under typhoon and normal conditions can be illustrated and checked, which are of satisfactory response results for different oncoming wind velocities with resemblance to those wind tunnel testing data under the two types of climate modes.