• 제목/요약/키워드: watershed characteristic

검색결과 120건 처리시간 0.031초

교차검증과 SVM을 이용한 도시침수 위험기준 추정 알고리즘 적용성 검토 (Applicability study on urban flooding risk criteria estimation algorithm using cross-validation and SVM)

  • 이한승;조재웅;강호선;황정근
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제52권12호
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    • pp.963-973
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 도시침수 위험기준이 산정되지 않은 지역의 예·경보 기준을 예측하기 위해 유역특성 자료와 피해이력 기반으로 산정된 한계강우량을 활용하여 도시침수 위험기준을 추정하는 모델을 검토하였다. 위험기준 추정모델은 머신러닝 알고리즘의 하나인 Support Vector Machine을 이용하여 설계하였으며, 학습자료는 지역별 한계강우량과 유역특성으로 구성하였다. 학습자료는 정규화 한 후 SVM 알고리즘에 적용하였으며, SVM에 적용시 Leave-One-Out과 K-fold 교차검증 알고리즘을 이용하여 절대평균오차와 표준편차를 계산한 후 모델의 성능을 평가하였다. Leave-One-Out의 경우 표준편차가 작은 모델이 최적모델로 선정되었으며, K-fold의 경우 fold의 개수가 적은 모델이 선정되었다. 선정된 모델의 지속시간별 평균 정확도는 80% 이상으로 나타나 침수 위험기준 추정을 위해 SVM을 활용가능 할 것으로 판단된다.

배수경로 이질성에 의한 순간단위도 형상의 상대적 기여도 평가 (The assessment of the relative contribution of the shape of instantaneous unit hydrograph with heterogeneity of drainage path)

  • 최용준;김주철;김재한
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제42권11호
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    • pp.897-909
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 지리정보체계(GIS)의 격자 기반 GIUH 모형을 이용하여 배수경로의 이질성에 따른 지표면 유동과 하천망 유동의 상대적 기여도를 정량적으로 평가하였다. 대상유역은 국제수문개발계획(IHP)의 평창강, 보청천 및 위천 유역의 17개 소유역을 선정하였다. 각 대상유역에 대해 지표면과 하천의 배수경로길이에 대한 평균과 분산을 추정-분석하였다. 또한 관측 수문사상과 결합하여 GIUH 모형의 동적매개변수인 특성 유속을 지표면과 하천에 대해 산정하였다. 산정된 경로길이와 특성유속을 통해 유하시간의 분포, 즉 순간단위도의 평균 및 분산을 추정하여 배수경로의 이질성에 따른 각각의 기여도를 평가 하였다. 연구 결과 순간단위도의 형상을 결정하는 분산의 영향은 중소규모 유역(500 $km^2$이내)에서 지표면의 영향이 지배적이었다. 따라서 소규모 유역에서 GIUH 적용 시 지표면의 유동을 중요하게 고려해야 할 것이다.

유황분석과 수질변화 평가를 통한 비점오염원 관리대상지역 선정방법 연구 (Watershed Selection for Diffuse Pollution Management Based on Flow Regime Alteration and Water Quality Variation Analysis)

  • 정우혁;이상진;김건하;정상만
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.228-234
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    • 2011
  • The goal of water quality management on stream and watershed is to focus not on discharged loads management but on a water quality management. Discharged loads management is not goal of water quality management but way for perform with total maximum daily loads management. It is necessary to estimate the relation between non-point source with stromwater runoff (NPSSR) and water quality to select a watershed where it is required to manage NPSSR for water quality improvement. To evaluate the effects of NPSSR on stream's water quality, we compare the aspects of water quality in dry and wet seasons using flow duration curve analysis based on flow rate variation data by actual surveying. In this study we attempt to quantify the variation characteristic of water quality and estimate the Inflow characteristic of pollution source with water quality and flow rate monitoring on 10 watersheds. We try to estimate water quality and flow rate by regression analysis and try again regression analysis with each high and low water quality data more than estimations. An analysis of relation between water quality and flow rate of 10 watersheds shows that the water quality of the Nonsan and the Ganggyeong streams had been polluted by NPSSR pollutants. Other eight streams were important point source more than NPSSR. It is wide variation range of $BOD_5$ also high average concentration of $BOD_5$. We have to quantify water quality variation by cv1 in wet season and cv365 in dry season with comparing the estimate of high water quality and low water quality. This method can be used to indicator for water quality variation according to flow rate.

유역모형을 이용한 금강상류 유역의 유사이송율 산정 (Estimation of Sediment Delivery Ratio in Upper Geum River Basin Using Watershed Model)

  • 김태근;김민주
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.695-703
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    • 2013
  • Soil erosion and sediment delivery ratio(SDR) were estimated by using HSPF model in 3 tributaries of upper stream of Geum river-basin. Meteorological data and other input data were constructed from 2006 to 2011 year by the HSPF model. Flow and suspended solid results were relatively matched with the measurement data through the calibration and validation of the model. Soil erosion was proportional to the amount of rainfall and the area of watershed based on the results of model calibration and validation. SDR in Moojunamdea stream was the highest and one in Cho stream was the lowest. This was effected by the geographical characteristic. SDR was 17.6% Moojunamdea stream, 9.1% Cho stream and 13.2 % Bocheong stream. As the SDR was effected by watershed area and shape factor in this study area.

SATEEC 시스템을 이용한 면적/경사도에 의한 유달률 산정 방법에 따른 유사량 분석 (Analysis of Sediment Yields at Watershed Scale using Area/Slope-Based Sediment Delivery Ratio in SATEEC)

  • 박윤식;김종건;김남원;김기성;최중대;임경재
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.650-658
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    • 2007
  • The Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) has been used in over 100 countries to estimate potential long-term soil erosion from the field. However, the USLE estimated soil erosion cannot be used to estimate the sediment delivered to the stream networks. For an effective erosion control, it is necessary to compute sediment delivery ratio (SDR) for watershed and sediment yield at watershed outlet. Thus, the Sediment Assessment Tool for Effective Erosion Control (SATEEC) was developed to compute the sediment yield at any point in watershed. In this study, the SATEEC was applied to the Sudong watershed, Chuncheon Gangwon to compare the sediment yield using area-based sediment delivery ratio (SDRA) and slope-based sediment delivery ratio (SDRS) at watershed outlet. The sediment yield using the SDRA by Vanoni, SYA and the sediment yield using the SDRS by Willams and Berndt, SYS were compared for the same sized watersheds. The 19 subwatersheds was 2.19 ha in size, the soil loss and sediment yield were estimated for each subwatershed. Average slope of main stream was about 0.86~3.17%. Soil loss and sediment yield using SDRA and SDRS were distinguished depending on topography, especially in steep and flat areas. The SDRA for all subwatersheds was 0.762, however the SDRS were estimated in the range of 0.553~0.999. The difference between SYA and SYS was -79.74~27.45%. Thus site specific slope-based SDR is more effective in sediment yield estimation than area-based SDR. However it is recommended that watershed characteristic need to be considered in estimating yield behaviors.

물순환 건전화 대안 적용을 위한 안양천의 속성별 가치추정 (Estimating Attributes Value of Alternatives Applied for Rehabilitation of Hydrologic Cycle of the Anyangcheon Watershed)

  • 공기서;정은성;이길성;유진채
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권12호
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    • pp.1031-1042
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    • 2006
  • 최근 유역과 하천개발사업에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. 이러한 배경하에서 본 논문은 실험선택법(choice experiment)을 적용하여 안양천의 속성별 가치를 추정하고 추정된 가치를 적용하여 안양천 물순환 건전화를 위한 대안의 경제적 가치를 추정하였다. 실험선택법은 여러 속성으로 구성된 환경재의 가치추정방법으로 응답자의 선호체계에 명확하게 초점을 둔 지불의사 유도방법이다. 예비조사를 통해 안양천이 가진 속성을 홍수피해위험, 유지유량, 수질, 하천형태, 안양천 개선분담금으로 설정하였다. 서울시와 경기도 지역 거주민 200명을 설문조사하였고 조건부로짓 모형을 적용하여 각 속성에 따른 수준별 가구당 매월 잠재가치를 추정하였다. 본 논문은 정책결정자들에게 하천개발 사업과 관련한 의사결정과정에 유용한 방법론적 체계와 정량적 정보를 제공할 것으로 기대된다.

제주도 유출분석을 위한 한계유출 모의기법 개발 (Development of Threshold Runoff Simulation Method for Runoff Analysis of Jeju Island)

  • 정일문;이정우;김지태;나한나;김남원
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제20권10호
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    • pp.1347-1355
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    • 2011
  • In Jeju island, runoff has frequently happened when the rainfall depth is over a threshold value. To simulated this characteristic rainfall-runoff model structure has to be modified. In this study, the TRSM (Threshold Runoff Simulation Method) was developed to overcome the limitations of SWAT in applying to the hydrologic characteristics of Jeju island. When the precipitation and soil water are less than threshold value, we revised the SWAT routine not to make surface/lateral or groundwater discharge. For Hancheon watershed, the threshold value was set as 80% of soil water through the analysis of rainfall-runoff relationship. Through the simulation of test watershed, it was proven that TRSM performed much better in simulating pulse type stream flow for the Hancheon watershed.

국내 수문특성에 적합한 합성단위도의 개발 (The Development of Synthetic Unit Hydrograph Suitable to the Hydrologic Characteristics in Korea)

  • 정성원;문장원
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.627-640
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    • 2001
  • 일반적으로 합성단위도법은 강우-유출기록이 없는 유역의 설계홍수량 산정을 위해 제안되었다. 그러나 국내에서는 아직까지 자료의 부족 등으로 외국에서 개발된 각종 유출모의 모형이 주로 이용되고 있다. 따라서 그 동안 축적된 국내의 강우-유출 자료를 이용하여 국내의 수문특성엥 적합한 유출모형의 개발이 절실한 상황이다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 설마천 유역의 2개 지점과 IHP 대표유역인 평강창, 보청천, 위천의 17개 지점에 대해 그 동안 축 (중략) 특성 관련 연구결과를 종합하여 새로운 합성단위도법을 개발하였다. 개발된 합성단위도는 유역특성인자와 단위도치식 치(첨두시간, 첨두유량)와의 다중회귀분석을 통해 유역면적-유로연장-유로경사의 3가지 변수로 구성되는 효 (중략) 전국을 있었다. 따라서 우리나라에서는 아직까지 수계별로 합성단위도를 분리하여 제시하기는 무리라고 보여지 (중략)

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팔당호 상류유역의 점·비점오염원 유달부하 특성 - 남한강·경안천 수계를 대상으로 (Delivered Pollutant Loads of Point and Nonpoint Source on the Upper Watershed of Lake Paldang - Case Study of the Watershed of Namhan River and Gyeongan Stream)

  • 박지형;공동수;민경석
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.750-757
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    • 2008
  • This study is conducted to characterize and evaluate delivered pollutant loads of point and nonpoint source on the upper watershed of lake paldang. The study area consists of 12 watersheds in Namhan-river and Kyungahcheon, which are approximately 80% of total area of Namhan-river and Kyungahcheon. Based on daily delivered loads from watersheds, 61% of $BOD_5$, 81% of T-N and 70% of T-P were from nonpoint sources, suggesting that delivered loads of nonpoint pollutants be crucial to water quality. On the other hand, 78% of $BOD_5$, 92% of T-N and 87% of T-P as delivered load were from nonpoint sources in an upper watershed of Namhan-river, while 48% of $BOD_5$, 70% of T-N and 57% of T-P as delivered load were from nonpoint sources in a lower watershed of Namhan-river, suggesting higher dependency of point sources than upper watershed of Namhan-river. In the characteristic of delivered loading pollutants from point and nonpoint pollution sources, delivered load of nonpoint pollutants differed significantly by seasonal flow, and as though discharged load of point pollutants were yearly uniform, delivered load of point pollutants was found to be flow-dependent because its delivery ratio was changed.