• 제목/요약/키워드: water stage prediction

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지하수위 시계열 예측 모델 기반 하천수위 영향 필터링 기법 개발 및 지하수 함양률 산정 연구 (A Method to Filter Out the Effect of River Stage Fluctuations using Time Series Model for Forecasting Groundwater Level and its Application to Groundwater Recharge Estimation)

  • 윤희성;박은규;김규범;하규철;윤필선;이승현
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.74-82
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    • 2015
  • A method to filter out the effect of river stage fluctuations on groundwater level was designed using an artificial neural network-based time series model of groundwater level prediction. The designed method was applied to daily groundwater level data near the Gangjeong-Koryeong Barrage in the Nakdong river. Direct prediction time series models were successfully developed for both cases of before and after the barrage construction using past measurement data of rainfall, river stage, and groundwater level as inputs. The correlation coefficient values between observed and predicted data were over 0.97. Using the time series models the effect of river stage on groundwater level data was filtered out by setting a constant value for river stage inputs. The filtered data were applied to the hybrid water table fluctuation method in order to estimate the groundwater recharge. The calculated ratios of groundwater recharge to precipitation before and after the barrage construction were 11.0% and 4.3%, respectively. It is expected that the proposed method can be a useful tool for groundwater level prediction and recharge estimation in the riverside area.

하천 범람 및 차량 침수 가능성 예측을 통한 딥러닝 기반 차수막 자동화 시스템 (Deep-Learning-Based Water Shield Automation System by Predicting River Overflow and Vehicle Flooding Possibility)

  • 함승재;강민수;정성우;유준혁
    • 대한임베디드공학회논문지
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.133-139
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    • 2023
  • This paper proposes a two-stage Water Shield Automation System (WSAS) to predict the possibility of river overflow and vehicle flooding due to sudden rainfall. The WSAS uses a two-stage Deep Neural Network (DNN) model. First, a river overflow prediction module is designed with LSTM to decide whether the river is flooded by predicting the river's water level rise. Second, a vehicle flooding prediction module predicts flooding of underground parking lots by detecting flooded tires with YOLOv5 from CCTV images. Finally, the WSAS automatically installs the water barrier whenever the river overflow and vehicle flooding events happen in the underground parking lots. The only constraint to implementing is that collecting training data for flooded vehicle tires is challenging. This paper exploits the Image C&S data augmentation technique to synthesize flooded tire images. Experimental results validate the superiority of WSAS by showing that the river overflow prediction module can reduce RMSE by three times compared with the previous method, and the vehicle flooding detection module can increase mAP by 20% compared with the naive detection method, respectively.

인공신경망과 유전자알고리즘의 결합모형을 이용한 수위예측에 관한 연구 (Study on Water Stage Prediction Using Hybrid Model of Artificial Neural Network and Genetic Algorithm)

  • 여운기;서영민;이승윤;지홍기
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제43권8호
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    • pp.721-731
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    • 2010
  • 강우-유출 관계는 유역의 수많은 시 공간적 변수들에 의해 영향을 받기 때문에 매우 복잡하여 예측하기 힘든 요소이다. 과거에는 추계학적 예측모형이나 확정론적 예측모형 혹은 경험적 모형 등을 사용하여 유출량을 예측하였으나 최근에는 인공신경망과 퍼지모형 그리고 유전자 알고리즘과 같은 인공지능기반의 모형들이 많이 사용되고 있다. 하지만 유출량을 예측하고자 할 때 학습자료 및 검정자료로써 사용되는 유출량은 수위-유량 관계곡선식으로부터 구하는 경우가 대부분으로 이는 이렇게 유도된 유출량의 경우 오차가 크기 때문에 그 신뢰성에 문제가 있을 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 선행우량 및 수위자료로부터 단시간 수위예측에 관해 연구하였으며, 이를 위해 오류역전파알고리즘을 이용한 신경망모형과 인공신경망의 가중치를 유전자 알고리즘에 의해 최적화시킨 모형 그리고 최적화된 상태에서 다시 학습을 진행하는 세 가지 모형에 대하여 적용한 결과 유전자 알고리즘을 사용하여 신경망을 학습시킨 모형이 다른 모형들에 비해 우수한 결과를 보여주고 있으며 예측시간이 길어지더라도 예측력이 크게 떨어지지 않았다. 또한 입력자료로 강우와 수위를 사용한 모형보다는 수위를 사용한 모형에서 조금 더 우수한 결과를 보여주었다.

터널 굴착시 발생하는 지하수의 유출량 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Outflow of Groundwater in Tunnel Construction Areas)

  • 박선환;장윤영;강형식;최준규;양근호
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.407-419
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    • 2007
  • This study investigated the predicted and abserved outflow of groundwater which occurred during tunnel constructions. Among the 586 road construction projects from 1986 to 2006, 4 route 25 tunnel construction areas and 26 waste water treatment facilities under construction were studied. Most of the tunnel outflow prediction in EIA (Environmental Impact Assessment) process have been classified into the 17 types of units depending on the assessor's options, which have not conformed to the request of the residents and non government organizations. The investigation results showed that the outflow of underground water in tunnel construction areas averaged about $0.133m^3/km{\cdot}min$ with the maximum $0.386m^3/km{\cdot}min$, and that the outflow mostly occurred in the early stage of tunnel excavation and diminished gradually. The prediction of outflow of underground water in the EIA process showed excessive results compared to observed outflow, the even 51.7 times. Consequently for more realistic prediction, current EIA method for prediction of outflow of underground water in tunnel construction areas has to adopt numerical methods coupled with hydraulics and geologic informations from unit methods of present time.

강원도 산간 지역 하천을 대상으로 한 강우강도에 따른 수위 변동 관계식 작성 (Relational expression of rainfall intensity by the water level fluctuate in the mountain region river of Gang won-do)

  • 최한규;공지혁;이익상;조현종;박제완
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.154-159
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    • 2011
  • As the need for predicting the flood stage of river from torrential downpouring caused by climate change is increasingly emphasized, the study, centered on the area of Gangwon-do Inje-gun and Jeongseon-gun of local river, is to develop peak water level regression equation by rainfall. Through the correlation between rainfall and peak water level, it is confirmed that rainfall according to duration and peak water level have a high correlation coefficient. Based on this, a relational expression of rainfall and peak water level is verified and then the adequacy of the calculated expression is analyzed and the result shows that a very accurate prediction is not easy to achieve but a rough prediction of the change of water level at each point is possible.

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지방하천 유역의 지속시간별 강우강도와 첨두수위 관계식 산정 (Evaluation of Relationship between Rainfall Intensity for Duration of Watersheds and Peak Water Levels of Local Rivers)

  • 최한규;공지혁;백효선
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제31권A호
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2011
  • As the need for predicting the flood stage of river from torrential downpouring caused by climate change is increasingly emphasized, the study, centered on the area of Gangwon-do Inje-gun and Jeongseon-gun of local river, is to develop peak water level regression equation by rainfall. Through the correlation between rainfall and peak water level, it is confirmed that rainfall according to duration and peak water level have a high correlation coefficient. Based on this, a relational expression of rainfall and peak water level is verified and then the adequacy of the calculated expression is analyzed and the result shows that a very accurate prediction is not easy to achieve but a rough prediction of the change of water level at each point is possible.

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Water impact of three dimensional wedges using CFD

  • Nair, Vinod V.;Bhattacharyya, S.K.
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.223-246
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    • 2018
  • In this paper the results of CFD simulations, that were carried out to study the impact pressures acting on a symmetric wedge during water entry under the influence of gravity, are presented. The simulations were done using a solver implementing finite volume discretization and using the VOF scheme to keep track of the free surface during water entry. The parameters such as pressure on impact, displacement, velocity, acceleration and net hydrodynamic forces, etc., which govern the water entry process are monitored during the initial stage of water entry. In addition, the results of the complete water entry process of wedges covering the initial stage where the impact pressure reaches its maximum as well as the late stage that covers the rebound process of the buoyant wedge are presented. The study was conducted for a few touchdown velocities to understand its influence on the water entry phenomenon. The simulation results are compared with the experimental measurements available in the literature with good accuracy. The various computational parameters (e.g., mesh size, time step, solver, etc.) that are necessary for accurate prediction of impact pressures, as well as the entry-exit trajectory, are discussed.

SEA 기법을 이용한 보강 원통형 셸의 수중방사소음 해석 (Waterborne Noise Prediction of the Reinforced Cylindrical Shell Using the SEA Technique)

  • 배수룡;전재진;이헌곤
    • 소음진동
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.155-161
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    • 1993
  • The vibration generated by the machinery on board is transmitted to the hull and into the water. At the early design stage, the prediction of the hull vibration and the radiated noise level is very important to reduce their levels. In this study, SAE(Statistical Energy Analysis) technique is applied to predict structureborne noise level of the hull considering fluid loading. Rayleigh integral is applied to predict the radiated noise level. The results of comparision between the predictions and measurements for the reinforced cylindrical shell have shown good agreements.

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데이터마이닝 기법을 적용한 취수원 수질예측모형 평가 (Evaluation of Water Quality Prediction Models at Intake Station by Data Mining Techniques)

  • 김주환;채수권;김병식
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.705-716
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    • 2011
  • For the efficient discovery of knowledge and information from the observed systems, data mining techniques can be an useful tool for the prediction of water quality at intake station in rivers. Deterioration of water quality can be caused at intake station in dry season due to insufficient flow. This demands additional outflow from dam since some extent of deterioration can be attenuated by dam reservoir operation to control outflow considering predicted water quality. A seasonal occurrence of high ammonia nitrogen ($NH_3$-N) concentrations has hampered chemical treatment processes of a water plant in Geum river. Monthly flow allocation from upstream dam is important for downstream $NH_3$-N control. In this study, prediction models of water quality based on multiple regression (MR), artificial neural network and data mining methods were developed to understand water quality variation and to support dam operations through providing predicted $NH_3$-N concentrations at intake station. The models were calibrated with eight years of monthly data and verified with another two years of independent data. In those models, the $NH_3$-N concentration for next time step is dependent on dam outflow, river water quality such as alkalinity, temperature, and $NH_3$-N of previous time step. The model performances are compared and evaluated by error analysis and statistical characteristics like correlation and determination coefficients between the observed and the predicted water quality. It is expected that these data mining techniques can present more efficient data-driven tools in modelling stage and it is found that those models can be applied well to predict water quality in stream river systems.