• Title/Summary/Keyword: war in Ukraine

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A Study on the Formation and Development of Collective Security System and the Possibility of Security System Shift in East Asia (집단안보체제의 형성 및 발전요인과 동아시아 안보체제의 변화 가능성 연구)

  • Oh, Dongkeon
    • Maritime Security
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 2023
  • For the last 70 years, the U.S.-led bilateral security system, or "Hub-and-Spokes" system, has been applied to Northeast Asia, and the system has been successfully settled in terms of stability and economic achievements of the region. Given the increasing complexity of the security environment of East Asia, it is plausible to consider the possibility of a security system shift from bilateral alliances to collective security. In order to analyze the driver of collective security system, this study developed three factors of formation and development of collective security system - main threat, intensity of the threat, and confidence among countries in the system - by reviewing international political theories related to security cooperation. Comparing the formation, development, and achievements of NATO and SEATO, the study figures out that the existence of the main threat, the high intensity of the threat, and the strong confidence among countries in the security system are the primary drivers for a successful collective security system. Based on the result, the study also analyzed the possibility of a security system shift in East Asia. Considering contemporary international conflicts such as U.S.-China strategic competition, Russia-Ukraine War, and growing threats posed by North Korean nuclear and missiles, the study anticipates that the necessity of a collective security system that will replace the current security system of the region would arise. Still, although some issues between countries should be overcome, the growing intensity of the threats will promote cooperation among countries by improving their confidence.

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A Comparative Analysis of the Germany and Korea's Bilateral Cooperation Strategy to Secure Overseas Clean Hydrogen: Focusing on the Geopolitical Perspective (독일과 한국의 해외 청정수소 확보를 위한 양자협력 전략 비교 분석: 지정학적 관점을 중심으로)

  • JUN, EUNJIN;WOO, AMI;PARK, MIRA;JUNG, HYOUNDUK;SHIN, HYUN WOO
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.470-498
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the world has been considering hydrogen energy as the primary energy transition means to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. In order to achieve the goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, Korea is also promoting a clean hydrogen economy. However, it is necessary to introduce various clean hydrogen from overseas so that the projected demand can not meet the domestically produced. For this study, we conducted the policy comparison approach between countries other than the generally considered technical and economic approaches. The finding proposes the direction of bilateral cooperation for a strategy of securing overseas clean hydrogen from a geopolitical perspective. Germany was a target country for the policy comparison since it has a high proportion of manufacturing, like Korea, and is taking the lead in the renewable-based energy transition policy. According to the survey and analysis of the policy establishment status and new projects of the two countries, Germany is promoting bilateral international cooperation in the hydrogen area with about 33 countries based on 7 types of activities. In comparison, Korea is involved in bilateral cooperation with about 12 countries on relatively few activities. Among the types of bilateral cooperation, R&D cooperation with advanced countries for hydrogen technology was a common activity type. Germany preemptively promotes cooperation for demonstration and commercialization, considering geopolitical means and strengthening manpower training and assistance on policy and regulation to preoccupy the market for the future. Therefore, it is necessary to consider establishing a network of an entire life cycle of supply and demand network that links the future market with securing clean hydrogen considering the geopolitical distribution. To this end, Korea also needs to expand bilateral cooperation countries by activity type, and it seems necessary to seek various geopolitical-based bilateral cooperation and support measures for developing countries to diversify the supply sources of hydrogen.

A Study on the Generation and Transmission of Drone Jamming Signals Based on the MAVLink Protocol (MAVLink 프로토콜 기반 드론 교란 신호 생성 및 송출에 관한 연구)

  • Woojin Lee;Changhan Lim;Jaeyeon Lee
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2023
  • Recently, as the use of drones for military purposes is increasing, such as the Russia-Ukraine War, North Korea's reconnaissance against South Korea, and Army Tiger 4.0's dronebot system, anti-drone technology is developing a lot in each country. However, traditional anti-drone technologies in the form of using conventional weapons or electronic warfare weapons have the disadvantage of being expensive, so anti-drone technologies that can be performed at low cost are currently being newly researched. Therfore, in response to these anti-drone technologies, many efforts are being made to increase the survivability of our allies. In line with this trend, this study assumes a virtual anti-drone system applied with cyber domain and electronic warfare domain technologies that can be performed at low cost, rather than a technique using expensive conventional weapons or electronic warfare weapons among various anti-drone technologies. In response to this, we would like to present a plan to increase the survivability of friendly drones.

Forecasting LNG Freight rate with Artificial Neural Networks

  • Lim, Sangseop;Ahn, Young-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2022
  • LNG is known as the transitional energy source for the future eco-friendly, attracting enormous market attention due to global eco-friendly regulations, Covid-19 Pandemic, Russia-Ukraine War. In addition, since new LNG suppliers such as the U.S. and Australia are also diversifying, the LNG spot market is expected to grow. On the other hand, research on the LNG transportation market has been marginalized. Therefore, this study attempted to predict short-term LNG 160K spot rates and compared the prediction performance between artificial neural networks and the ARIMA model. As a result of this paper, while it was difficult to determine the superiority and superiority of ARIMA and artificial neural networks, considering the relative free of ANN's contraints, we confirmed the feasibility of ANN in LNG 160K spot rate prediction. This study has academic significance as the first attempt to apply an artificial neural network to forecasting LNG 160K spot rates and are expected to contribute significantly in practice in that they can improve the quality of short-term investment decisions by market participants by increasing the accuracy of short-term prediction.

How to Identify Critical Nodes of National Infrastructure Systems in Megacities (메가시티 국가기반체계의 핵심노드 식별 방법)

  • Sim, Jun Hak;Jang, chan Kyu;Park, Sung Jun;Kim, Ki Won;Cho, Sang Keun;Park, Sang Hyuk
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.531-536
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    • 2022
  • Megacities are emerging all over the world and gradually becoming the center of an country. Therefore, Megacities are inevitably exposed to various threats such as existing, potential, supra-national, and non-military. In particular, as seen in the recent Ukraine-Russia war, national infrastructure systems has become a major target of enemies. However, considering the size of Megacities, various types of threats, and limited resources, it is impossible to completely protect all national infrastructure systems. Therefore, wisdom is necessary to identify and protect critical nodes. The critical node is the vital point to which the national infrastructure is connected. To this end, in this study, as a method for logically and systematically identifying critical nodes, Node centrality analysis method, which is a network theory, and the Center of Gravity analysis method, which is a military theory, were presented.

The Development of Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Combat Swarm Drones in the Future Intelligent Battlefield (지능화 전장에서 인공지능 기반 공격용 군집드론 운용 방안)

  • Hee Chae;Kyung Suk Lee;Jung-Ho Eom
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2023
  • The importance of combat drones has been highlighted through the recent outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war. The combat drones play a significant role as a a game changer that alters the conventional wisdom of traditional warfare. Many pundits expect the role of combat swarm drones would be more crucial in the future warfare. In this regard, this paper aims to analyze the development of artificial intelligence-enabled combat swarm drones. To transform the human-operated swarm drones into fully autonomous weaponry system our suggestions are as follows. Developments of (1) AI algorithms for optimized swarm drone operations, (2) decentralized command and control system, (3) inter-drones' mission analysis and allocation technology, (4) enhanced drone communication security and (5) set up of ethical guideline for the autonomous system. Specifically, we suggest the development of AI algorithms for drone collision avoidance and moving target attacks. Also, in order to adjust rapidly changing military environment, decentralized command and control system and mission analysis allocation technology are necessary. Lastly, cutting-edging secure communication technology and concrete ethical guidelines are essential for future AI-enabled combat swarm drones.

Development Directions for Enhanced Protection of National Mjor Facilities Countering Drone Threats (국가중요시설 방호력 강화를 위한 대드론체계 발전 방향)

  • Sang-Keun Cho;Ki-Won Kim;In-keun Son;Kang-Il Seo;Min-seop Jung;Sang-Hyuk Park
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.257-262
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    • 2023
  • Recently there are increasing number of claims that it is necessary to build a countermeasure in case of aggressive threats by small drones. During Russia-Ukraine war ignited by Russian invasion on February 2022, attacking drones have been being used widely to damage other country's national major facilities. On December 2022, 5 drones sent by North Korea made a flight around Seoul, South Korea about 7 hours, but it was not successful to search and track them. Furthermore, none of these were destroyed and shot down. Counter-drone system is essential system to search and identify unintended small drones and disable them. This paper is for proposing required functions for building a counter-drone system for national major facilities. We conducted focus group interviews with relevant government officials and analyzed their suggestions on how to augment protection capabilities to defend against small drone attacks.

A Case Study on FPV Drone Combats of the Ukrainian Forces (우크라이나군의 FPV드론 전투 사례 연구)

  • Kang-Il Seo;Sang-Keun Cho;Sang-Hyuk Park
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.263-270
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    • 2023
  • The Ukraine-Russia war is a testing ground for High-Tech weapons and the first full-scale drone warfare. The Ukrainian military has been aggressively deploying a variety of reconnaissance and attack drones on the battlefield, and more recently, FPV drones, also known as racing drones, have been fitted with bombs as a game-changer in small-unit combat. To better understand these FPV drones, this article reviews their definition, aircraft components, and key characteristics, and draws implications from the Ukrainian military's FPV combat experience. In the future, the combination of artificial intelligence and swarming technology will make FPV drones even more lethal. Accordingly, the need to develop FPV drones suitable for the future operational environment on the Korean Peninsula is increasing, and follow-up research is needed to specify fighting methods and optimize related technologies.

Social Engineering Attack Characteristics and Countermeasure Strategies of Major Threat Countries (주요 위협국의 사회공학 공격특징과 대응전략)

  • Jeewon Kim
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2023
  • Nation-state social engineering attacks are steadily being carried out as they are highly effective attacks, primarily to gain an advantage over secret information, diplomatic negotiations or future policy changes. As The Ukraine-Russia war prolongs, the activities of global hacking organizations are steadily increasing, and large-scale cyberattack attempts against major infrastructure or global companies continue, so a countermeasure strategy is needed. To this end, we determined that the social engineering attack cycle excluding physical contact among various social engineering models is the most suitable model, and analyzed the preferred social engineering attack method by comparing it with geopolitical tactics through case analysis. AS a result China favors phishing attacks, which prefer quantity over quality, such as man-made tactics, Russia prefers covert and complex spear phishing reminiscent of espionage warfare, and North Korea uses geopolitical tactics such as spear phishing and watering holes for attacks on the US and South Korea Most of the other countries aimed to secure funds with ransomware. Accordingly, a Clean Pass policy for China, periodic compulsory education in Russia, and international sanctions against North Korea were presented as countermeasure strategies.

Mid- to Long-term Food Policy Direction

  • Bo-ram Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Crop Science Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.6-6
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    • 2022
  • Prolonged Russia-Ukraine war, and unstable situation of supply and demand of global crops including the COVID-19 pandemic have raised awareness regarding food crisis, and in addition to this situation, export restriction measures imposed by some countries have accelerated the rise in the prices. Since the Republic of Korea depends annual crop consumption (21.32 million tons) mostly on the imports (food self-sufficiency rate in 2020 was 45.8%, crop self-sufficiency rate was 20.2%), our main task is to stably secure food. Now we need to put focus on building capacity to secure stable food supply, and actively manage and respond to risks. To overcome this condition, the Korean government set robust food sovereignty as its policy task, and has been focusing on the policy capacity by providing financial and policy support in parallel. We need to implement mid- to long-term measures to strengthen food security as well as to ensure domestic price stability. While increasing the domestic capacity to supply food in the mid- to long-term perspective, we are implementing projects to bring in crops which are inevitable to be imported by private companies. Specifically, we are making efforts to expand infrastructure for the public reserve and domestic production of wheat and beans which have low self-sufficiency rate, and to secure food sovereignty by providing support to secure global crop supply chain to private companies. The Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs plans to set a target for food self-sufficiency rate and prepare a policy to strengthen mid- to long-term food security by establishing a task force to strengthen mid- to long-term food security in the Ministry. Especially, although wheat is the second staple food, domestic wheat production and the foundation for the industry is poor. Compared to the wheat imports, domestic production of wheat is 30 thousand tons (self-sufficiency rate of 1%), leading to a vulnerable status against internal and external shocks. Through the establishment of the Wheat Industry Promotion Act (Feb. 2020) and the First Master Plan for Wheat Industry Promotion (Nov. 2020), the Korean government has developed a policy basis, and has been providing financial support in overall across the production, distribution and consumption process. In addition, the government established a production complex for Korean wheat and beans in order to supply affordable government-supplied commodities, provide education and consulting services, and create a high-quality stable production system, including facilities and equipment. We are also continuing to increase the public reserve for wheat and beans with the purpose of stable supply and demand as well as food security. The Korean government will establish and implement mid- to long-term measures to strengthen the foundation for domestic production across production, distribution and consumption process, and to stably secure global supply chain including through diversified import channels.

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