• 제목/요약/키워드: various multivariate statistical methods

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Impact of Various Tumor Markers in Prognosis of Gastric Cancer -A Hospital Based Study from Tertiary Care Hospital of Kathmandu Valley

  • Mittal, Ankush;Gupta, Satrudhan Pd.;Jha, Dipendra Kumar;Sathian, Brijesh;Poudel, Bibek
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.1965-1967
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    • 2013
  • Background: To obtain the maximum additional information about the prognosis of gastric cancer, we compared CA-50 with other previously defined markers. Materials and Methods: This hospital based study was carried out in the Department of Biochemistry of Nepalese Army Institute of Health Sciences between $1^{st}$ July 2012 and $31^{st}$ December 2012. The variables collected were age, gender, AFP, CEA, CA19-9, and CA50, assayed with ELISA reader for all cases. The cut off values for serum AFP, CEA, CA19-9, and CA-50 were 10 ${\mu}g/l$, 10 ${\mu}g/l$, 37 U/ml, and 20 U/ml, respectively according to the manufacturer's instructions. Approval for the study was obtained from the institutional research ethical committee. Results: Of the 40 examined patients, 13 patients had tumors located in the upper third of the stomach, 6 patients had tumors in the middle third, 16 patients had tumors in the lower third, and 5 patients had tumors occupying two-thirds of the stomach or more. The distribution of lymph node staging of the patients was as follows: 7 patients belonged to N0, 9 patients to N1 stage, 10 patients to N2 stage, and 14 patients to N3 stage. The statistical method of Cox proportional hazards using multivariate analysis also illustrated that tumor markers including CEA (2.802), CA19-9 (2.690), CA50 (2.101), were independent prognostic factors, as tumor size (1.603), and lymph node stage (1.614). Conclusions: The tumour markers now available, like CEA, CA 19-9 and CA 50, chiefly perceive advanced gastric cancer. The preoperative rise in those tumour marker level have a prognostic significance and may be clinically helpful in choosing patients for adjuvant management.

Overexpression of Tbx3 Predicts Poor Prognosis of Patients with Resectable Pancreatic Carcinoma

  • Wang, Hong-Cheng;Meng, Qing-Cai;Shan, Ze-Zhi;Yuan, Zhou;Huang, Xin-Yu
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.1397-1401
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    • 2015
  • Background: To determine the expressions of Tbx3, a member of subgroup belonging to T-box family, and its prognostic value in pancreatic carcinoma. Materials and Methods: We determined the expression levels of Tbx3 on both mRNA and protein levels in 30 pairs of fresh tumor tissues and paratumor tissues by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) and Western blotting, respectively. In addition, protein level of Tbx3 were identified using immunochemistry in 80 pairs of paraffin-embedded specimen. The correlations between Tbx3 expression and various clinicopathological parameters as well as overall survival were evaluated. Results: Tbx3 mRNA and protein levels in tumor tissues were significantly higher than in the paratumor tissues by qRT-PCR ($0.05{\pm}0.007$ vs. $0.087{\pm}0.001$, p<0.001) and western blotting ($1.134{\pm}0.043$ vs. $0.287{\pm}0.017$, p<0.001). The statistical analysis based on immunohistochemical evaluation suggested that Tbx3 aberrant expression was significantly associated with several conventional clinicopathological variables, such as gender, age, tumor position, preoperative CA19-9 level, pathological T staging and N staging. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that Tbx3 expression was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (<0.001). Conclusions: Our results suggest that overexpression of Tbx3 is associated with poor prognosis of pancreatic cancer patients. However, additional clinical trials are needed to accurately validate this observation.

Comparative Study of NIR-based Prediction Methods for Biomass Weight Loss Profiles

  • Cho, Hyun-Woo;Liu, J. Jay
    • 청정기술
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2012
  • 바이오매스가 가진 재생 가능성과 환경적인 장점으로 인해 바이오매스는 바이오에너지와 다른 제품의 주요 원료가 되었다. 바이오매스의 중요 성질을 예측하기 위해 분광학 데이터를 이용하는 연구를 포함한 많은 연구가 수행되었는데 근적외선 분광학은 빠르고 신뢰성 있는 결과를 저비용으로 제공하는 비파괴 방법이기 때문에 널리 사용되었다. 이 연구에서는 서로 다른 여섯가지의 목질계 바이오매스의 근적외선 스펙트럼 데이터를 기반으로 질량 손실 프로파일을 예측하는 다변량 통계기법을 개발하였으며, 상관없는 잡음을 제거하고 근적외선 데이터를 잘 설명하는 파장대역을 선택하기 위해 웨이블릿 분석이 사용되었다. 실제 근적외선 데이터를 가지고 개발된 방법을 예시하였는데 이 때 여러가지 예측모델이 예측 성능을 기준으로 평가되었고 적절한 근적외선 스펙트럼 전처리법의 장점 또한 설명되었다. 웨이블릿으로 압축된 근적외선 스펙트럼을 이용한 부분최소자승법 예측모델이 가장 좋은 성능을 보였으며 개발된 방법은 바이오매스의 빠른 분석에 쉽게 적용될 수 있음 또한 증명되었다.

Level of happiness and its association with food literacy among Seoul citizens: results from Seoul Food Survey 2021

  • Hyelim Yoo;Eunbin Jo;Hyeongyeong Lee;Eunji Ko;Eunjin Jang;Jiwon Sim;Sohyun Park
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.119-131
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    • 2024
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Happiness is an important factor in life, and food literacy (FL) has been emphasized as a core concept for a happy and healthy life. This study examined the level of happiness of Seoul citizens according to their sociodemographic factors and their association with FL. SUBJECTS/METHODS: This study used the data from the Seoul Food Survey, a cross-sectional study conducted on 4,039 Seoul citizens from September to October 2021. FL was measured using a validated questionnaire consisting of 33 items from 3 sub-domains: 14 items in the nutrition and safety domain, 8 items in the cultural and relational domain, and 11 items in the socio-ecological domain. Statistical analysis involved descriptive statistics and multivariate regression analysis. RESULTS: Various sociodemographic factors, such as household income, subjective health status, and food insecurity, were found to be associated with the level of happiness. The level of FL was also associated with the happiness scores. After adjusting for variables associated with happiness, the participants with the highest quartile FL scores were 7.32 times more likely to respond that they were happy than those with the lowest FL score. Three FL domains and total FL showed linear increases in overall happiness after controlling for subjective health status and sociodemographic factors (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: After adjusting for the related covariates, higher levels of FL were associated with higher scores in happiness. Based on this study, it would be meaningful to evaluate ways to intervene in FL to improve the level of happiness among the general population.

A Proposal for a Predictive Model for the Number of Patients with Periodontitis Exposed to Particulate Matter and Atmospheric Factors Using Deep Learning

  • Septika Prismasari;Kyuseok Kim;Hye Young Mun;Jung Yun Kang
    • 치위생과학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.22-28
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    • 2024
  • Background: Particulate matter (PM) has been extensively observed due to its negative association with human health. Previous research revealed the possible negative effect of air pollutant exposure on oral health. However, the predictive model between air pollutant exposure and the prevalence of periodontitis has not been observed yet. Therefore, this study aims to propose a predictive model for the number of patients with periodontitis exposed to PM and atmospheric factors in South Korea using deep learning. Methods: This study is a retrospective cohort study utilizing secondary data from the Korean Statistical Information Service and the Health Insurance Review and Assessment database for air pollution and the number of patients with periodontitis, respectively. Data from 2015 to 2022 were collected and consolidated every month, organized by region. Following data matching and management, the deep neural networks (DNN) model was applied, and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) value was calculated to ensure the accuracy of the model. Results: As we evaluated the DNN model with MAPE, the multivariate model of air pollution including exposure to PM2.5, PM10, and other atmospheric factors predict approximately 85% of the number of patients with periodontitis. The MAPE value ranged from 12.85 to 17.10 (mean±standard deviation=14.12±1.30), indicating a commendable level of accuracy. Conclusion: In this study, the predictive model for the number of patients with periodontitis is developed based on air pollution, including exposure to PM2.5, PM10, and other atmospheric factors. Additionally, various relevant factors are incorporated into the developed predictive model to elucidate specific causal relationships. It is anticipated that future research will lead to the development of a more accurate model for predicting the number of patients with periodontitis.

Effects of an Infection Control Protocol for Coronavirus Disease in Emergency Mechanical Thrombectomy

  • Eun, Jin;Lee, Min-Hyung;Im, Sang-Hyuk;Joo, Won-Il;Ahn, Jae-Geun;Yoo, Do-Sung;Park, Hae-Kwan
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제65권2호
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    • pp.224-235
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    • 2022
  • Objective : Since the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, neurointerventionists have been increasingly concerned regarding the prevention of infection and time delay in performing emergency thrombectomy procedures in patients with acute stroke. This study aimed to analyze the effects of changes in mechanical thrombectomy protocol before and after the COVID-19 pandemic on procedure time and patient outcomes and to identify factors that significantly impact procedure time. Methods : The last-normal-to-door, first-abnormal-to-door, door-to-imaging, door-to-puncture, and puncture-to-recanalization times of 88 patients (45 treated with conventional pre-COVID-19 protocol and 43 with COVID-19 protection protocol) were retrospectively analyzed. The recanalization time, success rate of mechanical thrombectomy, and modified Rankin score of patients at discharge were assessed. A multivariate analysis was conducted to identify variables that significantly influenced the time delay in the door-to-puncture time and total procedure time. Results : The door-to-imaging time significantly increased under the COVID-19 protection protocol (p=0.0257) compared to that with the conventional pre-COVID-19 protocol. This increase was even more pronounced in patients who were suspected to be COVID-19-positive than in those who were negative. The door-to-puncture time showed no statistical difference between the conventional and COVID-19 protocol groups (p=0.5042). However, in the multivariate analysis, the last-normal-to-door time and door-to-imaging time were shown to affect the door-to-puncture time (p=0.0068 and 0.0097). The total procedure time was affected by the occlusion site, last-normal-to-door time, door-to-imaging time, and type of anesthesia (p=0.0001, 0.0231, 0.0103, and 0.0207, respectively). Conclusion : The COVID-19 protection protocol significantly impacted the door-to-imaging time. Shortening the door-to-imaging time and performing the procedure under local anesthesia, if possible, may be required to reduce the door-to-puncture and door-to-recanalization times. The effect of various aspects of the protection protocol on emergency thrombectomy should be further studied.

중증 손상 기전의 안정된 환자에서 중증도 예측 인자들에 대한 다변량 분석 (Multivariate Analysis of Predictive Factors for the Severity in Stable Patients with Severe Injury Mechanism)

  • 이재영;이창재;이형주;정태녕;김의중;최성욱;김옥준;조윤경
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: For determining the prognosis of critically injured patients, transporting patients to medical facilities capable of providing proper assessment and management, running rapid assessment and making rapid decisions, and providing aggressive resuscitation is vital. Considering the high mortality and morbidity rates in critically injured patients, various studies have been conducted in efforts to reduce those rates. However, studies related to diagnostic factors for predicting severity in critically injured patients are still lacking. Furthermore, patients showing stable vital signs and alert mental status, who are injured via a severe trauma mechanism, may be at a risk of not receiving rapid assessment and management. Thus, this study investigates diagnostic factors, including physical examination and laboratory results, that may help predict severity in trauma patients injured via a severe trauma mechanism, but showing stable vital signs. Methods: From March 2010 to December 2011, all trauma patients who fit into a diagnostic category that activated a major trauma team in CHA Bundang Medical Center were analyzed retrospectively. The retrospective analysis was based on prospective medical records completed at the time of arrival in the emergency department and on sequential laboratory test results. PASW statistics 18(SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) was used for the statistical analysis. Patients with relatively stable vital signs and alert mental status were selected based on a revised trauma score of more than 7 points. The final diagnosis of major trauma was made based on an injury severity score of greater than 16 points. Diagnostic variables include systolic blood pressure and respiratory rate, glasgow coma scale, initial result from focused abdominal sonography for trauma, and laboratory results from blood tests and urine analyses. To confirm the true significance of the measured values, we applied the Kolmogorov-Smirnov one sample test and the Shapiro-Wilk test. When significance was confirmed, the Student's t-test was used for comparison; when significance was not confirmed, the Mann-Whitney u-test was used. The results of focused abdominal sonography for trauma (FAST) and factors of urine analysis were analyzed using the Chi-square test or Fisher's exact test. Variables with statistical significance were selected as prognostics factors, and they were analyzed using a multivariate logistics regression model. Results: A total of 269 patients activated the major trauma team. Excluding 91 patients who scored a revised trauma score of less than 7 points, 178 patients were subdivided by injury severity score to determine the final major trauma patients. Twenty-one(21) patients from 106 major trauma patients and 9 patients from 72 minor trauma patients were also excluded due to missing medical records or untested blood and urine analysis. The investigated variables with p-values less than 0.05 include the glasgow coma scale, respiratory rate, white blood cell count (WBC), serum AST and ALT, serum creatinine, blood in spot urine, and protein in spot urine. These variables could, thus, be prognostic factors in major trauma patients. A multivariate logistics regression analysis on those 8 variables showed the respiratory rate (p=0.034), WBC (p=0.005) and blood in spot urine (p=0.041) to be independent prognostic factors for predicting the clinical course of major trauma patients. Conclusion: In trauma patients injured via a severe trauma mechanism, but showing stable vital signs and alert mental status, the respiratory rate, WBC count and blood in the urine can be used as predictable factors for severity. Using those laboratory results, rapid assessment of major trauma patients may shorten the time to diagnosis and the time for management.

자궁경부암 치료 후 재발양상과 종양표지자 SCC항원의 혈청 수치 변화의 상관관계에 관한 연구 (A Study of Relationship between the Level of Serum SCC Antigen and Recurrence Patterns after Treatment of Uterine Cervix Cancer)

  • 최두호;김은석;남계현
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.120-129
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    • 1999
  • 목적 : 방사선치료를 시행한 자궁경부암 환자에서 혈중 SCC항원을 치료 전과 치료 후 추적기간 동안의 수치변화와 치료결과의 상관관계를 조사하기 위하여 자료를 분석하였다. 대상 및 방법 : 순천향대학병원 방사선종양학과에서 방사선치료를 시행한 환자 중에서 1991~1997년 사이에 혈중SCC 검사를 치료 전 시행하였거나 추적관찰 중 시행한 181명의 환자를 대상으로 후향적 분석을 실시하였다. 여러가지 통계방법을 통하여 치료 전 농도와 무병생존기간, 예후인자 등을 비교하고 추적기간 중 수치 변화의 임상적 의미를 조사하였다. 결과 : 혈중 SCC항원의 양성비율은 15ng/ml 기준으로 병기그룹에 따라 71~91%, 2.5ng/ml 기준으로 57~91%로 유의하게 증가하였으며 각 그룹의 5년 무병생존율은 IB-IIA 79.2%, IIB 68.7%, III 33.4%, IV 0% 였다. 그리고 5년 무병생존율은 치료 전 항원농도가 5ng/ml 이상인 경우 34%로 1.5ng/ml 이하, 1.5~5ng/ml의 55~62% 보다 매우 낮았다. 항원 수치 추적검사 결과 임상증상보다 1~13개월(평균 4.8개월) 재발을 빨리 발견할 수가 있었고 항원의 수치와 무병생존기간은 유의한 상관관계를 가졌고(r=-0.266) 다변량 분석상 치료전 SCC항원의 수치는 독립된 예후인자였다. 결론 : 치료 전 혈중 SCC항원 농도는 편평상피 자궁경부암의 예후에 영향을 미치는 인자이며 치료 후 추적기간 중에 하는 검사는 재발을 빨리 발견하는데 유용하다.

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입력변수 및 학습사례 선정을 동시에 최적화하는 GA-MSVM 기반 주가지수 추세 예측 모형에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction Model of Stock Price Index Trend based on GA-MSVM that Simultaneously Optimizes Feature and Instance Selection)

  • 이종식;안현철
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.147-168
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    • 2017
  • 오래 전부터 학계에서는 정확한 주식 시장의 예측에 대한 많은 연구가 진행되어 왔고 현재에도 다양한 기법을 응용한 예측모형들이 연구되고 있다. 특히 최근에는 딥러닝(Deep-Learning)을 포함한 다양한 기계학습기법(Machine Learning Methods)을 이용해 주가지수를 예측하려는 많은 시도들이 진행되고 있다. 전통적인 주식투자거래의 분석기법으로는 기본적 분석과 기술적 분석방법이 사용되지만 보다 단기적인 거래예측이나 통계학적, 수리적 기법을 응용하기에는 기술적 분석 방법이 보다 유용한 측면이 있다. 이러한 기술적 지표들을 이용하여 진행된 대부분의 연구는 미래시장의 (보통은 다음 거래일) 주가 등락을 이진분류-상승 또는 하락-하여 주가를 예측하는 모형을 연구한 것이다. 하지만 이러한 이진분류로는 추세를 예측하여 매매시그널을 파악하거나, 포트폴리오 리밸런싱(Portfolio Rebalancing)의 신호로 삼기에는 적합치 않은 측면이 많은 것 또한 사실이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기존의 주가지수 예측방법인 이진 분류 (binary classification) 방법에서 주가지수 추세를 (상승추세, 박스권, 하락추세) 다분류 (multiple classification) 체계로 확장하여 주가지수 추세를 예측하고자 한다. 이러한 다 분류 문제 해결을 위해 기존에 사용하던 통계적 방법인 다항로지스틱 회귀분석(Multinomial Logistic Regression Analysis, MLOGIT)이나 다중판별분석(Multiple Discriminant Analysis, MDA) 또는 인공신경망(Artificial Neural Networks, ANN)과 같은 기법보다는 예측성과의 우수성이 입증된 다분류 Support Vector Machines(Multiclass SVM, MSVM)을 사용하고, 이 모델의 성능을 향상시키기 위한 래퍼(wrapper)로서 유전자 알고리즘(Genetic Algorithm)을 이용한 최적화 모델을 제안한다. 특히 GA-MSVM으로 명명된 본 연구의 제안 모형에서는 MSVM의 커널함수 매개변수, 그리고 최적의 입력변수 선택(feature selection) 뿐만이 아니라 학습사례 선택(instance selection)까지 최적화하여 모델의 성능을 극대화 하도록 설계하였다. 제안 모형의 성능을 검증하기 위해 국내주식시장의 실제 데이터를 적용해본 결과 ANN이나 CBR, MLOGIT, MDA와 같은 기존 데이터마이닝 기법들이나 인공지능 알고리즘은 물론 현재까지 가장 우수한 예측 성과를 나타내는 것으로 알려져 있던 전통적인 다분류 SVM 보다도 제안 모형이 보다 우수한 예측성과를 보임을 확인할 수 있었다. 특히 주가지수 추세 예측에 있어서 학습사례의 선택이 매우 중요한 역할을 하는 것으로 확인 되었으며, 모델의 성능의 개선효과에 다른 요인보다 중요한 요소임을 확인할 수 있었다.

3기 위암 환자의 술 후 생존율 및 예후 인자 분석 (Prognostic Factors and Survival Rates of Stage III Gastric Cancer Patients after a Gastrectomy)

  • 장석원;김치호;김상운;송선교
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.137-142
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    • 2004
  • Purpose: There have been some controversies over the therapeutic principles of advanced gastric cancer, and the results of treatment have been variable, especially for stage III disease. This study was conducted to define the prognostic factors of stage III gastric cancer. Materials and Methods: This retrospective study was based on the medical records of 179 patients with stage III disease who received a gastrectomy from January 1990 to December 1994. The 5-year survival rate was analyzed according to the age, sex, tumor location, tumor size, Borrmann's type, depth of invasion, lymph-node metastasis, ratio of metastatic lymph nodes, type of surgical resection, extent of lymphnode dissection, curability of resection, postoperative chemotherapy, and pathological stage. The statistical analysis was done by using the Kaplan-Meier method, the log-rank test, and the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: The overall 5-year survival rate was $61.6\%$ the 5-year survival rates according to subgroup were $69.7\%$ for stage IIIa ($100\%$ for $T_{2}N_{2}$, $70.0\%$ for $T_{3}N_{1}$, $68.6\%$ for $T_{4}N_{0}$), and $54.1\%$ for stage IIIb ($T_{3}N_{2}$) (P<0.05). Among various clinicopathologic factors of stage III gastric cancer, the age of the patient, the tumor location, the gross type of tumor, the type of gastric resection, the extent of lymph-node dissection, the curability of resection, and the subgroups of stage III were statistically significant in the univariate survival analysis. The multivariate analysis defined the curability of resection, the extent of lymph-node dissection, the type of operation, the stage of disease, and the age of the patient as independent prognostic factors. Conclusion: A curative surgical resection and an extended lymph-node dissection are thought to be most important for improving the survival rate in stage III gastric cancer patients.

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