• Title/Summary/Keyword: valuation model

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Development of a New Technology Valuation Model Considering the Influence of Technology (기술의 상호영향을 고려한 기술가치평가 모형의 개발)

  • 조근태;권철신
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2001
  • Cross impact relationships exist among technologies. The purpose of this study is to develop a Cross Impact-based Technology Valuation Model necessary for evaluating the value of interdependent technology. For this purpose, cross impact relationships among interdependent technologies within specific technological system are analyzed by using Fuzzy Structural Modeling(FSM) Method. The model developed in this study will be a useful means of strategic decision making for companies which transact technologies.

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Contingent Claims Valuation of Optional Calling Plan Contracts in Telephone Industry

  • Park, Hyun-Woo;Kim, In-Joon;Kim, Tong-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.253-256
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents a valuation methodology for optional calling plan contracts on free-phone calls in the telephone industry. Utilization of the model is not limited to valuation and consequent decision making for the subscribers; it provides a useful guideline for telephone companies in designing calling plans and assessing subscribers' behavior.

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Development of an Overseas Real Estate Valuation Model Considering Changes in Population Structure

  • Gu, Seung-Hwan;Kim, Doo-Suk;Ping, Wang;Jang, Seong-Yong
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - Aging and fewer economically active people have challenged the assumption of continuous population increases. A new real estate valuation methodology reflecting changes in population structure is thus needed. Research design, data, and methodology - The relationship between demographic change and changes in real estate prices is analyzed using ordinary least squares (OLS) to estimate the parameters, and a population structure change (PSC)-Binomial Option Model is developed to assess the volatility of the estimated parameters. Results based on Seoul and Shanghai data are compared. Results - Results of the DCF method indicate that investing in Seoul is better than investing in Shanghai, but the binomial option indicates the opposite. The PSC-binomial option model, reflecting changes in population structure, yields higher values (24.6 million won in Seoul and 43.3 million won in Shanghai) than those given by the binomial option model. Conclusions - This study indicates that applying changes in population structure to existing research, such as in the binomial option model, represents a more accurate real estate valuation method. Results demonstrate that the new model is more accurate than existing models such as the DCF or binomial option.

A Study on Public Interest-based Technology Valuation Models in Water Resources Field (수자원 분야 공익형 기술가치평가 시스템에 대한 연구)

  • Ryu, Seung-Mi;Sung, Tae-Eung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.177-198
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    • 2018
  • Recently, as economic property it has become necessary to acquire and utilize the framework for water resource measurement and performance management as the property of water resources changes to hold "public property". To date, the evaluation of water technology has been carried out by feasibility study analysis or technology assessment based on net present value (NPV) or benefit-to-cost (B/C) effect, however it is not yet systemized in terms of valuation models to objectively assess an economic value of technology-based business to receive diffusion and feedback of research outcomes. Therefore, K-water (known as a government-supported public company in Korea) company feels the necessity to establish a technology valuation framework suitable for technical characteristics of water resources fields in charge and verify an exemplified case applied to the technology. The K-water evaluation technology applied to this study, as a public interest goods, can be used as a tool to measure the value and achievement contributed to society and to manage them. Therefore, by calculating the value in which the subject technology contributed to the entire society as a public resource, we make use of it as a basis information for the advertising medium of performance on the influence effect of the benefits or the necessity of cost input, and then secure the legitimacy for large-scale R&D cost input in terms of the characteristics of public technology. Hence, K-water company, one of the public corporation in Korea which deals with public goods of 'water resources', will be able to establish a commercialization strategy for business operation and prepare for a basis for the performance calculation of input R&D cost. In this study, K-water has developed a web-based technology valuation model for public interest type water resources based on the technology evaluation system that is suitable for the characteristics of a technology in water resources fields. In particular, by utilizing the evaluation methodology of the Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST) in Japan to match the expense items to the expense accounts based on the related benefit items, we proposed the so-called 'K-water's proprietary model' which involves the 'cost-benefit' approach and the FCF (Free Cash Flow), and ultimately led to build a pipeline on the K-water research performance management system and then verify the practical case of a technology related to "desalination". We analyze the embedded design logic and evaluation process of web-based valuation system that reflects characteristics of water resources technology, reference information and database(D/B)-associated logic for each model to calculate public interest-based and profit-based technology values in technology integrated management system. We review the hybrid evaluation module that reflects the quantitative index of the qualitative evaluation indices reflecting the unique characteristics of water resources and the visualized user-interface (UI) of the actual web-based evaluation, which both are appended for calculating the business value based on financial data to the existing web-based technology valuation systems in other fields. K-water's technology valuation model is evaluated by distinguishing between public-interest type and profitable-type water technology. First, evaluation modules in profit-type technology valuation model are designed based on 'profitability of technology'. For example, the technology inventory K-water holds has a number of profit-oriented technologies such as water treatment membranes. On the other hand, the public interest-type technology valuation is designed to evaluate the public-interest oriented technology such as the dam, which reflects the characteristics of public benefits and costs. In order to examine the appropriateness of the cost-benefit based public utility valuation model (i.e. K-water specific technology valuation model) presented in this study, we applied to practical cases from calculation of benefit-to-cost analysis on water resource technology with 20 years of lifetime. In future we will additionally conduct verifying the K-water public utility-based valuation model by each business model which reflects various business environmental characteristics.

Valuation of Han River Waterside Landscape with a Double-bound Dichotomous Choice Model and Policy Implications: Focused on the Exponential Willingness to Pay Model (이중양분선택법에 의한 한강 수변 경관의 가치 추정과 그 시사점 -지수지불의사 모형을 중심으로-)

  • Han, Taek-Whan;Hong, Yiseok;Park, Chang Sug
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.179-214
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    • 2013
  • This paper estimated the value of waterside landscape and ecosystem of Han River basin with a double-bound dichotomous choice type of CVM. We used the exponential willingness to pay model to represent the nonnegative willingness to pay. This model is found to be especially important in analyzing a double-bound dichotomous choice model. The total willingness to pay was estimated as 705.5 billion won per annum. This suggests that current budget size for water quality and ecosystem conservation for Han River needs to be expanded.

An Empirical Study on the Evaluation of Film Production Company (영화제작기업의 가치평가에 대한 실증 연구)

  • Roh, Myeong-Ho;Kim, Dong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.1259-1265
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    • 2007
  • In order to accelerate the development of the Film Industry of Korea it is quite necessary to evaluate the value of Film Production Company appropriately and then to activate investment through its work of estimating. So far however, the researches on the evaluation model for Korean Film Production Company has been rarely conducted considering those of any other advanced countries. Therefore, the appropriate valuation model among numerous valuation model for film firms has not been provided until now. So the purpose of this article is to suggest the rational decision making criteria for the investment of Film Production Company by comparing with DCF, FCF, and ROV model through the empirical research focused on case study. According to the results of research, ROV model is more efficient and available comparing other two methods.

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An Empirical Analysis on Determinant Factors of Patent Valuation and Technology Transaction Prices (특허가치 결정요인과 기술거래금액에 관한 실증 분석)

  • Sung, Tae-Eung;Kim, Da Seul;Jang, Jong-Moon;Park, Hyun-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.254-279
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    • 2016
  • Recently, with the conversion towards knowledge-based economy era, the importance of the evaluation for patent valuation has been growing rapidly because technology transactions are increasing with the purpose of practically utilizing R&D outcomes such as technology commercialization and technology transfer. Nevertheless, there is a lack of research on determinants of patent valuation by analyzing technology transactions due to the difficulty of collecting data in practice. Hence, to suggest quantitative determinants for the patent valuation which could be applied to scoring methods, 15 patent valuation models domestically and overseas are analysed in order to assure the objectiveness for subjective results from qualitative methods such as expert surveys, comparison assessment, etc. Through this analysis, the important 6 common determinants are drawn and patent information is matched which can be used as proxy variables of individual determinant factors by advanced researches. In addition, to validate whether the model proposed has a statistically meaningful effect, total 517 technology transactions are collected from both public and private technology transaction offices and analysed by multiple regression analysis, which led to significant patent determinant factors in deciding its value. As a result, it is herein presented that patent connectivity(number of literature cited) and commercialization stage in market influence significantly on patent valuation. The meaning of this study is in that it suggests the significant quantitative determinants of patent valuation based on the technology transactions data in practice, and if research results by industry are systematically verified through seamless collection of transaction data and their monitoring, we would propose the customized patent valuation model by industry which is applicable for both strategic planning of patent registration and achievement assessment of research projects (with representative patents).

A Study on the Technology Valuation System for Supporting Knowledge Information (과학기술 산업화 전략정보 지원을 위한 기술가치평가 시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Sun-Hi;Jeong, Hye-Soon;Park, Hyun-Woo
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.32 no.3_4
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    • pp.123-145
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to develop technology valuation system for technology transfer, which is using and supporting knowledge information. The valuation system comprises estimation of latent business profit by supporting formatted patent and technology-products market information, analysis of contribution profit by using industrial standard and innovation step and value of technology by using a real option equation. This study suggests a successful system in order to valuate the technologies quantitatively, and to use and support knowledge information from KISTI databases or other selected internet Information.

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A Study on Economic Valuation Model of Special Libraries (전문도서관 서비스의 경제적 가치평가를 위한 분석모형 개발)

  • Chung, Hye-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.22 no.3 s.57
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    • pp.147-162
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    • 2005
  • This study aims to suggest a new approach to economic valuation of the special library, in response to the necessity of economic justification of the special library operated by firms and research institutes. Benefit measurement elements and analysis methods to be used in the study were derived through feasibility evaluation on models in previous studies, and objectivity and applicability were the criteria for feasibility evaluation. Depending on which type of resources are used in providing service, different benefit measurement elements and methods were applied. Based on this, calculation formula for service valuation of special library was presented. The development of analysis model for economic valuation of special library made it possible to objectively prove the value of the special library, and is considered to provide an opportunity to publicize the real value of the special library.

A Comparison of Estimation Methods for Willingness to Pay Amount in Constructed Oceans and Fisheries Resources Market by Contingent Valuation Method (해양수산자원 가상시장의 지불의사금액 추정방법 비교)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.85-99
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    • 2018
  • This study is to compare and evaluate the estimating method of WTP(willingness to pay) for the valuation of oceans and fisheries resources with non-market goods characteristics using contingent valuation method. In general, when estimating parameters of the WTP function, we should take into account the assumption of probability distribution, inclusion of covariates, method of inducement of payment, and the treatment of 0 payment intention and resistance responses. This study utilizes survey data that was used to estimate the value of fisheries resource protection zones, with a total of 1,200 samples. The main results of this study are summarized as follows: First, the final willness to pay amount is estimated at a statistical significance of less than 1 percent, and the distribution of the final willness to pay amount is from \6,926 of the double bounded dichotomous model to \10,721 of the spike model. Second, the willness to pay amount based on assumptions about the normal and logistic probability distributions are estimated to be \9,429 and \9,370 respectively, so there was no significant difference. Third, the willness to pay amount of the single bounded dichotomous model and the double bounded dichotomous model are estimated to be \8,951 and \6,926 respectively, making a relatively large difference. Fourth, the willness to pay amount of the model without covariates and the model with covariates are estimated to be \9,429 and \8,951, respectively, so the willness to pay amount is underestimated when the covariates are included. Fifth, the Spike model that considers zero payment intention and resistance response estimates \10,405 as the highest payment in this study. Finally, the CVM analysis guidelines proposed by the Korea Development Institute (KDI) are estimated to be \9,749 and \10,405 respectively, depending on including no covariates and with covariates. Compared to other models, the final willness to pay amount is not estimated underestimated. Therefore this study suggests the use of KDI's guidance under government public policy projects. In view of these results, the estimating model for willness to pay amount model will be selected by considering the sample size, the suitability of the model, the sign of the estimated coefficient, the statistical significance, the ratio of the zero payment intention and the payment rejection. And, for CVMs on government public policy projects, it is desirable to estimate by the method proposed by the KDI.