• 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지진공학회 2000년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Spring
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• pp.21-27
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• 2000

For earthquake hazard estimation the data containing large historical events and recent complete observations with various uncertainty should be used together. The traditional maximum likelihood method is not adequate for this kind work. The maximum probable earthquakes in the Korean Peninsula are estimated by the method of an extended maximum likelihood estimation. The method can handle data with various uncertainty. The maximum probable earthquake in the Korean Peninsula is appeared to be 7.14$\pm$0.34 in magnitude.

• 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.21-32
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• 2014

본 연구에서는 매개변수 추정을 통하여 기존 배관 유동에 사용되는 유속 및 마찰계수 산정식을 대신할 수 있는 추정방법을 제안하고, 이를 실험을 통하여 증명하였다. 기존 유동에 관한 운동방정식이 반영하는 파라미터가 유체 유동에 초점이 맞춰져서 실제 현장 적용 시 매개변수의 불확실성과 재료 불확도 등의 지배를 받게 되어 정확한 유동특성을 반영하기 어려운 반면에 이를 극복하기 위하여, 본 연구에서는 유동방정식의 시스템 모델링 기법을 통해 입출력 관계를 통한 유동특성 매개 변수를 산정하여 마찰계수를 추정할 수 있도록 하였다.

• 한국공작기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국공작기계학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.543-550
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• 2002

This work is concerned with the estimation of output derivatives and their use for the design of robust controller for linear systems with systems uncertainties due to modeling errors and disturbance. It is assumed that a nominal transfer function model and Quantitative bounds for system uncertainties are known. The developed control schemes are shown to achieve regulation of the system output and ensures boundedness of the system states without imposing any structural conditions on system uncertainties and disturbances. Output derivative estimation is first conducted trough restructuring of the plant in a specific parameterization. They are utilized for constructing robust nonlinear high-gain feedback controller of a SMC(Sliding Mode Controller) Type. The performances of the developed controller are evaluated and shown to be effective and useful through simulation study.

• 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한원격탐사학회 2007년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2007
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• pp.225-228
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• 2007

This paper presents a geostatistical methodology to model local uncertainty in spatial estimation of sediment grain size with high-resolution remote sensing imagery. Within a multi-Gaussian framework, the IKONOS imagery is used as local means both to estimate the grain size values and to model local uncertainty at unsample locations. A conditional cumulative distribution function (ccdf) at any locations is defined by mean and variance values which can be estimated by multi-Gaussian kriging with local means. Two ccdf statistics including condition variance and interquartile range are used here as measures of local uncertainty and are compared through a cross validation analysis. In addition to local uncertainty measures, the probabilities of not exceeding or exceeding any grain size value at any locations are retrieved and mapped from the local ccdf models. A case study of Baramarae beach, Korea is carried out to illustrate the potential of geostatistical uncertainty modeling.

• 터널과지하공간
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.135-145
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• 2006

본 연구에서는 조건부 모사 기법 중 순차 가우시안 시뮬레이션(SGS)과 순차 지시 시뮬레이션(SIS)을 이용하여 터널설계 시 미시추구간의 암반등급(RMR)을 예측하여 보았다. 총 30개의 시추공자료 가운데 25개의 시추공자료를 이용하여 순차 가우시안 시뮬레이션과 순차 지시 시뮬레이션을 수행하였으며, 나머지 5개의 시추공에서의 실제 암반등급과 예측 암반등급을 비교하여 보았다. 그 결과 조건부 모사 기법은 암반등급의 공간적 분포특성을 비교적 잘 예측할 수 있고, 예측의 불확실성을 정량적으로 평가할 수 있는 효과적인 방법임을 확인할 수 있었다. 따라서 조건부 모사 기법의 결과는 미시추구간의 암반등급을 예측하는데 있어서 유용한 정보를 제공 해 줄 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국습지학회지
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.155-163
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• 2010

돌발홍수는 짧은 지속기간, 급격한 경사와 불투수층에 대해 강한 강우로 인하여 피해를 유발하는 홍수를 말한다. 돌발홍수는 강우가 돌발홍수기준(Flash Flood Guidance)을 초과하는 경우에 발생하게 되며, 따라서 돌발홍수기준을 정확히 산정하는 것이 돌발홍수예보의 정확성에 크게 기여한다. 즉, 강우-유출관계가 갖고 있는 불확실성(uncertainty)을 최소화 할수록 돌발홍수기준을 정확하게 산정할 수 있으며, 강우-유출 모형은 각각 고유의 매개변수와 특성을 갖고 있으므로 어떠한 강우-유출 모형을 사용하여 강우-유출관계를 도출하느냐에 따라 불확실성의 정도가 크게 좌우된다. 본 연구에서는 4개의 강우-유출모형(HEC-HMS 모형, 저류함수모형, SSARR 모형, TANK 모형)의 모의값에 Monte Carlo 모의 방법을 적용하여 95%신뢰수준에 대한 신뢰한계를 추정하여 제시하였다.

• Current Optics and Photonics
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.300-306
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• 2024

To solve the nozzle swing angle non-contact measurement problem, we present a nozzle pose estimation algorithm involving weighted measurement uncertainty based on rotation parameters. Firstly, the instantaneous axis of the rocket nozzle is constructed and used to model the pivot point and the nozzle coordinate system. Then, the rotation matrix and translation vector are parameterized by Cayley-Gibbs-Rodriguez parameters, and the novel object space collinearity error equation involving weighted measurement uncertainty of feature points is constructed. The nozzle pose is obtained at this step by the Gröbner basis method. Finally, the swing angle is calculated based on the conversion relationship between the nozzle static coordinate system and the nozzle dynamic coordinate system. Experimental results prove the high accuracy and robustness of the proposed method. In the space of 1.5 m × 1.5 m × 1.5 m, the maximum angle error of nozzle swing is 0.103°.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.27-36
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• 2001

This Paper proposes a new methodology for assessing the reliability of an accident management, which Is based on the reliability physics and the scheme to generate dynamic event tree. The methodology consists of 3 main steps: screening; uncertainty propagation; and probability estimation. Sensitivity analysis is used for screening the variables of significance. Latin Hypercube sampling technique and MAAP code are used for uncertainty propagation, and the dynamic event tree generation method is used for the estimation of non-success probability of implementing an accident management strategy. This approach is applied in assessing the non-success probability of implementing a cavity flooding strategy, which is to supply water into the reactor cavity using emergency fire systems during the sequence of station blackout at the reference plant.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2002년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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• pp.348-350
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• 2002

In the high-power tests to be performed on electrical apparatus as switchgears, transformers, insulators, cable and so on the results of tests on these apparatus are extremely important to evaluate the performance of test object. The reliability of the results depends on the reliability of measuring systems used in the laboratories where tests are performed. This paper introduces factors of uncertainty and describes estimation of uncertainty in high-voltage measuring system used in high-power testing LAB. 1 in KERI.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2003년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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• pp.540-542
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• 2003

In the high-power tests to be performed on electrical apparatus as circuit-breaker, load switch, fuse, transformers, insulators, cable and so on, the results of tests on these apparatus are extremely important to evaluate the performance of test object. The reliability of the results depends on the reliability of measuring systems used in the laboratories where tests are performed. This paper deals with factors of uncertainty and describes estimation of uncertainty in new measuring system used in high-power testing LAB. 1 in KERI.