• Title/Summary/Keyword: uncertainty importance

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A Study on Relative Importance of Project team members Competencies Using AHP (AHP를 활용한 프로젝트 팀 구성원의 개인역량 상대적 중요도 연구)

  • Kim, Yeoungdae;Lee, Jinah;Oh, Minjeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.216-227
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this paper is to identify a relative importance and priority of the factors of Competencies of project team member. It aims to present the differential competency factors from a differentiated perspective by applying the Leadership Development Questionnaire, which is the competency dimension required for manager, to team member. (1) Background: The diverse needs of customers and companies, and the uncertainty, complexity, ambiguity, and volatility of the environment surrounding the company in the era of the Fourth Industrial Revolution threaten the survival of company. In this respect, companies should implement the project management approach and strive to increase the capabilities of each team member. (2) Methods: AHP method was used to prioritize which factors were considered more importance level and the gap of relative importance level between project manager group and team members group. (3) Results: In the analysis of the relative importance of the upper class, weights were derived in the order of managerial competence, intellectual competence, and emotional competence. The sub-factor that respondents prioritize was communication as the 1st priority, and it was analyzed in the order of strategic perspective, achieving, critical analysis and judgement, and vision and imagination. There were some differences in the ranking of the relative importance of achieving and vision and imagination attributes between the PM group and TM group, it was analyzed that there was no significant difference overall. (4) Implications: The results of this study confirmed the recognition that team members are required to have the same competencies as the project manager. And based on the priorities of the competencies required of team members, companies are expected to cultivate professional and competent team members, and expand the roles and authority of team members so that they can actively carry out projects.

Failure Probability Calculation Method Using Kriging Metamodel-based Importance Sampling Method (크리깅 근사모델 기반의 중요도 추출법을 이용한 고장확률 계산 방안)

  • Lee, Seunggyu;Kim, Jae Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.381-389
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    • 2017
  • The kernel density was determined based on sampling points obtained in a Markov chain simulation and was assumed to be an important sampling function. A Kriging metamodel was constructed in more detail in the vicinity of a limit state. The failure probability was calculated based on importance sampling, which was performed for the Kriging metamodel. A pre-existing method was modified to obtain more sampling points for a kernel density in the vicinity of a limit state. A stable numerical method was proposed to find a parameter of the kernel density. To assess the completeness of the Kriging metamodel, the possibility of changes in the calculated failure probability due to the uncertainty of the Kriging metamodel was calculated.

A Quality Management Model Contingent to R&D Characteristics (연구개발 특성을 고려한 품질경영 모형)

  • Yoon, JaeWook
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.90-99
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    • 2017
  • As the importance of R&D has increased, there have been various efforts to apply the quality management principles and tools to R&D activities in order to manage them effectively. The R&D sector differs from other value chains, so it may be difficult to apply quality management without proper considerations of R&D characteristics. This study describes the characteristics of R&D as high uncertainty and risk, diversity of R&D types, project-based activities, importance of strategic goals and business models, and importance of intangible assets. Three well accepted R&D quality management models are reviewed and implications for quality management and R&D characteristics are summarized. Based on these findings, the management targets of R&D quality management are classified into management level (organization, project) and management focus (process, output), and the contexts of R&D quality management are classified into R&D type (research, development) and market/customer requirement clarity (fluid, specific), and appropriate R&D quality management activities in each situations have been suggested.

A Reliability Analysis Application and Comparative Study on Probabilistic Structure Design for an Automatic Salt Collector (자동채염기의 확률론적 구조설계 구현을 위한 신뢰성 해석 응용과 비교연구)

  • Song, Chang Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.70-79
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    • 2020
  • This paper describes a comparative study of characteristics of probabilistic design using various reliability analysis methods in the structure design of an automatic salt collector. The thickness sizing variables of the main structural member were considered to be random variables, including the uncertainty of corrosion, which would be an inevitable hazard in the work environment of the automatic salt collector. Probabilistic performance functions were selected from the strength performances of the automatic salt collector structure. First-order reliability method, second-order reliability method, mean value reliability method, and adaptive importance sampling method were applied during the reliability analyses. The probabilistic design performances such as reliability probability and numerical costs based on the reliability analysis methods were compared to the Monte Carlo simulation results. The adaptive importance sampling method showed the most rational results for the probabilistic structure design of the automatic salt collector.

Handwashing and Preventive Measures for New Types of Influenza (신종 인플루엔자 예방을 위한 손 씻기 수행 빈도에 영향을 미치는 요인분석 연구)

  • Kim, Joo-Hyun;Byeon, Do-Hwa;Kim, Mi-Ja;Sim, Sun-Sook;Choo, Hyun-Sim;Chai, Gong-Ju;Gawk, Chan-Young;Lim, Kyung-Choon
    • Journal of Korean Biological Nursing Science
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: Hand washing has received renewed emphasis in recent years as Swine flu epidemic threaten health of public. This study aimed to describe measures used to prevent new types of influenza (NTI); describe hand washing frequency; and analyze the relationship of hand washing to locus of control, uncertainty, and state anxiety. Methods: One hundred thirty three adults participate in the questionnaire survey in which participants indicated measures they used to prevent NTI, frequency of handwashing for the prevention of NTI. They also responded to questions related to locus of control, uncertainty and state anxiety. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, Pearson correlation and multiple regression. Results: A majority (66.9%) of the participants indicated that handwashing was an important measure to prevent NTI. Importance of hand-washing was related the highest among the measures they used and it was significantly related to participants who had high score in internal locus of control. Other significant factor to the hand-washing behavior was state anxiety, which explained 6.9% of the frequency. Conclusion: According to the results of this study, majority of participants indicated that handwashing was one of the most important measures to prevent NTI. Nurses need to continue educating public the importance of handwashing and pay attention to personal characteristics such as internal locus of control and anxiety to promote hand-washing.

Research on the Importance of Security and Personal Information in Mobile Commerce (모바일커머스에서 보안과 개인정보의 중요성에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Chan-Hee;Kim, In-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.913-921
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    • 2017
  • Mobile electronic commerce is rapidly growing up on the strength of popularization of smart devices such as smart phone followed by internet user increase. Concurrently with this, the anxiety on information security and personal information leakage of the user of mobile electronic commerce significantly built up in recent. In this respect, the information security and personal information protection should be become aware of their importance for the sustainable expansion and development of mobile commerce. Based on the demands as mentioned, this study analyzed the effects of the awareness of personal information security on recognized risk, recognized confidence and intent to use. The result of this study indicates that information security and personal information protection contribute to improvement in confidence by decreasing anxiety and uncertainty related to mobile commerce. Reduction of anxiety and uncertainty implies a crucial point that affects psychological mechanism making intent to use higher.

Classification and consideration for the risk management in the planning phase of NPP decommissioning project

  • Gi-Lim Kim;Hyein Kim;Hyung-Woo Seo;Ji-Hwan Yu;Jin-Won Son
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.12
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    • pp.4809-4818
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    • 2022
  • The decommissioning project of a nuclear facility is a large-scale process that is expected to take about 15 years or longer. The range of risks to be considered is large and complex, then, it is expected that various risks will arise in decision-making by area during the project. Therefore, in this study, the risk family derived from the Decommissioning Risk Management (DRiMa) project was reconstructed into a decommissioning project risk profile suitable for the Kori Unit 1. Two criteria of uncertainty and importance are considered in order to prioritize the selected 26 risks of decommissioning project. The uncertainty is scored according to the relevant laws and decommissioning plan preparation guidelines, and the project importance is scored according to the degree to which it primarily affects the triple constraints of the project. The results of risks are divided into high, medium, and low. Among them, 10 risks are identified as medium level and 16 risks are identified as low level. 10 risks, which are medium levels, are classified in five categories: End state of decommissioning project, Management of waste and materials, Decommissioning strategy and technology, Legal and regulatory framework, and Safety. This study is a preliminary assessment of the risk of the decommissioning project that could be considered in the preparation stage. Therefore, we expect that the project risks considered in this study can be used as an initial data for reevaluation by reflecting the detail project progress in future studies.

Representing Fuzzy, Uncertain Evidences and Confidence Propagation for Rule-Based System

  • Zhang, Tailing
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Agricultural Machinery Conference
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.1254-1263
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    • 1993
  • Representing knowledge uncertainty , aggregating evidence confidences , and propagation uncertainties are three key elements that effect the ability of a rule-based expert system to represent domains with uncertainty . Fuzzy set theory provide a good mathematical tool for representing the vagueness associated with a variable when , as the condition of a rule , it only partially corresponds to the input data. However, the aggregation of ANDed and Ored confidences is not as simple as the intersection and union operators defined for fuzzy set membership. There is, in fact, a certain degree of compensation that occurs when an expert aggregates confidences associated with compound evidence . Further, expert often consider individual evidences to be varying importance , or weight , in their support for a conclusion. This paper presents a flexible approach for evaluating evidence and conclusion confidences. Evidences may be represented as fuzzy or nonfuzzy variables with as associat d degree of certainty . different weight can also be associated degree of certainty. Different weights can also be assigned to the individual condition in determining the confidence of compound evidence . Conclusion confidence is calculated using a modified approach combining the evidence confidence and a rule strength. The techniques developed offer a flexible framework for representing knowledge and propagating uncertainties. This framework has the potention to reflect human aggregation of uncertain information more accurately than simple minimum and maximum operator do.

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Application of an Adaptive Autopilot Design and Stability Analysis to an Anti-Ship Missile

  • Han, Kwang-Ho;Sung, Jae-Min;Kim, Byoung-Soo
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.78-83
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    • 2011
  • Traditional autopilot design requires an accurate aerodynamic model and relies on a gain schedule to account for system nonlinearities. This paper presents the control architecture applied to a dynamic model inversion at a single flight condition with an on-line neural network (NN) in order to regulate errors caused by approximate inversion. This eliminates the need for an extensive design process and accurate aerodynamic data. The simulation results using a developed full nonlinear 6 degree of freedom model are presented. This paper also presents the stability evaluation for control systems to which NNs were applied. Although feedback can accommodate uncertainty to meet system performance specifications, uncertainty can also affect the stability of the control system. The importance of robustness has long been recognized and stability margins were developed to quantify it. However, the traditional stability margin techniques based on linear control theory can not be applied to control systems upon which a representative non-linear control method, such as NNs, has been applied. This paper presents an alternative stability margin technique for NNs applied to control systems based on the system responses to an inserted gain multiplier or time delay element.

Repurchase intention toward fast fashion brands - Product characteristics, consumer characteristic, and cognitive dissonance - (패스트 패션 브랜드에 대한 재구매 의도 - 제품 특성, 소비자 특성, 인지부조화 -)

  • Jeon, Kyung Sook;Park, Hye-Jung
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.940-954
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the antecedents of repurchase intention toward fast fashion brands. Perceived quality, perceived price, deindividuation, and overly trendy styles, which are product characteristic variables, and fashion innovativeness, which is a consumer characteristic variable, were considered as antecedents. It was hypothesized that product and consumer characteristics influence repurchase intention toward fast fashion brands not only directly, but also indirectly through cognitive dissonance. Data were gathered by surveying university students in Seoul using convenience sampling. Three hundred and fifty-two questionnaires were used in the statistical analysis. SPSS was used for exploratory factor analysis, and AMOS was used for confirmatory factor analysis and path analysis. The factor analysis of product characteristics revealed four dimensions: "perceived quality", "perceived price", "deindividuation", and "overly trendy styles", and the factor analysis of consumer characteristics revealed one dimension. The factor analysis of cognitive dissonance revealed two dimensions, "regrets" and "perceived uncertainty." The hypothesized path test proved that perceived quality, deindividuation, overly trendy styles, and fashion innovativeness influence repurchase intention directly. Perceived price and deindividuation influence repurchase intention indirectly through the factor of cognitive dissonance, which is the perceived uncertainty, indicating the importance of cognitive dissonance. The results indicate effective marketing strategies should be used to decrease consumers' cognitive dissonance, and suggestions for future study are provided.