• Title/Summary/Keyword: uncertainty importance

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Window-Based Computer Code Package CONPAS for an Integrated Level 2 PSA

  • Ahn, Kwang-Il;Kim, See-Darl;Song, Yong-Mann;Jin, Young-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1996.05b
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    • pp.493-498
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    • 1996
  • A PC window-based computer code, CONPAS(CONtainment Performance Analysis System), has been developed to integrate the numerical, graphical and results-operation aspects of Level 2 probabilistic safety assessments (PSA) for nuclear power plants automatically. As a main logic for accident progression analysis, it employs a concept of the small containment phenomenological event tree(CPET) helpful to trace out visually individual accident progressions and of the large supporting event tree(LSET) for its detailed quantification. Compared with other existing computer codes for Level 2 PSA, the CONPAS code provides several advanced features: computational aspects including systematic uncertainty analysis, importance analysis, and sensitivity analysis, reporting aspects including tabling and graphic, and user-friend interface.

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An Exploratory Study on the Key Factors of Interfirm R&D Collaboration and the Influence of Trust (기업간 연구개발협력에 대한 영향요인과 신뢰의 효과성에 관한 고찰)

  • 전재욱
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 1999.06a
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    • pp.119-139
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    • 1999
  • The rapid development and diversification of technology require that firms should adjust and cope with a high degree of uncertainty. An alternative to these strategic responses is the recent increase in the number of R&D or technological collaborations among firms. There have been continuous researches into the causes and effects of these collaborative relationships, but there is a lack of research that examines the risks involved in the process of collaboration. The researches into essential prerequisites for a successful technological collaboration have remained at the superficial level despite the surge in demand of R&D collaboration. Therefore, this study proposes positive & negative factors affecting the R&D collaboration process and selection point. In addition, a further step in analysis is taken by integrating both the positive & negative factors. This study emphasizes the importance of inter-trust in activating the process factors within the success factors and reducing the possibility of risk factors.

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PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS FOR NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS - CURRENT PRACTICE FROM A EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVE

  • Klugel, Jens-Uwe
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.1243-1254
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    • 2009
  • The paper discusses the methodology and the use of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) for nuclear power plants from a European perspective. The increasing importance of risk-informed approaches in the nuclear oversight process observed in many countries has contributed to increasing attention to PSHA methods. Nevertheless significant differences with respect to the methodology of PSHA are observed in Europe. The paper gives an overview on actual projects and discusses the differences in the PSHA-methodology applied in different European countries. These differences are largely related to different approaches used for the treatment of uncertainties and to the use of experts. The development of a probabilistic scenario-based approach is identified as a meaningful alternative to the development of uniform hazard spectra or uniform confidence spectra.

RFID Implementation Readiness Model : Impact of Technology, Human, Vender, and Task Factors

  • Lim, Se-Hun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.71-87
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    • 2011
  • Currently, many companies are interested in (Radio Frequency Identification (RFID). Nonetheless, technical imperfection and the uncertainty of Return on Investment (ROD is discouraging the companies' intention to implement RFID. Accordingly, while a number of companies concede the efficiency of RFID, few of them expresses enthusiasm, making a rain check to adopt RFID. Moreover, the recent economic depression has down-sized the companies' investment on Information Technology (IT), subsequently hindering RFID implementation. In adopting RFID, the collaboration of supply chain is the most importance factor. Therefore, in implementing RFID, many companies reinforced collaboration of supply chain. Therefore, this study will focus on performing an analysis on several factors which influence the intention to adoption of RFID, such as the human factor, technology factor, vender factor and task factor. The results of this study will provide useful guidelines for RFID adoption strategy to Korean companies.

Simulation model-based evaluation of a survey program with reference to risk analysis

  • Chang, Ki-Yoon;Pak, Son-Il
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Research
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.159-164
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    • 2006
  • A stochastic simulation model incorporated with Reed-Frost approach was derived for evaluating diagnostic performance of a test used for a screening program of an infectious disease. The Reed-Frost model was used to characterize the within-herd spread of the disease using a hypothetical example. Specifically, simulation model was aimed to estimate the number infected animals in an infected herd, in which imperfect serologic tests are performed on samples taken from herds and to illustrate better interpreting survey results at herd-level when uncertainty inevitably exists. From a risk analysis point of view, model output could be appropriate in developing economic impact assessment models requiring probabilistic estimates of herd-level performance in susceptible populations. The authors emphasize the importance of knowing the herd-level diagnostic performance, especially in performing emergency surveys in which immediate control measures should be taken following the survey. In this context this model could be used in evaluating efficacy of a survey program and monitoring infection status in the area concerned.

The Benefits and Challenges of Interprofessional Education Assessment for Health Care Professionals

  • Tan, Celia Ia Choo;Jiang, Bo
    • Korean Medical Education Review
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.152-157
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    • 2017
  • Interprofessional education (IPE) fosters effective team-based collaborative practice among members of different health care professions to advance high-quality and safe patient care. Although the importance of IPE has been recognized and IPE initiatives have expanded rapidly in the past decades, substantial difficulties in IPE assessment still exist. At present, a lack of consensus on the optimal approach to IPE assessment contributes to uncertainty about the level of attainment of collaborative team performance. This paper aims to provide an overview of the benefits and current challenges associated with IPE assessment. Furthermore, a multifactor model with an assessment matrix and assessment blueprints from a recent study is briefly discussed. We also provide examples of assessment blueprints for the team management of stroke patient discharge covering a competency examination at the levels of individuals, the team, and the task.

Camera Calibration when the Accuracies of Camera Model and Data Are Uncertain (카메라 모델과 데이터의 정확도가 불확실한 상황에서의 카메라 보정)

  • Do, Yong-Tae
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2004
  • Camera calibration is an important and fundamental procedure for the application of a vision sensor to 3D problems. Recently many camera calibration methods have been proposed particularly in the area of robot vision. However, the reliability of data used in calibration has been seldomly considered in spite of its importance. In addition, a camera model can not guarantee good results consistently in various conditions. This paper proposes methods to overcome such uncertainty problems of data and camera models as we often encounter them in practical camera calibration steps. By the use of the RANSAC (Random Sample Consensus) algorithm, few data having excessive magnitudes of errors are excluded. Artificial neural networks combined in a two-step structure are trained to compensate for the result by a calibration method of a particular model in a given condition. The proposed methods are useful because they can be employed additionally to most existing camera calibration techniques if needed. We applied them to a linear camera calibration method and could get improved results.

Fuzzy Linguistic Variable Based Approach for Safety Assessment of Human Body in ELF Electromagnetic Field Considering Power System States (계통상태를 고려한 ELF 전자계의 인체안전평가를 위한 퍼지언어변수 접근법)

  • 김상철;김두현;고은영
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.70-79
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents a study on the fuzzy linguistic variable based approach for safety assessment of human body in ELF electromagnetic field considering power system states. To cope with the demand in modern industry, the power system becomes larger in scale, higher in voltage. The advent of high voltage system has increased the relative importance of field effects. The analysis of ELF electromagnetic field based on Quasi-Static Method is introduced while the power system is included to model the expected and/or unexpected uncertainty caused by the load fluctuation and parameter changes. In order to analyze the power system, Monte Carlo simulation method and contingency analysis method are adopted in normal state and alert state, respectively. In the safety assessment of human body, the approach based on fuzzy linguistic variable is employed to overcome the shortcomings resulting from a crisp set concept. The suggested scheme is applied to a sample system(modified IEEE 14 bus system) to validate the usefulness.

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A Study on the Degree of Influence of Technology by AHP (AHP를 이용한 기술기여도 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Chan;Han, Gwan-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.113-119
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    • 2006
  • The importance of intellectual property is increasing in the knowledge and information era. An organization that embraces technology and strategy is faced with promising opportunities and managerial difficulties. Forecasting the performance of technology and the underlying costs to achieve such performance is even more difficult than before. Those organizations that employ technology as part of their strategic arsenal know that they are running serious risks, which clearly increases the uncertainty of organizational performance. Therefore forecasting the performance of technology is a difficult task since technology has been characterized by intangible and tacit factors and traded in a supplier's market. The decision makers usually face a complex system of interrelated components, such as resources, desired outcomes or objectives. This study intends to evaluate the contribution of technology in intangible assets by the Analytic Hierarchy Process.

Construction performance assessment framework by means of construction simulation for earthwork operations

  • Kim, Yujin;Noh, Jaeyun;Ko, Yongho;Lee, Jaewoo;Han, Seungwoo
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.1194-1201
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    • 2022
  • The existing literature has witnessed the importance of productivity assessment and deducing factors affecting it. However, yet many models have shown limitations in practical applications in actual construction sites for process planning due to uncertainty and lack of data. This research presents a productivity assessment and database generation framework using simulation and compares the results with RSMeans to derive appropriate equipment combinations alternatives for earthwork operations. Data of 15 different conditions was collected from 5 different construction sites. Prediction accuracy above 90% were achieved for the simulation models with average error rate of 7.4%. The construction productivity assessment framework presented in this study is expected to be highly applicable to operation planning for earthwork operations.

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