• Title/Summary/Keyword: trust prediction

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A Study on the Prediction Analysis of Aviation Passenger Demand after Covid-19

  • Jin, Seong Hyun;Jeon, Seung Joon;Kim, Kyoung Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.147-153
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed the outlook for aviation demand for the recovery of the aviation industry, focusing on airlines facing difficulties in management due to the Covid-19 crisis. Although the timing of the recovery in aviation demand is uncertain at the moment, this study is based on prior research related to Covid-19 and forecasts by aviation specialists, and analyzed by SWOT technique to a group of aviation experts to derive and suggest implications for the prospects of aviation demand. Looking at the implications based on the analysis results, first, customer trust to prevent infection should be considered a top priority for recovering aviation demand. Second, promote reasonable air price policy. Finally, it seeks to try various research and analysis techniques to predict long-term aviation demand to overcome Covid-19.

A Prediction Model for Internet Game Addiction in Adolescents: Using a Decision Tree Analysis (의사결정나무 분석기법을 이용한 청소년의 인터넷게임 중독 영향 요인 예측 모형 구축)

  • Kim, Ki-Sook;Kim, Kyung-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.378-388
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: This study was designed to build a theoretical frame to provide practical help to prevent and manage adolescent internet game addiction by developing a prediction model through a comprehensive analysis of related factors. Methods: The participants were 1,318 students studying in elementary, middle, and high schools in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, Korea. Collected data were analyzed using the SPSS program. Decision Tree Analysis using the Clementine program was applied to build an optimum and significant prediction model to predict internet game addiction related to various factors, especially parent related factors. Results: From the data analyses, the prediction model for factors related to internet game addiction presented with 5 pathways. Causative factors included gender, type of school, siblings, economic status, religion, time spent alone, gaming place, payment to Internet cafe$\acute{e}$, frequency, duration, parent's ability to use internet, occupation (mother), trust (father), expectations regarding adolescent's study (mother), supervising (both parents), rearing attitude (both parents). Conclusion: The results suggest preventive and managerial nursing programs for specific groups by path. Use of this predictive model can expand the role of school nurses, not only in counseling addicted adolescents but also, in developing and carrying out programs with parents and approaching adolescents individually through databases and computer programming.

A Study on Explainable Artificial Intelligence-based Sentimental Analysis System Model

  • Song, Mi-Hwa
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.142-151
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, a model combined with explanatory artificial intelligence (xAI) models was presented to secure the reliability of machine learning-based sentiment analysis and prediction. The applicability of the proposed model was tested and described using the IMDB dataset. This approach has an advantage in that it can explain how the data affects the prediction results of the model from various perspectives. In various applications of sentiment analysis such as recommendation system, emotion analysis through facial expression recognition, and opinion analysis, it is possible to gain trust from users of the system by presenting more specific and evidence-based analysis results to users.

Electrostatic Prediction Embedded System based on PXA255 (PXA255 기반 정전기 예측 임베디드 시스템 개발)

  • Byeon, Chi-Nam;Kim, Kang-Chul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.406-409
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    • 2007
  • This paper proposes an algorithm that predicts current electrostatic charge in a factory. The algorithm based on LSM(Least Square Method) dynamically takes the number of sample while calculating the value of electrostatic charge. The simulation results show that the proposed algorithm gains 73.18161 standard deviation with 95% trust probability and is better than conventional algorithm. We design the electrostatic prediction embedded system based on pxa255 with the proposes algorithm.

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Characteristics of Women Who Have Had Cosmetic Breast Implants That Could Be Associated with Increased Suicide Risk: A Systematic Review, Proposing a Suicide Prevention Model

  • Manoloudakis, Nikolaos;Labiris, Georgios;Karakitsou, Nefeli;Kim, Jong B.;Sheena, Yezen;Niakas, Dimitrios
    • Archives of Plastic Surgery
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 2015
  • Literature indicates an increased risk of suicide among women who have had cosmetic breast implants. An explanatory model for this association has not been established. Some studies conclude that women with cosmetic breast implants demonstrate some characteristics that are associated with increased suicide risk while others support that the breast augmentation protects from suicide. A systematic review including data collection from January 1961 up to February 2014 was conducted. The results were incorporated to pre-existing suicide risk models of the general population. A modified suicide risk model was created for the female cosmetic augmentation mammaplasty candidate. A 2-3 times increased suicide risk among women that undergo cosmetic breast augmentation has been identified. Breast augmentation patients show some characteristics that are associated with increased suicide risk. The majority of women reported high postoperative satisfaction. Recent research indicates that the Autoimmune syndrome induced by adjuvants and fibromyalgia syndrome are associated with silicone implantation. A thorough surgical, medical and psycho-social (psychiatric, family, reproductive, and occupational) history should be included in the preoperative assessment of women seeking to undergo cosmetic breast augmentation. Breast augmentation surgery can stimulate a systematic stress response and increase the risk of suicide. Each risk factor of suicide has poor predictive value when considered independently and can result in prediction errors. A clinical management model has been proposed considering the overlapping risk factors of women that undergo cosmetic breast augmentation with suicide.

Explainable AI Application for Machine Predictive Maintenance (설명 가능한 AI를 적용한 기계 예지 정비 방법)

  • Cheon, Kang Min;Yang, Jaekyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.227-233
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    • 2021
  • Predictive maintenance has been one of important applications of data science technology that creates a predictive model by collecting numerous data related to management targeted equipment. It does not predict equipment failure with just one or two signs, but quantifies and models numerous symptoms and historical data of actual failure. Statistical methods were used a lot in the past as this predictive maintenance method, but recently, many machine learning-based methods have been proposed. Such proposed machine learning-based methods are preferable in that they show more accurate prediction performance. However, with the exception of some learning models such as decision tree-based models, it is very difficult to explicitly know the structure of learning models (Black-Box Model) and to explain to what extent certain attributes (features or variables) of the learning model affected the prediction results. To overcome this problem, a recently proposed study is an explainable artificial intelligence (AI). It is a methodology that makes it easy for users to understand and trust the results of machine learning-based learning models. In this paper, we propose an explainable AI method to further enhance the explanatory power of the existing learning model by targeting the previously proposedpredictive model [5] that learned data from a core facility (Hyper Compressor) of a domestic chemical plant that produces polyethylene. The ensemble prediction model, which is a black box model, wasconverted to a white box model using the Explainable AI. The proposed methodology explains the direction of control for the major features in the failure prediction results through the Explainable AI. Through this methodology, it is possible to flexibly replace the timing of maintenance of the machine and supply and demand of parts, and to improve the efficiency of the facility operation through proper pre-control.

A Study on XAI-based Clinical Decision Support System (XAI 기반의 임상의사결정시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Yoon-Ae;Cho, Han-Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2021
  • The clinical decision support system uses accumulated medical data to apply an AI model learned by machine learning to patient diagnosis and treatment prediction. However, the existing black box-based AI application does not provide a valid reason for the result predicted by the system, so there is a limitation in that it lacks explanation. To compensate for these problems, this paper proposes a system model that applies XAI that can be explained in the development stage of the clinical decision support system. The proposed model can supplement the limitations of the black box by additionally applying a specific XAI technology that can be explained to the existing AI model. To show the application of the proposed model, we present an example of XAI application using LIME and SHAP. Through testing, it is possible to explain how data affects the prediction results of the model from various perspectives. The proposed model has the advantage of increasing the user's trust by presenting a specific reason to the user. In addition, it is expected that the active use of XAI will overcome the limitations of the existing clinical decision support system and enable better diagnosis and decision support.

Churn Prediction Model using Logistic Regression (Logistic Regression을 이용한 이탈고객예측모형)

  • Jeong, Han-Na;Park, Hye-Jin;Kim, Nam-Hyeong;Jeon, Chi-Hyeok;Lee, Jae-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.324-328
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    • 2008
  • 금융산업에서 고객의 이탈비율은 기대수익에 영향을 미친다는 점에서 예측이 필요한 부분이며 최근 들어 정확한 예측을 통한 비용관리가 이루어지면서 고객 이탈을 예측하는 것이 중요한 문제로 떠오르고 있다. 그러나 보험 고객 데이터가 대용량이고 불균형한 출력 값을 갖는 특성으로 인해 기존의 방법으로 예측 모델을 만드는 것이 적합하지 않다. 본 연구에서는 대용량 데이터를 처리하는 데 효과적으로 알려져 있는 Trust-region Newton method를 적용한 로지스틱 회귀분석을 통해 이탈고객을 예측하는 것을 주된 연구로 하며, 불균형한 데이터에서의 예측정확도를 높이기 위해 Oversampling, Clustering, Boosting 등을 이용하여 고객 데이터에 적합한 이탈 고객 예측 모형을 제시하고자 한다.

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A Study on Thermal Deformation Volume of Motorcycle Brake Disk using Regression Analysis (회귀분석에 의한 모터싸이클 브레이크 디스크의 열변형량에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Mi-Ra;Byoun, Sang-Min;Park, Heung-Sik
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.102-107
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    • 2009
  • The thermal deformation volume of motorcycle break disk was studied using a disk-on-pad type friction tester. Thermal deformation volume of motorcycle break disk have an effect on the frictional factor such as applied load, sliding speed, sliding distance and number of ventilated disk hole. However, it is difficult to know the mutual relation of these factors on thermal deformation volume. In this study, the thermal deformation volume with ANSYS workbench are obtained by application of temperature from mechanical test. From this study, the result was shown that the motorcycle break disk with ventilated hole 3 have the most excellent thermal deformation characteristics. The regression equation with frictional factors which have a trust rate of 95% for prediction of thermal deformation volume of motorcycle break disk was composed.

Recommendation Technique using Social Network in Internet of Things Environment (사물인터넷 환경에서 소셜 네트워크를 기반으로 한 정보 추천 기법)

  • Kim, Sungrim;Kwon, Joonhee
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2015
  • Recently, Internet of Things (IoT) have become popular for research and development in many areas. IoT makes a new intelligent network between things, between things and persons, and between persons themselves. Social network service technology is in its infancy, but, it has many benefits. Adjacent users in a social network tend to trust each other more than random pairs of users in the network. In this paper, we propose recommendation technique using social network in Internet of Things environment. We study previous researches about information recommendation, IoT, and social IoT. We proposed SIoT_P(Social IoT Prediction) using social relationships and item-based collaborative filtering. Also, we proposed SR(Social Relationship) using four social relationships (Ownership Object Relationship, Co-Location Object Relationship, Social Object Relationship, Parental Object Relationship). We describe a recommendation scenario using our proposed method.