• 한국지역사회생활과학회지
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.247-255
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• 2011

This study analyzed the demand for a community-based tourism site using a poisson model, a negative binominal model, a truncated poisson model and a truncated negative binominal model as count data models. For these reasons, questionnaire surveys were conducted into 5 community-based tourism sites in Chuncheon city with 406 tourists, and was analyzed using the STATA program. The fitness levels of four models were significant(p=0.0000) using a likelihood ratio test. The study results suggest that the demand of community-based tourism sites for visiting tourists was influenced by a pre-visiting experience, recognition of sustainable tourism, visitation of downtown, purchase of souvenir or farm produce, conversation with regional residents, regional harmony, preservation of natural resources and sex within the poisson and truncated poisson models. However, the variables of visitation of downtown, preservation of natural resources and sex were not significant within the negative binominal model and the visitation of downtown and preservation of natural resources were not significant within the truncated negative binominal model. The results of the visiting demand of community-based tourism sites can provide information for sustainable regional development strategies.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.33-41
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• 2016

The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of boat fishing experience marine tourism activity in Jeju Island's Chagwido. The economic value is estimated as consumer surplus using count data models including the truncated Poisson model and the truncated negative binominal distribution model. This study collects the effective 504 questionnaires from boat fishing experience tourists in Jeju Island's Chagwido. The truncated negative binominal distribution model was statistically more suitable and valid than other models. The truncated negative binominal distribution model was applied to estimate consumer surplus as economic value from boat fishing experience tourism activity in Jeju Island's Chagwido. A consumer surplus value per trip was estimated as about 209,900 won. The annual economic value from boat fishing experience tourism activity was estimated as 273,700 won in Jeju Island's Chagwido. Consequently, boat fishing experience marine tourism activity has a very large economic value in Jeju Island.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제47권1호
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• pp.21-29
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• 2016

The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of skin scuba marine tourism activity in Jeju Island. The economic value is estimated as consumer surplus using count data models including the truncated Poisson model and the truncated negative binominal distribution model. This study collects the effective 369 questionnaires from skin scuba marine tourists through three times in Jeju Island. The truncated Poisson model was statistically more suitable and valid than other models. The truncated Poisson model was applied to estimate consumer surplus as economic value from skin scuba in Jeju Island. A consumer surplus value per trip was estimated as about 4,081,633 won. The annual economic value from skin scuba marine tourism activity was estimated as 8,428,571 won in Jeju Island. Consequently, skin scuba marine tourism activity has a very large economic value in Jeju Island.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.981-998
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• 2012

이 논문에서는 영산강 하구 방문객을 대상으로 하여 자연휴양지의 수요함수를 추정하여 방문 편익을 도출하기 위해 카운트 자료 모형(count data model)을 적용하였다. 여행지 방문객 자료의 속성을 고려할 때, 포와송 모형의 경우 평균과 분산이 동일하다는 제약적 가정에 의한 과도분산(overdispersion) 속성의 왜곡과 더불어 자료의 1에서 절단 속성을 고려하지 않는 경우의 왜곡이 문제가 된다. 실증 분석 결과에 따르면 방문객 자료의 속성은 반영하는 절단 음이항(truncated negative binomial) 모형이 고려한 모형 중에서 최적이고, 그 모형에 의해 도출된 영산강 하구 1회 방문 편익(즉, 소비자 잉여)는 전라권 거주자들의 경우 89,350원이며, 비전라권 거주자의 경우는 432,526원으로 전라권 거주자의 4.8배 수준이었다. 또한 과도분산의 속성을 반영하지 못하는 포와송 모형으로부터 추정된 영산강 하구의 방문 편익(소비자 잉여)은 과소평가되며, 절단의 속성을 고려하지 못하는 경우의 모형으로부터 추정된 영산강 하구의 방문 편익은 과대평가되는 경향도 확인할 수 있었다. 그러므로 단일 휴양지 방문객에 대한 자료로부터 여행수요 함수 및 방문 편익을 추정하기 위해서는 절단 음이항 회귀모형이 적용되어야 한다.