• 제목/요약/키워드: trend analysis

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낙동강 유역의 과거 및 미래 강우자료에 대한 다양한 비모수적 경향성 검정 기법의 적용 (The Application of Various Non-parametric Trend Tests to Observed and Future Rainfall Data in the Nakdong River Basin)

  • 김상욱;이영섭;이철응
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.223-235
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    • 2014
  • 최근 기후변화가 미래 수문자료에 미칠 수 있는 영향을 예측하기 위한 다양한 기법이 개발 및 적용되고 있으며, 과거 및 미래 수문자료의 경향성을 파악하고 비교하기 위한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 경향성 분석은 크게 모수적 검정과 비모수적 검정으로 구분될 수 있으나, 수문자료의 특성에 의해 비모수적 검정이 유리한 경우가 대부분이다. 본 연구에서도 낙동강 유역에서 수집된 과거 및 미래 강우량의 경향성 분석을 위해 비모수적 검정 중 MK 검정과 SR 검정을 사용하였다. 또한 본 연구에서는 경향성 분석 절차의 사전절차로 PW 기법과 TFPW 기법을 적용하고 비교함으로써, 자료의 사전처리가 최종 결과에 통계적으로 유의한 영향을 미칠수 있음을 제시하였다. 특히 SMK 기법을 적용하여 낙동강 유역의 강우자료의 경향성이 시작되는 시기를 추가로 분석하였다. 과거 강우자료의 분석결과 년총강우량은 대부분 증가하는 경향을 보였으며, 4월과 5월 그리고 9월과 10월 사이를 기점으로 강우패턴이 변화됨을 알 수 있었으며, 미래 강우자료의 분석결과 기후변화가 심해짐에 따라 경향성이 시작되는 시기가 수개월씩 빨라짐을 알 수 있었다. 이와 같은 연구결과는 향후 기후변화와 관련된 연구의 기초자료로 제공될 수 있으며, 낙동강 유역의 수자원 관리와 계획의 수립에 있어 효과적으로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

외식.조리 관련 연구의 동향 분석 (A Study on Trend Analysis in Hospitality - related Study)

  • 나태균;이선호;박인수
    • 한국조리학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.155-170
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    • 2004
  • In a study, the selection of a relevant methodology cannot be determined without an effort First of all, the philosophical view or understanding of the nature of a study area will be agreed, based on which a series of judgment will be performed on a process identifying a foundation or a validity of a knowledge. The findings are as follows. First, it analyzed the trend of food serviceㆍculinary art-related studies by subject and examined its awareness. The most studies are related to trend analysisㆍfood service, 104 papers, following by financial and strategic fulfillment, 76 papers. Service quality and customer-related studies are 38, individual and organization-related studies are 31 papers, education training 18 papers, while legal review are only 2 papers. Second, for trend analysis and awareness on study methodology, research study is at the first, 39%, following by literature study, 38.7%. Most studies are performed research and literature studies together.

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DEVS 모델링을 이용한 보안제품 공동평가 통계 (Common Criteria of statistics using DEVS Modeling)

  • 이기성;김태경;서희석
    • 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2010
  • This thesis is purposed on developing security product co-evaluation statistics administrate program which is can administrate or analysis CC accreditation product using by DEVS modeling via portal site of member of CCRA. Via developing security product evaluation statistics administrate program, it can analysis the trend of all countries of the world in many ways, and noticed the ways of evaluation and accreditation of most countries via scheme analysis. Except this, it can analysis the situation of accreditation trend of any countries via data analysis of ICCC 2009. Also, For trend analysis to evaluation technique of CCRA member, it analyzed up to date technology and policy of the evaluation organization and the Certification Authority of most countries. And it peformed analysis the most trend of information security of evaluation authorization in CCRA member countries. In this program, It provide the function of trend statistics analysis which can statically analyzed the evaluation accreditation trends of most countries and automatical statistics by categorization ( by Product, Class and statistics in national) and report creation functions which can easily extraction and use the needed data. It has been updated the related informations until latest accredited product using by CC(Common Criteria) portal home page's data.

Technical note: Estimation of Korean industry-average initiating event frequencies for use in probabilistic safety assessment

  • Kim, Dong-San;Park, Jin Hee;Lim, Ho-Gon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.211-221
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    • 2020
  • One fundamental element of probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) is the initiating event (IE) analysis. Since IE frequencies can change over time, time-trend analysis is required to obtain optimized IE frequencies. Accordingly, such time-trend analyses have been employed to estimate industry-average IE frequencies for use in the PSAs of U.S. nuclear power plants (NPPs); existing PSAs of Korean NPPs, however, neglect such analysis in the estimation of IE frequencies. This article therefore provides the method for and results of estimating Korean industry-average IE frequencies using time-trend analysis. It also examines the effects of the IE frequencies obtained from this study on risk insights by applying them to recently updated internal events Level 1 PSA models (at-power and shutdown) for an OPR-1000 plant. As a result, at-power core damage frequency decreased while shutdown core damage frequency increased, with the related contributions from each IE category changing accordingly. These results imply that the incorporation of time-trend analysis leads to different IE frequencies and resulting risk insights. The IE frequency distributions presented in this study can be used in future PSA updates for Korean NPPs, and should be further updated themselves by adding more recent data.

Analysis of Laughter Therapy Trend Using Text Network Analysis and Topic Modeling

  • LEE, Do-Young
    • 웰빙융합연구
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.33-37
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aims to understand the trend and central concept of domestic researches on laughter therapy. For the analysis, this study used total 72 theses verified by inputting the keyword 'laughter therapy' from 2007 to 2021. Research design, data and methodology: This study performed the development and analysis of keyword co-occurrence network, analyzed the types of researches through topic modeling, and verified the visualized word cloud and sociogram. The keyword data that was cleaned through preprocessing, was analyzed in the method of centrality analysis and topic modeling through the 1-mode matrix conversion process by using the NetMiner (version 4.4) Program. Results: The keywords that most appeared for last 14 years were laughter therapy, depression, the elderly, and stress. The five topics analyzed in thesis data from 2007 to 2021 were therapy, cognitive behavior, quality of life, stress, and the elderly. Conclusions: This study understood the flow and trend of research topics of domestic laughter therapy for last 14 years, and there should be continuous researches on laughter therapy, which reflects the flow of time in the future.

모의실험을 이용한 경향성 분석기법의 검정력 평가 (Power Test of Trend Analysis using Simulation Experiment)

  • 류용준;신홍준;김수영;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.219-227
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    • 2013
  • 수문시계열 자료에 변동성, 도약성, 경향성, 주기성 등이 있으면 이러한 자료는 일반적으로 비정상성을 가지며, 특히 경향성 판단을 통한 다양한 방법들이 제시되어 왔다. 그러나 다양한 방법 간의 검정능력에 대한 평가는 많이 이루어지지 않았으며, 그로인해 동일 자료에 대한 다른 방법의 적용으로 반대의 결과가 나오는 경우도 발생하게 된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 통계적 특성에 따른 경향성 분석의 변화를 파악하고, 경향성 분석방법 간의 검정능력을 파악해 보았다. 이를 위해 경향성 분석기법인 Mann-Kendall 검정, Hotelling-Pabst 검정, t 검정, Sen 검정을 적용하였으며 기울기, 표본크기, 표준편차에 따라 다양한 모의실험을 수행하였다. 그 결과 t 검정이 다른 검정에 비해 상대적으로 높은 검정력을 보였고, Mann-Kendall 검정, Hotelling-Pabst 검정, Sen 검정은 비슷한 결과를 보였다.

소재 트렌드를 표현하는 소재 가공 분석 - 10년간(1995~2004) 봄.여름용 여성복 소재를 중심으로 - (A Study on the Analysis of Fabric Trend Terms and Finishing - Women's Wear Fabrics for Spring/Summer Seasons for 10 Years(1995~2004) -)

  • 김동운;박정희
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.217-224
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    • 2007
  • This paper investigated spring/summer fabric trends of women's and analyzed the correlation between the fabric trends and finishing for 10 years (1995 S/S-2004 S/S). Fabric trend terms were selected from 5 fashion journals and were grouped by hierarchical cluster analysis using SPSS 12.0 statistical package. Also, finishing terms were selected and analyzed by frequency. The results showed that 13 representative fabric trend terms were clean, functional, lustrous, compact, rubbery, comfortable, chic, romantic, decorative, natural, fluid, textured, and ethnic trend. In terms of fabric finishing, 12 representative finishing were selected such as coating, calendaring, wrinkle finishing, decorative finishing, quilting, and washing. Finally, in respect of the analysis of fabric trends and finishing, washing and embroidery were used to represent ethnic trends and textured fabric was closely correlated wrinkle and decorative finishing. Fluid fabrics were expressed via wrinkle and coating and washing and wrinkle were used for natural feeling. Decorative fabric was expressed by embroidery and coating and decorative finishing were frequently used to show romantic and chic fabric. Also comfortable fabrics were correlated with easy care and rubbery, compact, lustrous, and clean fabrics were correlated with coating.

2000년 이후 인테리어 데코레이션 트랜드의 언어심상에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Verbal Image of Interior Decoration Trend from the Year 2000)

  • 김주연;한효정;이혜경
    • 한국실내디자인학회논문집
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.238-246
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    • 2006
  • Recent trends of interior design have a focus on creation of more various meanings rather than past ideology which sought after the compatibility to the function of modem design. These trends requires integral understanding of social and cultural ideologies with a sens of values for a certain periods. In addition, they also require creativity which able to read, find and solve consumer's diverse demand and desire. Considering the effort of trend forecasting in Korea is still heavily rely on the foreign trend shows, it is natural to attempt to study the analytical forecasting methodology based upon more systematic principles which lead to more objective outcome, when the understanding, forcasting and analysis of interior decoration trend are required. In this thesis, the analysis and forecasting of interior decoration trend are studied by means of verbal image code process which involves the induction of design concept through data extraction, classification and analysis, in order to understanding and satisfying the diversified consumer's demand and trend. The coding process of verbal image is understanding as general concept. by extracting common elements from abstract and individual image, and/or specific concept. Therefore, it is proposed that the database building and data mining process of verbal Image, and subsequent development of programming skill can be applied as more efficient tool for various verbal image process.

섬유 신소재 개발 Trend에 대한 고찰 (An Analysis of New Textile Material Developmental Trend)

  • 이유경;김순심
    • 한국농촌생활과학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.11-24
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    • 1995
  • The new textile materials may be defined as textile materials different from already existing ones in the physical and chemical structure, manufacturing process, or end-use property. The present time what is called the post-industrial society is characterized by rapid change and new technology. Also, textile materials have been changed rapidly and diversely in the post-industrial society than in any other periods. The study aimed to analyze the trend of new tektite materials development in Korea and to forecast the development trend in the future. To investigate the trend of new textile materials, various written materials and informations were collected from the manufacturers, textile related periodicals, and research journals, and they were analyzed. The period of analysis was from January 1992 to May 1995. The results of this research are as followings : (1) Mixed textile materiasl such as bicomponent fiber, blended yam and blended fabric were increased. (2) High technology has an important effect upon new textile material development. (3) functional textile materials were increased (4) The high value-added products were increased. (5) The naturalized textile materials were increased.

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