• Title/Summary/Keyword: travel demand model

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The Utilization Probability Model of Expressway Service Area based on Individual Travel Behaviors Using Vehicle Trajectory Data (차량궤적자료를 활용한 통행행태 기반 고속도로 휴게소 이용 확률 모형 개발)

  • Bang, DaeHwan;Lee, YoungIhn;Chang, HyunHo;Han, DongHee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.63-75
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    • 2018
  • A Service Area plays an important role in preventing accidents in advance by creating a space for long distance drivers or drowsy drivers to rest. Therefore, proper positioning of the expressway service area is essential, and it is important to analyze accurate demand forecasting and user travel behavior. Thus, this study analysis travel behavior and developed odel of the probability of using the service area by using the DSRC data collected by the RSE on the highway. According to the analysis, the usage behavior of highway service areas was most frequently when travel time was 90 minutes or more on weekdays and 70 minutes or more on weekends. The utilization rate of the service area estimated from the probability model of use of the rest area in this study was 1 % to 2 % error. The results of this study are meaningful in analyzing the behavior of the use of rest areas using the structured data and can be used as a differentiated strategy for selecting the location of rest areas and enhancing the service level of users.

A Study on the Comparison of Air Pollutants Emissions according to Three Averaging Methods of Vehicular Travel Speed (자동차 평균통행속도 적용방식에 따른 대기오염 배출량 비교 연구)

  • Cho Kyu-Tak
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.401-411
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    • 2005
  • This study was conducted to develop a method to be able to estimate the vehicular emissions according to spatial scales-Seoul province, 25 counties and hundreds of grids $(1km{\times}1km)$. First, the emissions at each spatial scale was calculated by using the road network and the travel volume and speed of each link modeled by travel demand model (TDM). Second, the emission at each spatial scale was calculated on the basis of average speeds estimated by using three kinds of averaging method. These are called the provincial, volume-delay function (VDF) and zonal method, respectively. Third, three kinds of emissions and those by TDM are compared each other at three spatial scales. In Seoul (provincial scale), three kinds of emissions are less than those by TDM, but the differences of TDM from three speed averaging methods (SAMs) are small. The relative ratios of three SAMs to TDM are $88\~90\%\;in\;CO,\;99\~100\%\;in\;NOx,\;84\~85\%$ in VOCs. At county scale, NOx among three pollutants showed the highest correlation between TDM and three SAMs and the zonal method among three SAMs was proven to be the highest correlation with TDM. NOx showed the coefficients $(R^2)$ greater than 0.9 in all three SAMs but CO and VOC showed the coefficients $(R^2)$ greater than 0.9 in only zonal method. Slopes of co..elations of all pollutants showed the values close to '1' in zonal method. In the other two SAMs, slopes of NOx showed the values close to '1', but those of CO and VOC showed the values less than 0.85. At grid scale, correlations between TDM and three SAMs were not high. CO showed $0.68\~0.77\;in\;R^2s\;and\;58\~0.68$ in slopes. NOx showed $0.90\~0.94\;in\;R^2s\;and\;0.86\~0.94$ in slopes. VOC showed $0.56\~0.70\;in\;R^2s\;and\;0.48\~0.57$ in slopes. There are not high correlations between TDM and three SAMs in grid scale. This study showed that there is the most suitable method for calculating the average travel speed at each spatial scale and it is thought that the zonal method is more suitable than the VDF or provincial method.

A Study on the Reasonable Standard of Location;allocation for a new administrative center in provincial area (광역지방행정중심지(廣域地方行政中心地)의 선정(選定)을 위한 합리적(合理的) 입지기준(立地基準)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Yoon, Jun-Sang
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 1998
  • The objectives of the study were 1) to make the reasonable standard, 2) to select the objective and scientific method and process for the location-allocation of a new provincial capital city. The Main standard of location-allocation were suggested as follows ; 1) Integration of province 2) Convenience of Administration service 3) Accomodations of new provincial capital city 4) Balanced development by region. The validity of location-allocation were reviewed the population potentials and nodal accessibilities. The population potential was examined to find the maximum point of administrative demand, and the locationallocation model was examined to find the minimum point of the aggregated travel-cost to a proposed provincial government office. The nodal accessibilities measured in travel-time distance and actual values. Two major concerns in locating public facilities are efficiency and equity.

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Novel online routing algorithms for smart people-parcel taxi sharing services

  • Van, Son Nguyen;Hong, Nhan Vu Thi;Quang, Dung Pham;Xuan, Hoai Nguyen;Babaki, Behrouz;Dries, Anton
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.220-231
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    • 2022
  • Building smart transportation services in urban cities has become a worldwide problem owing to the rapidly increasing global population and the development of Internet-of-Things applications. Traffic congestion and environmental concerns can be alleviated by sharing mobility, which reduces the number of vehicles on the road network. The taxi-parcel sharing problem has been considered as an efficient planning model for people and goods flows. In this paper, we enhance the functionality of a current people-parcel taxi sharing model. The adapted model analyzes the historical request data and predicts the current service demands. We then propose two novel online routing algorithms that construct optimal routes in real-time. The objectives are to maximize (as far as possible) both the parcel delivery requests and ride requests while minimizing the idle time and travel distance of the taxis. The proposed online routing algorithms are evaluated on instances adapted from real Cabspotting datasets. After implementing our routing algorithms, the total idle travel distance per day was 9.64% to 12.76% lower than that of the existing taxi-parcel sharing method. Our online routing algorithms can be incorporated into an efficient smart shared taxi system.

Forecasting of Motorway Path Travel Time by Using DSRC and TCS Information (DSRC와 TCS 정보를 이용한 고속도로 경로통행시간 예측)

  • Chang, Hyun-ho;Yoon, Byoung-jo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.1033-1041
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    • 2017
  • Path travel time based on departure time (PTTDP) is key information in advanced traveler information systems (ATIS). Despite the necessity, forecasting PTTDP is still one of challenges which should be successfully conquered in the forecasting area of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). To address this problem effectively, a methodology to dynamically predict PTTDP between motorway interchanges is proposed in this paper. The method was developed based on the relationships between traffic demands at motorway tollgates and PTTDPs between TGs in the motorway network. Two different data were used as the input of the model: traffic demand data and path travel time data are collected by toll collection system (TCS) and dedicated short range communication (DSRC), respectively. The proposed model was developed based on k-nearest neighbor, one of data mining techniques, in order for the real applications of motorway information systems. In a feasible test with real-world data, the proposed method performed effectively by means of prediction reliability and computational running time to the level of real application of current ATIS.

A Bike Mode Share Estimation Model and Analysis of the Bike Demand Factor Effects (자전거 수단분담률 추정모형 구축 및 자전거 수요요인분석)

  • Lee, Gyu-Jin;Choe, Gi-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.145-155
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    • 2010
  • As the green transportation mode, revitalization of bike usage attracts remarkable public attention. For the acquirement of effective outcome, however, the concrete and close analysis about bike utilization characteristics should be arranged first. One result by MLTM(2009) is support this opinion; the bike mode share has been decreased whereas 9,170km of the bicycle path was improved(1995~2007). This study analyzed the bike mode share classified by trip types by using the 303,308 data of Household Travel Survey of Seoul Metropolitan Area, 2006. The highest mode share rate was induced by the institute attendee and Officetel resident as 3.75% and 3.13%, respectively. Also this study established the bike mode share estimation model of Seoul by logistic regression, and analyzed related factors and level of effectiveness related bike demand by calculation of odds ratio in terms of logistic regression coefficients. In conclusion, short trips, institutes district, parks, and Officetel residential area oriented policy should be effective on the revitalization of bike usage.

Parameter Estimation of Gravity Model by using Transit Smart Card Data (대중교통 카드를 이용한 중력모형 파라메타 추정)

  • Kim, Dae-Seong;Lim, Yong-Taek;Eom, Jin-Ki;Lee, Jun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.1799-1810
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    • 2011
  • Origin-Destination(OD) trip survey being used in travel demand forecasting has been obtained through totalizing process with direct sample survey techniques such as plate license survey, roadside interview, household travel survey, and cordon line counts. However, the OD survey has many discrepancies in sampling, totalizing process, and such discrepancies contains problems of difference between forecasted traffic volume and observed data. On the other hand, transit smart card data recently collected has credible resource of obtaining travel information for bus and metro. This paper presents parameter estimation of gravity model by using transit smart card data. Through the parameter estimation method, we estimated =0.57, ${\beta}$=0.14 of gravity model for bus, and ${\alpha}$=-0.21, ${\beta}$=0.05 for metro. The statistical test such as T-test, coefficient of correlation, Theil`s inequality coefficient showed no difference between observed volume and estimated volume. Elasticities of bus and metro derived in this paper are also reasonable.

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Estimation of Operating Cost and Efficiency of the Introduction of Urban Subway (대중교통 운영비용계수 추정 및 도시철도 도입 효율성 검토)

  • Park, Jun-Sik;Oh, Dong-Kyu;Kho, Seung-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2008
  • This study extended Park et al.(2007c), which analyzed the efficiency of a hierarchical transit network, showed the result of a real data, and analyzed its applicability. Operating cost was estimated using a model which was established in this study, and minimum transit demand was derived from the operating cost. The minimum transit demand value is just a sample calculation, thus it varies by many inside and outside factors of the model. Looking at the inside of the model, operating cost and travel speed are major factors, and the possibility of introducing urban subway becomes high when the operating cost of the transit system is low and its travel speed is high. As far as the outside factors are concerned, according to the analysis on the network structure, transit demand, and transit mode share, the minimum transit demand value which was derived in this study will be the maximum value among the possible values. In the feasibility study, the benefit is likely to be overestimated and the cost is likely to be underestimated than those of this study. It could be concluded that the methodology of a feasibility study is appropriate in the field standard. This study analyzed the efficiency of introduction of urban subway using analytical approach, thus has many shortcomings and limitations. However the practical approach, like feasibility study, has some limitations as well. This study could be a basis on establishing an analysis framework that is more accurate and reasonable by comparing analytical approach and practical approach.

A Study on Data Preprocessing for the Activity-Travel Simulator: A Case of FEATHERS Seoul (활동기반 시뮬레이터 입력 자료의 전처리 방안에 대한 연구: FEATHERS Seoul을 사례로)

  • Cho, Sungjin;Hwang, Jeong Hwan;Bellemans, Tom;Kochan, Bruno;Lee, Won Do;Choi, Keechoo;Joh, Chang-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.531-543
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    • 2014
  • Research on activity-based travel demand forecasting and activity-travel simulator has received an international attention for the last two decades. Ways to develop the activity-based simulator may be manifold. It is obvious that importing an existing simulator that has been proven internationally likely reduces the development cost and the risk of failure. By definition of the activity-based approach, however, the details of an activity-based simulator inevitably relies on particular social, economic and cultural characteristics of the society where the simulator is developed. When importing such a simulator from overseas, the researcher should be aware of the importance of tuning the system for the society to which the imported system is applied. There are many potential works on this, including for example the tuning of data structure that is likely different form of the original system. The authors are yet aware of certain research on those. The current paper aims to report the result of transforming the input data for applying the existing activity-travel simulator to Seoul. The paper first introduces FEATHERS that was developed in Belgium having Albatross which is the core of system. FEATHERS Seoul that is under development and modified version of the original FEATHERS is briefly described and the related problems are discussed. The paper then explored to resolve and to alleviate such problems.

Analysis of Catchment Area of Seoul Metropolitan Express Train (수도권 광역급행철도 도입에 따른 철도역 영향권 산정 연구)

  • Lee, Jang-Ho;Lee, Inhee;Jin, Woo-Jeong
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2014
  • For the demand analysis of Metropolitan Train Express project, the catchment area of station should be reevaluated considering the journey speed of it. In this paper, we estimated travel mode choice model using stated preference data including Seoul metropolitan express train and compared the parameters of access/egress travel time between existing metro and Seoul metropolitan express train. The parameter of Seoul metropolitan express train is 2.5 times smaller than that of existing metro. Consequently, the catchment area can be expanded in same proportion. It can be concluded that the result of demand forecasting can be increased by 10% accommodating the expanded catchment area.