• Title/Summary/Keyword: transportation demand forecasting

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A Study on the Trip Assignment Model for GIS Transportation Component Development (GIS 교통 컴포넌트 개발을 위한 통행배정모형 구축)

  • Lee, Kyung-So;Rhee, Sung-Mo;Kim, Chang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.8 no.1 s.15
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    • pp.65-72
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    • 2000
  • Travel demand forecasting is the important process of transportation policy and planning, especially trip assignment is also important because it finds deficiency of network GIS can be applied to transportation due to its various merits. Recently Program development environment is changed to component-based and transportation-component is necessary. This study evolves in implementing trip assignment model with GIS and tries to apply the system to the Cheongju City.

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A Study on Transportation Systems of Container Cargoes in Busan Port (부산항 컨테이너 화물수송체계에 관한 연구)

  • 오석기;오윤표;윤칠용
    • Journal of Korean Port Research
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to improve the strategies for transportation systems of container cargoes in Busan port. Therefore, container cargoes forecasting is done through logistic methods based on past trends. In 2011, container cargoes demand was forecasted 8.791 million TEU(T/S including 12.559 million TEU). In order to improve transportation systems of container cargoes, the conclusions of this study can be summarized as follows ; \circled1 port facilities expansion, \circled2 diversity of container transport modes, \circled3 make up ICD and exclusive container roads, \circled4 the second Seoul-Busan Expressway.

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Compensation and Amendment of Highway Travel Demand Forecasting (고속도로 교통수요 보정모형에 관한 고찰)

  • Lee, Eui-Jun;Kim, Young-Sun;Yi, Yong-Ju;OH, Young-Tae;Choi, Keechoo;Yu, Jeong Whon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.86-95
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    • 2013
  • In this study, a model of compensation and amendment of forecasted travel demand was developed to calculate the range of values depends on the changes in the risk factors, selecting factors that might affect traffic demand changes among risk factors. Selected factors are as follows: influenced area population, the number of registrated vehicle per person, ratio of service industry workers, and city intervals. Then this model is applied to six routes of expressway and the calculated value were compensated with error rate being reflected on each quartile value with respect to influenced area population (200,000 people standards). Result from appling developed model to Cheongwon-Sangju expressway suggests that the model could compensate the error rate by more than 50%, which in turn validate the effectiveness of the model developed. Some limitations and future research agenda have also been identified.

Suggesting a Demand Forecasting Technique Explicitly Considering Transfers In Light Rail Transit Protect Analysis (신교통수단 건설사업에 있어 환승을 반영한 교통수요 예측기법)

  • Kim, Ik-Gi;Han, Geun-Su;Bang, Hyeong-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.3 s.89
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    • pp.197-205
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    • 2006
  • The study suggested a demand forecasting method which explicitly reflects transfer between various transport modes especially related light rail transit project with multi-modal transit system. The suggested method classifies several groups depending on characteristic of trips and applies different demand model for each group to explain travel pattern more realistically More specifically. the trips was classified by trips within the LRT route, trips between inside and outside of the LRT route. and through trips via the LRT route. The study also suggested a evaluation measurement of time saving due to the LRT construction, which are consistent along with the do-case and the do-nothing-case even though some mode shift could be happen after introducing the LRT.

Estimating Walk Access and Auto Access Ridership for Transit Demand Forecast (대중교통수요예측을 위한 보행접근 및 승용차접근 잠재수요의 추정)

  • Yun, Seong-Soon;Yun, Dae-Sic
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.43-55
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a new method for estimating potential transit ridership residential population and number of employees that have accesses to transit services. A standard procedure that can be used to determine transit accessibility by pedestrians ad automobiles are developed to improve its transit demand forecasting capability. The analysis results are compared with those from the traditional buffer method as well as the network ratio method. It was found that the proposed method is more accurate than the traditional methods. The new method can be used to better estimate the "Walk Access" transit trips and "Auto Access" transit trips in the Mode Choice Model.

Air Pollution Forecasting Using Urban Transportation Planning Models and Air Pollution Dispersion Models (都市交通計劃 모델과 大氣汚染 擴散모델을 이용한 都市地域 大氣汚染 豫測)

  • 董宗仁;趙康來;金良均;兪 浣
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 1986
  • Motor vehicle related air pollution has become more serious because of rapid increase of number of cars, specially in the urban area. The increase trend seems to be accelerated, however, the fact is that road conditions, parking facilities and traffic control systems are far behind coping with this situation. In spite of the lack of related basic data, urban transportation planning (UPT) and air pollution dispersion models were applied to predict air pollution level. In standard UPT model, trip generation, distribution, modal split and network assignment were estimated by experimental equations and appropriate models. The air pollution level in the central business area was believed to be higher and it will increase continuously due to the increase of traffic demand. To meet this situation, air pollution problem should be considered as a part of integrated plannings of urban plans or transportation plans as well as more stringent motor vehicle emission standards, have to be enforced.

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경영정책지원 시스템의 실행방안

  • 김연민
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.1
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 1984
  • This paper deals with the case study of the establishment of decision supporting system in shipbuilding industory. Facts or information of shipbuilding, sales, finance, production strategic planning in shipbuilding industry are considered. General transportation model for shipyard production schedule is formulated, and shipbuilding demand forecasting scheme is also introduced. This paper shows the several methods of DSS in shipbuilding industry. But production schedule strategic planning system by OR technique is emphasized. For the realization of DSS in shipbuilding industry, another efforts (data gathering and programming etc.) should be given on the basis of these methods.

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Optimal Design Of Multisite Batch-Storage Network under Scenario Based Demand Uncertainty (다수의 공장을 포함하는 불확실한 수요예측하의 회분식 공정-저장조 망의 최적설계)

  • 이경범;이의수;이인범
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.537-544
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    • 2004
  • An effective methodology is reported for determining the optimal lot size of batch processing and storage networks which include uncertain demand forecasting. We assume that any given storage unit can store one material type which can be purchased from suppliers, internally produced, infernally consumed, transported to or from other sites and/or sold to customers. We further assume that a storage unit is connected to all processing and transportation stages that consume/produce or move the material to which that storage unit is dedicated. Each processing stage transforms a set of feedstock materials or intermediates into a set of products with constant conversion factors. A batch transportation process can transfer one material or multiple materials at once between sites. The objective for optimization is to minimize the probability averaged total cost composed of raw material procurement, processing setup, transportation setup and inventory holding costs as well as the capital costs of processing stages and storage units. A novel production and inventory analysis formulation, the PSW(Periodic Square Wave) model, provides useful expressions for the upper/lower bounds and average level of the storage inventory. The expressions for the Kuhn-Tucker conditions of the optimization problem can be reduced to two sub-problems. The first yields analytical solutions for determining lot sires while the second is a separable concave minimization network flow subproblem whose solution yields the average material flow rates through the networks for the given demand forecast scenario. The result of this study will contribute to the optimal design and operation of the global supply chain.

A Study on the Traffic Assignment Considering Unsignalized Intersection Delay (비신호 교차로 지체를 반영한 통행배정 기초연구)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Park, Sang-Hyuk;Hong, Yung-Sung;Kim, Jin-Sun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2010
  • This study deals with the unsignalized intersection delay in the urban transportation demand forecasting. The objectives are to develop the unsignalized intersection delay models and to comparatively analyze the applicability of the above models. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to simulating by KHCS program and implementing the case study of Cheongju using EMME/2. The major findings are the followings. First, the 8 unsignalized intersection delay models were developed through 480 simulating results, which are all statistically significant. Second, the estimates by the unsignalized delay models were analyzed to be most fitted to the observed traffic volume data.

An Analysis on the Impact of New Route for Multimodal Transport Routes (복합운송경로상에서 신규경로가 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hwan-Seong;Ganbat, Enkhtsetseg;Kim, Eun-Ji
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.239-240
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to clarify current situation of transportation flow and determine to demand forecasting in new route between Korea and Mongolia. By follows the mongolia government information, there will be open 5 new routes in nearest 10 years. Thus, this study purpose is determining the efficiency way by consider time and cost factors for new route between Korea and Mongolia.

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