• Title/Summary/Keyword: traffic demand estimation

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Point-to-point traffic demand optimization using trunk-group and office measurements (중계선군 및 국 총합 측정 데이타를 이용한 단대단 수요트래픽 추정 최적화 기법 연구)

  • 이선우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1994.04a
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 1994
  • 본 논문은 통신망 설계/성능분석 및 동적라우팅(Dynamic Routing)등 통신망 제반 요소기술의 기초자료가 되는 단대단 수요트래픽의 최적값을 찾는 방법 에 관한 것으로, 기본 알고리듬은 ITC 13차에서 발표되어 속도가 빠르고 메 모리절약 기법이 뛰어난 것으로 평가되고 있는 PPDEA-HM(Point-to-Point Demand Estimation Algorithm using Hopfield Model)을 이용하였다. 이 알 고리듬은 망의 소통율에 따라 성능에 차이가 나므로 이 점을 보완한 MPPDEA-HM(Modified Point-to-Point Demand Estimation Algorithm using Hopfield Model)을 제안하며, 두 결과들이 variation을 비교하여 MPPDEA-HM의 특성이 보다 안정화되었음을 보였다.

The Development of Estimation Technique of Freeway Origin-Destination Demand Using a Real Traffic Data of FTMS (교통관리시스템의 실시간 교통자료를 이용한 고속도로 동적OD 추정기법의 개발)

  • Kim, Ju-Young;Lee, Seung-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.4 s.82
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 2005
  • The goal of this paper is to develop freeway Origin-Destination (OD) demand estimation model using real-time traffic data collected from Freeway Traffic Management System (FTMS). In existing research, the micro-simulation models had been used to get a link distribution proportion by time process. Because of hi-level problem between the traffic flow model and the optimal OD solution algorithm, it is difficult for the existing models to be loaded at FTMS. The formulation of methodology proposed in this paper includes traffic flow technique to be able to remove the bi-level problem and optimal solution algorithm using a genetic algorithm. The proposed methodology is evaluated by using the real-time data of SOHAEAN freeway, South Korea.

Dynamic Origin-Destination Demand Estimation Using Traffic Data of VDS and AVI (VDS 및 AVI 자료를 이용한 고속도로 동적OD 추정)

  • Kim, Ju-Young;Lee, Seung-Jae;Lee, Young-Ihn;Son, Bong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.7 s.85
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    • pp.125-136
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    • 2005
  • The goal of this paper is to develop freeway Origin-Destination (OD) demand estimation model using VDS and AVI data. The formulation of methodology proposed in this paper includes traffic flow technique to be able to remove the bi-level problem and optimal solution algorithm using a kalman filter algorithm. The proposed dynamic OD estimation model use ilk and off-ramp volumes collected from VDS and partial OD collected from AVI data to raise the accuracy of dynamic OD estimation. The proposed model is evaluated by using the real-time data of SOHAEAN freeway, South Korea. The result of the proposed dynamic OD estimation model based on VDS and AVI data is better than that of based on VDS data. The more AVI systems are equipped at on and off-ramp, the more excellent result of estimation accuracy is expected.

Study on Location Decisions for Cloud Transportation System Rental Station (이동수요 대응형 클라우드 교통시스템 공유차량 대여소 입지선정)

  • Shin, Min-Seong;Bae, Sang-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.29-42
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    • 2012
  • Recently, traffic congestion has become serious due to increase of private car usages. Carsharing or other innovative public transportation systems were developed to alleviate traffic congestion and carbon emissions. These measures can make the traffic environment more comfortable, and efficient. Cloud Transportation System (CTS) is a recent carsharing model. User can rent an electronic vehicles with various traffic information through the CTS. In this study, a concept, vision and scenarios of CTS are introduced. And, authors analyzed the location of CTS rental stations and estimated CTS demands. Firstly, we analyze the number of the population, employees, students and traffic volume in study areas. Secondly, the frequency and utilization time are examined. Demand for CTS in each traffic zone was estimated. Lastly, the CTS rental station location is determined based on the analyzed data of the study areas. Evaluation standard of the determined location includes accessibility and density of population. And, the number of vehicles and that of parking zone at the rental station are estimated. The result suggests that Haewoondae Square parking lot would be assigned 11 vehicles and 14.23 parking spaces and that Dongbac parking lot be assigned 7.9 vehicles and 10.29 parking spaces. Further study requires additional real-time data for CTS to increase accuracy of the demand estimation. And network design would be developed for redistribution of vehicles.

Estimation of the Minimum Transportation Demand for LRT Project (경량전철 사업시행을 위한 최소 수송수요 추정연구)

  • Kim Hyun-Woong
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.884-888
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    • 2005
  • The interests of the government and civil business owner against the Light rail transit are increasing, it may be caused by the enterprise conception which does not consider a city circumstance that the construction plan is insensitively performed. This article present the forecast method of minimum transportation demand which secures a profitability. If It is in advance investigated the number of passenger using the existing traffic system of the area, it will be possible that the LRT project is planned on a realistic basis.

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Analysing Potential Improvement of Public Transit Services in OD Level Using Time-Distance Accessibility and Smartcard Traffic Volume (시간거리 접근성과 교통카드 기반 통행량을 이용한 OD별 잠재적 대중교통 서비스 개선량 분석)

  • YANG, Hyun-Jae;NAM, Hyun-Woo;JUN, Chul-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.80-93
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    • 2018
  • Public transit services are generally analyzed based on the correlation of demand and supply. The computation of supply uses accessibility while demand uses travel demands estimation based on residential population. However, the traditional demand estimation has a limitation in analysing in micro-scale compared to the smartcard data traffic. This study analyzed potential improvement of public transit services using smartcard traffic data. The supply of transportation was defined using time distance accessibility. Also, time loss was calculated in those origin destination(OD) pairs where time distance accessibilities are relatively low. The proposed method was applied at Seoul. The results showed that the areas where OD pairs need improvement include Seodaemun-gu, Guro-gu and Nowon-gu.

A development of travel time estimation algorithm fusing GPS probe and loop detector (GPS probe 및 루프 검지기 자료의 융합을 통한 통행시간추정 알고리즘 개발)

  • 정연식;최기주
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.97-116
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    • 1999
  • The growing demand for the real time traffic information is bringing about the category and number of traffic collection mechanism in the era of ITS. There are, however, two problems in making data into information using various traffic data. First, the information making process of making data into the representative information, for each traffic collection mechanism, for the specified analysis periods is required. Second, the integration process of fusing each representative information into "the information" for each link out of each source is also required. That is, both data reduction and/or data to information process and information fusion are required. This article is focusing on the development of information fusing algorithm based on voting technique, fuzzy regression, and, Bayesian pooling technique for estimating the dynamic link travel time of networks. The proposed algorithm has been validated using the field experiment data out of GPS probes and detectors over the roadways and the estimated link travel time from the algorithm is proved to be more useful than the mere arithmetic mean from each traffic source.

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Estimation of Optimal Fare for Cloud Transportation System (클라우드교통시스템의 최적 요금 산정)

  • Ryu, Seong Beom;Bae, Sang Hoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.1969-1980
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    • 2013
  • The Traffic congestion is caused by the increasing traffic demand. Thus, economic losses have been increasing every year. To solve these problems, car sharing and rental car systems that are equipped with IT technologies emerge. Car sharing has many advantages-the alleviation of the traffic congestion, the saving of maintenance cost for cars, the reduction of car possessiveness, the solution for the hassle of car ownership, for business and personal duty, and the improvement of connectivity between public transportations-. The goal of the car sharing is to achieve low-carbon and eco-friendly transportation. In this study, we review papers related to the car sharing system and the cost system of traffic systems. We estimate the optimal cost of the cloud traffic system that is one of the car sharing services. We suggest a methodology to estimate operational cost and use cost through the analysis of cost system between similar traffic means. The range of the maximum and minimum cost was determined through the comparison and analysis of similar traffic means. Expected demand and the cost that people are willing to pay were estimated through optimized value pricing. The minimum cost per hour that was compared to the cost of rental car was estimated at 5,333 won and the maximum cost per hour that was compared to taxi cost was estimated at 17,700 won. The cost for users was estimated at 6,930 won. The cost of 50% demands was estimated at 6,550won. Future studies should analyze service hours of users, weather, demand pattern and trend and consider them into the cost estimation.

Disaggregate Demand Forecasting and Estimation of the Optimal Price for UTIS Service (무선교통정보수집제공시스템(UTIS) 서비스의 이용 수요 예측 및 이용료 적정 수준 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Seok-Yong;Jung, Hun-Young;Ko, Sang-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2008
  • This study reports UTIS(Urban Traffic Information System), which has been generalized in developed countries through brisk research and development and is being promoted for introduction by National Police Agency and Road Traffic Authority to reduce the astronomical amount of social expenses including traffic congestion expenses. Also this study investigates the proper charges for using by the preestimate of demand and contentment according to methods of payment after the service is introduced. The results of this study are as follows. First, demand forecast model is constructed by Binary Logit Model. Second, forecast models of using aspects of UTIS service according to methods of payment are established by Ordered Probit Model. Third, the proper charges for using of UTIS service according to methods of payment are presented to the supplier in the aspects of users. For this, preferences by using aspects and methods of payment are captured. And unit elasticity of coefficient of utilization is understood through responsiveness analysis according to methods of payment.

Social Cost Comparison of Air-Quality based on Various Traffic Assignment Frameworks (교통량 배정 방법에 따른 대기질의 사회적 비용 비교분석)

  • Lee, Kyu Jin;Choi, Keechoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.1087-1094
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    • 2013
  • This study aims at enhancing the objective estimation of social cost of air quality due to mobile emission. More specifically, it examines the difference between the daily oriented and hourly oriented estimation results of social air quality cost and draws implications from the comparative analysis. The result indicates that the social cost of air quality differs up to approximately 24 times depending on the analysis time period. Moneywise, the difference between daily and hourly assignments amounts to the average of 653.5 billion won whereas only 1% of error occurred in the estimation result based on peak and nonpeak based hourly assignment. This study reaffirms the need for time-based travel demand management for emission reduction, and confirms the feasibility of emission estimation by travel demand forecasting method over the conventional method employed by the CAPSS.