• Title/Summary/Keyword: time trends

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Spatio-Temporal Trends in Temperature, Acidification and Dissolved Oxygen in Lower Mekong Basin for 1985-2005

  • Ratanavong, Nilapha;Lim, Sam-Sung;Lee, Hyung-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2011
  • Understanding of water sediment trends is an important part of water quality monitoring. Water quality variables change over time and space, and cannot be modeled or explained clearly by either temporal or spatial analysis alone. This research analysed the trends of temperature, pH levels and dissolved oxygen levels based on the sediment records and spatial data obtained in Lower Mekong Basin (LMB) during 1985-2005. Our aim is to evaluate spatio-temporal trends and graphical analyses using an Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) interpolation method. The main results from this research can be summarized as follows. The maximum temperature and pH have been stable during the study period and the maximum dissolved oxygen has been increasing gradually until 2002. The minimum pH and dissolved oxygen have been changing in an unsteady trend during the period. A spatial analysis shows that the water temperature in this region has been increasing over time. The pH trend shows that it is decreasing during 1993-2005. Dissolved oxygen concentration has been increasing from 1989 onwards and stays in that track.

Forecasting Study for the Future Automotive Design Trend (자동차디자인의 미래 트렌드 예측에 관한 여구)

  • 이명기
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 2002
  • technologies have now placed high hopes and expectations on the significance of design more than in any other time. This is because under current trends where technically and functionally advanced technologies are equalized, our success in the international markets depends on how we can differentiate designs to meet consumers'needs. In this research, we sought to forecast modern and future trends in automotive design, and thus secure competitiveness in automotive design. We first analyzed the movement of design value in respective times following changes in design trends (one aspect of social change in the 21st century), and consequent changes in consumers' value\ulcorner We further compared and researched design trends for automobiles and products by time and region, through surveys, analysis and collation of automotive design phenomena from various aspects recently occurring in advanced countries such as the U.S.A., European national and Japan.

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An Analysis on the Rural Research Trends using Topic Modeling (토픽모델링을 활용한 농촌연구 동향분석)

  • Kim, Gaeun;Jeong, yookyung;Lim, Yeonghun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to identify rural research topics, differences in research topics over time, and key mediators through the analysis of academic research trends using topic modeling. This study analyzed a total of 1,183 articles published in the Journal of Rural Planning and Rural Society over a 23-year period (2000-2022). We categorized rural research topics into 30, examined the proportion of research in each topic, and identified major changes in research topics over time. We also identified key words that mediate between research topics. The study found that, first, rural research trends can be categorized into five types (resources and utilization, area/space, people, ecosystem/environment, and tourism), with area/space being the most studied. Subtopics include rural amenities, rural disappearance/village miniaturization, and rural landscape management. Second, the research topics for each period were different. In the first period(2003-2007), the main research topics were rural amenities and Agricultural production- based climate vulnerability assessment. In the second period(2008-2012), the main research topics were Rural extinction and village depopulation, and rural landscape management, and in the third period(2013-2017), the main research topics were rural sixth industrialization and rural ecotourism. In the fourth period(2018-2022), rural development planning and rural life services(life SOC) were the main research topics. The significance of this study is that it extends the existing method of analyzing research trends and provides basic data to enhance comprehensive insights and understanding of rural research.

A Study of Short Term Forecasting of Daily Water Demand Using SSA (SSA를 이용한 일 단위 물수요량 단기 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.758-769
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    • 2004
  • The trends and seasonalities of most time series have a large variability. The result of the Singular Spectrum Analysis(SSA) processing is a decomposition of the time series into several components, which can often be identified as trends, seasonalities and other oscillatory series, or noise components. Generally, forecasting by the SSA method should be applied to time series governed (may be approximately) by linear recurrent formulae(LRF). This study examined forecasting ability of SSA-LRF model. These methods are applied to daily water demand data. These models indicate that most cases have good ability of forecasting to some extent by considering statistical and visual assessment, in particular forecasting validity shows good results during 15 days.

Research Trend Analysis for Smart Grids Using Dynamic Topic Modeling (동적 토픽분석을 활용한 스마트그리드 연구동향 분석)

  • Na, Sang-Tae;Ahn, Joo-Eon;Jung, Min-Ho;Kim, Ja-Hee
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.4
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    • pp.613-620
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    • 2017
  • The power grid has been changed to a smart grid system to satisfy the growing need for power grid complexity, demand, reliability, security, and efficiency with a combination of existing power and ICT technology. This study analyzes the research trends in smart grid technology in the period since the introduction of the smart grid system and compares it with industrial trends to grasp the progress and characteristics of Smart Grid technology and look for ways to innovate the technology. To do this, we analyze the research trends using dynamic topic modeling, which is capable of time-series research topic analysis. Next, we compare the results of research trends with industrial trends analyzed by Gartner's experts to demonstrate that smart grid research is evolving to the level of industrialization. The results of this study are quantitative analysis through data mining, and it is expected that it will be used in many fields such as companies that want to participate in industry and government agencies that need to establish policies by showing more objective analysis results.

Trends Detection of Display Research Areas by Bibliometric Analysis (과학계량학 기법을 이용한 디스플레이 연구영역의 트렌드 탐지)

  • Ahn, Se-Jung;Shim, We;Lee, June-Young;Kwon, Oh-Jin;Noh, Kyung-Ran
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.1343-1351
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    • 2012
  • In this study, trends for five research areas of LED(Light Emitting Diode), OLED(Organic Light Emitting Diode), LCD(Liquid Crystal Display), PDP(Plasma Display Panel) and CRT(Cathode Ray Tube) are investigated using bibliometric analysis. The papers and patents citation data were extracted from Scopus and USPTO databases, respectively. We could figure out the research trends by the number of publications and citation information. We prospect the current interests and future trends by investigating the development process of the 5 research areas as function of time.

BIM-BASED TIME SERIES COST MODEL FOR BUILDING PROJECTS: FOCUSING ON MATERIAL PRICES

  • Sungjoo Hwang;Moonseo Park;Hyun-Soo Lee;Hyunsoo Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2011
  • As large-scale building projects have recently increased for the residential, commercial and office facilities, construction costs for these projects have become a matter of great concern, due to their significant construction cost implications, as well as unpredictable market conditions and fluctuations in the rate of inflation during the projects' long-term construction periods. In particular, recent volatile fluctuations of construction material prices fueled such problems as cost forecasting. This research develops a time series model using the Box-Jenkins approach and material price time series data in Korea in order to forecast trends in the unit prices of required materials. Building information modeling (BIM) approaches are also used to analyze injection times of construction resources and to conduct quantity take-off so that total material prices can be forecast. To determine an optimal time series model for forecasting price trends, comparative analysis of predictability of tentative autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models is conducted. The proposed BIM-based time series forecasting model can help to deal with sudden changes in economic conditions by estimating material prices that correspond to resource injection times.

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Trends in the Prevalence of Health Risk Behaviors among Korean Adolescents, 2005-2009: The Korea Youth Risk Behavior Web-based Survey (청소년건강행태온라인조사 자료를 활용한 국내 청소년 건강행태 동향 분석)

  • Kim, Keon-Yeop;Park, Soon-Woo;Kim, Jong-Yeon;Bae, Ji-Suk;Lee, Won-Kee;Jeong, Seong-Hwa;Kim, Ki-Su;Kim, Yeon-Hee;Park, Sun-Min
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: The aim of this study was to measure secular trends in health risk behaviors among middle and high school students in Korea between 2005 and 2009 by using data from the Korea Youth Risk Behavior Web-based Survey(KYRBS). Methods: The analyses were performed using data from the 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009 KYRBS, which included a nationally representative sample of middle and high school students. A total of 34 health behavior indices were used for the assessment of secular trends in health risk behaviors. Logistic regression models were used to identify statistically significant secular trends in health risk behaviors, after adjusting for gender and grade. Linear and higher-order time variables were simultaneously entered into the statistical models. Results: There was evidence of small, but statistically significant increasing or decreasing trends in certain health risk behaviors. Secular trends in health risk behaviors varied by gender. Conclusions: This study indicates that between 2005 and 2009, changes in health risk behaviors among Korean adolescents were generally small, but represented statistically significant increases or decreases. Further research should explore why certain health risk behaviors are increasing or decreasing and what types of interventions are most effective.

Analysis of Smartphone Quality Attributes According to User Tendency (사용자 성향에 따른 스마트폰 품질특성 분석)

  • Parkg, Jong Hun;Lee, Sang Cheon;Hong, Jung-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.153-164
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    • 2019
  • Since the appearance of smartphones, the smartphone market has been in fierce completion by new technologies and marketing trends. The smartphone market is now somewhat saturated, and the manufacturers are trying to improve their position in the market through the repurchase of existing customers and the influx of competitors. At the same time, customers have their own purchasing criteria for smartphones. Therefore, manufacturers need to determine new technology and marketing trends based on customer purchasing trends and usage characteristics. The aim of this study is to analyze the quality attributes of smartphones. We conducted a survey on 220 respondents, and divided the respondents into several groups by purchasing trends and usage characteristic through cluster analysis. The groups are analyzed and compared based on the Kano model for the quality attributes of smartphone. The analysis result are as follows. Firstly, purchasing trends divide responders into groups that prefers high-end premium smartphones and those that take into account practicality in terms of purchasing trends. Secondly, usage characteristic divide responders into three groups: those with clear usage pattern, those who prefer ease of use, and the rest, and we find out that those with clear usage pattern are important customer in viral marketing. Lastly, Kano analysis is revealed the 'Slow/hi-speed camera', 'Private mode', 'Widget', 'Health care' are attractive quality attributes.

Recent Changes in Solar Irradiance, Air Temperature and Cloudiness at King Sejong Station, Antarctica (남극 세종기지에서 최근 태양 복사, 기온과 운량의 변화)

  • Lee, Bang Yong;Cho, Hi Ku;Kim, Jhoon;Jung, Yeon Jin;Lee, Yun Gon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.333-342
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    • 2006
  • The long-term trends of global solar irradiance, air temperature, specific humidity and cloudiness measured at King Sejong station, Antarctica, during the period of 1988-2004, have been investigated. A statistically insignificant decrease, -0.21 $Wm^{-2}yr^{-1}$ (-0.26 %$yr^{-1}$, P<0.5) in global solar irradiance was found in an analysis from the time series of the monthly mean values, except for the increasing trends only in two months of January and June. The trends in irradiance are directly and inversely associated with the cloudiness trends in annual and monthly means. The trends in surface air temperature show a slight warming, $0.03^{\circ}Cyr^{-1}$ (1.88 %$yr^{-1}$, P<0.5) on the annual average, with cooling trend in the summer months and the warming in the winter. The exact relationship, if any, between the irradiance and temperature trends is not known. No significant tendency was found in specific humidity for the same periods. Recent (1996-2004) erythermal ultraviolet irradiance shows decreasing trend in annual mean, -0.15 $mWm^{-2}yr^{-1}$ (-1.18 %$yr^{-1}$, P<0.1) which is about five times the trends of global solar irradiance. The ratio of erythermal ultraviolet to global solar irradiance shows remarkable seasonal variations with annual mean value of 0.01 % and a peak in October and November, showing the increase of ultraviolet irradiance resulting from the Antarctic ozone hole. The sensitivity of global solar irradiance to the change in cloudiness is roughly $13%oktas^{-1}$ which is about twice of the value at the South Pole due to the difference in the average surface reflectance between the two stations. Much more sensitive values of $59%oktas^{-1}$ was found for erythermal UV irradiance than for the global solar irradiance.