• Title/Summary/Keyword: time to failure

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Comparative Study on the Performance of Finite Failure NHPP Software Development Cost Model Based on Inverse-type Life Distribution (Inverse-type 수명분포에 근거한 유한고장 NHPP 소프트웨어 개발비용 모형의 성능에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Seung-Kyu Park
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.935-944
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    • 2023
  • In this study, the Inverse-type (: Inverse-Exponential, Inverse-Rayleigh) life distribution, which is known to be suitable for reliability research, was applied to a software development cost model based on finite failure NHPP(: Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process), and then the attributes that determine the model's performance were analyzed. Additionally, to evaluate the efficiency of the model, it was compared with the Goel-Okumoto basic model. The performance of the model was analyzed using failure time data, and MLE (: Maximum Likelihood Estimation) was applied to calculate the parameters. In conclusion, first, as a result of analyzing m(t), which determines the development cost, the Inverse-Exponential model was efficient due to its small error in the true value. Second, as a result of analyzing the release time along with the development cost, the Inverse-Rayleigh model was confirmed to be the best. Third, as a result of comprehensive evaluation of the attributes (m(t), cost, and release time) of the proposed model, the Inverse-Rayleigh model had the best performance. Therefore, if software developers can effectively utilize this research data in the early process, they will be able to proactively explore and analyze attributes that affect cost.

A Study on Attribute Analysis of Software Development Cost Model about Life Distribution Considering Shape Parameter of Weibull Distribution (수명분포가 와이블 분포의 형상모수를 고려한 소프트웨어 개발 비용모형에 관한 속성분석 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.645-650
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    • 2018
  • Software stability is the possibility of operating without any malfunction in the operating environment over time. In a finite failure NHPP for software failure analysis, the failure occurrence rate may be constant, monotonically increasing, or monotonically decreasing. In this study, based on the NHPP model and based on the software failure time data, we compared and analyzed the attributes of the software development cost model using the exponential distribution Rayleigh distribution and inverse exponential distribution considering the shape parameter of the Weibull distribution as the life distribution. The results of this study show that the Rayleigh model is the fastest release time and has the economic cost compared to the inverse-exponential model and the Goel-Okumoto model. Using the results of this study, it can be expected that software developers and operators will be able to predict the optimal release time and economic development cost.

Prediction of life of SAPH45 steel with measured fracture time and strength (인장파단시간 및 응력측정에 의한 SAPH45의 수명예측)

  • 박종민
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.03a
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    • pp.269-273
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    • 1998
  • The failure of material structures or mechanical system is considered as a direct or indirect result of fatigue. In the design of mechanical structure for estimating of reliability, the prediction of failure life is the most important failure mode to be considered. However, because of a complicated behavior of fatigue in mechanical structure, the analysis of fatigue is in need of much researches on life prediction. This document presents a prediction of fatigue life of the SAPH45 steel, which is extensively for vehicle frame. The method using lethargy coefficient and stress distribution factor at pediction of fatigue life based on the consideration of the failure characteristics from the tensile test should be provided in this study.

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Lifetime Prediction of Existing Highway Bridges Using System Reliability Approach (실제 교량의 시스템 신뢰성해석에 기초한 수명예측)

  • Yang, Seung Ie
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.365-373
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, the system reliability concept was presented to predict the lifespan of bridges. Lifetime distribution functions (survivor functions) were used to model real bridges to predict their remaining life. Using the system reliability concept and lifetime distribution functions (survivor functions), a program called LIFETIME was developed. The survivor functions give the reliability of component at time t. The program was applied to an existing Colorado state highway bridge to predict the failure probability of the time-dependent system. The bridge was modeled as a system, with failure probability computed using time-dependent deteriorating models.

Ti/Al/Ti 전극의 Electro-Migration신뢰성 평가

  • Hyeon, Yeong-Hwan;Choe, Byeong-Deok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2016.02a
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    • pp.339.2-339.2
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 Ti/Al/Ti 금속 배선의 Electro-Migration(EM) 현상을 분석했다. Van der Pauw, Greek Cross bridge, Straight line linear line bridge를 결합한 패턴을 제작하여, 온도 변화에 따른 EM의 발생 시간(Failure Time)을 측정했다. 측정 조건은 W/L=3.5/300 um 소자에 전류 밀도(current density)를 $J=10^4A/cm^2$로 고정하고, 온도를 300 K, 350 K, 400 K로 가변 시켰다. 측정된 Cumulative Failure의 50 % 되는 지점(Median Time To Failure; MTTF)은 각각 22.3시간, 18.46시간, 15.4시간으로 온도가 300 K에서 400 K로 증가함에 따라 MTTF가 6.9시간 감소했다. 이 결과를 통해 Black방정식에서 온도 변수가 $t_{50}$에 영향을 주는 것을 확인했다. 온도가 증가함에 따라 더 많은 전자들이 원자에 충돌하면서 운동량을 전달하고, 더 많은 원자들이 이주되면서 EM 발생 시간이 감소했다.

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Performance-Based Reliability Measures for Gracely Degrading Systems: the Concept (성능이 서서히 저하되는 시스템의 신뢰도 척도)

  • Kim, Yon-Soo;Park, Sang-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.17 no.32
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    • pp.227-232
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    • 1994
  • In the performance domain, physical performance is a measure that represents some degree of system, subsystem, component or device success in a continuous sense, as opposed to a classical binomial sense (success or failure). If applicable sensing and monitoring means exist, physical performance can be observed over time, along with explanatory variables or covariables. Performance-based reliability represents the probability that performance will remain satisfactory over a finite period of time or usage cycles in the future when a performance critical limit (which represents an appropriate definition of failure in terms of performance) is set at a fixed level, based on application requirements. In the case of inadequate knowledge of the failure mechanics, this physical based empirical modeling concept along with performance degradation knowledge can serve as an important analysis tool in reliability work in product and process improvement.

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Development and Comparisons of Hybrid and Failure-Free Period Acceptance Sampling Plans for Gamma Lifetime Distributions (감마 수명분포에 대한 혼합관측과 무고장기간 합격판정 샘플링 계획의 개발 및 비교)

  • Jeong, Hyun-Seok;Park, Jung-Won;Yum, Bong-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.51-63
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we develop two replacement-type reliability acceptance sampling plans(RASPs) for the gamma lifetime distribution assuming that the shape parameter is known. The two plans are respectively based upon failure-free period and hybrid life tests. We then compare the plans in terms of expected test time to reach a decision, power, etc. Computational results indicate among others that the failure-free period RASP has a shorter expected completion time than the corresponding hybrid RASP when the true scale parameter is 'large'. Finally, sensitivity analyses reveal that the effects of the uncertainties involved in the assumed shape parameter on the producer and the consumer risks are in favorable directions for both parties for both types of plans.

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Parameters Estimation of Generalized Linear Failure Rate Semi-Markov Reliability Models

  • El-Gohary, A.;Al-Khedhair, A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2010
  • In this paper we will discuss the stochastic analysis of a three state semi-Markov reliability model. Maximum likelihood procedure will be used to obtain the estimators of the parameters included in this reliability model. Based on the assumption that the lifetime and repair time of the system units are generalized linear failure rate random variables, the reliability function of this system is obtained. Also, the distribution of the first passage time of this system will be derived. Some important special cases are discussed.

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A Service Life Prediction for Joint and Cracked Concrete Exposed to Carbonation Based on Stochastic Approach (신뢰성 해석을 통한 탄산화에 노출된 타설이음부 및 균열부 콘크리트의 내구수명 평가)

  • Kwon, Seung-Jun;Park, Sang-Sun;Lee, Sang-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.597-600
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    • 2006
  • In this study, field survey of carbonation for RC column in city is carried out and carbonation behavior in sound, joint, and cracked concrete is also analyzed. Futhermore, probability of durability failure with time is calculated through considering probability variables such as concrete cover depth and carbonation depth which are obtained from field survey. The probability of durability failure in cracked concrete with considering crack width and time is also calculated and service life is predicted based on intended failure probability in domestic specification. Through this study, it is known that service life in a RC column is evaluated differently for local conditions and each service life is rapidly decreased with decrease in cover depth and increase in crack width.

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Research of Reliability Measures of Engine Oil Pan through Reliability Method (신뢰성 기법을 통한 Engine oil pan의 신뢰성척도 연구)

  • Kim, Jang-su
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.209-214
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    • 2009
  • Usually, it says that reliability is failure rate achieved by required functions for some period under limited use environment conditions. The reliability can be researched by automotive part or system module and it can be affected by using environment condition, such as using atmosphere temperature and using user's behavior. Also, the time can be influence on the reliability. Recently, the oil leakage from eng oil pan was raised by customer in the field. So, there is the purpose of this paper that research predicting the reliability of eng oil pan efficiently by using reliability method described below.

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