• Title/Summary/Keyword: time series regression analysis

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The Effect of Outpatient Cost Sharing on Health Care Utilization of the Elderly (노인의 외래본인부담제도에 따른 의료이용의 변화)

  • Kim, Myung-Hwa;Kwon, Soon-Man
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.496-504
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    • 2010
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of outpatient cost-sharing on health care utilization by the elderly. Methods: The data in this analysis was the health insurance claims data between July 1999 and December 2008 (114 months). The study group was divided into two age groups, namely 60-64 years old and 65-69 years old. This study evaluated the impact of policy change on office visits, the office visits per person, and the percentage of the copayment-paid visits in total visits. Interrupted time series and segmented regression model were used for statistical analysis. Results: The results showed that outpatient cost-sharing decreased office visits, but it also decreased the percentage of copayment-paid visits, implying that the intensity of care increased. There was little difference in the results between the two age groups. But after the introduction of the coinsurance system for those patients under age 65, office visits and the percentage of copayment-paid visits decreased, and the 60-64 years old group had a larger decrease than the 65-69 years old group. Conclusions: This study evaluated the effects of outpatient cost-sharing on health care utilization by the aged. Cost sharing of the elderly had little effect on controlling health care utilization.

Analysis of Numerical Meteorological Fields due to the Detailed Surface Data in Complex Coastal Area (복잡 연안지역의 지표면 자료 상세화에 따른 수치 기상장 분석)

  • Lee, Hwa-Woon;Jeon, Won-Bae;Lee, Soon-Hwan;Choi, Hyun-Jung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.649-661
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    • 2008
  • The impact of the detailed surface data on regional meteorological fields in complex coastal area is studied using RAMS. Resolutions of topography and land use data are very important to numerical modeling, because high resolution data can reflect correct terrain height and detail characteristics of the surface. Especially, in complex coastal region such as Gwangyang area, southern area in Korean Peninsula, high resolution topography and land use data are indispensable for accurate modeling results. This study investigated the effect of resolutions of terrain data using SRTM with 3 second resolution topography and KLU with 1 second resolution land use data. Case HR was the experiment using high resolution data, whereas Case LR used low resolution data. In Case HR, computed surface temperature was higher than Case LR along the coastline and wind speed was $1{\sim}2m/s$ weaker than Case LR. Time series of temperature and wind speed indicated great agreement with the observation data. Moreover, Case HR indicated outstanding results on statistical analysis such as regression, root mean square error, index of agreement.

EU ETS 실시 이후 탄소누출 가능성 산정 연구

  • Kim, Su-Lee
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.519-542
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we empirically analyzed whether carbon leakage really happened in EU by comparing before and after the period of EU ETS. We regarded foreign direct investment outflows as indicator of carbon leakage and analyzed panel regression between production cost including environment cost and this FDI variable. Also we consider foreign market potential to analyze market oriented FDI. According to this analysis, carbon leakage was observed in some models for manufacturing industry. However carbon leakage did not prove consistently in a variety of models and it is hard to speak carbon leakage was happened in EU ETS. Notwithstanding relatively short time series of data, in the view of the fact that carbon leakage was tested in some models, Korea also should keep in mind the possibility of carbon leakage and design emission trading scheme.

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Organizational Behavior of Established Firms to a Disruptive Innovation : The Case of NEC's Behavior in the Japanese Laptop Computer Industry

  • Wi Jong-Hyun
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.29-48
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    • 2006
  • This paper analyzes organizational behavior of an established firm when disruptive innovation, a change in product architecture, occurs on a previous product. For the analysis, the paper analyzes and compares the behavior of an established fm through product trajectories between NEC (an established firm) and Toshiba (a new entrance) in the Japanese laptop computers industry. An established firm that has developed and produced a previous product is difficult in adapting to a disruptive innovation due to accumulated immense knowledge through a previous product. By using regression model in the product trajectory analysis, the paper analyzes the behavior of established firms. Product trajectory means a pattern of product strategy shown in a series of products. Two facts found in the paper are as follows. First, though NEC was able to develop a laptop computer at the same time with Toshiba, it was restricted by the resources of a previous product in the early stage. Second, possibility of teaming trap in the adapting process was found. The paper found the risk that too much commitment in one evolution stage would prohibit the adapting behavior in the next evolution stage.

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Efficiency of Sterilization Policies by the State Bank of Vietnam

  • HOANG, Hang Thi Thanh;NGUYEN, Phung Thi Kim;NGUYEN, Phuc Tran
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of sterilization in Vietnam. We estimate a simultaneous equation by using Two-Stage least squares (2SLS) regression analysis. The time-series data was collected for the first quarter of 2004 to the fourth quarter of 2018. In particular, the effectiveness of sterilization is considered in terms of dollarized economy, since making the transition from a centrally planned to a market economy system, the Vietnamese economy has remained in a state of dollarization. In addition, we also assess whether the global financial crisis had an impact on the sterilization effectiveness of the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV). On the basis of the estimated sterilization and offset coefficients, our results suggest that the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) has not been able to fully neutralize the impact on the domestic money supply when intervening in the foreign exchange market, and the capital inflows respond strongly to changes in domestic monetary conditions. The results also show that the global financial crisis has changed the effectiveness of these sterilization policies. An analysis of this study's empirical findings provides the opportunity to derive some recommendations that may assist in increasing the effectiveness of the State Bank of Vietnam's sterilization policies in the process of accumulating international reserves.

Synthetic data generation by probabilistic PCA (주성분 분석을 활용한 재현자료 생성)

  • Min-Jeong Park
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.279-294
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    • 2023
  • It is well known to generate synthetic data sets by the sequential regression multiple imputation (SRMI) method. The R-package synthpop are widely used for generating synthetic data by the SRMI approaches. In this paper, I suggest generating synthetic data based on the probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA) method. Two simple data sets are used for a simulation study to compare the SRMI and PPCA approaches. Simulation results demonstrate that pairwise coefficients in synthetic data sets by PPCA can be closer to original ones than by SRMI. Furthermore, for the various data types that PPCA applications are well established, such as time series data, the PPCA approach can be extended to generate synthetic data sets.

Returns to Investment on Research and Extension in Korean Horticulture (원예부문 연구 및 지도 사업의 투자효과 분석)

  • Kang, Kyeong-Ha;Lee, Min-Soo;Choe, Young-Chan
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.257-277
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    • 2000
  • The objectives of this study are to investigate the relationship between the growth of the horticultural sector and horticultural research and extension and to examine the socioeconomic returns to investment on research and extension in Korean horticulture. Data for horticultural production values, producer price indices and research and extension budgets for horticultural sector from 1965 to 1998 are collected from various sources. Multi-variate time series analysis technique with vector auto-regression model and Akino-Hayami Formula were employed for the analysis. This study finds (1) horticultural production responds about seven years later to the horticultural research investment shock. the magnitude of the impacts increases to a peak in seventeen years from the initial expenditures and then declines slowly thereafter until twenty years. and this peak gives a tip that horticultural research impact lasts much longer than grain's or agriculture's: (2) the social surplus from research investment benefits more to the consumer rather than to the horticultural producer: (3) B/C ratios in horticultural research are quite high with the range of 9 to 55 from 1965 to 1998. but these have been decreased since the early 1990s: (4) the socioeconomic returns to horticultural research is quite high with 56 percents of internal rate of return. It remains to be analyzed returns to investment on extension in horticulture because of no statistic significance in this study.

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Relationship Between a New Functional Evaluation Model and the Fugle-Meyer Assessment Scale for Evaluating the Upper Extremities of Stroke Patients

  • Kim, Jung-Hyun;Kim, Hyun-Jin;Lee, Seung-Gu;Song, Chang-Ho
    • PNF and Movement
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.305-313
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between a functional evaluation model and the Fugl-Meyer assessment (FMA) scale in evaluating the upper extremities of stroke patients Methods: Thirty-eight stroke patients were evaluated using the FMA and performed reaching and grasping motions using a three-dimensional motion analysis (Qquas 1 series, Qualisys AB, Sweden). The participants sat on a chair with a backrest. The position of the cup was located at a distance of 80% to the front arm length. The markers were attached to the sternum, acromion, elbow lateral epicondyle, ulnar styloid process, three metacarpal heads, and the distal phalanges of the thumb and index finger. The variables of the correlation between the functional evaluation model and the FMA scale were analyzed. Multiple regression (stepwise) was used to investigate the effect of the kinematic variables. Results: A significant negative correlation was found between the movement time (p < 0.05), movement unit (p < 0.05), and trunk displacement values (p < 0.05) in the FMA total scores, while a positive correlation was found between the peak velocity (p < 0.05) and maximum grip aperture values (p < 0.05). As a result of the multiple regression analysis, the most significant factor was the movement unit, followed by the general movement assessment and trunk displacement. The explained FMA total score value was 62%. Conclusion: This study presents a new functional evaluation model for assessing the reaching and grasping ability of stroke patients. The factors of the proposed functional evaluation model showed significant correlations with the FMA scale scores and confirmed that the new functional evaluation model explained the FMA by 67%. This suggests a new functional evaluation model for reaching and grasping stroke patients.

The Factor Analysis of Land Surface Temperature(LST) Change using MODIS Imagery and Panel Data (MODIS 영상 자료와 패널 자료를 이용한 지표면온도변화 요인분석)

  • BAE, Da-Hye;KIM, Hong-Myung;HA, Sung-Ryong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.46-56
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    • 2018
  • This paper aimed to identify main factors of community characters, which have an effect on the land surface temperature(LST) change and estimate the impacting coefficient(ratio) of factors in a significant level of statistics. Chungcheongbuk-do province was selected and then partitioned into city and county areas for the sake of convenience of modeling. LST time series data and the community character data were developed based on Terra Satellite MODIS data and collected from the National Statistical Office, respectively. By the cause and effect relationship between community characters and LST, regression coefficients were estimated using a penal model. In a panel modeling, LST and community characters were used as a dependent variable and explanatory variables, respectively. Panel modeling analysis was carried out using statistical package STATA14 and one-way fixed effect model was selected as the most suitable model to evaluate the regression coefficients in the study area. The impacting ratio of LST change by any explanatory variable derived from the regression coefficients of the panel model fixed. Impacting ratios for industrial areas, elevation ${\times}$ building, energy usage, average window speed, non-urban management area, agricultural, nature and environmental conservation, average precipitation were 3.746, 2.856, 2.742, 0.553, 0.102, 0.071 and 0.003, respectively.

Household Types and Changes of Work-Family Time Allocation - Adapting Fuzzy-set Ideal Type Analysis - (일-가족 시간배분에 따른 가구유형과 변화 - 퍼지셋 이상형 분석의 적용 -)

  • Kim, Jin-Wook;Choi, Young-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.64 no.2
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    • pp.31-54
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    • 2012
  • Along with increasing mothers' employment, work-family reconciliation has been recognised as a key policy agenda in contemporary welfare states. Although various policy instruments have been introduced and expanded in recent years, the problem of time allocation within couples still remains as a fundamental issue, which has been largely underresearched at a micro perspective. In this context, this study aims to identify dominant types of work-family time allocation within married couple, and to apply these types to the Korean case using the fuzzy-set ideal type analysis. Further, a series of multiple regression analyses will be implemented to find factors affecting each ideal type of work-family time allocation. The 1999 and 2009 Korea Time Use Survey datasets will be adopted for the analyses. Married couples are selected as samples only when men work 40 hours or more per week and they have at least one pre-school child. Empirical analyses cover three parts. First of all, four ideal types on work-family time allocation are classified by intersecting two core variables - the ratio of men's (paid) working and family (caring time plus domestic work) time to total working and family time. In this research, the four types will be labelled the traditional male breadwinner model (TM, high working and low family time), the dual burden model (DB, shared working but low family time), the family-friendly male breadwinner model (FM, high working but shared family time), and the adaptive partnership model (AP, shared working and shared family time). By comparing the composition of the four ideal types in 1999 and 2009, it will examine the trend of work-family time allocation in Korea. In addition, multiple regressions will be useful for investigating which characteristics contribute to the different degree of each fuzzy ideal score in the four models. Finally, policy implications and further research agenda will be discussed.

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