• Title/Summary/Keyword: time combination

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A study on time series linkage in the Household Income and Expenditure Survey (가계동향조사 지출부문 시계열 연계 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sihyeon;Seong, Byeongchan;Choi, Young-Geun;Yeo, In-kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.553-568
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    • 2022
  • The Household Income and Expenditure Survey is a representative survey of Statistics Korea, which aims to measure and analyze national income and consumption levels and their changes by understanding the current state of household balances. Recently, the disconnection problem in these time series caused by the large-scale reorganization of the survey methods in 2017 and 2019 has become an issue. In this study, we model the characteristics of the time series in the Household Income and Expenditure Survey up to 2016, and use the modeling to compute forecasts for linking the expenditures in 2017 and 2018. In order to evenly reflect the characteristics across all expenditure item series and to reduce the impact of a specific forecast model, we synthesize a total of 8 models such as regression models, time series models, and machine learning techniques. In particular, the noteworthy aspect of this study is that it improves the forecast by using the optimal combination technique that can exactly reflect the hierarchical structure of the Household Income and Expenditure Survey without loss of information as in the top-down or bottom-up methods. As a result of applying the proposed method to forecast expenditure series from 2017 to 2019, it contributed to the recovery of time series linkage and improved the forecast. In addition, it was confirmed that the hierarchical time series forecasts by the optimal combination method make linkage results closer to the actual survey series.

Hierarchical time series forecasting with an application to traffic accident counts (계층적 시계열 분석을 이용한 지역별 교통사고 발생건수 예측)

  • Lee, Jooeun;Seong, Byeongchan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.181-193
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    • 2017
  • The paper introduces bottom-up and optimal combination methods that can analyze and forecast hierarchical time series. These methods allow forecasts at lower levels to be summed consistently to upper levels without any ad-hoc adjustment. They can also potentially improve forecast performance in comparison to independent forecasts. We forecast regional traffic accident counts as time series data in order to identify efficiency gains from hierarchical forecasting. We observe that bottom-up or optimal combination methods are superior to independent methods in terms of forecast accuracy.

Spatial Impacts of Tourism on Fishing Villages in Jeju Island (제주도 어촌의 관광지화에 따른 공간이용 변화과정)

  • 송경언
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.87-103
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    • 2003
  • This study is to analyse spatial impacts of tourism on fishing villages in Jeju island. The analysis shows that the location of tourist function - sea or land - has an influence on spatial use of pre-tourist and tourist function. The locational changes of tourist function are to be the indicator of the developmental stages, the uses of 'where' to be the phases, the uses of 'where' and 'what' to be the process in the spatial impacts of tourism on fishing villages. The phases are 'time combination $\longrightarrow$spatial combination $\longrightarrow$time combination', the process is 'widened range.diversification $\longrightarrow$ range.specialization' according as the tourist function of the sea changes into the land. This is to be risk management of the tourist function.

Treatment of Dyeing Wastewater by Flocculation with Calsium and Magnesium salts (칼슘과 마그네슘염을 이용한 염색폐수의 응집처리)

  • 김재용;서완주
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2002
  • The changes of conventional clarification process and an increase in treatment cost are required to meet increasingly stringent regulations related to the treated water quality. Although many enhanced coagulations have introduced to improve organic matter removal, the results to remove color, nitrogen and phosphorus as well as organic material have not been very efficient yet. The removal of waste matters such as SS, organic matter, color and turbidity contained in dyeing wastewater was carried out by using the combination of calcium hydroxide and magnesium sulfate. The flocculation was investigated as a function of coagulant dose, pH, mixing time, settling time and coagulant addition modes such as the sequential addition of the two coagulants and the simultaneous addition of them. The flocculation by the combination of calcium hydroxide and magnesium sulfate was compared with that by aluminum sulfate. The mechanism of flocculation was investigated as well. About 84% of color in dyeing watewater was removed by flocculation with combination of calcium hydroxide and magnesium sulfate.

Treatment of stock wastewater by flocculation with Calsium and Magnesium salts (칼슘과 마그네슘염을 이용한 축산폐수의 응집처리)

  • 김재용
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.10-18
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    • 2002
  • The changes of conventional clarification processe and an increase in treatment cost are required to meet increasingly stringent regulations related to the treated water quality. Although many enhanced coagulations have introduced to improve organic matter removal, the results to remove color, nitrogen and phosphorus as well as organic material have not been very efficient yet. In this context as new flocculation using calcium hydroxide and magnesum sulfate was carried out. The removal of waste matters such as SS, organic matter, COD, nitrogen and phosphorus contained in stock wastewater was carried out by using the combination of calcium hydroxide and magnesium sulfate. The flocculation was investigated as a function of coagulant dose, pH, mixing time, settling time and coagulant addition modes such as the sequential addition of the two coagulants and the simultaneous addition of them. The flocculation by the combination of calcium hydroxide and magnesium sulfate was compared with that by aluminum sulfate. The mechanism of flocculation was investigated as well. About 60% of COD in stock watewater was removed by flocculation with combination of calcium hydroxide and magnesium sulfate.

A Case of Advanced Malignant Pleural Mesothelioma Treatment with Chemotherapy and Photodynamic Therapy

  • Ryu, Jae-Wook;Kim, Youn Seup
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.78 no.1
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    • pp.36-40
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    • 2015
  • Malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is an aggressive, treatment-resistant, and generally fatal disease. A 68-year-old male who was diagnosed with MPM at another hospital came to our hospital with dyspnea. We advised him to take combination chemotherapy but he refused to take the treatment. That was because he had already received chemotherapy with supportive care at another hospital but his condition worsened. Thus, we recommended photodynamic therapy (PDT) to deal with the dyspnea and MPM. After PDT, the dyspnea improved and the patient then decided to take the combination chemotherapy. Our patient received chemotherapy using pemetrexed/cisplatin. Afterwards, he received a single PDT treatment and then later took chemotherapy using gemcitabine/cisplatin. The patient showed a survival time of 27 months, which is longer than median survival time in advanced MPM patients. Further research and clinical trials are needed to demonstrate any synergistic effect between the combination chemotherapy and PDT.

Antibacterial Activity of Sophoraflavanone G Isolated from the Roots of Sophora flavescens

  • Cha, Jeong-Dan;Jeong, Mi-Ran;Jeong, Seung-Il;Lee, Kyung-Yeol
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.858-864
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    • 2007
  • This study investigated the antibacterial activities of sophoraflavanone G from Sophora flavescens in combination with two antimicrobial agents against oral bacteria. The combined effect of sophoraflavanone G and the antimicrobial agents was evaluated using the checkerboard method to obtain a fractional inhibitory concentration(FIC) index. The sophoraflavanone G+ampicillin(AM) combination was found to have a synergistic effect against S. mutans, S. sanguinis, S. sobrinus, S. gordonii, A. actinomycetemcomitans, F nucleatum, P. intermedia, and P. gingivalis, whereas the sophoraflavanone G+gentamicin(GM) combination had a synergistic effect against S. sanguinis, S. criceti, S. anginosus, A. actinomycetemcomitans, F nucleatum, P. intermedia, and P. gingivalis. Neither combination exhibited any antagonistic interactions(FIC index>4). In particular, the MICs/MBCs for all the bacteria were reduced to one-half$\sim$one-sixteenth as a result of the drug combinations. A synergistic interaction was also confirmed by time-kill studies for nine bacteria where the checkerboard suggested synergy. Thus, a strong bactericidal effect was exerted through the drug combinations, plus in vitro data suggested that sophoraflavanone G combined with other antibiotics may be microbiologically beneficial rather than antagonistic.

Mesh Parameterization based on Mean Value Coordinates (중간값 좌표계에 기초한 메쉬 매개변수화)

  • Kim, Hyoung-Seok B.
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.12 no.8
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    • pp.1377-1383
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    • 2008
  • Parameterization of a 3D triangular mesh is a fundamental problem in various applications of geometric modeling and computer graphics. There are two major paradigms in mesh parameterization: energy functional minimization and the convex combination approach. In general, the convex combination approach is wifely used because of simple concept and one-to-one mapping. However, the approach has some problems such as high distortion near the boundary and time complexity. Moreover, the stability of the linear system may not be preserved according to the geometric information of the mesh. In this paper, we present an extension of the convex combination approach based on the mean value coordinates, which resolves the drawbacks of the convex combination approach. This may be a more practical solution because it is able to generate a stable linear system in a short time.

Carrier Phase Based Cycle Slip Detection and Identification Algorithm for the Integrity Monitoring of Reference Stations

  • Su-Kyung Kim;Sung Chun Bu;Chulsoo Lee;Beomsoo Kim;Donguk Kim
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.359-367
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    • 2023
  • In order to ensure the high-integrity of reference stations of satellite navigation system, cycle slip should be precisely monitored and compensated. In this paper, we proposed a cycle slip algorithm for the integrity monitoring of the reference stations. Unlike the legacy method using the Melbourne-Wübbena (MW) combination and ionosphere combination, the proposed algorithm is based on ionosphere combination only, which uses high precision carrier phase observations without pseudorange observations. Two independent and complementary ionosphere combinations, Ionospheric Negative (IN) and Ionospheric Positive (IP), were adopted to avoid insensitive cycle slip pairs. In addition, a second-order time difference was applied to the IN and IP combinations to minimize the influence of ionospheric and tropospheric delay even under severe atmosphere conditions. Then, the cycle slip was detected by the thresholds determined based on error propagation rules, and the cycle slip was identified through weighted least square method. The performance of the proposed cycle slip algorithm was validated with the 1 Hz dual-frequency carrier phase data collected under the difference levels of ionospheric activities. For this experiment, 15 insensitive cycle slip pairs were intentionally inserted into the raw carrier phase observations, which is difficult to be detected with the traditional cycle slip approach. The results indicate that the proposed approach can successfully detect and compensate all of the inserted cycle slip pairs regardless of ionospheric activity. As a consequence, the proposed cycle slip algorithm is confirmed to be suitable for the reference station where real time high-integrity monitoring is crucial.

Design and Analysis of Efficient Parallel Hardware Prime Generators

  • Kim, Dong Kyue;Choi, Piljoo;Lee, Mun-Kyu;Park, Heejin
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.564-581
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    • 2016
  • We present an efficient hardware prime generator that generates a prime p by combining trial division and Fermat test in parallel. Since the execution time of this parallel combination is greatly influenced by the number k of the smallest odd primes used in the trial division, it is important to determine the optimal k to create the fastest parallel combination. We present probabilistic analysis to determine the optimal k and to estimate the expected running time for the parallel combination. Our analysis is conducted in two stages. First, we roughly narrow the range of optimal k by using the expected values for the random variables used in the analysis. Second, we precisely determine the optimal k by using the exact probability distribution of the random variables. Our experiments show that the optimal k and the expected running time determined by our analysis are precise and accurate. Furthermore, we generalize our analysis and propose a guideline for a designer of a hardware prime generator to determine the optimal k by simply calculating the ratio of M to D, where M and D are the measured running times of a modular multiplication and an integer division, respectively.