• 제목/요약/키워드: test statistics

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쿨백-라이블러 판별정보에 기반을 둔 정규성 검정의 개선 (Improving a Test for Normality Based on Kullback-Leibler Discrimination Information)

  • 최병진
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.79-89
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    • 2007
  • Arizono와 Ohta(1989)에 의해 소개된 정규성 검정은 쿨백-라이블러 판별정보를 이용하고 있으며, 검정통계량의 유도에 기반이 되는 판별정보의 추정량을 얻기 위해 Vasicek(1976)의 표본엔트로피와 분산의 최대가능도 추정량을 사용했다. 그런데 두 추정량은 편향성을 가지게 되므로 보다 정확한 판별정보의 추정을 위해 비편향 추정량을 사용하는 것이 바람직하다. 본 논문에서는 편향을 수정한 엔트로피 추정량과 분산의 균일최소분산비편향 추정량을 사용하여 판별정보의 추정량을 구하고 이로부터 유도되는 검정통계량을 사용하는 개선된 정규성 검정을 제시한다. 제안한 검정의 특성을 규명하고 검정력 비교를 위해서 모의실험을 수행한다.

The Existence of Random Walk in the Philippine Stock Market: Evidence from Unit Root and Variance-Ratio Tests

  • CAMBA, Abraham C. Jr.;CAMBA, Aileen L.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권10호
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    • pp.523-530
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    • 2020
  • The efficient market hypothesis explains the random walk hypothesis suggesting that stock prices are independent of each other, hence, it is impossible to earn abnormal profits. The positive effect of a well-functioning and highly efficient stock market on the performance of an economy motivated the Philippine Stock Exchange to pursue massive modernization initiatives. This research provides evidence of the existence of random walk in the Philippine stock market employing the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (1981) and Phillips-Perron (1988) unit root tests, the Lo-MacKinlay's (1988) conventional variance ratio test, and Chow-Denning's (1993) simple multiple variance ratio test. Results of the ADF and PP unit root tests confirm the necessary condition for a random walk. The Chow-Denning (1993) maximum /z/ statistic and the Wald test statistic as in Richardson and Smith (1991) for the joint hypotheses and the Lo and MacKinlay (1988) individual statistics variance ratio test generally accepted the null hypothesis of a random walk. That is, the unit root and variance ratio tests consistently indicate that the null hypothesis of random walk cannot be rejected. The existence of a random walk in weak-form efficiency can be attributed to market liquidity as a result of continuous development and modernization of the Philippine equity market.

상관관계가 존재하는 등급별 동질성 검정방법 (Class homogeneous tests with correlation)

  • 홍종선;이나영
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 2013
  • 신용평가방법에서 등급의 계량화 중 신용등급 변화 검정방법은 등급별로 추정된 예측부도율과 실제부도율과의 동질성을 검정하는 방법으로 한 시점에 대한 이항검정과 카이제곱검정 등이 있고, 여러시점의 정확성을 검증하는 방법으로 정규성검정, 확장된 신호등검정 등이 있다. 본 연구에서는 현실적인 상황을 고려하여 이런 검정방법들이 상관관계가 존재하는 경우에 등급별 동질성 검정방법을 소개하고 이 방법들을 신용평가 이외에 다양한 분야의 자료에 활용할 수 있음을 알아본다.

Influence Analysis in Selecting Discriminant Variables

  • Jung, Kang-Mo;Kim, Myung-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.499-509
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    • 2001
  • We investigate the influence of observations on a test of additional information about discrimination using the influence function and the derivative influence measures. the influence function for the test statistic is derived and this sample versions are used for influence analysis. The derivative influence measures for the test statistic under a perturbation scheme are derived. It will be seen that the influence function method and the derivative influence measures yield the same result. Furthermore, we will derive the relationships between the influence function and the derivative influence measures when the sample size is large. an illustrative example is given and we will compare the results provided by the influence function method and the derivative influence measures.

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샘플링오차에 의한 품질통계 모형의 해석 (Interpretation of Quality Statistics Using Sampling Error)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.205-210
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    • 2008
  • The research interprets the principles of sampling error design for quality statistics models such as hypothesis test, interval estimation, control charts and acceptance sampling. Introducing the proper discussions of the design of significance level according to the use of hypothesis test, then it presents two methods to interpret significance by Neyman-Pearson and Fisher. Second point of the study proposes the design of confidence level for interval estimation by Bayesian confidence set, frequentist confidential set and fiducial interval. Third, the content also indicates the design of type I error and type II error considering both productivity and customer claim for control chart. Finally, the study reflects the design of producer's risk with operating charistictics curve, screening and switch rules for the purpose of purchasing and subcontraction.

Improved Exact Inference in Logistic Regression Model

  • Kim, Donguk;Kim, Sooyeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.277-289
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    • 2003
  • We propose modified exact inferential methods in logistic regression model. Exact conditional distribution in logistic regression model is often highly discrete, and ordinary exact inference in logistic regression is conservative, because of the discreteness of the distribution. For the exact inference in logistic regression model we utilize the modified P-value. The modified P-value can not exceed the ordinary P-value, so the test of size $\alpha$ based on the modified P-value is less conservative. The modified exact confidence interval maintains at least a fixed confidence level but tends to be much narrower. The approach inverts results of a test with a modified P-value utilizing the test statistic and table probabilities in logistic regression model.

순서대립가설에 대한 회귀직선 평행성 검정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Tests for the Parallelism of Regression Lines Against Ordered Alternatives)

  • 송문섭;조신섭;이재준;신봉섭
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.162-169
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    • 1993
  • For the problem of testing the parallelism of several regression lines against ordered alternatives, two test statistics and proposed and examined. The proposed statistics are linear combinations of robust estimators of slope parameters, which are modifications of the Adichie (1976) test based on scores. The asymptotic null variances of the proposed states tics are estimated by the kernel density estimation methods. The proposed tests are compared with the Adichie's test in terms of asymptotic relative efficiency and small-sample powers.

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On Flexible Bayesian Test Criteria for Nested Point Null Hypotheses of Multiple Regression Coefficients

  • Jae-Hyun Kim;Hea-Jung Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.205-214
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    • 1996
  • As flexible Bayesian test criteria for nested point null hypotheses of multiple regression coefficients, partial and overall Bayes factors are introduced under a class of intuitively meaningful prior. The criteria lead to a simple method for considering different prior beliefs on the subspaces that constitute a partition of the coefficient parameter space. A couple of tests are suggested based on the criteria. It is shown that they enable us to obtain pairwise comparisons of hypotheses of the partitioned subspaces. Through a Monte Carlo simulation, performance of the tests based on the criteria are compared with the usual Bayesian test (based on Bayes factor)in terms of their respective powers.

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일표본 위치검정에서의 표본크기 결정 (Sample Size Determination for One-Sample Location Tests)

  • 여인권
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.573-581
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    • 2015
  • 이 논문에서는 일표본 위치검정에서 표본크기를 결정하는데 일반적으로 사용되고 있는 근사분포방법의 문제점에 대해 알아본다. 모의실험 결과 이들 근사분포방법은 검정력의 명목수준에 도달하지 않는 것으로 나타났으며 이에 대한 개선이 필요한 것으로 나타났다. 이 논문에서는 검정통계량의 정확분포를 이용한 표본크기 결정에 대해 알아보고 이를 통한 표본크기의 검정력이 명목수준을 충족하는 것을 보인다.

New Family of the Exponential Distributions for Modeling Skewed Semicircular Data

  • Kim, Hyoung-Moon
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.205-220
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    • 2009
  • For modeling skewed semicircular data, we derive new family of the exponential distributions. We extend it to the l-axial exponential distribution by a transformation for modeling any arc of arbitrary length. It is straightforward to generate samples from the f-axial exponential distribution. Asymptotic result reveals two things. The first is that linear exponential distribution can be used to approximate the l-axial exponential distribution. The second is that the l-axial exponential distribution has the asymptotic memoryless property though it doesn't have strict memoryless property. Some trigonometric moments are also derived in closed forms. Maximum likelihood estimation is adopted to estimate model parameters. Some hypotheses tests and confidence intervals are also developed. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is adopted for goodness of fit test of the l-axial exponential distribution. We finally obtain a bivariate version of two kinds of the l-axial exponential distributions.