• Title/Summary/Keyword: temperature estimation

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Estimation and Comparative Analysis on the Distribution Functions of Air and Water Temperatures in Korean Coastal Seas (우리나라 연안의 기온과 수온 분포함수 추정 및 비교평가)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Jeong, Shin-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.171-176
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    • 2016
  • The distribution shapes of air and water temperatures are basic and essential information, which determine the frequency patterns of their occurrence. It is also very useful to understand the changes in long-term air and water temperatures with respect to climate change. The typical distribution shapes of air and water temperatures cannot be well fitted using widely used/accepted normal distributions because their shapes show multimodal distributions. In this study, Gaussian mixture distributions and kernel distributions are suggested as the more suitable models to fit their distribution shapes. Based on the results, the tail shape exhibits different patterns. The tail is long in higher temperature regions of water temperature distribution and in lower temperature regions of air temperature distribution. These types of shape comparisons can be useful to identify the patterns of long-term air and water temperature changes and the relationship between air and water temperatures. It is nearly impossible to identify change patterns using only mean-temperatures and normal distributions.

A thermodynamic analysis on the utilization of thermal water (온수 이용에 관한 열역학적 해석)

  • 이세균
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 1987
  • An analysis on the thermodynamic optimum use of thermal water has been accomplished. The systems investigated are power generation and space heating. The space heating systems considered in this study are direct heating, heat pumps and heat pump assisted heating. The object of this study is to find the optimum selection and operation of the system under the given resources. The measure of such optimum conditions is the EFFECTIVENESS, the concept of efficiency based upon the Second Law of Thermodynamics. The temperature of water to waste is identified as the most important parameter to be optimized. The analysis indicates that for high temperature resources (higher than about 425K) power generation yields the best performance and is therefore recommended. The heat pumps are recommended for the resource temperature less than about 327K. The heat pump assisted heating system shows its superiority for the very narrow temperature range (320K-330K) and thus the use of this system should be considered when the flow rate is very limited. thus the direct heating is appropriate for the temperature range of 330K-425K. The analysis also shows the optimum capacity of thermal water, which may be useful for the initial estimation of heating or power generation potentials of given resources.

Estimation for Daily Mean 10cm Soil Temperature (토양온도(土壤溫度)의 변화예측(變化豫測))

  • Park, Chang-Seo;Jung, Sug-Jae;Hyeon, Geun-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.289-293
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    • 1993
  • To comply with the increasing demand from the agricultural industry for more accurate short-range weather information, statistical method for forecasting soil temperature was presented. Regression equation was derived to predict daily mean 10cm soil temperature for any day the year. The equation was based upon 10-daily mean 10cm soil temperature(10DM 10ST) for 6 years(1982~1987) at grass in Suweon. The possibility of estimating daily mean 10cm soil temperature was examined.

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Long Term Variability of the Sun and Climate Change (태양활동 긴 주기와 기후변화의 연관성 분석)

  • Cho, Il-Hyun;Chang, Heon-Young
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.395-404
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    • 2008
  • We explore the linkage between the long term variability of the Sun and earth's climate change by analysing periodicities of time series of solar proxies and global temperature anomalies. We apply the power spectral estimation method named as the periodgram to solar proxies and global temperature anomalies. We also decompose global temperature anomalies and reconstructed total solar irradiance into each local variability components by applying the EMD (Empirical Mode Decomposition) and MODWT MRA (Maximal Overlap Discrete Wavelet Multi Resolution Analysis). Powers for solar proxies at low frequencies are lower than those of high frequencies. On the other hand, powers for temperature anomalies show the other way. We fail to decompose components which having lager than 40 year variabilities from EMD, but both residuals are well decomposed respectively. We determine solar induced components from the time series of temperature anomalies and obtain 39% solar contribution on the recent global warming. We discuss the climate system can be approximated with the second order differential equation since the climate sensitivity can only determine the output amplitude of the signal.

Residual Stress Distribution on the Fillet Weldment used by Finite Element Method (유한요소법을 이용한 필렛용접 이음부의 잔류응력분포)

  • Kim, Hyun Sung;Woo, Sang Ik;Jung, Kyoung Sup
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.12 no.2 s.45
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    • pp.197-207
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    • 2000
  • A transient heat transfer analysis and thermo-elastic analysis have been performed for the residual stress distribution on the fillet weldment used by finite element method. Specimen is fabricated single-pass fillet welding. This computation was performed for conditions including surface heat flux and temperature dependent thermo-physical properties using by heat input as parameter. Also, cut-off temperature of residual stress estimation by thermo-elastic analysis is determined. The fillet weldment were measured to determined their residual stress distributions for using hole-drilling method. As result, it was found that large tensile residual stress is about material yield strength, and the numerical simulation results for finite element method similar to residual stresses by hole-drilling method and other exiting research. Also, cut-off temperature is effectively determined by temperature which calculated maximum thermal stress equal to material yield strength.

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Creep life Prediction for W.M. of High Cr-Mo Steel using Modified Power-law (고 Cr-Mo강의 수정멱수법칙을 이용한 W.M. 크리프 수명예측)

  • An, Jong-Kyo;Yu, Hyo-Sun;Yang, Sung-Mo;Kang, Hee-Yong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.32 no.11
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    • pp.951-956
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    • 2008
  • The high temperature creep properties of the generating plant's high temperature tube, pipe and header and such are very significant in accordance with long-time exposure to the high temperature and pressure environment. Not only this, but as the welding procedure is compulsory for the cohesion of components, the creep properties regarding the local microstructures of steel weldment are very important. In order to understand the creep properties regarding the local microstructures of steel weldment, the SP-Creep test which is easy to get sample from the field component was conducted. The local microstructure of steel weldment, that is, W.M. and B.M.'s microstructures were observed using the SEM. The rupture time of W.M. was longer as 110 % averagely in a same condition, which is the consequence of the difference of the microstructure. Each lethargy coefficient of B.M. and W.M. is evaluated by the relation among the temperature, load and the rupture time from SP-Creep Test. The life estimation equation can be induced by the transformation of Power-law. B.M. and W.M. for each $550\;^{\circ}C$ and $575\;^{\circ}C$, the very similar to normal temperature of the domestic thermal power generation in working, are estimated.

Determination of Weighted Mean Temperature for the GPS Precipitable Water Vapor Estimation (GPS PWV 추정을 위한 가중 평균 온도식 결정)

  • Song Dong Seob;Yun Hong Sic
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.323-329
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    • 2004
  • Water vapor is an important parameter in monitoring changes in the Earth's climate and it can be used to improve weather forecasting. However, it haven't observed accurately by reasons of structural and economic problem of observation. GPS meteorology technique for precipitable water vapor measurement is currently actively being researched an advanced nation. Main issue of GPS meteorology is an accuracy of PWV measurement related weighted mean temperature and meteorological data. In this study, the korean weighted mean temperature had been recalculated by a linear regression method based on meteorological observations from 6 radiosonde stations for 2003 year. We examined the accuracy of PWV estimates from GPS observations and Radiosonde observations by new korean weighted mean temperature and others.

Selection of Beef Quality Factors Represented by Time-Temperature Integrator (TTI)

  • Kim, Eun-Ji;Kim, Kee-Hyuk;Jung, Seung-Won;Chung, Ku-Young;Lee, Seung-Ju
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.598-603
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    • 2012
  • Beef qualities which can be properly predicted by time-temperature integrator (TTI), a chromatic indicator, were selected in terms of its similarity of temperature dependence between beef qualities and TTI, denoted by Arrhenius activation energy ($E_a$). The high similarity is required to afford accurate prediction. A devised enzymatic TTI based on laccase (an oxidase), which catalyses the oxidation on 2,2'-azino-bis-(3-ethylbenzothiazoline-6-sulphonic acid) producing color development, was applied. The factors of beef quality, such as volatile basic nitrogen (VBN), pH, color (CIE $L^*$, $a^*$), Warner-Bratzler shear force (WBSF), Pseudomonas spp. count, and lactic acid bacteria (LAB) count were considered for the selection. $E_a$ (55.48 kJ/mol) of the TTI was found to be similar to those of the beef qualities (all referred) in the order of LAB count (53.54 kJ/mol), CIE $a^*$ value (61.86 kJ/mol), pH (65.51 kJ/mol), Pseudomonas spp. Count (44.54 kJ/mol), VBN (67.98 kJ/mol), WBSF (40.67 kJ/mol), and CIE $L^*$ value (33.72 kJ/mol). The beef qualities with more similar $E_a$ to that of the TTI showed less difference between real and TTI predicted levels. In conclusion, it was found out that when applying TTI to food packages, their $E_a$ similarity should be checked to assure accurate estimation of food quality levels from TTI response.

Development and Use of Digital Climate Models in Northern Gyunggi Province - I. Derivation of DCMs from Historical Climate Data and Local Land Surface Features (경기북부지역 정밀 수치기후도 제작 및 활용 - I. 수치기후도 제작)

  • 김성기;박중수;이은섭;장정희;정유란;윤진일
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2004
  • Northern Gyeonggi Province(NGP), consisting of 3 counties, is the northernmost region in South Korea adjacent to the de-militarized zone with North Korea. To supplement insufficient spatial coverage of official climate data and climate atlases based on those data, high-resolution digital climate models(DCM) were prepared to support weather- related activities of residents in NGP Monthly climate data from 51 synoptic stations across both North and South Korea were collected for 1981-2000. A digital elevation model(DEM) for this region with 30m cell spacing was used with the climate data for spatially interpolating daily maximum and minimum temperatures, solar irradiance, and precipitation based on relevant topoclimatological models. For daily minimum temperature, a spatial interpolation scheme accommodating the potential influences of cold air accumulation and the temperature inversion was used. For daily maximum temperature estimation, a spatial interpolation model loaded with the overheating index was used. Daily solar irradiances over sloping surfaces were estimated from nearby synoptic station data weighted by potential relative radiation, which is the hourly sum of relative solar intensity. Precipitation was assumed to increase with the difference between virtual terrain elevation and the DEM multiplied by an observed rate. Validations were carried out by installing an observation network specifically for making comparisons with the spatially estimated temperature pattern. Freezing risk in January was estimated for major fruit tree species based on the DCMs under the recurrence intervals of 10, 30, and 100 years, respectively. Frost risks at bud-burst and blossom of tree flowers were also estimated for the same resolution as the DCMs.

Garlic yields estimation using climate data (기상자료를 이용한 마늘 생산량 추정)

  • Choi, Sungchun;Baek, Jangsun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.969-977
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    • 2016
  • Climate change affects the growth of crops which were planted especially in fields, and it becomes more important to use climate data to predict the yields of the major vagetables. The variation of the crop products caused by climate change is one of the significant factors for the discrepancy of the demand and supply, and leads to the price instability. In this paper, using a panel regression model, we predicted the garlic yields with the weather conditions of different regions. More specifically we used the panel data of the several climate variables for 15 main garlic production areas from 2006 to 2015. Seven variables (average temperature, average maximum temperature, average minimum temperature, average surface temperature, cumulative precipitation, average relative humidity, cumulative duration time of sunshine) for each month were considered, and most significant 7 variables were selected from the total 84 variables by the stepwise regression. The random effects model was chosen by the Hausman test. The average maximum temperature (January), the cumulative precipitation (March, October), the cumulative duration time of sunshine (April, October) were chosen among the variables as the significant climate variables of the model