• Title/Summary/Keyword: temperature estimation

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Effect of Climate Change on the Tree-Ring Growth of Pinus koraiensis in Korea (기후변화가 잣나무의 연륜생장에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lim, Jong Hwan;Chun, Jung Hwa;Park, Ko Eun;Shin, Man Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.105 no.3
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    • pp.351-359
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to analyze the effect of climate change on the tree-ring growth of Pinus koraiensis in Korea. Annual tree-ring growth data of P. koraiensis collected by the $5^{th}$ National Forest Inventory were first organized to analyze yearly growth patterns of the species. When tree-ring growth data were analyzed through cluster analysis based on similarity of climatic conditions, five clusters were identified. Yearly growing degree days and standard precipitation index based on daily mean temperature and precipitation data from 1951 to 2010 were calculated by cluster. Using the information, yearly temperature effect index(TEI) and precipitation effect index(PEI) by cluster were estimated to analyze the effect of climatic conditions on the growth of the species. Tree-ring growth estimation equations by cluster were developed by using the product of yearly TEI and PEI as independent variable. The tree-ring growth estimation equations were applied to the climate change scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 for predicting the changes in tree-ring growth by cluster of P. koraiensis from 2011 to 2100. The results of this study are expected to provide valuable information necessary for estimating local growth characteristics of P. koraiensis and for predicting changes in tree-ring growth patterns caused by climate change.

Development of Sag and Tension Sensitivity Estimation Method for Configuration Control under PPWS Erection in a Suspension Bridge (현수교 PPWS 가설중 형상관리를 위한 PPWS 새그 및 장력민감도 산정법 개발)

  • Jeong, Woon;Seo, Ju Won;Lee, Won Pyo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.5A
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    • pp.255-266
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    • 2012
  • Main cable of a suspension bridge is the important member which shows the overall structure integrity at bridge completion. Configuration of main cable is a free hanging state at cable erection completion and is different from that at bridge completion supporting the dead loads such as hanger, girder, and so on. Accordingly, the configuration control under cable erection is considerably significant because the configuration at cable erection completion has direct influence on that at bridge completion. That is performed by sag adjustments at center, side span and tension adjustments at anchor span. The former needs the sag sensitivity which represents the control quantity of strand length corresponding to that of sag. The latter requires the tension sensitivity which shows the change of strand tension according to that of strand temperature. In this study, the fundamental equations of cable were derived with the assumption of either catenary or parabola shape, the differential-related equations using chain rule on horizontal tension were drawn from those and finally the estimation methods of the sag / tension sensitivity were proposed from both those. The nonlinear numerical analysis flow charts of sag sensitivity based on the catenary equations were proposed and the sag sensitivities grounded on the differential-related equations were compared with the results using them for various parameters of sag change. Also, considering the combinations of sag change parameters, the calculation method of the final variation for the cable sag was suggested. For the real suspension bridge under construction with PPWS method, the sag/tension sensitivity were estimated considering the construction conditions like the change of PPWS length, PPWS temperature, bridge span, etc.. We hope that this study will be a systematic guideline for the configuration control under main cable erection and improved highly by field verification in the real bridge site.

A Study on Safety Estimation of Railroad Wheel (컨테이너 철도차륜의 안전성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Woo;Kim, Jin-Nam;Cho, Seok-Swoo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.1178-1185
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    • 2010
  • Recently, high speed of container freight cars is causing fatigue damage of wheel. Sudden failure accidents cause a lot of physical and human damages. Therefore, damage analysis for wheel prevents failure accident of container freight car. Wheel receives mechanical and thermal loads at the same time while rolling stocks are run. The mechanical loads applied to wheel are classified by the horizontal load from contact of wheel and rail in curve line section and by the vertical force from rolling stocks weight. Also, braking and deceleration of rolling stocks cause repeated thermal load by wheel tread braking. Specially, braking of rolling stocks is frictional braking method that brake shoe is contacted in wheel tread by high breaking pressure. Frictional heat energy occurs on the contact surface between wheel tread and brake shoe. This braking converts kinetic energy of rolling stocks into heat energy by friction. This raises temperature rapidly and generates thermal loads in wheel and brake shoe. There mechanical and thermal loads generate crack and residual stress in wheel. Wetenkamp estimated temperature distribution of brake shoe experimentally. Donzella proposed fatigue life using thermal stress and residual stress. However, the load applied to wheel in aforementioned most researches considered thermal load and mechanical vertical load. Exact horizontal load is not considered as the load applied to wheel. Therefore, above-mentioned loading methods could not be applied to estimate actual stress applied to wheel. Therefore, this study proposed safety estimation on wheel of freight car using heat-structural coupled analysis on the basis of loading condition and stress intensity factor.

Application of Artificial Neural Network for estimation of daily maximum snow depth in Korea (우리나라에서 일최심신적설의 추정을 위한 인공신경망모형의 활용)

  • Lee, Geon;Lee, Dongryul;Kim, Dongkyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.10
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    • pp.681-690
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    • 2017
  • This study estimated the daily maximum snow depth using the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model in Korean Peninsula. First, the optimal ANN model structure was determined through the trial-and-error approach. As a result, daily precipitation, daily mean temperature, and daily minimum temperature were chosen as the input data of the ANN. The number of hidden layer was set to 1 and the number of nodes in the hidden layer was set to 10. In case of using the observed value as the input data of the ANN model, the cross validation correlation coefficient was 0.87, which is higher than that of the case in which the daily maximum snow depth was spatially interpolated using the Ordinary Kriging method (0.40). In order to investigate the performance of the ANN model for estimating the daily maximum snow depth of the ungauged area, the input data of the ANN model was spatially interpolated using Ordinary Kriging. In this case, the correlation coefficient of 0.49 was obtained. The performance of the ANN model in mountainous areas above 200m above sea level was found to be somewhat lower than that in the rest of the study area. This result of this study implies that the ANN model can be used effectively for the accurate and immediate estimation of the maximum snow depth over the whole country.

Study on the Estimation of Long Life Cycle and Reliability Tests for Epoxy Insulation Busway System (에폭시 박막 절연형 버스웨이 시스템의 장기 수명 및 신뢰성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Dong-Uk;Park, Seong-Hee;Lee, Kang-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.261-268
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    • 2018
  • The use of electric cable was limited due to the installation time and large space as the increase of power demand and load quantity in side line. In order to solve these problems, the application of busway system which can supply the large current was increasing. But it was lack of methods of performance tests to evaluate the reliability and results of test for busway system. In this paper, we presented items to evaluate the reliability test for epoxy coated busway system with reference to IEC 61349-6. In addition, we proposed items to evaluate the reliability and long term life cycle test for the epoxy coated busway system. The combined acceleration deterioration test that reflects actual conditions of the survey as much as possible was conducted considering both thermal and electrical stresses. The deterioration condition was selected to satisfy fifty years life expectation and the insulation performance verification test of the busway system confirmed the long term life prediction. Furthermore, as test items for reliability assessment of compliance with the environment for the use of temperature, humidity and load current where busway system was installed, thermal overload test, water immersion test, cold shock temperature test and thermal cycle test were performed. And we examined changes in characteristics and abnormality after tests. From results, the test items presented to evaluate performance and reliability of the epoxy insulated busway system were confirmed to be appropriate in this paper, and the performance of the product was also confirmed to be excellent for reliability tests.

A Study on the High Frequency Ultrasonic Attenuation Characterization in Artificially Aging Degraded 2.25Cr-1Mo Steel (2.25Cr-1Mo 강 인공 열화재의 고주파수 초음파 감쇠특성에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Ik-Keun;Park, Un-Su;Kim, Chung-Seok;Kim, Hyun-Mook;Kwun, Sook-In;Byeon, Jai-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.439-445
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    • 2001
  • The destructive method is reliable and widely used lot the estimation of material degradation but, it have time-consuming and a great difficulty in preparing specimens from in-service industrial facilities. Therefore, the estimation of degraded structural materials used at high temperature by nondestructive evaluation such as electric resistance method, replica method, Barkhausen noise method, electro-chemical method and ultrasonic method are strongly desired. Ultrasonic nondestructive evaluation technique has been reported good to attain efficiency of measurement, high sensitivity of measurement, and rapidity and reliability of result interpretation. In this study, it was verified experimentally the feasibility of the evaluation of degraded 2.25Cr-1Mo steel specimens which were prepared by the isothermal aging heat treatment at $630^{\circ}C$ by high frequency longitudinal wave method investigating the change of attenuation coefficient by FFT analysis and wavelet transform. Because of carbide precipitation increase and spheroidization near grain boundary of microstructure to aging degradation, attenuation coefficient had a tendency to increase as degradation proceeded. It was identified possibly to evaluate degradation using the characteristics of high-frequency ultrasonics. Frequency dependence of ultrasonic attenuation coefficient to aging degradation appeared large, which made sure that attenuation coefficient is an important parameter for evaluation of aging degradation.

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Estimation of Daily Net Radiation from Synoptic Meteorological Data (종관기상자료에 의한 순폭사량 추정)

  • 이변우;김병찬;명을재
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.204-208
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    • 1991
  • Five models for net radiation estimation reported by Linacre(1968), Berljand(1956), Nakayama et al. (1983), Chang (1970) and Doorenbos et al. (1977) were tested for the adaptability to Korea. A new model with effective longwave radiation term parameterized by air temperature, solar radiation and vapor pressure was formulated and tested for its accuracy. Above five models with original parameter values showed large absolute mean deviations ranging from 0.86 to 1.64 MJ/$m^2$/day. The parameters of the above five models were reestimated by using net radiation and meteorological elements measured in Suwon, Korea. These five models with new parameter values showed absolute mean deviations ranging from 0.74 to 0.88 MJ/$m^2$/day. The following model was newly formulated: Rn=(1- $\alpha$) Rs- $\sigma$ $T_{k}$$^{4}$ (0.0103 Exp (0 .0731 Rs) -0.0475 (equation omitted) +0 .2478) ($R^2$=0.997, n=63) where $\alpha$ =albedo, $\sigma$=Stefan-Boltzmann constant, Rs=solar radiation in MJ/$m^2$/day, Tk =air temperature in Kelvin and $e_{a}$=vapor pressure in mb. This model revealed 0.4988 MJ/$m^2$/day in absolute mean deviation when applied to an independent set of meteorological data.a.a.

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Estimation of Fire Dynamics Properties for Charring Material Using a Genetic Algorithm (유전 알고리즘을 이용한 탄화 재료의 화재 물성치 추정)

  • Chang, Hee-Chul;Park, Won-Hee;Lee, Duck-Hee;Jung, Woo-Sung;Son, Bong-Sei;Kim, Tae-Kuk
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.106-113
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    • 2010
  • Fire characteristics can be analyzed more realistically by using more accurate material properties related to the fire dynamics and one way to acquire these fire properties is to use one of the inverse property analyses. In this study the genetic algorithm which is frequently applied for the inverse heat transfer problems is selected to demonstrate the procedure of obtaining fire properties of the solid charring material with relatively simple chemical structure. The thermal decomposition on the surface of the test plate is occurred by receiving the radiative energy from external heat sources, and in this process the heat transfer through the test plate can be simplified by an unsteady 1-D problem. The inverse property analysis based on the genetic algorithm is then applied for the estimation of the properties related to the reaction pyrolysis. The input parameters for the analysis are the surface temperature and mass loss rate of the char plate which are determined from the unsteady 1-D analysis with a givenset of 8 properties. The estimated properties using the inverse analysis based on the genetic algorithm show acceptable agreements with the input properties used to obtain the surface temperature and mass loss rate with errors between 1.8% for the specific heat of the virgin material and 151% for the specific heat of the charred material.

Estimation of Spatial Evapotranspiration Using Terra MODIS Satellite Image and SEBAL Model - A Case of Yongdam Dam Watershed - (Terra MODIS 위성영상과 SEBAL 모형을 이용한 공간증발산량 산정 연구 - 용담댐 유역을 대상으로 -)

  • Lee, Yong-Gwan;Kim, Sang-Ho;Ahn, So-Ra;Choi, Min-Ha;Lim, Kwang-Suop;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.90-104
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to build a spatio-temporal evapotranspiration(ET) estimation model using Terra MODIS satellite image and by calibrating with the flux tower ET data from watershed. The fundamentals of spatial ET model, Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land(SEBAL) was adopted and modified to estimate the daily ET of Yongdam Dam watershed in South Korea. The daily Normalized Distribution Vegetation Index(NDVI), Albedo, and Land Surface Temperature(LST) from MODIS and the ground measured wind speed and solar radiation data were prepared for 2 years(2012-2013). The SEBAL was calibrated with the forest ET measured by Deokyusan flux tower in the study watershed. Among the model parameters, the important parameters were surface albedo, NDVI and surface roughness in order for momentum transport during calculation of sensible heat flux. As a result of the final calibration, the monthly averaged albedo and NDVI were used because the daily values showed big deviation with unrealistic change. The determination coefficient($R^2$) between SEBAL and flux data was 0.45. The spatial ET reflected the geographical characteristics showing the ET of lowland areas was higher than the highland ET.

Estimation of Soil Surface Temperature by Heat Flux in Soil (Heat flux를 이용한 토양 표면 온도 예측)

  • Hur, Seung-Oh;Kim, Won-Tae;Jung, Kang-Ho;Ha, Sang-Keon
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.131-135
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    • 2004
  • This study was carried out for the analysis of temperature characteristics on soil surface using soil heat flux which is one of the important parameters forming soil temperature. Soil surface temperature was estimated by using the soil temperature measured at 10 cm soil depth and the soil heat flux measured by flux plate at 5 cm soil depth. There was time lag of two hours between soil temperature and soil heat flux. Temperature changes over time showed a positive correlation with soil heat flux. Soil surface temperature was estimated by the equation using variable separation method for soil surface temperature. Arithmetic mean using temperatures measured at soil surface and 10 cm depth, and soil temperature measured at 5 cm depth were compared for accuracy of the value. To validate the regression model through this comparison, F-validation was used. Usefulness of deductive regression model was admitted because intended F-value was smaller than 0.001 and the determination coefficient was 0.968. It can be concluded that the estimated surface soil temperatures obtained by variable separation method were almost equal to the measured surface soil temperature.