• 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정밀공학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.123-126
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• 2000

An elevator system which is a essential equipment for a vertical movement of object, as a property of building, have been drove by various expenditure and purpose. Since developing electrical control technology, control systems are highly developed. An elevator equipment is expended to wide, but a data accuracy acquisition technique and safety predict technique for securing system safety is still basic level. So, objective verification for elevator confidence condition is required absolutely accuracy measurement technique. Therefore, this study is accomplished in order to conquer a method of depending on sense of a manager with a simple numeric measurement data, and construct a logical, analytical foresight system for more efficient elevator management system.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.61-86
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• 2010

This research analyzed on the future energy society of Korea in 2030 using system thinking approach. Key uncertainty factors determining the future energy society were analyzed in a multi disciplinary view point such as politics, economy, society, ecology and technology. Three causal loop diagrams for the future energy system in Korea and related policy leverages were shown as well. 'Global economic trends', 'change of industrial structure' and 'energy price' were identified as key uncertainty factors determining the Korean energy future. Three causal loop diagrams named as 'rate of energy self－sufficiency and alternative energy production', 'economic activity and energy demand' and 'Excavation of new growth engines' were developed. We integrated those causal loop diagrams into one to understand the entire energy system of the future, proposed three strategic scenarios(optimistic, pessimistic and most likely) and discussed implications and limits of this research.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.983-999
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• 2011

본 논문에서는 기술융합화에 따른 경기도 농업분야의 블루오션 전략으로 경기도 식물공장(vertical farm) 추진의 전략방향을 고찰하고, 이를 위한 과학기술 유관기관간 협력방안을 모색하여 본다. 기술 융복합 성격이 매우 강한 사업의 추진은 사업추진 초기부터 협력을 위한 전략 프레임을 설정하고 이에 따라 협력체계를 구축하는 것이 성공의 열쇠가 될 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 경기도 식물공장의 추진의 미래상을 시나리오플래닝을 통하여 고찰하여 보고, 이의 달성을 위한 향후 식물공장 추진 방향을 고찰한다. 농업기술 융복합 혁신의 산물인 식물공장 추진의 전략방향을 시나리오플래닝을 통하여 다차원적으로 고찰한 본 논문은 융복합 기술관련 연구 조직에게 큰 함의를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

• World Technopolis Review
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• 제3권3호
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• pp.114-121
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• 2014

This paper presents two cases of Science and Technology Parks (STPs), from Malaysia and India, that are driven by business organisations in partnership with governments. The need to locate the STP near to a university or a research institute has been considered crucial to attract firms to the STP - but in this paper, we illustrate the efforts to develop a locally relevant STP through the cases of Pahang Bio Science in Malaysia and the ICICI Knowledge Park (now known as IKP) in Hyderabad India. These two developments are anchored by business organisations that are playing a pivotal role in their development. The government plays a supporting role in terms of policy and supplying certain complementary resources. In addition, we note that the government support also provides legitimacy for the business organisation developing the STP. In the case of the Malaysian STP, we note the approach is towards inclusive development by developing linkages to local communities, and in the case of the Indian STP, one can see the development of the STP in a dynamic way changing according to the needs of the sector. Especially interesting is the foresight by the nodal business organisations in developing the STPs.

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.71-79
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• 2015

With the growth of aging population in Korea, a better care of chronic and other degenerative illnesses is urgently needed. Evidences suggest that this can be achieved through incorporating a wide range of care options, expanding beyond medical interventions. The aim of this study is to analyze the distribution of publically funded research to understand if the Korean research and development funding system matches various approaches and purposes to successfully tackle the chronic care needs of an aging society. We complied the list of funded projects to be analyzed by searching the National Technical Information Service database with key words such as aging society/senescence, chronic diseases, disability, and health promotion. Most projects were based on the biomedical approach with the purpose of establishing the etiology and clinical (treatment) interventions. Health promotion projects showed a distinctive distribution with more percentage of projects based on psycho-behavioral approaches while research on chronic diseases predominantly biomedical. It would be necessary to diversify publically-funded research projects to develop effective and efficient care technologies for the future.

• 한국IT서비스학회지
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.215-237
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• 2008

As the paradigm of communications changes from technology-centered service provision to human-centric services, the future wireless communication systems is expected to be able to provide user-centric customized and optimized services. In order to cope with such paradigm shift in communications, various research activities on next generation mobile communication systems are being carried by a number of international organization and research centers to take initiative in future ubiquitous wireless communication environment. In this paper we propose a generic research and development framework consisting of four different research and development phases, a vision and strategy establishment phase, a service development phase, a service reference model creation phase and future service foresight phase. In particular, we give prospect of future ubiquitous wireless communication services covering different service areas of future life style based on our research frameworks.

• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• 제11권4호
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• pp.34-41
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• 2023

The purpose of this paper is to consider the expansion of non-traditional security threats and the national-level response to the emergence of emerging security threats in ultra-uncertain VUCA situations. As a major research method for better analysis, the theoretical approach was referred to papers published in books and academic journals, and technical and current affairs data were studied through the Internet and literature research. The instability and uncertainty of the international order and security environment in the 21st century brought about a change in the security paradigm. Human security emerged as the protection target of security was expanded to individual humans, and emerging security was emerging as the security area expanded. Emerging security threatsthat have different characteristicsfrom traditionalsecurity threats are expressed in various ways, such as cyber threats, new infectious disease threats, terrorist threats, and abnormal climate threats. First, the policy and strategic response to respond to emerging security threats is integrated national crisis management based on artificial intelligence applying the concept of Foresight. Second, it is to establish network-based national crisis management smart governance. Third, it is to maintain the agile resilience of the concept of Agilience. Fourth, an integrated response system that integrates national power elements and national defense elements should be established.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.650-676
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• 2005

It is important to identify the mid and long-term strategic technologies and evaluate technology level for the establishment of national R&D policy to upgrade technology level in Korea. This paper summarizes the result of technology level evaluation for 99 key technologies of 'National Technology Road Map', which consists of 5 visions, of Korea. The technology level, the technological gap between Korea and world-top country, the role of government to upgrade technology level, etc. were investigated by the survey (total 1,067 respondents) and the interview with experts related to key technologies. The average technology level of Korea was $65.1\%$ of that of world-top country and average technological gap was 5.8 years. The technology level of vision I 'Building an Information-Knowledge-Intelligence Society' was $71.6\%$ and highest among 5 visions. The highest technology level among 99 key technologies was $85.6\%$ for 'Digital Broadcasting Technology' and the lowest was $20\%$ for 'weather Control Technology'. The major reasons of technological gap were investigated as the lack of R&D personnel ($23.8\%$), the shortage of R&D funds ($17.8\%$), and the insufficiency of basic research ($15.4\%$), in sequence. The average technology level of USA was evaluated to highest in the world. It was presented that the technological power of China increased rapidly in the expert interview. The result of technology level evaluation would be primary information for various national S&T planning, such as S&T basic plan, S&T foresight, technology road map, etc.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.29-53
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• 2020

기존 주경로 연구는 과거 핵심기술의 진화를 구조화하는데 적합하나, 패러다임 전환기의 잠재적 후보기술 파악과 주류기술 교체를 예측하기는 어렵다. 본 연구는 링크 중요도, 성장 속도 지표, 핵심 루트 방법을 복합해 특허 인용 네트워크로부터 주경로상의 기술을 대체할 잠재적 후보기술들을 파악하는 방법을 제시한다. 링크 중요도에 기반해 주경로를 도출하고, 성장 속도 지표를 활용해 주경로 대비 고성장하는 잠재적 후보기술 경로들을 도출한다. 성장 속도 지표는 상대적 성장성 평가에 활용되고, 이를 통해 주경로를 교체할 가능성이 높은 잠재적 후보기술을 파악할 수 있다. 차세대 기술 후보들이 다수 등장해 경쟁하고 있는 바이오 연료기술에 적용한 결과 실제 차년도에 주경로상의 기술을 교체하는 후보기술들을 파악할 수 있었다. 기술 패러다임 전환기 후보기술에 대한 정량적 분석을 가능하게 하고, 주경로 기법의 활용범위를 미래기술 예측으로 확대한 측면에서 학문적 의의가 있다. 실무에서는 차세대 후보기술 파악의 정확도 제고에 기여할 수 있다.

• 한국전자통신학회논문지
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• 제7권6호
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• pp.1245-1258
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• 2012

본 연구는 미래예측방법으로 많이 활용되고 있는 시나리오플래닝 방법론을 적용하여 한국 전자정부 기술개발의 바람직한 미래상을 도출하였다. 최근 웹에서 유비쿼터스로의 지식정보화사회의 급속한 진행으로 IT와 컴퓨팅기술에 있어, 전 세계적으로 클라우드 컴퓨팅이라는 새로운 패러다임이 불고 있다. 따라서 이는 한국 정부 및 각국 정부에 있어, 전자정부 구축과 추진에 있어서의 주목할 만한 전환점이 되고 있다. 본 연구는 클라우드 컴퓨팅 기술과 함께하는 한국 전자정부의 상대적 미래우위전략을 찾고자, 기술개발 방향을 고찰하였으며, 그 결과 한국의 전자정부에 부합하는 -서비스 수준관리(SLA)나 자원제공과 같은- 하드웨어 및 인터넷 데이터센터 관련 기술과 함께, -오픈API나 자원가상화 같은- 소프트웨어 (응용)솔루션 기술에 관련된 클라우드 컴퓨팅 기술의 중점적 개발이 그 추진할 전략이었다.