• Title/Summary/Keyword: task uncertainty

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Stock Forecasting Using Prophet vs. LSTM Model Applying Time-Series Prediction

  • Alshara, Mohammed Ali
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2022
  • Forecasting and time series modelling plays a vital role in the data analysis process. Time Series is widely used in analytics & data science. Forecasting stock prices is a popular and important topic in financial and academic studies. A stock market is an unregulated place for forecasting due to the absence of essential rules for estimating or predicting a stock price in the stock market. Therefore, predicting stock prices is a time-series problem and challenging. Machine learning has many methods and applications instrumental in implementing stock price forecasting, such as technical analysis, fundamental analysis, time series analysis, statistical analysis. This paper will discuss implementing the stock price, forecasting, and research using prophet and LSTM models. This process and task are very complex and involve uncertainty. Although the stock price never is predicted due to its ambiguous field, this paper aims to apply the concept of forecasting and data analysis to predict stocks.

A Study on the Quality Control and Operating System of Standard Reference Data(SRD) (참조표준데이터 품질관리 및 운영체계에 관한 연구)

  • Chae Kyun-shik;Lee Eung-Bong
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.283-305
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    • 2005
  • Data produced during scientific and technical activities usually have value as standard reference data (SRD) which is a well-documented numeric value assessed for reliability and accuracy. The main criteria in the evaluation for SRD is how well their production is documented including a sample preparation, measurement method, data processing and so on, other than reference data. SRD is represented as a certified numeric value with uncertainty. In this study, the SRD in the area of material properties was introduced to provide understanding of SRD and its evaluation method. Also the national SRD system was studied. The national SRD system is composed of the center for the SRD, the data centers, and the committee. The role and task of those components were studied. The legislational and systematic supports for the system were proposed in this study.

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Uncertainty Analysis of the Eddy-Covariance Turbulent Fluxes Measured over a Heterogeneous Urban Area: A Coordinate Tilt Impact (비균질 도시 지표에서 측정된 에디 공분산 난류 플럭스의 불확실성 분석: 좌표계 편향 영향)

  • Lee, Doo-Il;Lee, Jae-Hyeong;Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.473-482
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    • 2016
  • An accurate determination of turbulent fluxes over an urban area is a challenging task due to its morphological diversity and associated flow complexity. In this study, an eddy covariance (EC) method is applied over a highly heterogeneous urban area in a small city (Gongju), South Korea to investigate the quantitative influence of 'coordinate tilt' in determining the turbulent fluxes of sensible heat, latent heat, momentum, and carbon dioxide mass. Two widely-used coordinate transform methods are adopted and applied to eight directional sections centered on the site to analyze a 1-year period EC measurement obtained from the urban site: double rotation (DR) and planar fit (PF) transform. The results show that mean streamline planes determined by the PF method are distinguished from the sections, representing morphological heterogeneity of the site. The sectional pitch angles determined by the DR method also compare well with those in the PF method. Both the PF and DR methods show large variabilities in the determined streamline planes at each directional section, implying that flow patterns may form in a complicate way due to the surface heterogeneity. Resulting relative differences of the turbulent fluxes, defined by $(F_{DR}-F_{PF})/F_{DR}$, are found on average +13% in sensible heat flux, +21% in latent heat flux, +37% in momentum flux, and +26% in carbon dioxide mass flux, which are larger values than those reported previously for fairly homogeneous natural sites. The fractional differences depend significantly on wind direction, showing larger differences in northerly winds at the measurement site. It is also found that the relative fractional differences are negatively correlated with the mean wind speed at both stable/unstable atmospheric conditions. These results imply that EC turbulent fluxes determined over heterogeneous urban areas should be carefully interpreted with considering the uncertainty due to 'coordinate tilt' effect in their applications.

The Effect of Career Identity and Krumboltz's Task Approach Skills on Career Maturity, Career Barriers, and Career Aspiration (진로정체감과 Krumboltz의 과제접근기술이 진로성숙도, 진로장벽, 진로포부에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Mi;Bae, Young-Kwang;Min, Yi-Seul;Jang, Sung-Hwa
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.497-508
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    • 2014
  • The current study examined the relationships between task-approach skills of optimism, bearability, intolerance of uncertainty, career identity, career maturity, career barriers, and career aspiration. Data was collected from two-hundred sixty nine college students who matriculated in colleges located in Seoul, Gyeoungi and Chungchung provinces in Korea. The correlation analysis and multiple linear regression were carried out to explore the relationship among the variables mentioned above. The results of this study were as follows: First, career identity was positively correlated with career maturity, aspiration and negatively with career barrier. optimism was negatively correlated with career barrier. in addition, intolerance of uncertanity was positively correlated with career maturity. and negatively with career barriers. Second, multiple linear regression revealed that career identity, optimism and lacking intolerance of uncertanity significantly influenced career maturity, career identity, optimism and intolerance of uncertanity significantly influnced career barriers. In addition, only optimism influnced career aspiration. These findings implied that career counselors need to assist clients developing optimism, flexibility, bearability and counselors should be aware of the effect of task-approach skills on career, barriers, and aspiration. Further discussions regarding results are included.

Sensitivity Analysis to Relationship Between Process Parameter and Top-bead with in an Automatic $CO_2$ Welding ($CO_2$ 자동용접의 공정변수와 표면 비드폭의 상관관계에 관한 민감도 분석)

  • Seo J.H.;Kim I.S.;Kim I.J.;Son J.S.;Kim H.H.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.1845-1848
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    • 2005
  • The automatic $CO_2$ welding is a manufacturing process to produce high quality joints for metal and it could provide a capability of full automation to enhance productivity. Despite the widespread use in the various manufacturing industries, the full automation of the robotic $CO_2$ welding has not yet been achieved partly because the mathematical model for the process parameters of a given welding task is not fully understood and quantified. Several mathematical models to control welding quality, productivity, microstructure and weld properties in arc welding processes have been studied. However, it is not an easy task to apply them to the various practical situations because the relationship between the process parameters and the bead geometry is non-linear and also they are usually dependent on the specific experimental results. Practically, it is difficult, but important to know how to establish a mathematical model that can predict the result of the actual welding process and how to select the optimum welding condition under a certain constraint. In this research, an attempt has been made to develop an intelligent algorithm to predict the weld geometry (top-bead width, top-bead height, back-bead width and back-bead height) as a function of key process parameters in the robotic $CO_2$welding. A sensitivity analysis has been conducted and compared the relative impact of three process parameters on bead geometry in order to verify the measurement errors on the values of the uncertainty in estimated parameters.

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Network human-robot interface at service level

  • Nguyen, To Dong;Oh, Sang-Rok;You, Bum-Jae
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.1938-1943
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    • 2005
  • Network human-robot interface is an important research topic. In home application, users access the robotic system directly via voice, gestures or through the network. Users explore a system by using the services provided by this system and to some extend users are enable to participate in a service as partners. A service may be provided by a robot, a group of robots or robots and other network connected systems (distributed sensors, information systems, etc). All these services are done in the network environment, where uncertainty such as the unstable network connection, the availability of the partners in a service, exists. Moreover, these services are controlled by several users, accessing at different time by different methods. Our research aimed at solving this problem to provide a high available level, flexible coordination system. In this paper, a multi-agent framework is proposed. This framework is validated by using our new concept of slave agents, a responsive multi-agent environment, a virtual directory facilitator (VDF), and a task allocation system using contract net protocol. Our system uses a mixed model between distributed and centralized model. It uses a centralized agent management system (AMS) to control the overall system. However, the partners and users may be distributed agents connected to the center through agent communication or centralized at the AMS container using the slave agents to represent the physical agents. The system is able to determine the task allocation for a group of robot working as a team to provide a service. A number of experiments have been conducted successfully in our lab environment using Issac robot, a PDA for user agent and a wireless network system, operated under our multi agent framework control. The experiments show that this framework works well and provides some advantages to existing systems.

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A Study on the Relationship between Organizational Culture, Organizational Commitment and Organization Citizenship Behavior in hospitals (병원 조직문화 및 조직몰입과 조직시민행동 간의 관계에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yong-Chul;Choi, Su-Hyung
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2002
  • D. W. Organ(1977) published a paper about the importance of Organizational Citizenship Behavior(OCB) in an organization. Since then, the studies of OCB have been continuously increased. As recent business environment has changed with rapidity and uncertainty, OCB for the improvement performance of organization should be more emphasized. Role behaviors of organization are divided into two parts such as in-role behavior and extra-role behavior. In recent, although the researches about extra-role behavior have been studied, they are still not sufficient. This study attempted to examine relationships between organizational culture, organizational commitment and organizational citizenship behavior, Sample was 193 employee engaged in hospitals of Pusan. In this study I chose four factor(affective, conservative, task and innovative culture) of organizational culture and three factors (affective, continuous and normative commitment) of organizational commitment and five factors(altruism, conscientiousness, courtesy, civic virtue and sportsmanship) with regard to organization citizenship behavior. The major findings of the empirical research are as follows ; 1. The Causal relation of dimensions of organizational culture and dimensions of OCB. 1) Affective culture has significant impact on courtesy, civic virtue of OCB. 2) Conservative culture has no significant impact on all of OCB. 3) Task culture has significant impact on conscientiousness, civic virtue, sportsmanship of OCB. 4) Innovative culture has no significant impact on courtesy, civic virtue of OCB. 2. The Causal relation of dimensions of organizational commitment and dimensions of OCB. 1) Affective commitment has significant impact on all of OCB. 2) Continuous commitment has no significant impact on all of OCB. 3) Normative commitment has significant impact on courtesy, civic virtue of OCB. In brief, though this study has several limitations in research design and methods, the results suggest that organizational culture of hospitals and organizational comitment of hospitals shows a strong relationship to the organization citizenship behavior.

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Decision Analysis System for Job Guidance using Rough Set (러프집합을 통한 취업의사결정 분석시스템)

  • Lee, Heui-Tae;Park, In-Kyoo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.387-394
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    • 2013
  • Data mining is the process of discovering hidden, non-trivial patterns in large amounts of data records in order to be used very effectively for analysis and forecasting. Because hundreds of variables give rise to a high level of redundancy and dimensionality with time complexity, they are more likely to have spurious relationships, and even the weakest relationships will be highly significant by any statistical test. Hence cluster analysis is a main task of data mining and is the task of grouping a set of objects in such a way that objects in the same group are more similar to each other than to those in other groups. In this paper system implementation is of great significance, which defines a new definition based on information-theoretic entropy and analyse the analogue behaviors of objects at hand so as to address the measurement of uncertainties in the classification of categorical data. The sources were taken from a survey aimed to identify of job guidance from students in high school pyeongtaek. we show how variable precision information-entropy based rough set can be used to group student in each section. It is proved that the proposed method has the more exact classification than the conventional in attributes more than 10 and that is more effective in job guidance for students.

The opinions of some local clinical dental hygienists on medical personnel of dental hygienists (일부지역 임상치과위생사들의 치과위생사 의료인화에 대한 견해)

  • Ryu, Hae-Gyum
    • Journal of Korean society of Dental Hygiene
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1067-1077
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: The purpose of the study is to investigate the opinions of some local clinical dental hygienists on medical personnel of dental hygienists. It will be for provide the Future dental hygienist basic data necessary for medical personnel. Methods: A self-reported questionnaire was completed by 171 dental hygienists in Busan and Gyeongnam from December 1, 2017 to January 31, 2018. Structured questionnaires were uesd for analysis. The questionnaire consisted of general characteristics of the subjects(7 items), medical personnel necessity and opinions of dental hygienist(2 items), the opinions of distinction of the task between dental hygienists and other personnel(2 items), many frequency task in the dental clinic. The collected data were analyzed using frequency, percentage, descriptive statistics and ANOVA using IBM SPSS VER 20.0. Results: 89.5% of the dental hygienists required medical personnel of dental hygienist, the opinions on the necessity were as follows: 'role and quality improvement as oral health professionals', 'lack of legislation and application of dental hygienists duties'. There was no difference reason between dental hygienists and other personnel on duties, the reason were investigated to uncertainty of dental hygienist system, lack of dental hygienist workforce, dentists lack awareness of dental hygienist expertise. There was surveyed by the current many frequency duties in the dental clinic, assist for dental treatment, Oral health education and counselling, Preventive dental treatment. Conclusions: Legal guarantees for clinical dental hygienists work are absolutely required. Therefore, relevant government agencies and related organizations should resolve the contradiction of the legal system of medical law and medical technicians. The clinical dental hygienists should be promoted to medical personnel through the amendment of the medical law so that the duties practiced by the dental hygienist can be matched with the legal practice.

Map Building and Localization Based on Wave Algorithm and Kalman Filter

  • Saitov, Dilshat;Choi, Jeong Won;Park, Ju Hyun;Lee, Suk Gyu
    • IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.102-108
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    • 2008
  • This paper describes a mapping and localization based on wave algorithm[11] and Kalman filter for effective SLAM. Each robot in a multi robot system has its own task such as building a map for its local position. By combining their data into a shared map, the robot scans actively seek to verify their relative locations. For simultaneous localization the algorithm which is well known as Kalman Filter (KF) is used. For modelling the robot position we wish to know three parameters (x, y coordinates and its orientation) which can be combined into a vector called a state variable vector. The Kalman Filter is a smart way to integrate measurement data into an estimate by recognizing that measurements are noisy and that sometimes they should ignored or have only a small effect on the state estimate. In addition to an estimate of the state variable vector, the algorithm provides an estimate of the state variable vector uncertainty i.e. how confident the estimate is, given the value for the amount of error in it.

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