• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 1990.10a
• /
• pp.161-166
• /
• 1990

In this paper, Proposed the robust controller for robot manipulator plus actuator with dynamic parameter uncertainties. In general, errors and uncertainties system parameters exist more or less between the actual system and mathematical model. To reduce these trems, used Lyapunov stability theorem. The performance of the controller is evaluated for the three degree of freedom robot manipulator plus actuator model with uncertainties of parameters and model errors.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
• /
• 2003.07c
• /
• pp.1779-1781
• /
• 2003

For reliability of high voltage test results in test laboratory, traceability of measuring systems is to be needed. In this paper, it deals with traceability and uncertainty of AC voltage measuring system which is tested by comparison with reference divider.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.45 no.5
• /
• pp.481-493
• /
• 2012

The Uncertainty of drought events can be regarded as supernatural phenomena so that the uncertainty of water supply system will be also uncontrollable. Decision making for water supply system operation must be dealt with in consideration of hydrologic uncertainty conditions. When ultimate small quantity of precipitation or streamflow lasts, water supply system might be impacted as well as stream pollution, aqua- ecosystem degradation, reservoir dry-up and river aesthetic waste etc. In case of being incapable of supplying water owing to continuation of severe drought, it can make the damage very serious beyond our prediction. This study analyzes comprehensively sustained drought impacts on the Han River Basin Water Supply System. Drought scenarios consisted of several sustained times and return periods for 5 sub-watersheds are generated using a stochastic hydrologic time series model. The developed drought scenarios are applied to assess water supply performance at the Paldang Dam. The results show that multi-year drought events reflecting spatial hydrologic diversity need to be examined in order to recognize variation of the unexpected drought impacts.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
• /
• v.35 no.5_1
• /
• pp.625-636
• /
• 2019

Soil moisture is a representative factor that plays a key role in hydrological cycle. It is involved in the interaction between atmosphere and land surface, and is used in fields such as agriculture and water resources. Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2), Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT), and European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative (ESACCI) data were used to analyze the applicability and uncertainty of satellite soil moisture product in the Korean peninsula. Cumulative distribution function (CDF) matching and triple collocation (TC) analysis were carried out to investigate uncertainty and correction of satellite soil moisture data. Comparisons of pre-calibration satellite soil moisture data with the Automated Agriculture Observing System (AAOS) indicated that ESACCI and ASCAT data reflect the trend of AAOS well. On the other hand, AMSR2 satellite data showed overestimated values during the freezing period. Correction of satellite soil moisture data using CDF matching improved the error and correlation compared to those before correction. Finally, uncertainty analysis of soil moisture was carried out using TC method. Clearly, the uncertainty of the satellite soil moisture, corrected by CDF matching, was diminished in both freezing and thawing periods. Overall, it is expected that using ASCAT and ESACCI rather than AMSR2 soil moisture data will give more accurate soil moisture information when correction is performed on the Korean peninsula.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.54 no.10
• /
• pp.747-757
• /
• 2021

Quantification of extreme rainfall is very important in establishing a flood protection plan, and a general measure of extreme rainfall is expressed as an T-year return level. In this study, a method was proposed for quantifying spatial distribution and uncertainty of daily rainfall depths with various return periods using a hierarchical Bayesian model combined with climate and geographical information, and was applied to the Seoul-Incheon-Gyeonggi region. The annual maximum daily rainfall depth of six automated synoptic observing system weather stations of the Korea Meteorological Administration in the study area was fitted to the generalized extreme value distribution. The applicability and reliability of the proposed method were investigated by comparing daily rainfall quantiles for various return levels derived from the at-site frequency analysis and the regional frequency analysis based on the index flood method. The uncertainty of the regional frequency analysis based on the index flood method was found to be the greatest at all stations and all return levels, and it was confirmed that the reliability of the regional frequency analysis based on the hierarchical Bayesian model was the highest. The proposed method can be used to generate the rainfall quantile maps for various return levels in the Seoul-Incheon-Gyeonggi region and other regions with similar spatial sizes.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
• /
• v.22 no.4
• /
• pp.47-52
• /
• 2014

Species distribution models have been widely applied in order to assess biodiversity, design reserve, manage habitat and predict climate change. However, SDMs has been used restrictively to the public and policy sectors owing to model uncertainty. Recent studies on ensemble and consensus models have been increased to reduce model uncertainty. This paper was carried out single model and multi model for Corylopsis coreana and compares two models. First, model evaluation was used AUC, kappa and TSS. TSS was the most effective method because it was easy to compare several models and convert binary maps. Second, both single and ensemble model show good performance and RF, Maxent and GBM was evaluated higher, GAM and SRE was evaluated lower relatively. Third, ensemble model tended to overestimate over single model. This problem can be solved by the suitable model selection and weighting through collaboration between field experts and modeler. Finally, we should identify causes and magnitude of model uncertainty and improve data quality and model methods in order to apply special decision-making support system and conservation planning, and when we make policy decisions using SDMs, we should recognize uncertainty and risk.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
• /
• v.62 no.5
• /
• pp.47-62
• /
• 2020

Rice paddy accounts for approximately 52.5% of all farmlands in South Korea, and it is closely related to the water environment. Climate change is expected to affect not only agricultural productivity also the water and the nutrient circulation. Therefore this study was aimed to evaluate changes of nitrogen load from rice paddy considering climate change scenario uncertainty. APEX-Paddy model which reflect rice paddy environment by modifying APEX (Agricultural Policy and Environmental eXtender) model was used. Using the AIMS (APCC Integrated Modeling Solution) offered by the APEC Climate Center, bias correction was conducted for 9 GCMs using non-parametric quantile mapping. Bias corrected climate change scenarios were applied to the APEX-Paddy model. The changes and uncertainty in runoff and nitrogen load were evaluated using multi-model ensemble. Paddy runoff showed a change of 23.1% for RCP4.5 scenario and 45.5% for RCP8.5 scenario compared the 2085s (2071 to 2100) against the base period (1976 to 2005). The nitrogen load was found to be increased as 43.9% for RCP4.5 scenario and 76.0% for RCP8.5 scenario. The uncertainty analysis showed that the annual standard deviation of nitrogen loads increased in the future, and the maximum entropy indicated an increasing tendency. And Duncan's analysis showed significant differences among GCMs as the future progressed. The result of this study seems to be used as a basis for mid- and long-term policies for water resources and water system environment considering climate change.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
• /
• 2008.04a
• /
• pp.155-156
• /
• 2008

In this paper, an interval type-2 fuzzy logic system is designed and compared with a type-1 fuzzy logic system. To compare performance of a type-1 fuzzy logic system with the type-2 fuzzy logic system, we apply type-1 fuzzy logic system and type-2 system to modeling the noised data. Membership function of interval type-2 fuzzy logic system is designed consequents of rules including uncertainty. For general type-2 fuzzy logic system computational complexity is severe. On the other hand, theoretic and arithmetic computations for interval type-2 fuzzy logic systems are very simple.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
• /
• v.7 no.5
• /
• pp.672-680
• /
• 2012

This paper proposes the control strategy of the shunt Flexible AC Transmission System (FACTS) devices to improve transient stability in multimachine power system. The multimachine power system has high nonlinear response after severe disturbance. The concept of Lyapunov energy function is applied to derive nonlinear control strategy and it was found that the time derivative of line voltage is not only can apply to control the shunt FACTS devices in multimachine system but also is locally measurable signal. The fuzzy logic control is also applied to overcome the uncertainty of various disturbances in multimachine power system. This paper presents the method of investigating the effect of the shunt FACTS devices on transient stability improvement. The proposed control strategy and the method of simulation are tested on the new England power system. It was found that the shunt FACTS devices based on the proposed nonlinear control strategy can improve transient stability of multimachine power system.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
• /
• 2005.11b
• /
• pp.344-346
• /
• 2005

The recovery time of developing SFCL(Superconducting Fault Current Limiter) has an uncertainty. In general, the recovery time is estimated at 1 sec and more, even though the progress of SFCL technology is considered. However, auto reclosing time of circuit breaker is 0.5 sec in Korean distribution power system. It is impossible to apply only one SFCL to power system because the recovery time is over the reclosing time of protection system. This study proposes a new SFCL system for distribution power system application. The proposed systems consider auto reclosing action for the protection in practical power system and consist of tow parallel SFCLs.