• Title/Summary/Keyword: system uncertainty

Search Result 2,446, Processing Time 0.035 seconds

An Analysis of International Research Trends in Green Infrastructure for Coastal Disaster (해안재해 대응 그린 인프라스트럭쳐의 국제 연구동향 분석)

  • Song, Kihwan;Song, Jihoon;Seok, Youngsun;Kim, Hojoon;Lee, Junga
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.17-33
    • /
    • 2023
  • Disasters in coastal regions are a constant source of damage due to their uncertainty and complexity, leading to the proposal of green infrastructure as a nature-based solution that incorporates the concept of resilience to address the limitations of traditional grey infrastructure. This study analyzed trends in research related to coastal disasters and green infrastructure by conducting a co-occurrence keyword analysis of 2,183 articles collected from the Web of Science (WoS). The analysis resulted in the classification of the literature into four clusters. Cluster 1 is related to coastal disasters and tsunamis, as well as predictive simulation techniques, and includes keywords such as surge, wave, tide, and modeling. Cluster 2 focuses on the social system damage caused by coastal disasters and theoretical concepts, with keywords such as population, community, and green infrastructure elements like habitat, wetland, salt marsh, coral reef, and mangrove. Cluster 3 deals with coastal disaster-related sea level rise and international issues, and includes keywords such as sea level rise (or change), floodplain, and DEM. Finally, cluster 4 covers coastal erosion and vulnerability, and GIS, with the theme of 'coastal vulnerability and spatial technique'. Keywords related to green infrastructure in cluster 2 have been continuously appearing since 2016, but their focus has been on the function and effect of each element. Based on this analysis, implications for planning and management processes using green infrastructure in response to coastal disasters have been derived. This study can serve as a valuable resource for future research and policy in responding to and managing various disasters in coastal regions.

Development of a predictive functional control approach for steel building structure under earthquake excitations

  • Mohsen Azizpour;Reza Raoufi;Ehsan Kazeminezhad
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.187-198
    • /
    • 2023
  • Model Predictive Control (MPC) is an advanced control approach that uses the current states of the system model to predict its future behavior. In this article, according to the seismic dynamics of structural systems, the Predictive Functional Control (PFC) method is used to solve the control problem. Although conventional PFC is an efficient control method, its performance may be impaired due to problems such as uncertainty in the structure of state sensors and process equations, as well as actuator saturation. Therefore, it requires the utilization of appropriate estimation algorithms in order to accurately evaluate responses and implement actuator saturation. Accordingly, an extended PFC is presented based on the H-ifinity (H∞) filter (HPFC) while considering simultaneously the saturation actuator. Accordingly, an extended PFC is presented based on the H-ifinity (H∞) filter (HPFC) while considering the saturation actuator. Thus, the structural responses are formulated by two estimation models using the H∞ filter. First, the H∞ filter estimates responses using a performance bound (𝜃). Second, the H∞ filter is converted into a Kalman filter in a special case by considering the 𝜃 equal to zero. Therefore, the scheme based on the Kalman filter (KPFC) is considered a comparative model. The proposed method is evaluated through numerical studies on a building equipped with an Active Tuned Mass Damper (ATMD) under near and far-field earthquakes. Finally, HPFC is compared with classical (CPFC) and comparative (KPFC) schemes. The results show that HPFC has an acceptable efficiency in boosting the accuracy of CPFC and KPFC approaches under earthquakes, as well as maintaining a descending trend in structural responses.

Improving the Security Policy Based on Data Value for Defense Innovation with Science and Technology (과학기술 중심 국방혁신을 위한 데이터 가치 기반 보안정책 발전 방향)

  • Heungsoon Park
    • Convergence Security Journal
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.109-115
    • /
    • 2023
  • The future outlook for defense faces various and challenging environments such as the acceleration of uncertainty in the global security landscape and limitations in domestic social and economic conditions. In response, the Ministry of National Defense seeks to address the problems and threats through defense innovation based on scientific and technological advancements such as artificial intelligence, drones, and robots. To introduce advanced AI-based technology, it is essential to integrate and utilize data on IT environments such as cloud and 5G. However, existing traditional security policies face difficulties in data sharing and utilization due to mainly system-oriented security policies and uniform security measures. This study proposes a paradigm shift to a data value-based security policy based on theoretical background on data valuation and life-cycle management. Through this, it is expected to facilitate the implementation of scientific and technological innovations for national defense based on data-based task activation and new technology introduction.

A Study on Determination of VPP Cloud Charges (VPP 클라우드 요금 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Chung-Hwan;Kim, Dong-Sub;Moon, Chae-Joo
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.299-308
    • /
    • 2022
  • Recent, energy transition policies are driving to increase in the number of small photovoltaic(PV) generators. It is difficult for system operators to accurately anticipate the amount of power generated from such small scale PV generation, and this may disrupt dispatch schedules and result in an increase in cost. The need for a Virtual Power Plant(VPP) is emerging as a way of resolving these problems, as it would integrate small-scale PV plants and eliminate uncertainty about the amount of power generated, control voltage, and provide power reserves. In this paper, the cost evaluation methods are described for determination of VPP cloud charges both Net Present Value(NPV) method and Profitability Index(PI) method, the calculated outcomes of the two types of cost evaluation methods are presented in detail. It seems we secure profitability as we get 1.22 of profitability index from calculation results, it may be attractive for the aggregator as NPV is enough for satisfying profitability.

A study on the uncertainty analysis of LENS-GRM using formal and informal likelihood measure (정형·비정형 우도를 이용한 LENS-GRM 불확실성 해석)

  • Lee, Sang Hyup;Choo, Inn Kyo;Yu, Yeong Uk;Jung, Younghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2020.06a
    • /
    • pp.317-317
    • /
    • 2020
  • 수재해는 수자원 인프라의 부족 및 관리 미흡 등 많은 요인들이 있지만 강우의 유무와 크기가 가장 원초적인 요인들 중 하나이다. 정확한 강우량 추정 및 강우발생시간 예측은 수재해로 인한 피해를 예방하고 빠르게 대처할 수 있다. 그러나 강우예측에는 많은 불확실성을 내포하고 있기 때문에 이러한 불확실성을 이해하고 줄여 나가는 것이 필요하다. 최근 컴퓨터의 성능의 발전에 비례해 강우 예측 자료들도 점진적으로 발전을 거듭하고 있다. 이를 강우-유출 모형에 적용시 유출량 예측의 정확성 또한 비례하여 한층 더 발전할 수 있을 것이다. 하지만 신뢰성이 낮은 입력자료를 대상으로 하는 유출해석 모형은 많은 불확실성을 내포할 것이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 위천 유역에 대해 LENS(Limited area ENsemble prediction System) 강우앙상블 예측자료의 적용성을 검토하고 그리드 기반 강우 유출 모델 GRM(Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model) 에 적용하여 유출예측의 불확실성을 평가하고자 하였다. 또한 강우예측 및 유출예측은 수 많은 매개변수를 포함하며 최종적인 예측은 더 큰 불확실한 범위로 산출될 수 있다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 Python3 기반 코딩으로 LENS 자료 구축 및 GRM 모형의 매개변수 보정을 각 2000회 씩에 걸쳐 총 2회 실시하여 수문학적, 지형학적 인자에 따른 불확실성 범위를 보정하고자 하였다. 매개변수의 보정은 비정형우도(Informal likelihood) NSE, 정형우도(Formal likelihood) Lognormal(Log-likelihood function)의 우도에 따른 행위모델을 산정하여 보정하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 선행연구들을 참고한 정형, 비정형 우도의 임계치를 이용한 불확실성해석에 적용하였으며 이는 사용자의 행위모델선정 임계치 범위 선정으로 인한 불확실성을 줄여나감에 기여할 수 있을것으로 사료된다.

  • PDF

Multiple PDAF Algorithm for Estimation States Multiple of the Ships (다중 선박의 상태추정을 위한 Multiple PDAF 알고리즘)

  • Jaeha Choi;Jeonghong Park;Minju Kang;Hyejin Kim;Wonkeun Youn
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
    • /
    • v.60 no.4
    • /
    • pp.248-255
    • /
    • 2023
  • In order to implement the autonomous navigation function, it is essential to track an object within a certain radius of the ship's route. This paper proposes the Multiple Probabilistic Data Association Filter (MPDAF), which can track multiple ships by extending Probabilistic Data Association Filter (PDAF), an existing single object tracking algorithm, using radar data obtained from real marine environments. The proposed MPDAF algorithm was developed to address the problem of tracking multiple objects in a complex environment where there can be significant uncertainty in the number and identification of objects to be tracked. Using real-world radar data provided by the German aerospace center (DLR), it has been verified that the proposed algorithm can track a large number of objects with a small position error.

Ashbery's Aesthetics of Difficulty: Information Theory and Hypertext

  • Ryoo, Gi Taek
    • Journal of English Language & Literature
    • /
    • v.58 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1001-1021
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper is concerned with John Ashbery's poetics of difficulty, questioning in particular the nature of communication in his difficult poems. Ashbery has an idea of poetry as 'information' to be transmitted to the reader. Meaning, however, is to be created by a series of selections among equally probable choices. Ashbery's poetry has been characterized by resistance to the interpretive system of meaning. But the resistance itself, as I will argue, can be an effective medium of communication as the communicated message is not simply transmitted but 'selected' and thus created by the reader. In Ashbery's poetry, disruptive 'noise' elements can be processed as constructive information. What is normally considered a hindrance or noise can be reversed and added to the information. In Ashbery's poems, random ambiguities or noises can be effectively integrated into the final structure of meaning. Such a stochastic sense of information transfer has been embodied in Ashbery's idea of creating a network of verbal elements in his poetry, analogous to the interconnecting web of hypertext, the most dynamic medium 'information technology' has brought to us. John Ashbery, whose poems are simultaneously incomprehensible and intelligent, employs ambiguities or noise in his poetry, with an attempt to reach through linear language to express nonlinear realities. It is therefore my intention to examine Ashbery's poetics of difficulty, from a perspective of communication transmission, using the theories of information technology and the principles of hypertext theory. Ashbery's poetry raises precisely the problem confronted in the era of communication and information technology. The paper will also show how his aesthetics of difficulty reflects the culture of our uncertain times with overflowing information. With his difficult enigmatic poems, Ashbery was able to move ahead of the technological advances of his time to propose a new way of perceiving the world and life.

Metaheuristic models for the prediction of bearing capacity of pile foundation

  • Kumar, Manish;Biswas, Rahul;Kumar, Divesh Ranjan;T., Pradeep;Samui, Pijush
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • v.31 no.2
    • /
    • pp.129-147
    • /
    • 2022
  • The properties of soil are naturally highly variable and thus, to ensure proper safety and reliability, we need to test a large number of samples across the length and depth. In pile foundations, conducting field tests are highly expensive and the traditional empirical relations too have been proven to be poor in performance. The study proposes a state-of-art Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) hybridized Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS); and comparative analysis of metaheuristic models (ANN-PSO, ELM-PSO, ANFIS-PSO) for prediction of bearing capacity of pile foundation trained and tested on dataset of nearly 300 dynamic pile tests from the literature. A novel ensemble model of three hybrid models is constructed to combine and enhance the predictions of the individual models effectively. The authenticity of the dataset is confirmed using descriptive statistics, correlation matrix and sensitivity analysis. Ram weight and diameter of pile are found to be most influential input parameter. The comparative analysis reveals that ANFIS-PSO is the best performing model in testing phase (R2 = 0.85, RMSE = 0.01) while ELM-PSO performs best in training phase (R2 = 0.88, RMSE = 0.08); while the ensemble provided overall best performance based on the rank score. The performance of ANN-PSO is least satisfactory compared to the other two models. The findings were confirmed using Taylor diagram, error matrix and uncertainty analysis. Based on the results ELM-PSO and ANFIS-PSO is proposed to be used for the prediction of bearing capacity of piles and ensemble learning method of joining the outputs of individual models should be encouraged. The study possesses the potential to assist geotechnical engineers in the design phase of civil engineering projects.

Comparison of Epistemic Characteristics of Using Primary and Secondary Data in Inquiries about Noise Conducted by Elementary School Preservice Teachers: Focusing on the Cases of Science Inquiry Reports (소음에 대한 초등 예비교사들의 탐구에서 나타나는 1차 데이터와 2차 데이터 활용의 인식적 특징 비교 - 과학탐구 보고서 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Chang, Jina;Na, Jiyeon
    • Journal of Korean Elementary Science Education
    • /
    • v.43 no.1
    • /
    • pp.81-94
    • /
    • 2024
  • This study explores and conducts an in-depth comparison of the epistemic characteristics in different data types utilized in the science inquiries of preservice teachers regarding noise as a risk in everyday life. Focusing on primary and secondary data in the context of science inquiries about noise, we examined how these data types differ in science inquires in terms of inquiry design, data collection, and analyses. The findings reveal that sensor-based primary data enable direct measurement and observation of key phenomena. Conversely, secondary data rely on predetermined measurement methods within a public data system. These differences require different epistemic considerations during the inquiry process. Based on these findings, we discuss the educational implications concerning teaching approaches for science inquiries, teacher education for inquiry teaching, and the development of risk response competencies in preparation for the VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, and Ambiguity) era.

A Study on the Improvement Plan for Reducing the Risk of Crowed Event (다중운집행사 리스크 저감을 위한 개선방안 연구)

  • Nam-Kwun Park
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.379-389
    • /
    • 2024
  • Purpose and Method: Crowed Events can lead to sudden accidents caused by unpredictable variables. Therefore, focusing on the '10.29 Itaewon accident' among the representative cases, we examined the accident as the process of occurrence. In addition, improvement measures were suggested through analysis of related legal systems. Result: In the Itaewon accident, a "colony wave phenomenon" occurred due to "ultra-high-density cluster stay". In addition, cluster destruction occurred from a weak location in the cluster due to clusters and pressures in different directions to avoid this. Looking at the laws related to the safety management of Crowed Events, the laws and regulations differ depending on the location and type. Due to the complementary nature of the approach to the legal blind spot, the legal system that uses similar terms of the same concept and is not systematic is causing uncertainty in the application and interpretation of the law. Conclusion: Crowd control and on-site management should be carried out for events when the cluster density is expected to reach 8 people/m2 or reached. Consistency should be maintained through the unified application of legislation to related legislation.