• Title/Summary/Keyword: system uncertainty

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Quantitative Comparison of Activity Calculation Methods for the Selection of Most Reliable Radionuclide Inventory Estimation

  • Hwang, Ki-Ha;Lee, Sang-Chul;Lee, Kun-Jai;Jeong, Chan-Woo;Ahn, Sang-Myeon;Kim, Tae-Wook;Kim, Kyoung-Doek;Herr, Y.H.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Radioactive Waste Society Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.322-327
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    • 2003
  • It is important to know the accurate radionuclide inventory of radioactive waste for the reliable management. However, estimation of radionuclide concentrations in drummed radioactive waste is difficult and unreliable because of difficulties of direct detection, high cost, and radiation exposure of sampling personnel. In order to overcome these difficulties, scaling factors (SFs) have been used to assess the activities of radionuclides that could not be directly analyzed. A radionuclide assay system has been operated at KORI site since 1996 and consolidated scaling factor method has played a dominant role in determination of radionuclides concentrations. However, some problems are still remained such as uncertainty of estimated scaling factor values, inaccuracy of analyzed sample values, and disparity between the actual and ideal correlation pairs and the others. Therefore, it needs to improve the accuracy of scaling factor values. The scope of this paper is focused on the improvement of accuracy and representativeness of calculated scaling factor values based on statistical techniques. For the selection of reliable activity determination method, the accuracy of estimated SF values for each activity determination method is compared. From the comparison of each activity determination methods, it is recommended that SF determination method should be changed from the arithmetic mean to the geometrical mean for more reliable estimation of radionuclide activity. Arithmetic mean method and geometric mean method are compared based on the data set in KORI system.

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Case Study of 4D CAD Modeling in Hi-Rise Complex Buildings Project (초고층 복합시설물의 4D CAD 모델링 사례연구)

  • Kwan Oh-Sung;Park Woo-Yul;Cho Hun-Hee;Kang Kyung-In
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.187-192
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    • 2001
  • High-Rise Building Construction Project which has high uncertainty and complexity, causes lots of problems under construction. In particular, the integration between design phase and construction phase highly affects a construction project in terms of cost and time. To possibly make the flexible response and preliminary verification against the construction planning problems in high rise building project, this paper proposes the Engineering-Construction Management System based on 4D CAD that put the time factor together with 3D CAD. The usefulness of this system has been verified through the actual project. It could helps the reducing trials and errors during construction phase by catching the factors on problems of project. Ultimately it will allow users to save project cost and duration by field application.

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A Fuzzy AHP based Decision making Model for ground operations (지상작전수립을 위한 Fuzzy-AHP 기반의 의사결정 모델 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Kyun;Kim, Ki-Ang;Na, Hong-Bum;Park, Jin-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 2008
  • The ROK army has equipped ATCIS (Army Tactical Control Information System) for the Corps echelon to visualize the battlefield and reduce the reaction time. Due to the information&surveillance equipment, uncertainty and variance of the battlefield have been decreased. However decision making for the ground operations has not changed as it depends on knowledge of the commander and staffs. The War game process to select and assess the best CoA (Course of Action) also depends on the pros and cons due to the limitation of time and capability. For the balanced development between intangible and tangible military strength, a new decision making process which is quantitative and useful for the military is needed. In this study, we suggest a Fuzzy-AHP based decision making model to improve troop leading procedure which is useful to evaluate and reflect intangible characteristics of the battlefield.

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ANALYSIS OF TMI-2 BENCHMARK PROBLEM USING MAAP4.03 CODE

  • Yoo, Jae-Sik;Suh, Kune-Yull
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.41 no.7
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    • pp.945-952
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    • 2009
  • The Three Mile Island Unit 2 (TMI-2) accident provides unique full scale data, thus providing opportunities to check the capability of codes to model overall plant behavior and to perform a spectrum of sensitivity and uncertainty calculations. As part of the TMI-2 analysis benchmark exercise sponsored by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Nuclear Energy Agency (OECD NEA), several member countries are continuing to improve their system analysis codes using the TMI-2 data. The Republic of Korea joined this benchmark exercise in November 2005. Seoul National University has analyzed the TMI-2 accident as well as the currently proposed alternative scenario along with a sensitivity study using the Modular Accident Analysis Program Version 4.03 (MAAP4.03) code in collaboration with the Korea Hydro and Nuclear Power Company. Two input files are required to simulate the TMI-2 accident with MAAP4: the parameter file and an input deck. The user inputs various parameters, such as volumes or masses, for each component. The parameter file contains the information on TMI-2 relevant to the plant geometry, system performance, controls, and initial conditions used to perform these benchmark calculations. The input deck defines the operator actions and boundary conditions during the course of the accident. The TMI-2 accident analysis provided good estimates of the accident output data compared with the OECD TMI-2 standard reference. The alternative scenario has proposed the initial event as a loss of main feed water and a small break on the hot leg. Analysis is in progress along with a sensitivity study concerning the break size and elevation.

An Dynamic Analysis on the Technology Innovation of Auto Production Industry (자동차산업 기술혁신의 동학적 분석)

  • Song, Tae-Bock;Namn, Su-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.85-108
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    • 2011
  • Under Ford system, corporations sought to maximize the economies of scale by raising the production efficiency. It aims to lower the production cost by increasing the quantity of output. But in the era of market flux and uncertainty, however, such strategies can no longer be sustained. Replacing the structures of Ford system, Toyota was able to accelerate the pace of process innovation and product innovation. Related to this innovation is JIT, new model development, modularization. The firm's reliance on flexible production technology provides opportunities to expand her production basis to foreign countries successfully. The main objective of this paper is to explore the contribution of process innovation to profit-capital ratio. The model is estimated using a time-series data of 18 years from 1990 to 2007 of auto production industry in korea. An Implication of this estimation shows that process innovation explains a significant portion of profit-capital ratio.

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Position Improvement of a Mobile Robot by Real Time Tracking of Multiple Moving Objects (실시간 다중이동물체 추적에 의한 이동로봇의 위치개선)

  • Jin, Tae-Seok;Lee, Min-Jung;Tack, Han-Ho;Lee, In-Yong;Lee, Joon-Tark
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.187-192
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    • 2008
  • The Intelligent Space(ISpace) provides challenging research fields for surveillance, human-computer interfacing, networked camera conferencing, industrial monitoring or service and training applications. ISpace is the space where many intelligent devices, such as computers and sensors, are distributed. According to the cooperation of many intelligent devices, the environment, it is very important that the system knows the location information to offer the useful services. In order to achieve these goals, we present a method for representing, tracking and human Jollowing by fusing distributed multiple vision systems in ISpace, with application to pedestrian tracking in a crowd. This paper describes appearance based unknown object tracking with the distributed vision system in intelligent space. First, we discuss how object color information is obtained and how the color appearance based model is constructed from this data. Then, we discuss the global color model based on the local color information. The process of learning within global model and the experimental results are also presented.

Evaluation of Inland Inundation Risk in Urban Area using Fuzzy AHP (Fuzzy AHP 기법을 이용한 도시지역의 내수침수위험도 평가)

  • Shin, Ji Yae;Park, Yei Jun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.9
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    • pp.789-799
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    • 2014
  • This study presented how to evaluate the inland inundation risk considering the characteristics of inland flood. Fuzzy AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process), which can deal with the uncertainty or ambiguousness of the decision-making process, was used to estimate the inundation risk. The criteria used for inland inundation risk include the physical index, social index and inland flood. Each index contains three detailed indicators then total nine indicators were employed in this study. The inundation risk evaluation was carried out for each node (manhole) within the drainage system, not to the administrative extent, which enabled us to point out nodes with high risk. The proposed Fuzzy AHP was applied to Geoje district in Busan. The results indicated that the junction of Oncheoncheon and Geojecheon has high risk which is consistent with the fact that this junction has already experienced floods in the past. The proposed method can be used for evaluating inland inundation risk and preparing flood prevention plans in inland flood-prone urban areas.

Comparison of field- and satellite-based vegetation cover estimation methods

  • Ko, Dongwook W.;Kim, Dasom;Narantsetseg, Amartuvshin;Kang, Sinkyu
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.34-44
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    • 2017
  • Background: Monitoring terrestrial vegetation cover condition is important to evaluate its current condition and to identify potential vulnerabilities. Due to simplicity and low cost, point intercept method has been widely used in evaluating grassland surface and quantifying cover conditions. Field-based digital photography method is gaining popularity for the purpose of cover estimate, as it can reduce field time and enable additional analysis in the future. However, the caveats and uncertainty among field-based vegetation cover estimation methods is not well known, especially across a wide range of cover conditions. We compared cover estimates from point intercept and digital photography methods with varying sampling intensities (25, 49, and 100 points within an image), across 61 transects in typical steppe, forest steppe, and desert steppe in central Mongolia. We classified three photosynthetic groups of cover important to grassland ecosystem functioning: photosynthetic vegetation, non-photosynthetic vegetation, and bare soil. We also acquired normalized difference vegetation index from satellite image comparison with the field-based cover. Results: Photosynthetic vegetation estimates by point intercept method were correlated with normalized difference vegetation index, with improvement when non-photosynthetic vegetation was combined. For digital photography method, photosynthetic and non-photosynthetic vegetation estimates showed no correlation with normalized difference vegetation index, but combining of both showed moderate and significant correlation, which slightly increased with greater sampling intensity. Conclusions: Results imply that varying greenness is playing an important role in classification accuracy confusion. We suggest adopting measures to reduce observer bias and better distinguishing greenness levels in combination with multispectral indices to improve estimates on dry matter.

Reliability-based Design Optimization using Multiplicative Decomposition Method (곱분해기법을 이용한 신뢰성 기반 최적설계)

  • Kim, Tae-Kyun;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.299-306
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    • 2009
  • Design optimization is a method to find optimum point which minimizes the objective function while satisfying design constraints. The conventional optimization does not consider the uncertainty originated from modeling or manufacturing process, so optimum point often locates on the boundaries of constraints. Reliability based design optimization includes optimization technique and reliability analysis that calculates the reliability of the system. Reliability analysis can be classified into simulation method, fast probability integration method, and moment-based reliability method. In most generally used MPP based reliability analysis, which is one of fast probability integration method, if many MPP points exist, cost and numerical error can increase in the process of transforming constraints into standard normal distribution space. In this paper, multiplicative decomposition method is used as a reliability analysis for RBDO, and sensitivity analysis is performed to apply gradient based optimization algorithm. To illustrate whole process of RBDO mathematical and engineering examples are illustrated.

Methodology for real-time adaptation of tunnels support using the observational method

  • Miranda, Tiago;Dias, Daniel;Pinheiro, Marisa;Eclaircy-Caudron, Stephanie
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.153-171
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    • 2015
  • The observational method in tunnel engineering allows the evaluation in real time of the actual conditions of the ground and to take measures if its behavior deviates considerably from predictions. However, it lacks a consistent and structured methodology to use the monitoring data to adapt the support system in real time. The definition of limit criteria above which adaptation is required are not defined and complex inverse analysis procedures (Rechea et al. 2008, Levasseur et al. 2010, Zentar et al. 2001, Lecampion et al. 2002, Finno and Calvello 2005, Goh 1999, Cui and Pan 2012, Deng et al. 2010, Mathew and Lehane 2013, Sharifzadeh et al. 2012, 2013) may be needed to consistently analyze the problem. In this paper a methodology for the real time adaptation of the support systems during tunneling is presented. In a first step limit criteria for displacements and stresses are proposed. The methodology uses graphics that are constructed during the project stage based on parametric calculations to assist in the process and when these graphics are not available, since it is not possible to predict every possible scenario, inverse analysis calculations are carried out. The methodology is applied to the "Bois de Peu" tunnel which is composed by two tubes with over 500 m long. High uncertainty levels existed concerning the heterogeneity of the soil and consequently in the geomechanical design parameters. The methodology was applied in four sections and the results focus on two of them. It is shown that the methodology has potential to be applied in real cases contributing for a consistent approach of a real time adaptation of the support system and highlight the importance of the existence of good quality and specific monitoring data to improve the inverse analysis procedure.