• Title/Summary/Keyword: system dynamics model

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A System Dynamics Model of Alternative Fuel Vehicles Market under the Network Effect

  • Kwon, Tae-Hyeong
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.5-23
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    • 2007
  • According to the system dynamics model of this study, if there is a significant network effect on vehicle operating costs, it is difficult to achieve the shift to AFV even in the long term without a policy intervention because the car market is locked in to the current structure. Network effect can be caused by an increasing return to scale in fuel supply sector as well as in maintenance service sector. It is also related to the fact that the reliability and awareness of consumers on new products increases with the growth of the market share of the new products. There are several possible policy options to break the 'locked in' structure of car market, such as subsidy on vehicle price (capital cost), subsidy on fuel (operating cost) and niche management policy. Combined policy options would be more effective than relying on a single policy option to increase the market share of AFV.

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Demand Plan of Manpower Model Design Using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 인력 수급 계획 모형설계)

  • Choung, Jae-Rim;Jeon, So-Yun;Kwak, Mi-Ae;Yeon, Seung-Joon
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.49-66
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    • 2007
  • Due to criminal aspects spreading nation wide, their intelligence level increasing and becoming digitalized, the citizens' interest in and desire for crime security have increased. Until now, the preceding researches have been focused on finding the specific variables that have direct effects on the demand for police manpower through regression analysis and attempted to predict number of needs. However, there have never been any researches producing the accurate number of demands for crimes and human resources needed for each work load. Therefore, this research have analyzed each police station functions by interviewing the persons in charge and selected the main duty for each functions. From this, by using the method of system dynamics, this research was able to predict the standard number of manpower needed for each police station functions. Also, by making a model for each 235 police stations, the best efficient employment plan for police stations and district agencies have been further discussed based on the computer simulation results.

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Analysis of Mega Event effect using System Dynamics : Application in Millennial Anniversary of the Tripitaka Koreana (시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 메가이벤트 개최 효과 분석: 대장경문화축전에의 적용)

  • Park, Gyung-Yeol;Choi, Seung-Dam;Kim, Dong-Hwan
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.31-53
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to explain the impact of hosting mega event using the system dynamics and to establish the model for analysis of the impact of hosting mega event. The results are as follows. First, the growth of inbound tourists have influenced long term effect. Second, the export has increased for a limited period only after the hosting mega event, but the increase in export returned to the previous state in terms of economic impact of mega event. Third, nation brand has been improved for a limited period only such as the economical impact in terms of socio-cultural impact of mega event. Last, citizenship consciousness has been improved after hosting mega event. Further researches have to be carried out to modify and reinforce the model.

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System Dynamics Modeling for FDA Regulation Effect of Pharmaceutical Industry (제약산업에서 FDA규제 영향에 관한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링: FDA규제가 R&D비용에 미치는 영향을 중심으로)

  • Ko, Seong-Pil;Choi, Jeong-Hwan;Nam, Dong-Wok;Lee, Jeong-Dong
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.57-80
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    • 2012
  • This research studies effect of FDA regulations in pharmaceutical industry on new drug development. System dynamics is implemented to demonstrate dynamic relationship between FDA regulations and R&D costs, firm's profits, sales. This research is focused on clinical trials of new medical entity process 50~60% portion of total development cost. Simulation results say that firm's profit is more sensitive to increasing the regulation than alleviating the regulation and effect of regulation policy make different result depending on the intensity of regulation and policy direction. Our simulation model provides the instrumental means for the policy makers and strategic decision in pharmaceutical industry.

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Using System Dynamics to study systemic corruption (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 체제적 부패 연구)

  • Lim, Seong Bum
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.29-60
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    • 2014
  • As every commentators has noted, bureaucratic corruption, which has complicated causes, is prevalent phenomenon in Korean society. Especially, most people realize that systemic corruption has a strong negative effect on society; however, only few studies reflect on the nature of 'systemic corruption' and it seems that no established theory explains the phenomenon. Thus, this study suggest that we look more carefully into the nature and mechanisms of 'systemic corruption'. Interdisciplinary approach based on the integrated model of structure-behavior to analyse the nature of bureaucratic corruption. The system dynamics method can test the mechanisms of 'systemic corruption'. With this way, the factors generating systemic corruption represent the relationships reinforcing and balancing within system dynamics model. This paper also consider 'isomorphism' and 'dominance' as control mechanisms to systemic corruption. From the CLD(Causal Loop Diagram), three main areas(rent in organization, networking, control mechanisms) are overlapped and it indicates dynamic relationships of systemic corruption in organizations.

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Control System Design for the Focus Servo System of DVD Drive (DVD 드라이브의 포커스 서보 시스템 제어기 설계)

  • 한기봉;이시복
    • Journal of KSNVE
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, two plant models, of which one is newly developed and the other one is the conventional one, of the focus servo system of DVD drive are presented and a two-degree-of freedom controller consisted of Inverse dynamics feedforward and LQG/LTR feedback controller is designed. The newly developed plant model is used to design the feedforward controller and the conventional model is used for the design of feedback controller. The output of newly developed model is the displacement of objective lens and the output of conventional model is the focus error of the DVD focus servo system. The displacement of the objective lens is estimated by the dynamics model of the DVD focus servo system. The disturbance rejection performance of the two-degree-of freedom controller is compared with that of an LQG/LTR one.

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DEVELOPMENT OF VEHICLE DYNAMICS MODEL FOR REAL-TIME ELECTRONIC CONTROL UNIT EVALUATION SYSTEM USING KINEMATIC AND COMPLIANCE TEST DATA

  • KIM S. S.;JUNG H. K.;SHIM J. S.;KIM C. W.
    • International Journal of Automotive Technology
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.599-604
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    • 2005
  • A functional suspension model is proposed as a kinematic describing function of the suspension, that represents the relative wheel displacement in polynomial form in terms of the vertical displacement of the wheel center and steering rack displacement. The relative velocity and acceleration of the wheel is represented in terms of first and second derivatives of the kinematic describing function. The system equations of motion for the full vehicle dynamic model are systematically derived by using velocity transformation method of multi-body dynamics. The comparison of test and simulation results demonstrates the validity of the proposed functional suspension modeling method. The model is computationally very efficient to achieve real-time simulation on TMS 320C6711 150 MHz DSP board of HILS (hardware-in-the-loop simulation) system for ECU (electronic control unit) evaluation of semi-active suspension.

Decision Making and Learning in Complex Organization : Learning Approach of Garbage Can Model (복잡한 조직에서의 의사결정과 학습 -쓰레기통 모형(Garbage Can Model)의 학습 적용-)

  • Oh, Young-Min;Jung, Kyoung-Ho
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.57-71
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    • 2008
  • This research paper describes a complex and vague settings in which organization makes a decision and explains a role of decision maker's learning process. The original paper, written by Cohen, March, Olsen in 1972, said that all members of organization depended on the technology taken through trials and errors, which is the 'learning' process literally. But they intended to exclude the learning process in their simulation model because their PORTRAN model couldn't replicate the learning concept. As a result, they couldn't explain how all agents of garbage can simulation model resolve the problem dynamically. To overcome this original paper's limitations, we try to rebuild a learning process simulation model using by system dynamics approach that can capture the linkage between organization leanings and agents-based decision-makings. Our learning simulation results reveal two points. First, decision maker's leanings process improves the efficiency of decision making in complex situation. Second, group learning shows a superior efficiency to an individual learning because group members share organizational memory and energy.

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A development of system dynamics model for water, energy, and food nexus (W-E-F nexus)

  • Wicaksono, Albert;Jeong, Gimoon;Kang, Doosun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.220-220
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    • 2015
  • Water, energy, and food security already became a risk that threatens people around the world. Increasing of resources demand, rapid urbanization, decreasing of natural resources and climate change are four major problems inducing resources' scarcity. Indeed, water, energy, and food are interconnected each other thus cannot be analyzed separately. That is, for simple example, energy needs water as source for hydropower plant, water needs energy for distribution, and food needs water and energy for production, which is defined as W-E-F nexus. Due to their complicated linkage, it needs a computer model to simulate and analyze the nexus. Development of a computer simulation model using system dynamics approach makes this linkage possible to be visualized and quantified. System dynamics can be defined as an approach to learn the feedback connections of all elements in a complex system, which mean, every element's interaction is simulated simultaneously. Present W-E-F nexus models do not calculate and simulate the element's interaction simultaneously. Existing models only calculate the amount of water and energy resources that needed to provide food, water, or energy without any interaction from the product to resources. The new proposed model tries to cope these lacks by adding the interactions, climate change effect, and government policy to optimize the best options to maintain the resources sustainability. On this first phase of development, the model is developed only to learn and analyze the interaction between elements based on scenario of fulfilling the increasing of resources demand, due to population growth. The model is developed using the Vensim, well-known system dynamics model software. The results are amount of total water, energy, and food demand and production for a certain time period and it is evaluated to determine the sustainability of resources.

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The Development and Application of Policy Formulation Methodology Using Probabilistic System Dynamics (확률적 시스템 다이나믹스를 이용한 정책구조 수립 방법론과 그 응용)

  • 조형래;이진주
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.9-25
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    • 1983
  • A new approach to cross impact analysis using probabilistic system dynamics(PSD) is presented in this article. The previous models using PSD consist of system dynamics models as a basis which are interacting with cross impact analysis (CIA) sectors. In this model, the policy impact analysis part is separated from the CIA sectors and is constituted an independent subsectors of the model. The policy subsector is designed to separate the policy impact and provide feedback both to the system dynamics base model and cross impact analysis sectors. The new technique is applied to the forecasting, assessment and policy formulation of air pollution in Seoul metropolitan area in 2,000. The results show that the new tool consider policy effects more effectively than the previous PSD models.

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