• 제목/요약/키워드: stochastic estimation

검색결과 427건 처리시간 0.027초

Parameter Estimation for an Infinite Dimensional Stochastic Differential Equation

  • Kim, Yoon-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • 제25권2호
    • /
    • pp.161-173
    • /
    • 1996
  • When we deal with a Hilbert space-valued Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) (or Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE)), depending on some unknown parameters, the solution usually has a Fourier series expansion. In this situation we consider the maximum likelihood method for the statistical estimation problem and derive the asymptotic properties (consistency and normality) of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE).

  • PDF

A Suggestion of Fuzzy Estimation Technique for Uncertainty Estimation of Linear Time Invariant System Based on Kalman Filter

  • Kim, Jong Hwa;Ha, Yun Su;Lim, Jae Kwon;Seo, Soo Kyung
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제36권7호
    • /
    • pp.919-926
    • /
    • 2012
  • In order to control a LTI(Linear Time Invariant) system subjected to system noise and measurement noise, first of all, it is necessary to estimate the state of system with reliability. Kalman filtering technique has been widely used to estimate the state of the stochastic LTI system with stationary noise characteristics because of its estimation ability versus algorithm simplicity. However, it often fails to estimate the state of the LTI system of which system parameter uncertainty exists partly and/or input uncertainty exists. In this paper, a new estimation technique based on Kalman filter is suggested for stochastic LTI system under parameter uncertainty and/or input uncertainty. A fuzzy estimation algorithm against uncertainties is introduced so as to compensate the state estimate filtered by Kalman filter. In order to verify the state estimation performance of the suggested technique, several simulations are accomplished.

Receding Horizon FIR Parameter Estimation for Stochastic Systems

  • Lee, Kwan-Ho;Han, Soo-Hee;Lee, Changhun;Kwon, Wook-Hyun
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2001년도 ICCAS
    • /
    • pp.159.1-159
    • /
    • 2001
  • A new time-domain FIR parameter estimation called the receding horizon least square estimation (RHLSE) is suggested for stochastic systems by combining the well known least square estimation with the receding horizon strategy. It can be always obtained without the requirement of any \textit{a priori} information about the horizon initial parameter. A fast algorithm for the suggested estimation is also presented which is remarkable in the view of computational advantage and simple implementation. It is shown that the proposed estimation is robust against temporary modeling uncertainties due to their FIR structure through simulation studies.

  • PDF

인공신경망 및 통계적 방법을 이용한 오존 형성의 예측 (Prediction of Ozone Formation Based on Neural Network and Stochastic Method)

  • 오세천;여영구
    • 청정기술
    • /
    • 제7권2호
    • /
    • pp.119-126
    • /
    • 2001
  • 인공신경 회로망과 통계적 방법을 이용하여 오존 형성의 예측에 관한 연구를 수행하였다. 파라미터 평가방법으로는 실시간 파라미터를 평가하기 위하여 ELS 및 RML 방법이 사용되었으며 오존 형성의 모델로는 ARMAX 모델을 사용하였다. 또한 3층 구조를 갖는 인공신경 회로망 방법을 이용하여 오존 형성의 예측 시험을 수행하였으며 본 연구에 사용된 통계적 방법의 성능을 평가하기 위하여 오존 형성의 예측결과를 실제 자료와 비교 분석을 하였다. 실제 자료와의 비교를 통하여 파라미터 평가 방법 및 인공신경 회로망 방법에 근거한 예측방법이 제한된 예측 구간 내에서 만족할 만한 성능을 보임을 확인할 수 있었다.

  • PDF

Well-Conditioned 관측기 설계 - A Linear Matrix Inequality Approach - (Design of the Well-Conditioned Observer - A Linear Matrix Inequality Approach -)

  • 정종철;허건수
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
    • /
    • 제28권5호
    • /
    • pp.503-510
    • /
    • 2004
  • In this paper, the well-conditioned observer for a stochastic system is designed so that the observer is less sensitive to the ill-conditioning factors in transient and steady-state observer performance. These factors include not only deterministic uncertainties such as unknown initial estimation error, round-off error, modeling error and sensing bias, but also stochastic uncertainties such as disturbance and sensor noise. In deterministic perspectives, a small value in the L$_{2}$ norm condition number of the observer eigenvector matrix guarantees robust estimation performance to the deterministic uncertainties. In stochastic viewpoints, the estimation variance represents the robustness to the stochastic uncertainties and its upper bound can be minimized by reducing the observer gain and increasing the decay rate. Both deterministic and stochastic issues are considered as a weighted sum with a LMI (Linear Matrix Inequality) formulation. The gain in the well-conditioned observer is optimally chosen by the optimization technique. Simulation examples are given to evaluate the estimation performance of the proposed observer.

ESTIMATION OF NON-INTEGRAL AND INTEGRAL QUADRATIC FUNCTIONS IN LINEAR STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL SYSTEMS

  • Song, IL Young;Shin, Vladimir;Choi, Won
    • Korean Journal of Mathematics
    • /
    • 제25권1호
    • /
    • pp.45-60
    • /
    • 2017
  • This paper focuses on estimation of an non-integral quadratic function (NIQF) and integral quadratic function (IQF) of a random signal in dynamic system described by a linear stochastic differential equation. The quadratic form of an unobservable signal indicates useful information of a signal for control. The optimal (in mean square sense) and suboptimal estimates of NIQF and IQF represent a function of the Kalman estimate and its error covariance. The proposed estimation algorithms have a closed-form estimation procedure. The obtained estimates are studied in detail, including derivation of the exact formulas and differential equations for mean square errors. The results we demonstrate on practical example of a power of signal, and comparison analysis between optimal and suboptimal estimators is presented.

확률적 표본추출 방법을 이용한 집단 약동학 모형의 추정과 검증에 관한 고찰 (Estimation Methods for Population Pharmacokinetic Models using Stochastic Sampling Approach)

  • 김광희;윤정화;이은경
    • 응용통계연구
    • /
    • 제28권2호
    • /
    • pp.175-188
    • /
    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 집단 약동/약력학 모형 추정을 위한 다양한 추정방법들을 이론적으로 비교, 분석하였다. 특히 확률적 표본을 이용한 방법들인 IMP, IMPMAP, SAEM 방법과 베이지안 방법의 이론적 배경과 이들의 성능을 자세히 살펴보고, 기존의 선형근사를 이용한 FO, FOCE 등의 방법과 비교 분석하였다. 확률적 표본을 이용한 추정방법들이 추정에 많은 시간이 소요된다는 문제점을 개선하기 위하여 좀 더 좋은 초기치를 찾는 방안으로 상대적으로 짧은 시간에 정확한 추정치를 계산해주는 ITS 방법을 이용하였다.

추계 이선형 시스템의 상태추정 (State estimation of stochastic bilinear system)

  • 황춘식
    • 전기의세계
    • /
    • 제30권11호
    • /
    • pp.728-733
    • /
    • 1981
  • Most of real world systems are highly non-linear. But due to difficulties in analyzing and dealing with it, only the linear system theory is well estabilished. Bilinear system where state and control are linear but not linear jointly is introduced. Here shows that optimal state estimation of stochastic bilinear system requirs infinite dimensional filter, thus onesub-optimal estimator for this system is suggested.

  • PDF

피로균열전파수명의 확률분포추정 프로그램 개발 (Development of Probability Distribution Estimation Program for Fatigue Crack Growth Lives)

  • 김선진;안석환;윤성환
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제25권5호
    • /
    • pp.1058-1064
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this paper, the development of probability distribution estimation program for fatigue crack growth lives was summarize. The probability distribution estimation program of life was developed to increase the reliability of life estimation. In this study, it is considered that the cause of scatter in fatigue crack growth data is due to material inhomogeneity. The material resistance to fatigue crack growth is modelled as a spatial stochastic process, which varies randomly along the crack path. We developed the GUI program to estimate the probability distribution and reliability using the non-Gaussian stochastic process method. This program can be used for the reliability assessment.

  • PDF