• 제목/요약/키워드: statistical dependence

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Application of Convariance Process to Tests for Censored Paired Data

  • Jeong, Gyu-Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.565-584
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    • 1999
  • the covariance process of two martingales provides a useful tool to capture the dependence structure for paired censored data. in this paper it is applied to modify the variances of weighted logrank tests in order to take account of dependence between paired subjects. In the process of modification a 'variance correction term' is introduced. Some variance estimators based on separate samples are considered together. Performance of the estimators are compared through simulation studies. Several independence tests for bivariate sruvival date are also proposed which are naturally reduced from the weighted logrank tests accomodating dependence structure. Simulation studies are carried out to compare the independence tests. Both the weighted logrank tests and the independence tests are illustrated by an example.

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Bootstrap-Based Test for Volatility Shifts in GARCH against Long-Range Dependence

  • Wang, Yu;Park, Cheolwoo;Lee, Taewook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.495-506
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    • 2015
  • Volatility is a variation measure in finance for returns of a financial instrument over time. GARCH models have been a popular tool to analyze volatility of financial time series data since Bollerslev (1986) and it is said that volatility is highly persistent when the sum of the estimated coefficients of the squared lagged returns and the lagged conditional variance terms in GARCH models is close to 1. Regarding persistence, numerous methods have been proposed to test if such persistency is due to volatility shifts in the market or natural fluctuation explained by stationary long-range dependence (LRD). Recently, Lee et al. (2015) proposed a residual-based cumulative sum (CUSUM) test statistic to test volatility shifts in GARCH models against LRD. We propose a bootstrap-based approach for the residual-based test and compare the sizes and powers of our bootstrap-based CUSUM test with the one in Lee et al. (2015) through simulation studies.

Utilizing a unit Gompertz distorted copula to model dependence in anthropometric data

  • Fadal Abdullah Ali Aldhufairi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.467-483
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    • 2023
  • In this research, a conversion function and a distortion associated with the conversion function are defined and used to derive a unit power Gompertz distortion. A new family of copulas is built using the global distorted function. Four base copulas, namely Clayton, Gumbel, Frank, and Gaussian, are distorted into the family. Some properties including tail dependence coefficients and tail order are examined. Kendall's tau formula is derived for new copulas when the base copula is Clayton, Gumbel, or Frank. The maximum pseudo-likelihood estimation method is employed, and a simulation study was performed. The log-likelihood and AIC are reported to compare the performance of the fitted copulas. According to the applied data, the results indicate that new distorted copulas with additional parameters improve the fit.

On the Partial Ordering of Hitting times of Bivariate Processes

  • Baek, Jong-Il;Seo, Hye-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.235-245
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, a partial ordering of positive quadrant dependence(PQD) for bivariate stochastic processes are introduced and basic properties and closure under certain statistical operations are derived. Examples are given to illustrate these concepts

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임계 마이셀 농도의 온도 의존성에 대한 통계 역학적 모델 (A Statistical-Mechanical Model on the Temperature Dependence of Critical Micelle Concentration)

  • 임경희;강계홍;이미진
    • 공업화학
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.625-632
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    • 2006
  • 임계 마이셀 농도의 온도 의존성을 통계 역학적으로 고찰하였다. 본 논문에서 논의된 단순하고 소박한 모델은 임계 마이셀 농도(CMC)가 온도에 대해서 ln CMC= A+BT+C/T+D ln T와 같이 변함을 말해준다. 여기에서 T는 온도이고 A, B, C, D는 마이셀을 이루는 계면활성제 분자의 성질에 의존하는 상수이다. 모델에서 얻어진 식은, 온도에 따른 CMC 측정 자료를 잘 맞춤하는 것으로 평가된, 기존의 Muller와 Lim의 식을 결합한 형태이다. 그러므로 본 논문에서 제안된 CMC의 온도 의존성에 대한 모델은 Muller와 Lim의 식에 대한 이론적인 토대를 제공한다.

A PARTIAL ORDERING OF WEAK POSITIVE QUADRANT DEPENDENCE

  • Kim, Tae-Sung;Lee, Young-Ro
    • 대한수학회논문집
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.1105-1116
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    • 1996
  • A partial ordering is developed among weakly positive quadrant dependent (WPQD) bivariate random vectors. This permits us to measure the degree of WPQD-ness and to compare pairs of WPQD random vectors. Some properties and closures under certain statistical operations are derived. An application is made to measures of dependence such as Kendall's $\tau$ and Spearman's $\rho$.

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A risk analysis of step-down equity-linked securities based on regime-switching copula

  • Nguyen, Manh Duc;Ko, Bangwon;Kwon, Hyuk-Sung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.79-95
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    • 2020
  • The globalization of financial markets has broadened investment opportunities. International investors' investment portfolios consist of financial instruments from various countries; consequently, the risks associated with economic dependence among countries should be carefully considered. Step-down equity-linked securities (ELS) are a structured financial product that have recently become popular among Korean investors. Payoffs are based on two or three stock indices from different regions; therefore, dependence between the indices should be reflected in the risk analysis. In this study, we consider a regime-switching copula model to describe the joint behavior of two stock indices- the Eurostoxx50 and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI). These indices are commonly used as underlying assets of step-down ELS. Using historical data, we analyze the risk associated with step-down ELS through the probabilities of early redemption. A regime-switching copula model can accommodate complicated dependence. Thus, it should be considered in the risk analysis of step-down ELS.

Value at Risk of portfolios using copulas

  • Byun, Kiwoong;Song, Seongjoo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.59-79
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    • 2021
  • Value at Risk (VaR) is one of the most common risk management tools in finance. Since a portfolio of several assets, rather than one asset portfolio, is advantageous in the risk diversification for investment, VaR for a portfolio of two or more assets is often used. In such cases, multivariate distributions of asset returns are considered to calculate VaR of the corresponding portfolio. Copulas are one way of generating a multivariate distribution by identifying the dependence structure of asset returns while allowing many different marginal distributions. However, they are used mainly for bivariate distributions and are not widely used in modeling joint distributions for many variables in finance. In this study, we would like to examine the performance of various copulas for high dimensional data and several different dependence structures. This paper compares copulas such as elliptical, vine, and hierarchical copulas in computing the VaR of portfolios to find appropriate copula functions in various dependence structures among asset return distributions. In the simulation studies under various dependence structures and real data analysis, the hierarchical Clayton copula shows the best performance in the VaR calculation using four assets. For marginal distributions of single asset returns, normal inverse Gaussian distribution was used to model asset return distributions, which are generally high-peaked and heavy-tailed.

Power Comparison of Independence Test for the Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern Family

  • Amini, M.;Jabbari, H.;Mohtashami Borzadaran, G.R.;Azadbakhsh, M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.493-505
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    • 2010
  • Developing a test for independence of random variables X and Y against the alternative has an important role in statistical inference. Kochar and Gupta (1987) proposed a class of tests in view of Block and Basu (1974) model and compared the powers for sample sizes n = 8, 12. In this paper, we evaluate Kochar and Gupta (1987) class of tests for testing independence against quadrant dependence in absolutely continuous bivariate Farlie-Gambel-Morgenstern distribution, via a simulation study for sample sizes n = 6, 8, 10, 12, 16 and 20. Furthermore, we compare the power of the tests with that proposed by G$\ddot{u}$uven and Kotz (2008) based on the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics.

Copula modelling for multivariate statistical process control: a review

  • Busababodhin, Piyapatr;Amphanthong, Pimpan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.497-515
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    • 2016
  • Modern processes often monitor more than one quality characteristic that are referred to as multivariate statistical process control (MSPC) procedures. The MSPC is the most rapidly developing sector of statistical process control and increases interest in the simultaneous inspection of several related quality characteristics. Most multivariate detection procedures based on a multi-normality assumptions are independent, but there are many processes that assume non-normality and correlation. Many multivariate control charts have a lack of related joint distribution. Copulas are tool to construct multivariate modelling and formalizing the dependence structure between random variables and applied in several fields. From copula literature review, there are a few copula to apply in MSPC that have multivariate control charts, and represent a successful tool to identify an out-of-control process. This paper presents various types of copulas modelling for the multivariate control chart. The performance measures of the control chart are the average run length (ARL) and the average number of observations to signal (ANOS). Furthermore, a Monte Carlo simulation is shown when the observations were from an exponential distribution.