• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical confidence

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Improved Exact Inference in Logistic Regression Model

  • Kim, Donguk;Kim, Sooyeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.277-289
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    • 2003
  • We propose modified exact inferential methods in logistic regression model. Exact conditional distribution in logistic regression model is often highly discrete, and ordinary exact inference in logistic regression is conservative, because of the discreteness of the distribution. For the exact inference in logistic regression model we utilize the modified P-value. The modified P-value can not exceed the ordinary P-value, so the test of size $\alpha$ based on the modified P-value is less conservative. The modified exact confidence interval maintains at least a fixed confidence level but tends to be much narrower. The approach inverts results of a test with a modified P-value utilizing the test statistic and table probabilities in logistic regression model.

Two Bootstrap Confidence Intervals of Ridge Regression Estimators in Mixture Experiments (혼합물실험에서 능형회귀추정량에 대한 두 종류의 붓스트랩 신뢰구간)

  • Jang Dae-Heung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.339-347
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    • 2006
  • In mixture experiments, performing experiments in highly constrained regions causes collinearity problems. We can use the ridge regression as a means for stabilizing the coefficient estimators in the fitted model. But there is no theory available on which to base statistical inference of ridge estimators. The bootstrap technique could be used to seek the confidence intervals for ridge estimators.

Boostrap confidence interval for mean time between failures of a repairable system (수리 가능한 시스템의 평균고장간격시간에 대한 붓스트랩 신뢰구간)

  • 김대경;안미경;박동호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 1998
  • Recently, it is of great interest among engineers and reliability scientists to consider a statistical model to describe the failure times of various types of repairable systems. The main subject we deal with in this paper is the power law process which is proved to be a useful model to describe the reliability growth of the repairable system. In particular, we derive the bootstrap confidence intervals of the mean time between two successive failures of a repairable system using the time truncated data. We also compare our bootstrap confindence intervals with Crow's (1982) confidence interval.

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Exact simulataneous confidence interval for the case of four means using TK procedure (Tukey-Kramer방법을 이용한 4개 평균에 관한 정확한 동시 신뢰구간의 통계적 계산 방법)

  • 김병천;김화선;조신섭
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.18-34
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    • 1989
  • The problem of simultaneously estimating the pairwise differences of means of four independent normal populations with equal variances is considered. A statistical computing procedure involving a trivariate t density constructs the exact confidence intervals with simultaneous co verage probability equal to $1-\alpha$. For equal sample sizes, the new procedure is the same as the Tukey studentized range procedure. With unequal sample sizes, in the sense of efficiency for confidence interval lengths and experimentwise error rates, the procedure is superior to the various generalized Tukey procedures.

Effective Computation for Odds Ratio Estimation in Nonparametric Logistic Regression

  • Kim, Young-Ju
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.713-722
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    • 2009
  • The estimation of odds ratio and corresponding confidence intervals for case-control data have been done by traditional generalized linear models which assumed that the logarithm of odds ratio is linearly related to risk factors. We adapt a lower-dimensional approximation of Gu and Kim (2002) to provide a faster computation in nonparametric method for the estimation of odds ratio by allowing flexibility of the estimating function and its Bayesian confidence interval under the Bayes model for the lower-dimensional approximations. Simulation studies showed that taking larger samples with the lower-dimensional approximations help to improve the smoothing spline estimates of odds ratio in this settings. The proposed method can be used to analyze case-control data in medical studies.

Confidence bands for survival curve under the additive risk model

  • Song, Myung-Unn;Jeong, Dong-Myung;Song, Jae-Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.429-443
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    • 1997
  • We consider the problem of obtaining several types of simultaneous confidence bands for the survival curve under the additive risk model. The derivation uses the weak convergence of normalized cumulative hazard estimator to a mean zero Gaussian process whose distribution can be easily approxomated through simulation. The bands are illustrated by applying them from two well-known clinicla studies. Finally, simulation studies are carried outo to compare the performance of the proposed bands for the survival function under the additive risk model.

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Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for an Adjusted Survivor Function under the Dependent Censoring Model

  • Lee, Seung-Yeoun;Sok, Yong-U
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we consider a simple method for testing the assumption of independent censoring on the basis of a Cox proportional hazards regression model with a time-dependent covariate. This method involves a two-stage sampling in which a random subset of censored observations is selected and followed-up until their true survival times are observed. Lee and Wolfe(1998) proposed an adjusted estimate of the survivor function for the dependent censoring under a proportional hazards alternative. This paper extends their result to obtain a bootstrap confidence interval for the adjusted survivor function under the dependent censoring. The proposed procedure is illustrated with an example of a clinical trial for lung cancer analysed in Lee and Wolfe(1998).

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A Confidence Interval for Median Survival Time in the Additive Risk Model

  • Kim, Jinheum
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.359-368
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    • 1998
  • Let ξ$_{p}$(z$_{0}$) be the pth quantile of the distribution of the survival time of an individual with time-invariant covariate vector z$_{0}$ in the additive risk model. We propose an estimator of (ξ$_{p}$(z$_{0}$) and derive its asymptotic distribution, and then construct an approximate confidence interval of ξ$_{p}$(z$_{0}$) . Simulation studies are carried out to investigate performance of the proposed estimator far practical sample sizes in terms of empirical coverage probabilities. Also, the estimator is illustrated on small cell lung cancer data taken from Ying, Jung, and Wei (1995) .d Wei (1995) .

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Approximate Confidence Limits for the Ratio of Two Binomial Variates with Unequal Sample Sizes

  • Cho, Hokwon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 2013
  • We propose a sequential method to construct approximate confidence limits for the ratio of two independent sequences of binomial variates with unequal sample sizes. Due to the nonexistence of an unbiased estimator for the ratio, we develop the procedure based on a modified maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). We generalize the results of Cho and Govindarajulu (2008) by defining the sample-ratio when sample sizes are not equal. In addition, we investigate the large-sample properties of the proposed estimator and its finite sample behavior through numerical studies, and we make comparisons from the sample information view points.

Sequential confidence intervals for the mean with $\beta$-protection in a certain parameter space

  • Kim, Sung-Lai
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 1990
  • Let ${X_n : n=1,2,\cdots}$ be iid random variables with distribution $P_{\theta}, \theta \in H$ where $H$ is some abstract parameter space. We consider a sequential confidence interval I for the mean $\mu = \mu(\theta)$ of $P_{\theta}$ satisfying $P_{\theta}(\mu \in I) \geq 1-\alpha$ and $P_{\theta}(\mu-\delta(\mu) \in I) \leq \beta$ for all $\theta \in H$ for any given an imprecision real valued function $\delta(\mu) > 0$ and error probabilities $0 < \alpha, \beta < 1$. A one-sided sequential confidence interval is constructed under some restriction of the family {P_{\theta} : \theta \in H}$ and the imprecision function $\delta$. This is extended to the two-sided cases.

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