• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical assessment

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Seismic risk priority classification of reinforced concrete buildings based on a predictive model

  • Isil Sanri Karapinar;Ayse E. Ozsoy Ozbay;Emin Ciftci
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.91 no.3
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study is to represent a useful alternative for the preliminary seismic vulnerability assessment of existing reinforced concrete buildings by introducing a statistical approach employing the binary logistic regression technique. Two different predictive statistical models, namely full and reduced models, were generated utilizing building characteristics obtained from the damage database compiled after 1999 Düzce earthquake. Among the inspected building parameters, number of stories, overhang ratio, priority index, soft story index, normalized redundancy ratio and normalized lateral stiffness index were specifically selected as the predictor variables for vulnerability classification. As a result, normalized redundancy ratio and soft story index were identified as the most significant predictors affecting seismic vulnerability in terms of life safety performance level. In conclusion, it is revealed that both models are capable of classifying the set of buildings being severely damaged or collapsed with a balanced accuracy of 73%, hence, both are able to filter out high-priority buildings for life safety performance assessment. Thus, in this study, having the same high accuracy as the full model, the reduced model using fewer predictors is proposed as a simple and viable classifier for determining life safety levels of reinforced concrete buildings in the preliminary seismic risk assessment.

An Assessment of Statistical Validity of Articles Published in the Journal of Korean Acupuncture & Moxibusition Society - from 1984 to 2002 - (대한침구학회지 논문의 통계적 오류에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-deok
    • Journal of Acupuncture Research
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.176-188
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    • 2004
  • This study was carried out to investigate statistical validity of medical articles that used various statistical techniques such as t-test, analysis of variance, correlation analysis, regression analysis and chi-square test. For study 429 original articles using those statistical methods were selected from Journal of Korean Acupuncture & Moxibusition Society published from 1984 to 2002. 429 original articles were reviewed to analyzed the statistical procedures. Results are summarized as follows : 1. In this study 93 articles(21.68%) of 429 ones didn't report statement of statistical method in detail. 2. 53 articles(12.53%) didn't report p-value in correctly, and 245 articles(57.11 %) used mean${\pm}$standard error (Mean${\pm}$SEM.) and 109 articles used mean${\pm}$standard deviation(Mean${\pm}$SD.). All of 23 articles using nonparametric statistical techniques made an error to central tendency or dispersion. 3. 175 articles(59.93%) and 14 articles(4.79%) of 292 ones made an error to description of equal variances and normal distribution. 4. 99 articles(50%) of 185 ones misused t-test and 4 articles of 5 ones misused chi-square test. 5. 28 articles(73.68%) of 38 ones using discrete variable misused parametric technique such as t-test or ANOVA. 2 articles and 1 article of 125 ones choosing paired samples misused independent t-test and Mann-Whitney U test. 6. 20 articles using analysis of variance didn't use multiple comparison.

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An assessment of statistical errors in articles in the Korean journal of veterinary research (수의학회지 논문에 적용된 통계기법의 타당성 평가)

  • Pak, Son-il
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.1187-1196
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study is to assess the suitability of the statistical techniques employed in papers published in the Korean Journal of Veterinary Research from March 1997 to March 1999 and it is hoped that the critical assessment may be of help to other researchers preparing their works for publication. Of the 246 original papers 94 were included in the analysis. Of 62 papers with the measure of central location and dispersion of data 34 (54.8%) used them correctly : 9 (39.1%) of 23 for t-test ; 1 (33.3%) of 3 for correlation analysis ; 7 (43.8%) of 16 for analysis of variance (ANOVA) ; 5 (62.5%) of 8 for chi-square test ; 44 (71%) of 62 for description of p-value. A number of papers employed ANOVA did not perform subsequent analysis of multiple comparison. Compared to the results of others, relatively higher proportion of papers in the present study was evaluated as appropriate analysis. The reason is that papers described insufficiently on the study design were not included, and evaluation items were restricted to the cases violated seriously inherent assumptions for each statistical technique. Statistical misuse or abuse appeared in the study is due to lack of knowledge on statistics and short of its importance for improvement the quality of paper. Because an inappropriate analysis can lead the readers to misunderstand on findings, observed statistical analyses must be valid, and correctly undertaken. It is suggested that more intensive statistical refereeing are needed, and the communication should be allowed for the controversial points.

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A Study of Non-parametric Statistical Tests to Analyze Trend in Water Quality Data (수질자료의 추세분석을 위한 비모수적 통계검정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Hoon
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.93-103
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    • 1995
  • This study was carried out to suggest the best statistical test to analyze the trend in monthly water quality data. Traditional parametric tests such as t-test and regression analysis are based on the assumption that the underlying population has a normal distribution and regression analysis additionally assumes that residual errors are independent. Analyzing 9-years monthly COD data collected at Paldang in Han River, the underlying population was found to be neither normal nor independent. Therefore parametric tests are invalid for trend detection. Four Kinds of nonparametric statistical tests, such as Run Test, Daniel test, Mann-Kendall test, and Time Series Residual Analysis were applied to analyze the trend in the COD data, Daniel test and Mann-Kendall test indicated upward trend in COD data. The best nonparametric test was suggested to be Daniel test, which is simple in computation and easy to understand the intuitive meaning.

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The development of statistical analysis module for the part of the new standardized geotechnical database computer program (복합공간 개발을 위한 지반정보 관리시스템의 통계분석 모듈 개발)

  • Kim, Jeong-Yeol;Kim, Hyun-Ki;Kim, Han-Saem;Chung, Choong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.09a
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    • pp.955-959
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    • 2010
  • The statistical analysis module is developed for the part of the new standardized geotechnical database computer program. The purpose of this module is that the geotechnical engineers can optimize the underground construction process of the underdeveloped urban area rehabilitation by this module providing the statistical information for the geotechnical decision making and risk assessment. This module will be modified to offer the statistical information sustainable for the newly adapted geotechnical limit-state design methods.

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Understanding the Asymptotic Convergence of Domain of Attraction in Extreme Value Distribution for Establishing Baseline Distribution in Statistical Damage Assessment of a Structure (통계적 구조물 손상진단에서 기저분포 구성을 위한 극치분포의 점근적 수렴성 이해)

  • Kang, Joo-Sung;Park, Hyun-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.13 no.2 s.54
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    • pp.231-242
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    • 2009
  • The baseline distribution of a structure represents the statistical distribution of dynamic response feature from the healthy state of the structure. Generally, damage-sensitive dynamic response feature of a structure manifest themselves near the tail of a baseline statistical distribution. In this regard, some researchers have paid attention to extreme value distribution for modeling the tail of a baseline distribution. However, few researches have been conducted to theoretically understand the extreme value distribution from a perspective of statistical damage assessment. This study investigates the asymptotic convergence of domain of attraction in extreme value distribution through parameter estimation, which is needed for reliable statistical damage assessment. In particular, the asymptotic convergence of a domain of attraction is quantified with respect to the sample size out of which each extreme value is extracted. The effect of the sample size on false positive alarms in statistical damage assessment is quantitatively investigated as well. The validity of the proposed method is demonstrated through numerically simulated acceleration data on a two span continuous truss bridge.

A Dimensionality Assessment for Polytomously Scored Items Using DETECT

  • Kim, Hae-Rim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.597-603
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    • 2000
  • A versatile dimensionality assessment index DETECT has been developed for binary item response data by Kim (1994). The present paper extends the use of DETECT to the polytomously scored item data. A simulation study shows DETECT performs well in differentiating multidimensional data from unidimensional one by yielding a greater value of DETECT in the case of multidimensionality. An additional investigation is necessary for the dimensionally meaningful clustering methods, such as HAC for binary data, particularly sensitive to the polytomous data.

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Bayesian Analysis for Random Effects Binomial Regression

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kim, Eun-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.817-827
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we investigate the Bayesian approach to random effect binomial regression models with improper prior due to the absence of information on parameter. We also propose a method of estimating the posterior moments and prediction and discuss some general methods for studying model assessment. The methodology is illustrated with Crowder's Seeds Data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques are used to overcome the computational difficulties.

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Reliability Evaluation of Concentric Butterfly Valve Using Statistical Hypothesis Test (통계적 가설검정을 이용한 중심형 버터플라이 밸브의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Chang, Mu-Seong;Choi, Jong-Sik;Choi, Byung-Oh;Kim, Do-Sik
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.39 no.12
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    • pp.1305-1311
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    • 2015
  • A butterfly valve is a type of flow-control device typically used to regulate a fluid flow. This paper presents an estimation of the shape parameter of the Weibull distribution, characteristic life, and $B_{10}$ life for a concentric butterfly valve based on a statistical analysis of the reliability test data taken before and after the valve improvement. The difference in the shape and scale parameters between the existing and improved valves is reviewed using a statistical hypothesis test. The test results indicate that the shape parameter of the improved valve is similar to that of the existing valve, and that the scale parameter of the improved valve is found to have increased. These analysis results are particularly useful for a reliability qualification test and the determination of the service life cycles.

Regulatory Aspect of Risk Assessment and Management

  • Lee, Hyomin;EunkyungYoon;Jeeyeun Han
    • Toxicological Research
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    • v.17
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2001
  • Risk assessment is useful tool making good decisions on the risks of certain hazardous com-pound and suggests safe margin through scientific process using toxicological data, statistical tool, exposure value and relevant variants. The goal of risk management is to protect the public health from hazardous compound based on result of risk assessment having reality. For the suggestion of exact man-aging information, risk assessment must be designed to represent a "plausible estimate" of the exposure to the individuals and to minimize uncertainty. Risk assessment methodology and knowledge are expected to change more rapidly than before and up-to-date methodology should be applied in regulatory aspects through the Agency. For the useful application of risk assessment, the communication between the risk assessor and the risk manager is needed before the initiation of the risk assessment and upon its completion. Generally, the risk assessment itself as a practical tool in the regulatory decision making process would be regarded with social economic impact.ic impact.

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