• 제목/요약/키워드: statistical analysis.

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다방향파의 수치시뮬레이션 및 통계적 검토 (The Numerical Simulation of Muti-directional Wasves and Statistical Investigation)

  • 송명재;조효제;이승건
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.114-120
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    • 1993
  • Responses of marine vehicles and ocean structures in a seaway can be predicted by applying the probabilistic approach. When we consider a linear system, the responses in a random seaway can be evaluated through spectral analysis in the frequency domain. But when we treat nonlinear system in irregular waves, it is necessary to get time history of waves. In the previous study we introduced one-directional waves (long crested waves)as wave environment and carried out calculations and experiments in the waves. But the real sea in which marine vehicles and structures are operated has multi-directional waves (short crested waves). It is important to get a simulated random sea and analyse dynamic problems in the sea. We need entire sample function or probabillty density function to infer statistical value of random process. However if the process are ergodic process, we can get statistical values by analysis of one sample function. In this paper, we developed the simulation technique of multi-directional waves and proved that the time history given by this method keep ergodic characteristics by the statistical analysis.

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Numerical and statistical analysis of permeability of concrete as a random heterogeneous composite

  • Zhou, Chunsheng;Li, Kefei
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.469-482
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    • 2010
  • This paper investigates the concrete permeability through a numerical and statistical approach. Concrete is considered as a random heterogeneous composite of three phases: aggregates, interfacial transition zones (ITZ) and matrix. The paper begins with some classical bound and estimate theories applied to concrete permeability and the influence of ITZ on these bound and estimate values is discussed. Numerical samples for permeability analysis are established through random aggregate structure (RAS) scheme, each numerical sample containing randomly distributed aggregates coated with ITZ and dispersed in a homogeneous matrix. The volumetric fraction of aggregates is fixed and the size distribution of aggregates observes Fuller's curve. Then finite element method is used to solve the steady permeation problem on 2D numerical samples and the overall permeability is deduced from flux-pressure relation. The impact of ITZ on overall permeability is analyzed in terms of ITZ width and contrast ratio between ITZ and matrix permeabilities. Hereafter, 3680 samples are generated for 23 sample sizes and 4 contrast ratios, and statistical analysis is performed on the permeability dispersion in terms of sample size and ITZ characteristics. By sample theory, the size of representative volume element (RVE) for permeability is then quantified considering sample realization number and expected error. Concluding remarks are provided for the impact of ITZ on concrete permeability and its statistical characteristics.

호우량(豪雨量)의 추정(推定)에 관(關)한 일고찰(一考察) (A Study on the Estimation of Heavy Storm)

  • 조희두
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.35-39
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    • 1974
  • After lasting heavy storm, the overfow from the top of soil saving dam may follow if the outlet is not precisely designed and it causes great damages as a result. Therefore, the peak rate of flood must be premeditated at the time of dam construction and many kinds of erosion control measures should also be constructed to protect against the effects of oveflow causing the damages. In this paper, the daily maximum amounts of precipitation from 1904 to 1972 are used as samples of this statistical analysis for the previous purpose and studying local ranges are limited the number of areas to two; Pusan and Mokpo area, because other areas can not give the data of more than 69 years. Normal distribution, as follows, is used for this statistical study. $$P(X)=\int_{x}^{{\infty}}f(x)dx$$ x: daily maximum amount X: maximum of x P(X): probability to exceed X value The estimates, which are the resultants of statistical analysis, can be locally compared with the real values (daily maximum amounts) by diagram, whether the former truly coincides with the latter. As a result, statistical method canot be used for the premeditation of the amount as well as timing of heavy storms because the estimates donot coincide with the real values in this analysis.

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거리에 따른 해상 초단파 채널의 통계적 특성 분석 (Statistical Analysis of VHF Channel Over the Sea Surface for Various Ranges)

  • 김시문;변성훈;김승근;윤창호;임용곤
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제36권8B호
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    • pp.1021-1027
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    • 2011
  • 해상에서는 지상에서와 같은 고속의 통신 수단이 존재하지 않으며 주로 초단파를 이용하여 기본적인 정보나 음성 통신을 수행하고 있다. 지상의 경우 이론적인 해석 결과나 실험 결과를 바탕으로 하는 통신 채널 모델이 존재하나 해상의 경우에는 제한적인 연구 결과가 존재하고 있는 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 초단파 영역의 해상 채널 특성 파악을 위하여 지상에 송신국을 설치하고 선박에 수신국을 설치하여 거리에 따른 해상 채널 특성을 살펴보았다. 해석 결과에 따르면 선박의 이동에 의한 도플러 변이가 관측되며 거리가 증가함에 따라 에너지가 감소하고 있으며 특히 수직/수평 또는 수평/수직 채널에 대하여 통계적인 특성이 크게 변화하고 있는 결과를 가지고 있음을 알 수 있다.

수도작 포장의 고저차 측정을 위한 최적 받침대 선정 (Selection of Optimum Fulcrum Type for Measurement and Geo-statistical Analyze of Elevation within Rice Paddy Field)

  • 성제훈;장순우
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.268-273
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    • 2005
  • This study was conducted to investigate the specificities of four fulcrum types for geo-statistical analysis of elevation within rice paddy field. In Korea, the spaces between inter-rows and between hills for rice transplanting are 30cm and 11cm to 14cm, respectively. So, the size and shape of fulcrum for field elevation measurement should be considered according to the inter-row and the hill spaces. Four kinds of fulcrum were chosen such as round-shape with 2.5cm diameter, circular-shape with 10cm diameter, 10cm (one third of inter-row space) by 24cm (double of hill space) rectangular-shape, and 20cm (two-thirds of inter-row space) by 24cm rectangular-shape. The resulting descriptive statistics couldn't determine the best fulcrum type to measure the rice paddy field elevation. But the results of geo-statistical analysis could determine the best fulcrum type. In the case of 10cm by 24cm rectangular-shape fulcrum, Nugget and range, meaning measurement error and/or noise, and limit of spatial connection, respectively, were minimum; Q value meaning weight of spatial structure and $r^2$ value were minimum, and residual sum of squares was minimum. It means that 10cm by 24 cm rectangular-shape fulcrum could best describe the rice paddy field elevation.

오스테나이트계 스테인리스강 노내 구조물의 조사유기응력부식균열 영향 인자에 대한 통계적 분석 (Statistical Evaluation of Factors Affecting IASCC of Austenitic Stainless Steels for PWR Core Internals)

  • 김성우;황성식;김홍표
    • 대한금속재료학회지
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    • 제47권12호
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    • pp.819-827
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    • 2009
  • This work is concerned with a statistical analysis of factors affecting the irradiation-assisted stress corrosion cracking (IASCC) of austenitic stainless steels for core internals of pressurized water reactors (PWR). The microstructural and environmental factors were reviewed and critically evaluated by the statistical analysis. The Cr depletion at grain boundary was determined to have no significant correlation with the IASCC susceptibility. The threshold irradiation fluence of IASCC in a PWR was statistically calculated to decrease from 5.799 to 1.914 DPA with increase of temperature from 320 to $340^{\circ}C$. From the analysis of the relationship between applied stress and time-to-failure of stainless steel components based on an accelerated life testing model, it was found that B2 life of a baffle former bolt exposed to neutron fluence of 20 and 75 DPA was at least 2.5 and 0.4 year, respectively, within 95% confidence interval.

Optimization and investigations of low-velocity bending impact of thin-walled beams

  • Hossein Taghipoor;Mahdi Sefidi
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제50권2호
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    • pp.159-181
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    • 2024
  • In the present study, the effect of geometrical parameters of two different types of aluminum thin-walled structures on energy absorption under three-bending impact loading has been investigated experimentally and numerically. To evaluate the effect of parameters on the specific energy absorption (SEA), initial peak crushing force (IPCF), and the maximum crushing distance (δ), a design of experiment technique (DOE) with response surface method (RSM) was applied. Four different thin-walled structures have been tested under the low-velocity impact, and then they have simulated by ABAQUS software. An acceptable consistency between the numerical and experimental results was obtained. In this study, statistical analysis has been performed on various parameters of three different types of tubes. In the first and the second statistical analysis, the dimensional parameters of the cross-section, the number of holes, and the dimensional parameter of holes were considered as the design variables. The diameter reduction rate and the number of sections with different diameters are related to the third statistical analysis. All design points of the statistical method have been simulated by the finite element package, ABAQUS/Explicit. The final result shows that the height and thickness of tubes were more effective than other geometrical parameters, and despite the fact that the deformations of the cylindrical tubes were around forty percent greater than the rectangular tubes, the top desirability was relevant to the cylindrical tubes with reduced cross-sections.

스테인리스 강의 단시간 크리프 파단시간의 변동성과 수명예측 (Variability of Short Term Creep Rupture Time and Life Prediction in Stainless Steels)

  • 정원택;공유식;김선진
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.97-102
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    • 2010
  • This paper deals with the variability of short term creep rupture time based on previous creep rupture tests and the statistical methodology of the creep life prediction. The results of creep tests performed using constant uniaxial stresses at 600, 650, and $700^{\circ}C$ elevated temperatures were used for a statistical analysis of the inter-specimen variability of the short term creep rupture time. Even under carefully controlled identical testing conditions, the observed short-term creep rupture time showed obvious inter-specimen variability. The statistical aspect of the short term creep rupture time was analyzed using a Weibull statistical analysis. The effect of creep stress on the variability of the creep rupture time was decreased with an increase in the stress level. The effect of the temperature on the variability also decreased with increasing temperature. A long term creep life prediction method that considers this statistical variability is presented. The presented method is in good agreement with the Lason-Miller Parameter (LMP) life prediction method.

한반도 미래 기온 변화 예측을 위한 ECHO-G/S 시나리오의 통계적 상세화에 관한 연구 (A Study on Statistical Downscaling for Projection of Future Temperature Change simulated by ECHO-G/S over the Korean Peninsula)

  • 신진호;이효신;권원태;김민지
    • 대기
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.107-125
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    • 2009
  • Statistical downscaled surface temperature datasets by employing the cyclostationary empirical orthogonal function (CSEOF) analysis and multiple linear regression method are examined. For evaluating the efficiency of this statistical downscaling method, monthly surface temperature of the ECMWF has been downscaled into monthly temperature having a fine spatial scale of ~20km over the Korean peninsula for the 1973-2000 period. Monthly surface temperature of the ECHOG has also been downscaled into the same spatial scale data for the same period. Comparisons of temperatures between two datasets over the Korean peninsula show that annual mean temperature of the ECMWF is about $2^{\circ}C$ higher than that of the ECHOG. After applying to the statistical downscaling method, the difference of two annual mean temperatures reduces less than $1^{\circ}C$ and their spatial patterns become even close to each other. Future downscaled data shows that annual temperatures in the A1B scenario will increase by $3.5^{\circ}C$ by the late 21st century. The downscaled data are influenced by the ECHOG as well as observation data which includes effects of complicated topography and the heat island.

Comparing the Use of Self and Peer Assessment: A Case Study in a Statistics Course

  • Han, Kyung-Soo;Mun, Gil-Seong;Ahn, Jeong-Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.979-987
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we compare the assessments made by self, peer and instructor in a statistics course. The goal is to investigate the following two questions: (1) Is it reasonable or fair to expect students to be responsible for assessing the work of their colleagues and themselves? (2) What are students' opinions about the learning effect after they participate in the assessment process? As part of the study investigating these questions, we designed a prototype for a Web-based assessment tool and a procedure to apply the assessment techniques in a statistics course. In addition, we collected and analyzed the data produced in the assessment processes from students and the instructor. The analysis results are summarized as follows: First, self assessment was not accord with instructor assessment, but peer assessment was similar to the assessment by instructor. This result reflected that it is reasonable or fair to expect students to be responsible for assessing the work of their colleagues. Second, peer assessment of their colleagues successfully helped students increase their understanding of the course, and the students increased their skills in the actual assessment process by assessing the work of their colleagues. Finally, many students indicated a high interest level on the assessments.