• 제목/요약/키워드: spatial distribution model

검색결과 972건 처리시간 0.027초

Spatial Inequalities in the Incidence of Colorectal Cancer and Associated Factors in the Neighborhoods of Tehran, Iran: Bayesian Spatial Models

  • Mansori, Kamyar;Solaymani-Dodaran, Masoud;Mosavi-Jarrahi, Alireza;Motlagh, Ali Ganbary;Salehi, Masoud;Delavari, Alireza;Asadi-Lari, Mohsen
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제51권1호
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: The aim of this study was to determine the factors associated with the spatial distribution of the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) in the neighborhoods of Tehran, Iran using Bayesian spatial models. Methods: This ecological study was implemented in Tehran on the neighborhood level. Socioeconomic variables, risk factors, and health costs were extracted from the Equity Assessment Study conducted in Tehran. The data on CRC incidence were extracted from the Iranian population-based cancer registry. The $Besag-York-Molli{\acute{e}}$ (BYM) model was used to identify factors associated with the spatial distribution of CRC incidence. The software programs OpenBUGS version 3.2.3, ArcGIS 10.3, and GeoDa were used for the analysis. Results: The Moran index was statistically significant for all the variables studied (p<0.05). The BYM model showed that having a women head of household (median standardized incidence ratio [SIR], 1.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06 to 2.53), living in a rental house (median SIR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.71 to 0.96), not consuming milk daily (median SIR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.55 to 0.94) and having greater household health expenditures (median SIR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.68) were associated with a statistically significant elevation in the SIR of CRC. The median (interquartile range) and mean (standard deviation) values of the SIR of CRC, with the inclusion of all the variables studied in the model, were 0.57 (1.01) and 1.05 (1.31), respectively. Conclusions: Inequality was found in the spatial distribution of CRC incidence in Tehran on the neighborhood level. Paying attention to this inequality and the factors associated with it may be useful for resource allocation and developing preventive strategies in at-risk areas.

TEMPORAL AND SPATIO-TEMPORAL DYNAMICS OF A MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF HARMFUL ALGAL INTERACTION

  • Mukhopadhyay, B.;Bhattacharyya, R.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제27권1_2호
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    • pp.385-400
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    • 2009
  • The adverse effect of harmful plankton on the marine ecosystem is a topic of deep concern. To investigate the role of such phytoplankton, a mathematical model containing distinct dynamical equations for toxic and non-toxic phytoplankton is analyzed. Stability analysis of the resulting three equation model is carried out. A continuous time variation in toxin liberation process is incorporated into the model and a stability analysis of the resulting delay model is performed. The distributed delay model is then extended to include the spatial distribution of plankton and the delay-diffusion model is analyzed with spatial and spatiotemporal kernels. Conditions for diffusion-driven instability in both the cases are derived and compared to explore the significance of these kernels. Numerical studies are performed to justify analytical findings.

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Application of Grid-based Kinematic Wave Storm Runoff Model

  • Kim, Seong-Joon;Kim, Sun-Joo;Chae, Hyo-Seok
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제33권S1호
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    • pp.20-27
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    • 2000
  • The grid-based KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model(Kim, 1998; Kim, et al., 1998) which predicts temporal variation and spatial distribution of saturated overland flow, subsurface flow and stream flow was evaluated at two watersheds. this model adopts the single overland flowpath algorithm and simulates surface and/or subsurface water depth at each cell by using water balance of hydrologic components. the model programmed by C-language uses ASCII-formatted map data supported by the irregular gridded map of the GRASS (Geographic Resources Analysis Support System) GIS and generates the spatial distribution maps of discharge, flow depth and soil moisture of the watershed.

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APPLICATION OF GRID-BASED KINEMATIC WAVE STORM RUNOFF MODEL(KIMSTORM)

  • Kim, Seong-Joon;Kim, Sun-Joo;Chae, Hyo-Sok
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제1권4호
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    • pp.321-330
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    • 2000
  • The grid-based KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model(Kim, 1998; Kim, et al., 1998) which predicts temporal variation and spatial distribution of overland flow, subsurface flow and stream flow was evaluated at two watersheds. This model adopts the single overland flowpath algorithm and simulates surface and/or subsurface water depth at each cell by using water balance of hydrologic components. The model programmed by C-language uses ASCII-formatted map data supported by the irregular gridded map of the GRASS(Geographic Resources Analysis Support System) GIS and generates the spatial distribution maps of discharge, flow depth and soil moisture of the watershed.

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공간적 연관구조를 고려한 총범죄 자료 분석 (Analysis of Total Crime Count Data Based on Spatial Association Structure)

  • 최정순;박만식;원유복;김학열;허태영
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.335-344
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    • 2010
  • 공간자료분석에서 공간적 상관성을 배제한 일반적인 회귀모형을 통한 모수 추정값들은 신뢰성의 문제가 지적 되어 오고 있다. 본 연구에서는 공간자료의 상관성을 고려한 모형을 구축하기 위하여 일변량 조건부자기회귀모형을 이용하였으며 베이지안 기법을 통하여 모수를 추정하고 공간상관성이 고려된 공간 가산자료모형과 고려되지 않은 일반 가산자료모형을 비교하였다. 연구 대상으로는 서울시의 25개 행정자치구별 총범죄 자료를 이용하였으며 자료분석을 통하여 도시계획과 같은 국가 정책의 수립에 참고자료로 활용될 수 있으리라 판단된다.

TMD의 질량 변화에 따른 개폐식 대공간 구조물의 지진응답 제어성능 분석 (Seismic Response Control Performance Evaluation of Retractable-Roof Spatial Structure With Variation of TMD Mass)

  • 이영락;노호성;김현수;강주원
    • 한국공간구조학회논문집
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2019
  • In the precedent study, the retractable-roof spatial structure was selected as the analytical model and a tuned mass damper (TMD) was installed to control the dynamic response for the earthquake loads. Also, it is analyzed that the installation location of TMD in the analytical model and the optimal number of installations. A single TMD mass installed in the analytical model was set up 1% of the mass of the whole structure, and the optimum installation location was derived according to the number of change. As a result, it was verified that most effective to install eight TMDs regardless of opening or closing. Thus, in this study, eight TMDs were installed in the retractable-roof spatial structure and the optimum mass ratio was inquired while reducing a single TMD. In addition, the optimum mass distribution ratio was identified by redistributing the TMD masses differently depending on the installation position, using the mass ratio of vibration control being the most effective for seismic load. From the analysis results, as it is possible to confirm the optimum mass distribution ratio according to the optimum mass ratio and installation location of the TMD in the the retractable-roof spatial structure, it can be used as a reference in the TMD design for large space structure.

A Comparative Study on the Spatial Statistical Models for the Estimation of Population Distribution

  • Oh, Doo-Ri;Hwang, Chul Sue
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to accurately estimate population distribution more specifically than administrative unites using a RK (Regression-Kriging) model. The RK model is the areal interpolation technique that involves linear regression and the Kriging model. In order to estimate a population’s distribution using a sample region, four different models were used, namely; a regression model, RK model, OK (Ordinary Kriging) model and CK (Co-Kriging) model. The results were then compared with each other. Evaluation of the accuracy and validity of evaluation analysis results were the basis RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error), G statistic and correlation coefficient (ρ). In the sample regions, every statistic value of the RK model showed better results than other models. The results of this comparative study will be useful to estimate a population distribution of the metropolitan areas with high population density

도농교류 접근성을 고려한 농촌마을 공동시설의 입지평가모델 개발 (Developing Location-Evaluation Model on Community Facilities in Rural Villages Considering Accessibility for Urban-Rural Exchange)

  • 구희동;김대식;도재형
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 2015
  • Although the frequency of use for community facilities in rural villages is growing as well as the importance of the facilities for urban-rural exchange is being highlighted, study on spatial location-analysis of the facilities for such multi-purpose is not so much. This study aims to find the spatial distribution forms of community facilities in rural villages such as community center and rural-pocket park through location-analysis, in order to provide available data for selecting location in the future. As the study area, Sojeong-myeon, Sejong Special City was selected. This study conducted GIS analysis for criteria of the location-evaluation model developed in this study. This study introduced the concept of time-distance for accessibility analysis. This paper also used linear-consecutive scoring method(LCSM) as a scoring method of criteria and Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) method for weighting values of criteria. The application results showed that the new model can generate the intensity of community facilities according to spatial distribution and accessibility from cities to the facilities.

공간회귀분석을 이용한 부산지역 공공도서관 접근성 영향 요인 분석 (Spatial Regression Analysis of Factors Affecting the Spatial Accessibility of the Public Libraries in Busan)

  • 구본진;장덕현
    • 한국문헌정보학회지
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    • 제55권4호
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    • pp.67-87
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    • 2021
  • 공공도서관 접근성은 도서관의 이용에 직접적인 영향을 끼치며, 접근성의 불균형적인 분포는 도서관 서비스의 공평한 제공을 제한하는 결정적인 요인이 된다. 이러한 관점에 근거하여 본 연구는 부산지역 공공도서관의 공간적 접근성을 분석하고, 공간회귀분석을 통해 공공도서관의 접근성 영향요인을 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 부산지역 공공도서관 접근성은 지역별로 편차가 크게 나타나고 있었으며, 공공도서관이 인구수나 대중교통 이용과 무관하게 입지하고 있을 뿐 아니라 사회적 형평성 측면에서도 공공도서관 입지의 효율성이 떨어지는 것으로 볼 수 있었다. 이 연구의 결과를 통해 부산지역 공공도서관 접근성 현황을 이해하고, 접근성에 영향을 미치는 요인을 파악할 수 있으며, 향후 공공도서관 접근성 격차 완화 및 신규 입지 선정을 위한 기초자료로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

한국지역 집중호우에 대한 반환주기의 베이지안 모형 분석 (A Bayesian Analysis of Return Level for Extreme Precipitation in Korea)

  • 이정진;김남희;권혜지;김용구
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.947-958
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    • 2014
  • 집중호우의 특성을 이해하는 것은 수문관리 및 재해방재 등에서 매우 중요하다. 특히 반환주기는 이러한 집중호우의 특성을 나타내는 측정치로 자주 사용된다. 본 논문에서는 베이지안 계층적 모형을 이용하여 강우의 반환주기에 대한 공간구조를 분석하였다. 먼저 국내 62개 지점에서 측정한 강우 강도을 기초로 하여 연간 일일 최대강우량과 특정한 수준을 초과하는 강우량에 대해서 generalized extreme value(GEV)와 generalized Pareto distribution(GPD)를 각각 가정하여 추정하였다. 집중호우 반환주기에 대한 공간구조는 이 GEV 분포와 GPD 분포의 모수에 공간구조를 가지는 다변량 정규분포를 이용하여 설명하였다. 제안된 모형을 국내 76개 지역에서 39년간 측정된 일별 강우량 관측자료에 적용하였다.