• 제목/요약/키워드: small-area estimation

검색결과 332건 처리시간 0.035초

합성개구레이더 인공위성 영상을 활용한 중소규모 하천에서의 유량 추정 (Estimation of stream flow discharge using the satellite synthetic aperture radar images at the mid to small size streams)

  • 서민지;김동균;;차준호
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제51권12호
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    • pp.1181-1194
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 2015년에서 2017년 사이에 유럽항공우주국 Sentinel-1 위성이 촬영한 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) 영상을 활용하여 한강 유역 내 하천의 유량을 추정하는 모형을 개발하였다. 한강 유역 내 15개 중소규모 하천을 연구지역으로 선정하였으며 SAR 인공위성 영상 자료와 수위 및 유량관측소에서 산정한 유량 자료를 모형 구축을 위하여 사용하였다. 우선, 오류 보정을 위해 다양한 전처리 과정을 거친 12장의 SAR 영상을 히스토그램 매칭 기법을 적용하여 이미지의 밝기 분포를 동일하게 만들었다. 이후 임계치 분류방식을 사용하여 추출된 하천 수체의 면적과 지상 관측유량자료와의 관계식을 도출하여 유량추정모형을 구축하였다. 그 결과, 1개소를 제외한 14개 관측소에서 인공위성에서 추출한 하천 면적을 입력 자료로 하는 멱함수 형태의 유량추정모형을 구축할 수 있었다. 14개 관측소의 최소, 평균, 최대 결정 계수($R^2$)는 0.3, 0.8, 0.99로 나타났다.

소규모 농업용 저수지의 저류량-용수공급능력 결정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Determination of Water Storage-Supply Capacity of Agricultural Reservoir)

  • 안승섭;정순돌;이증석;윤경덕;장인수
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제11권12호
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    • pp.1217-1226
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    • 2002
  • This study aims at the effective estimation of water supply capacity of small scale reservoir and the proposal of the data which is necessary to establish the water resources management plan of down stream area of the reservoir in the future by comparison and examination about reservoir operation technique for the security of agricultural water in small scale reservoir. The result of flow calculation by Tank model is used for the input data as the inflow data which is needed for the analysis of water supply capacity. Stochastic method, simulation method, and optimization method are used to examine the water supply capacity, and water security amount is compared with each method. From the analyses of water supply capacities by each method, slightly different results are shown in spite of the effort to compare them equally using input data such as inflow data under equal conditions, and the comparison of water supply capacities by each method are as follows; linear planning method, simulation method, and transition probability matrix method in the order of amount from the largest. It is thought that the simulation method in which comparatively reasonable application of the inflow data is possible and is simulated in successive time series dam operation of the three methods used in this study thus, simulation model is proper to estimate the water supply capacity of agricultural small scale reservoir. And it is judged that the heightening of efficiency of water resources utilization according to the development of downstream area of dam may be possible using the upward readjusted water supply amount of $55.18{\tiems}10^6ton$ and $63.7{\times}10^6ton$ at 95% and 90% supply reliability respectively which are above the planning water supply amount of $50.0{\times}10^6$ton when the simulation method is introduced as the standard.

집단생잔모델에 변화할당효과를 고려한 농촌지역 인구모델의 개발 (Development of a Rural Population Model Considering Shift-Share Effects in Cohort-Survival Method)

  • 정남수;이행우
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.39-42
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to develop rural population model adapting cohort survival method with sift-share effects. Administrative district in this study is below Myun: about 2,000 population. Population data of rural area in 1990, 1995, and 2000 by age cohort were selected for applying developed model. Damping coefficient from population data was calculated as 7% and results applying this coefficient in rural population data below the error from 12% to 1.06%. In detail, most of cohorts fitted with developed model except from 15 to 29 age groups. Application result of small population area; DaesulMyun revealed that main factor of population change is not natural change but migration.

An algorithm for ultrasonic 3-dimensional reconstruction and volume estimation

  • Chin, Young-Min;Park, Sang-On;Woo, Kwang-Bang
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1987년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(한일합동학술편); 한국과학기술대학, 충남; 16-17 Oct. 1987
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    • pp.791-796
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    • 1987
  • In this paper, an efficient algorithm to estimate the volume and surface area from ultrasonic imaging and a reconstruction algorithm to generate three-dimensional graphics are presented. The computing efficiency is Improved by using the graph theory and the algorithm to determine proper contour points is performed by applying several tolerances. The search for contour points is limited by the change in curvature in order to provide an efficient search of the minimum cost path. These algorithms are applied to a selected mathematical model of ellipsoid. The results show that the measured value of the volume and surface area for the tolerances of 1.0005, 1.001 and 1.002 approximate to the measured values for the tolerance of 1.000 resulting in small errors. The reconstructed 3-dimensional Images are sparse and consist of larger triangular tiles between two cross sections as tolerance is increased.

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t 분포의 극단 꼬리부분으로부터의 효율적인 난수생성 (Efficient random number generation from extreme tail areas of a t-distribution)

  • 오만숙;김나영
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.165-177
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    • 1996
  • 제한된 t 분포로부터의 난수 생성은 특히 베이지안 분석에서 제한이 있는 모수의 사후밀도함수를 추정하기 위하여 몬테카를로 적분을 하는 경우 등에 필요하다. 그런데 제한영역이 t분포의 극단 꼬리부분으로 주어졌을 때 기존의 난수생성기법의 적용은 매우 비효율적이 될 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 난수생성 알고리즘을 제시하과 기존의 기법들과 시뮬레이션을 통하여 효율을 비교하였다.

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한국주요빙계의 소유역에 대한 순간단위권 유도에 관한 연구 (I) (Studies on the Derivation of the Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph for Small Watersheds of Main River Systems in Korea)

  • 이순혁
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.4296-4311
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    • 1977
  • This study was conducted to derive an Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph for the accurate and reliable unitgraph which can be used to the estimation and control of flood for the development of agricultural water resources and rational design of hydraulic structures. Eight small watersheds were selected as studying basins from Han, Geum, Nakdong, Yeongsan and Inchon River systems which may be considered as a main river systems in Korea. The area of small watersheds are within the range of 85 to 470$\textrm{km}^2$. It is to derive an accurate Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph under the condition of having a short duration of heavy rain and uniform rainfall intensity with the basic and reliable data of rainfall records, pluviographs, records of river stages and of the main river systems mentioned above. Investigation was carried out for the relations between measurable unitgraph and watershed characteristics such as watershed area, A, river length L, and centroid distance of the watershed area, Lca. Especially, this study laid emphasis on the derivation and application of Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (IUH) by applying Nash's conceptual model and by using an electronic computer. I U H by Nash's conceptual model and I U H by flood routing which can be applied to the ungaged small watersheds were derived and compared with each other to the observed unitgraph. 1 U H for each small watersheds can be solved by using an electronic computer. The results summarized for these studies are as follows; 1. Distribution of uniform rainfall intensity appears in the analysis for the temporal rainfall pattern of selected heavy rainfall event. 2. Mean value of recession constants, Kl, is 0.931 in all watersheds observed. 3. Time to peak discharge, Tp, occurs at the position of 0.02 Tb, base length of hlrdrograph with an indication of lower value than that in larger watersheds. 4. Peak discharge, Qp, in relation to the watershed area, A, and effective rainfall, R, is found to be {{{{ { Q}_{ p} = { 0.895} over { { A}^{0.145 } } }}}} AR having high significance of correlation coefficient, 0.927, between peak discharge, Qp, and effective rainfall, R. Design chart for the peak discharge (refer to Fig. 15) with watershed area and effective rainfall was established by the author. 5. The mean slopes of main streams within the range of 1.46 meters per kilometer to 13.6 meter per kilometer. These indicate higher slopes in the small watersheds than those in larger watersheds. Lengths of main streams are within the range of 9.4 kilometer to 41.75 kilometer, which can be regarded as a short distance. It is remarkable thing that the time of flood concentration was more rapid in the small watersheds than that in the other larger watersheds. 6. Length of main stream, L, in relation to the watershed area, A, is found to be L=2.044A0.48 having a high significance of correlation coefficient, 0.968. 7. Watershed lag, Lg, in hrs in relation to the watershed area, A, and length of main stream, L, was derived as Lg=3.228 A0.904 L-1.293 with a high significance. On the other hand, It was found that watershed lag, Lg, could also be expressed as {{{{Lg=0.247 { ( { LLca} over { SQRT { S} } )}^{ 0.604} }}}} in connection with the product of main stream length and the centroid length of the basin of the watershed area, LLca which could be expressed as a measure of the shape and the size of the watershed with the slopes except watershed area, A. But the latter showed a lower correlation than that of the former in the significance test. Therefore, it can be concluded that watershed lag, Lg, is more closely related with the such watersheds characteristics as watershed area and length of main stream in the small watersheds. Empirical formula for the peak discharge per unit area, qp, ㎥/sec/$\textrm{km}^2$, was derived as qp=10-0.389-0.0424Lg with a high significance, r=0.91. This indicates that the peak discharge per unit area of the unitgraph is in inverse proportion to the watershed lag time. 8. The base length of the unitgraph, Tb, in connection with the watershed lag, Lg, was extra.essed as {{{{ { T}_{ b} =1.14+0.564( { Lg} over {24 } )}}}} which has defined with a high significance. 9. For the derivation of IUH by applying linear conceptual model, the storage constant, K, with the length of main stream, L, and slopes, S, was adopted as {{{{K=0.1197( {L } over { SQRT {S } } )}}}} with a highly significant correlation coefficient, 0.90. Gamma function argument, N, derived with such watershed characteristics as watershed area, A, river length, L, centroid distance of the basin of the watershed area, Lca, and slopes, S, was found to be N=49.2 A1.481L-2.202 Lca-1.297 S-0.112 with a high significance having the F value, 4.83, through analysis of variance. 10. According to the linear conceptual model, Formular established in relation to the time distribution, Peak discharge and time to peak discharge for instantaneous Unit Hydrograph when unit effective rainfall of unitgraph and dimension of watershed area are applied as 10mm, and $\textrm{km}^2$ respectively are as follows; Time distribution of IUH {{{{u(0, t)= { 2.78A} over {K GAMMA (N) } { e}^{-t/k } { (t.K)}^{N-1 } }}}} (㎥/sec) Peak discharge of IUH {{{{ {u(0, t) }_{max } = { 2.78A} over {K GAMMA (N) } { e}^{-(N-1) } { (N-1)}^{N-1 } }}}} (㎥/sec) Time to peak discharge of IUH tp=(N-1)K (hrs) 11. Through mathematical analysis in the recession curve of Hydrograph, It was confirmed that empirical formula of Gamma function argument, N, had connection with recession constant, Kl, peak discharge, QP, and time to peak discharge, tp, as {{{{{ K'} over { { t}_{ p} } = { 1} over {N-1 } - { ln { t} over { { t}_{p } } } over {ln { Q} over { { Q}_{p } } } }}}} where {{{{K'= { 1} over { { lnK}_{1 } } }}}} 12. Linking the two, empirical formulars for storage constant, K, and Gamma function argument, N, into closer relations with each other, derivation of unit hydrograph for the ungaged small watersheds can be established by having formulars for the time distribution and peak discharge of IUH as follows. Time distribution of IUH u(0, t)=23.2 A L-1S1/2 F(N, K, t) (㎥/sec) where {{{{F(N, K, t)= { { e}^{-t/k } { (t/K)}^{N-1 } } over { GAMMA (N) } }}}} Peak discharge of IUH) u(0, t)max=23.2 A L-1S1/2 F(N) (㎥/sec) where {{{{F(N)= { { e}^{-(N-1) } { (N-1)}^{N-1 } } over { GAMMA (N) } }}}} 13. The base length of the Time-Area Diagram for the IUH was given by {{{{C=0.778 { ( { LLca} over { SQRT { S} } )}^{0.423 } }}}} with correlation coefficient, 0.85, which has an indication of the relations to the length of main stream, L, centroid distance of the basin of the watershed area, Lca, and slopes, S. 14. Relative errors in the peak discharge of the IUH by using linear conceptual model and IUH by routing showed to be 2.5 and 16.9 percent respectively to the peak of observed unitgraph. Therefore, it confirmed that the accuracy of IUH using linear conceptual model was approaching more closely to the observed unitgraph than that of the flood routing in the small watersheds.

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미계측 소하천수계의 합성단위도 유도 (Derivation of the Synthetic Unit Hydrograph at Ungaged Small Watershed)

  • 안상진;이억한
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.157-166
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    • 1986
  • 미측측 소하천 유역에 적용할만한 합성단위도를 찾아내기 위하여 대표유역의 관측자료로부터 각 소하천의 실측단위도를 유도하였다. 소하천 유역의 특성인자와 단위도의 특성치를 분석하여 Snyder, S.C.S, Nash, Clark에서 이용되는 식을 유도하였다. 이들 식을 이용하여 대표유역의 유역특성치로서 각 방법에 의한 합성단위도를 유도하고 이들 합성단위도와 실측단위도를 비교 분석한 결과 다음과 같은 특성을 발견하였다. Snyder 방법에 의한 첨두유량과 근사하였으나 첨두유량의 25,50,75%되는 단위도의 좌표만으로는 단위도의 형을 결정하기엔 미흡함이 남아있다. Clark 방법에 의하여 합성단위도를 정확하게 유도하기 위하여 그 유역의 시간-면적도의 기저장과 등유달시간면적을 정확하게 구할 수 있는 방법이 모색되어야 한다고 생각한다. Nash 방법에 의한 합성단위도의 첨두유량과 기저시간은 저장상수와 Gamma 함수인자만의 함수이기 때문에 정확한 저장상수와 Gamma 함수인자의 결정이 선행되어야만 신빙성있고 정도가 높은 단위도 유도가 가능하리라 판단된다. S.C.S 방법에서 첨두유량은 유역면적에 비례하고 첨두유량 발성시간에 반비례하기 때문에 첨두유량 발생이 빠른 소유역에서는 다소 큰 첨두유량 값을 갖음을 알았다.

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공간 데이터베이스에서 질의 결과 크기 추정을 위한 공간 분할 (Spatial Partitioning for Query Result Size Estimation in Spatial Databases)

  • 황환규
    • 전자공학회논문지CI
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2004
  • 질의 최적화기의 중요 기능 중에 하나는 질의가 주어졌을 때 질의 조건을 만족하는 입력 레코드의 개수를 추정하는 일이다. 관계 데이터베이스와 마찬가지로 공간 데이터베이스에서 질의 결과 크기 추정은 입력 데이터 공간을 버켓으로 불리는 작은 영역으로 분할한 후 분할된 영역에 대해서 질의 결과 ■기를 추정한다. 추정의 정확도는 작은 영역으로 분할할 때 근사 계산한 데이터와 실제 데이터의 차이에 의해서 결정되며 이것은 공간 분할을 어떻게 분할하는가에 달려 있다. 기존의 방법은 일차원에 많이 사용되는 데이터의 범위를 균일하게 하는 너비 균등 방법과 빈도수의 합을 일정하게 하는 높이 균등 방법을 공간상의 이차원에 적용한 면적 균등 분할과 개수 균등 분할 방법에 기초를 두고 있다. 본 논문에서 제안한 방법은 공간을 분할할 때 데이터의 범위와 빈도수의 곱을 면적으로 나타낸 후 면적 값의 차이가 가장 큰 순서로 버켓을 정하는 방법으로 데이터 범위와 빈도수를 동시에 고려하여 최적의 버켓을 결정한다. 본 논문에서는 제안한 방법과 기존의 방법을 실제 데이터와 인위데이터를 사용하여 질의 크기, 버켓수, 데이터 개수, 데이터 크기의 변화에 대해서 질의 결과 추정에 대한 정확도를 비교, 분석하여 제안한 방법의 성능 우수성을 확인한다.

제주도 남원읍지역 대용량 빗물이용시설의 적정규모 및 농업용수 공급 가능량 산정 연구 (A Study on the Appropriate Size of Large Rainwater Utilizing Facilities and Estimation of Agricultural Water Availability in Namwon eup, Jeju Island)

  • 김민철;박원배;강봉래
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.84-94
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    • 2020
  • Jeju Island is seeking reliable ways to secure alternative water resources using rainwater in order to conserve and manage its groundwater as sustainable water resources. The purpose of this study is to investigate the rainwater storage capability of small-size storage facilities installed at farmhouses in Uigwi and Wimi of Namwon-eup region. The rainwater outflows from the storage facilities in rain events were analyzed. The appropriate size of rainwater utilizing facilities are suggested to be about 5,800 ㎥ in Uigwi area and 4,900 ㎥ in Wimi area based on the calculation from the rainfall frequency and runoff amounts. If those facilities are put into operation in Uigwi and Wimi area, it is estimated approximately 32.3 and 11.5% of total agricultural water can be supplied by the facilities. Wimi area showed low rainwater usage because of less number of facilities relative to the size of farm areas and less intensive underground water usage. It is analyzed that more than 55% of agricultural water can be supplied by rainwater if 70 facilities without the rainwater facilities are connected to the rainwater utilizing facilities.

해석가능한 기계학습을 적용한 소지역 인구 추정에 관한 연구: 부산광역시를 대상으로 (A Study on the Population Estimation of Small Areas using Explainable Machine Learning: Focused on the Busan Metropolitan City)

  • 김유현;김동현
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.97-115
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    • 2023
  • 최근 저출산, 고령화 등 인구의 구조가 급격히 변화하고 있고 인구 분포의 불균등성이 확대되고 있는 시점에서 인구 추정 방식의 변화가 요구되고 있으며 소지역 단위에서 보다 정확한 추정이 요구되고 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 인구 추정 방식 변화 요구에 대응하기 위해 부산광역시를 대상으로 해석가능한 기계학습 방법을 적용하여 500m 격자 단위에서 2040년 인구를 추정하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있다. 해석가능한 기계학습의 방법과 코호트 요인법을 각각 적용하여 격자별 인구추정 결과를 비교해본 결과, 기계학습 방법이 인구 구조 변동에 영향을 미칠 가능성이 있는 여러 변수의 조합 반영이 가능하여 보다 낮은 오차를 도출함으로써 소지역과 같이 인구 변화폭이 큰 지역의 추정에 있어 적용력이 높음을 확인하였다. 인구감소시대에 과대추정된 인구 값은 도시계획에서 투자의 비효율성과 특정 부문에 대한 과잉 투자에 따른 타 부문에서의 질적 저하와 같은 문제를 일으킬 가능성이 높으며, 과소추정된 인구 값 역시 도시의 축소를 가속화시켜 삶의 질을 저하시키는 문제를 초래하므로 적절한 인구 추정 방법과 대안을 마련해야 할 필요가 있을 것으로 판단된다.