• Title/Summary/Keyword: slope risk assessment

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Risk Assessment of Slopes using Failure Probability in Korean Railways (파괴확률을 이용한 철도절개면의 위험도 평가)

  • Kim, Hyun-Ki;Kim, Soo-Sam
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.158-164
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    • 2008
  • Abstract Infiltration of rainfall that may lead to reduce resistance force due to reduction of matric suction and to increase driving force due to increase of self weight makes the slope fail. There are many specifications to make slope stable based on factor of safety. Although result of slope stability analysis satisfy the specifications, slope failures triggered by rainfall are frequently occurred in reality because slope stability analysis cannot consider uncertainty of each soil properties. This is why conventional analysis has limitation and development of alternative method is needed. So it is suggested to adopt the reliability analysis rather than design based on factor of safety into designing safer structure. Through the evaluation of handicaps for the factor of safety based design, calculation of soil properties by site investigation, and reliability analysis considering distribution of each soil properties, distribution of failure probability in railway slope is obtained. Then, Risk assessment of slopes in Korean railway is executed from the results. Damage loss and incoming loss are considered as the loss. Using these results, it is possible to make proper countermeasure or efficient maintenance.

Estimation of Human Carcinogenic Potency (HCP) of Carcinogens in Risk Assessment and Management. (위해성 평가 및 관리에 있어서 발암물질의 인체발암능력 평가)

  • 이병무;김대영;김세기;김근종
    • Environmental Mutagens and Carcinogens
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 1999
  • Human Carcinogenic Potency (HCP) can be estimated based on human daily exposure dose to carcinogen (Dh), body weight (Wh), 10% tumorigenic dose (TD10), and slope factor at TD10 (Q10) from 2-yr bioassay data. This approach is more relevant to humans generally exposed to low doses of carcinogens and can reduce more of extrapolation errors from high dose in animal experiments to low dose in humans than HERP (human exposure dose/rodent potency dose) proposed by Ames et al. (Science, 236, 271-280, 1987). TD50 and HERP have been routinely used to compare rodent carcinogenic potency and human carcinogenic potency, but those approaches have had limitations in extrapolation of high dose to low dose in humans. The advantages of HCP are to estimate human exposure dose (Dh) by human monitoring instead of environmental monitoring, to consider slope factor (Q10) which reflects the tendency of curve at low dose, and to use TD10 which represents much lower dose thant TD50 or HERP. HCP will be a useful parameter for the estimation of human carcinogenic potency in risk assessment and management of carcinogens.

Slopes Risk Assessment Techniques through Pattern Classification (패턴분류를 통한 산지사면의 위험도 평가 기법)

  • Kim, Min-Seub;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.189-199
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    • 2015
  • Our country's leading granite weathered soil of the ground slope failures that occur in cutting slope most cases, it does not require in-depth to the shear strength most of the surface layer is affected by weathering (1~2 m) at a shallow depth close to the ground, it is important to identify the reliability. Based on the result obtained in actual field investigation, the field slope type was classified by each type of wedge slope, Infinite slope, finite slope -I and finite slope -II, and the slope stability was examined respectively. In addition, using the numerical analysis results, the relationship between the slope inclination angle and safety factor was analyzed and it tried to offer basic data to which the stability in the field slope was able to be estimated by analyzing the safety factor change of the slope according to the slope type. In this study, classified into four types of natural slope, safety factor estimation method by slope types is proposed through the numerical analysis. However, some limit exists in generalizing in this research because it does not test various case studies. Therefore, the case study of a wide range of various sypes to assess the safety of various types slope can be made, accommodate a wide range of field conditions reasonable risk evaluation criteria may be derived.

Analysis of Characteristic of Debris Flow with Angle of Slope (흐름 경사면의 경사도에 따른 토석류 흐름의 특성 분석)

  • Lee, Jun Seon;Song, Chang Geun;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2016
  • In Korea, there exist many mountains, and sudden storms occur during the summer season. When severe rainstorm events occur in steep slope topography, risk of debris flow is increased. Once debris flow occurs in urban area, it may cause casualties and physical damages due to rapid debris flow velocity along a steep slope. Accordingly, preventing method of sediment-related disaster for demage mitigation are essential. Recently, various studies on debris flow have been conducted. However, the prediction of the physical propagation of debris flow along the steep slope was not thoroughly investigated. Debris flow is characterized by various factors such as topography, properties of debris flow, amount of debris flow. In the study the numerical simulation was focused on the topographic factor. Fundamental analysis of the risk area was implemented with emphasis on the propagation length, thickness, and the development of maximum velocity. The proposed results and the methodology of estimating the structural vulnerability would be helpful in predicting the behavior and the risk assessment of debris flow in urban area. These results will be able to estimate the vulnerability of urban areas affected the most damage by debris flow.

Assessment of Risk Levels in Cut-Slope Using Dimensionality Reduction and Clustering Analysis (차원축소와 클러스터링 분석을 활용한 도로비탈면 위험등급 산정)

  • Seo, Seunghwan;Kim, Gunwoong;Woo, Younghoon;Park, Byungsuk;Kim, Juhyong;Kim, Seung-Hyun;Chung, Moonkyung
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.113-129
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    • 2024
  • This study reclassifies the risk levels of cut-slopes and addresses the limitations inherent in existing evaluation methods using road slope maintenance data. Conventional risk assessment predominantly relies on subjective expert judgment, resulting in issues of consistency and reliability. To mitigate these limitations, this study applies dimensionality reduction techniques, specifically Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), followed by K-means clustering, to classify new risk levels. The clustering results using PCA demonstrated more distinct cluster separation compared to LDA, and also showed superior performance in terms of the silhouette coefficient and other clustering metrics. This suggests that the existing risk level labels may not adequately capture the underlying data structure. Furthermore, the inconsistency observed between LDA-based clustering results and current risk labels indicates potential reliability issues in the present labeling approach. To resolve this, new risk levels were assigned using PCA and K-means clustering, with cluster risk levels evaluated based on risk scores. A quantitative analysis of key risk factors was also conducted to establish criteria for risk classification and assess the impact of each variable on the different risk levels. This study proposes a data-driven, objective, and quantitative approach to risk level evaluation, aiming to improve the efficiency and reliability of road slope management.

Ecological Risk Assessment of Chemicals Migrated from a Recycled Plastic Product

  • Roh, Ji-Yeon;Kim, Min-Hyuck;Kim, Woo Il;Kang, Young-Yeul;Shin, Sun Kyoung;Kim, Jong-Guk;Kwon, Jung-Hwan
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.28
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    • pp.13.1-13.5
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: Potential environmental risks caused by chemicals that could be released from a recycled plastic product were assessed using a screening risk assessment procedure for chemicals in recycled products. Methods: Plastic slope protection blocks manufactured from recycled plastics were chosen as model recycled products. Ecological risks caused by four model chemicals - di-(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate (DEHP), diisononyl phthalate (DINP), cadmium (Cd), and lead (Pb)-were assessed. Two exposure models were built for soil below the block and a hypothetic stream receiving runoff water. Based on the predicted no-effect concentrations for the selected chemicals and exposure scenarios, the allowable leaching rates from and the allowable contents in the recycled plastic blocks were also derived. Results: Environmental risks posed by slope protection blocks were much higher in the soil compartment than in the hypothetic stream. The allowable concentrations in leachate were $1.0{\times}10^{-4}$, $1.2{\times}10^{-5}$, $9.5{\times}10^{-3}$, and $5.3{\times}10^{-3}mg/L$ for DEHP, DINP, Cd, and Pb, respectively. The allowable contents in the recycled products were $5.2{\times}10^{-3}$, $6.0{\times}10^{-4}$, $5.0{\times}10^{-1}$, and $2.7{\times}10^{-1}mg/kg$ for DEHP, DINP, Cd, and Pb, respectively. Conclusions: A systematic ecological risk assessment approach for slope protection blocks would be useful for regulatory decisions for setting the allowable emission rates of chemical contaminants, although the method needs refinement.

Study on the prediction of the stopping probabilities in case of train fire in tunnel by Monte Carlo simulation method (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션에 의한 화재열차의 터널 내 정차확률 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Ji-Oh;Kim, Jong-Yoon;Kim, Hyo-Gyu
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2018
  • The safety of tunnels is quantified by quantitative risk assessment when planning the disaster prevention facilities of railway tunnels, and it is decided whether they are appropriate. The purpose of this study is to estimate the probability of the train stopping in the tunnels at train fire, which has a significant effect on the results of quantitative risk assessment for tunnel fires. For this purpose, a model was developed to calculate the coasting distance of the train considering the coefficient of train running resistance. The probability of stopping in case of train fire in the tunnel is predicted by the Monte Carlo simulation method with the coasting distance and the emergency braking distance as parameters of the tunnel lengths and slopes, train initial driving speeds. The kinetic equations for predicting the coasting distance were analyzed by reflecting the coefficient train running resistance of KTX II. In the case of KTX II trains, the coasting distance is reduced as the slope increases in a tunnel with an upward slope, but it is possible to continue driving without stopping in a slope downward. The probability of the train stopping in the case of train fire in tunnel decreases as the train speed increases and the slope of the tunnel decreases. If human error is not taken into account, the probability that a high-speed train traveling at a speed of 250 km/h or above will stop in a tunnel due to a fire is 0% when the slope of the tunnel is 0.5% or less, and the probability of stopping increases rapidly as the tunnel slope increases and the tunnel length increases.

Assessment of geological hazards in landslide risk using the analysis process method

  • Peixi Guo;Seyyed Behnam Beheshti;Maryam Shokravi;Amir Behshad
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.451-454
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    • 2023
  • Landslides are one of the natural disasters that cause a lot of financial and human losses every year It will be all over the world. China, especially. The Mainland China can be divided into 12 zones, including 4 high susceptibility zones, 7 medium susceptibility zones and 1 low susceptibility zone, according to landslide proneness. Climate and physiography are always at risk of landslides. The purpose of this research is to prepare a landslide hazard map using the Hierarchical Analysis Process method. In the GIS environment, it is in a part of China watershed. In order to prepare a landslide hazard map, first with Field studies, a distribution map of landslides in the area and then a map of factors affecting landslides were prepared. In the next stage, the factors are prioritized using expert opinion and hierarchical analysis process and nine factors including height, slope, slope direction, geological units, land use, distance from Waterway, distance from the road, distance from the fault and rainfall map were selected as effective factors. Then Landslide risk zoning in the region was done using the hierarchical analysis process model. The results showed that the three factors of geological units, distance from the road and slope are the most important have had an effect on the occurrence of landslides in the region, while the two factors of fault and rainfall have the least effect The landslide occurred in the region.

Use of the Risk Score for the Effective Management of Cut Slopes (효율적인 절토사면 관리를 위한 위험도 점수 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Hwan;Baek, Yong;Koo, Ho-Bon;Park, Keun-Bo
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.223-231
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    • 2012
  • Many cut slopes are located near national highways, resulting in large annual damage to infrastructure from the collapse of cut slopes. Therefore, to effectively maintain cut slopes, high-risk slopes should be identified and monitored. In this paper, we evaluate the effectiveness of the management of cut slopes using the risk score calculated from cut-slope inventory data. The inventory survey, as a simple assessment of the characteristics of various slopes, was performed to collect basic data that could be obtained visually in the field for the management of cut slopes. This method is not a precise survey, and it was composed of the general status and characteristics of cut slopes, the inspector's assessment, and inventory data in order to estimate a risk score for each slope. In this paper, we calculated the risk score by investigating the present status of cut slopes adjacent to 10,461 national roads. In order to evaluate the effectiveness of using risk score data, we compared the score for stable slopes with those of failed cut slopes. Failed cut slopes occurred in sections with the highest risk score. The results show that risk score derived from the inventory survey of cut slopes are useful in the management of cut slopes with risk of failure and in monitoring large numbers of cut slopes.