• 대기
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.399-414
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• 2010

Sand and dust storm in East Asia, so called Asian dust, is a seasonal meteorological phenomenon. Mostly in spring, dust particles blown into atmosphere in the arid area over northern China desert and Manchuria are transported to East Asia by prevailing flows. An Asian dust event occurred on 6-8 May 2007 is chosen to investigate how sensitive the Asian dust transport forecast to the initial condition uncertainties and to interpret the characteristics of sensitivity structures from the viewpoint of dynamics and predictability. To investigate the forecast sensitivities to the initial condition, adjoint sensitivities that calculate gradient of the forecast aspect (i.e., response function) with respect to the initial condition are used. The forecast aspects relevant to Asian dust transports are dry energy forecast error and lower tropospheric pressure forecast error. The results show that the sensitive regions for the dry energy forecast error and the lower tropospheric pressure forecast error are initially located in the vicinity of the trough and then propagate eastward as the surface low system moves eastward. The vertical structures of the adjoint sensitivities for the dry energy forecast error are upshear tilted structures, which are typical adjoint sensitivity structures for extratropical cyclones. Energy distribution of singular vectors also show very similar structures with the adjoint sensitivities for the dry energy forecast error. The adjoint sensitivities of the lower tropospheric pressure forecast error with respect to the relative vorticity show that the accurate forecast of the trough (or relative vorticity) location and intensity is essential to have better forecasts of the Asian dust event. Forecast error for the atmospheric circulation during the dust event is reduced 62.8% by extracting properly weighted adjoint sensitivity perturbations from the initial state. Linearity assumption holds generally well for this case. Dynamics of the Asian dust transport is closely associated with predictability of it, and the improvement in the overall forecast by the adjoint sensitivity perturbations implies that adjoint sensitivities would be beneficial in improving the forecast of Asian dust events.

• 대한조선학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.38-46
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• 1990

본 보에서는 축대칭포텐시얼유동에 대한 경계적분방정식의 해법이 제시된다. 이 문제는 고리용출점과 고리보오텍스에 의해서 표시되는데 이들의 세기는 한 구간내에서 매개변수 $\zeta$의 선형함수로 근사된다. 물체의 형상은 3차 B-spline으로 표시된다. 속도가 계산되는 점이 고리용출점이나 고리보오텍스에 접근할 때의 극한표현식이 $\zeta{ln}\zeta$항까지 유도된다. 수치계산에서 양 옆구간에 의한 주치적분은 정확하게 서로 상쇄되기 때문에 특이점에 의한 유기속도중 $\(\frac{1}{\zeta}\)$에 비례하는 항은 계산에서 제외된다. 그리고 ${ln}\zeta$에 비례하는 항과 $\zeta{ln}\zeta$에 비례하는 항은 해석적으로 적분이 가능하기 때문에 수치계산에서 이에 비례하는 항을 빼고 계산한 후 해석적으로 계산한 값을 더해 준다. 기타 수치적분은 4점 Gaussian Quadrature 공식에 의해서 수행되었다. 수렴률을 정하기 위하여 구간의 개수에 따른 평균자승근오차를 조사하였으며, 이 방법의 수렴률은 2에 접근점이 밝혀졌다.