• Title/Summary/Keyword: short term neural network

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Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring Method based on Long-Short Term Memory to classify Power Usage of Appliances (가전제품 전력 사용 분류를 위한 장단기 메모리 기반 비침입 부하 모니터링 기법)

  • Kyeong, Chanuk;Seon, Joonho;Sun, Young-Ghyu;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose a non-intrusive load monitoring(NILM) system which can find the power of each home appliance from the aggregated total power as the activation in the trading market of the distributed resource and the increasing importance of energy management. We transform the amount of appliances' power into a power on-off state by preprocessing. We use LSTM as a model for predicting states based on these data. Accuracy is measured by comparing predicted states with real ones after postprocessing. In this paper, the accuracy is measured with the different number of electronic products, data postprocessing method, and Time step size. When the number of electronic products is 6, the data postprocessing method using the Round function is used, and Time step size is set to 6, the maximum accuracy can be obtained.

Forecasting Baltic Dry Index by Implementing Time-Series Decomposition and Data Augmentation Techniques (시계열 분해 및 데이터 증강 기법 활용 건화물운임지수 예측)

  • Han, Min Soo;Yu, Song Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.701-716
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aims to predict the dry cargo transportation market economy. The subject of this study is the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) time-series, an index representing the dry cargo transport market. Methods: In order to increase the accuracy of the BDI time-series, we have pre-processed the original time-series via time-series decomposition and data augmentation techniques and have used them for ANN learning. The ANN algorithms used are Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to compare and analyze the case of learning and predicting by applying time-series decomposition and data augmentation techniques. The forecast period aims to make short-term predictions at the time of t+1. The period to be studied is from '22. 01. 07 to '22. 08. 26. Results: Only for the case of the MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) indicator, all ANN models used in the research has resulted in higher accuracy (1.422% on average) in multivariate prediction. Although it is not a remarkable improvement in prediction accuracy compared to uni-variate prediction results, it can be said that the improvement in ANN prediction performance has been achieved by utilizing time-series decomposition and data augmentation techniques that were significant and targeted throughout this study. Conclusion: Nevertheless, due to the nature of ANN, additional performance improvements can be expected according to the adjustment of the hyper-parameter. Therefore, it is necessary to try various applications of multiple learning algorithms and ANN optimization techniques. Such an approach would help solve problems with a small number of available data, such as the rapidly changing business environment or the current shipping market.

Prediction System of Running Heart Rate based on FitRec (FitRec 기반 달리기 심박수 예측 시스템)

  • Kim, Jinwook;Kim, Kwanghyun;Seon, Joonho;Lee, Seongwoo;Kim, Soo-Hyun;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.165-171
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    • 2022
  • Human heart rate can be used to measure exercise intensity as an important indicator. If heart rate can be predicted, exercise can be performed more efficiently by regulating the intensity of exercise in advance. In this paper, a FitRec-based prediction model is proposed for estimating running heart rate for users. Endomondo data is utilized for training the proposed prediction model. The processing algorithms for time-series data, such as LSTM(long short term memory) and GRU(gated recurrent unit), are employed to compare their performance. On the basis of simulation results, it was demonstrated that the proposed model trained with running exercise performed better than the model trained with several cardiac exercises.

Accident Detection System for Construction Sites Using Multiple Cameras and Object Detection (다중 카메라와 객체 탐지를 활용한 건설 현장 사고 감지 시스템)

  • Min hyung Kim;Min sung Kam;Ho sung Ryu;Jun hyeok Park;Min soo Jeon;Hyeong woo Choi;Jun-Ki Min
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.605-611
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    • 2023
  • Accidents at construction sites have a very high rate of fatalities due to the nature of being prone to severe injury patients. In order to reduce the mortality rate of severely injury patients, quick response is required, and some systems that detect accidents using AI technology and cameras have been devised to respond quickly to accidents. However, since existing accident detection systems use only a single camera, there are blind spots, Thus, they cannot detect all accidents at a construction site. Therefore, in this paper, we present the system that minimizes the detection blind spot by using multiple cameras. Our implemented system extracts feature points from the images of multiple cameras with the YOLO-pose library, and inputs the extracted feature points to a Long Short Term Memory-based recurrent neural network in order to detect accidents. In our experimental result, we confirme that the proposed system shows high accuracy while minimizing detection blind spots by using multiple cameras.

Short-Term Prediction of Travel Time Using DSRC on Highway (DSRC 자료를 이용한 고속도로 단기 통행시간 예측)

  • Kim, Hyungjoo;Jang, Kitae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.2465-2471
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    • 2013
  • This paper develops a travel time prediction algorithm that can be used for real-time application. The algorithm searches for the most similar pattern in historical travel time database as soon as a series of real-time data become available. Artificial neural network approach is then taken to forecast travel time in the near future. To examine the performance of this algorithm, travel time data from Gyungbu Highway were obtained and the algorithm is applied. The evaluation shows that the algorithm could predict travel time within 4% error range if comparable patterns are available in the historical travel time database. This paper documents the detailed algorithm and validation procedure, thereby furnishing a key to generating future travel time information.

RNN-LSTM Based Soil Moisture Estimation Using Terra MODIS NDVI and LST (Terra MODIS NDVI 및 LST 자료와 RNN-LSTM을 활용한 토양수분 산정)

  • Jang, Wonjin;Lee, Yonggwan;Lee, Jiwan;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.6
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 2019
  • This study is to estimate the spatial soil moisture using Terra MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) satellite data and machine learning technique. Using the 3 years (2015~2017) data of MODIS 16 days composite NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) and daily Land Surface Temperature (LST), ground measured precipitation and sunshine hour of KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration), the RDA (Rural Development Administration) 10 cm~30 cm average TDR (Time Domain Reflectometry) measured soil moisture at 78 locations was tested. For daily analysis, the missing values of MODIS LST by clouds were interpolated by conditional merging method using KMA surface temperature observation data, and the 16 days NDVI was linearly interpolated to 1 day interval. By applying the RNN-LSTM (Recurrent Neural Network-Long Short Term Memory) artificial neural network model, 70% of the total period was trained and the rest 30% period was verified. The results showed that the coefficient of determination ($R^2$), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency were 0.78, 2.76%, and 0.75 respectively. In average, the clay soil moisture was estimated well comparing with the other soil types of silt, loam, and sand. This is because the clay has the intrinsic physical property for having narrow range of soil moisture variation between field capacity and wilting point.

A New Vessel Path Prediction Method Based on Anticipation of Acceleration of Vessel (가속도 예측 기반 새로운 선박 이동 경로 예측 방법)

  • Kim, Jonghee;Jung, Chanho;Kang, Dokeun;Lee, Chang Jin
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.1176-1179
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    • 2020
  • Vessel path prediction methods generally predict the latitude and longitude of a future location directly. However, in the case of direct prediction, errors could be large since the possible output range is too broad. In addition, error accumulation could occur since recurrent neural networks-based methods employ previous predicted data to forecast future data. In this paper, we propose a vessel path prediction method that does not directly predict the longitude and latitude. Instead, the proposed method predicts the acceleration of the vessel. Then the acceleration is employed to generate the velocity and direction, and the values decide the longitude and latitude of the future location. In the experiment, we show that the proposed method makes smaller errors than the direct prediction method, while both methods employ the same model.

An Empirical Study on Prediction of the Art Price using Multivariate Long Short Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network Deep Learning Model (다변수 LSTM 순환신경망 딥러닝 모형을 이용한 미술품 가격 예측에 관한 실증연구)

  • Lee, Jiin;Song, Jeongseok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.552-560
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    • 2021
  • With the recent development of the art distribution system, interest in art investment is increasing rather than seeing art as an object of aesthetic utility. Unlike stocks and bonds, the price of artworks has a heterogeneous characteristic that is determined by reflecting both objective and subjective factors, so the uncertainty in price prediction is high. In this study, we used LSTM Recurrent Neural Network deep learning model to predict the auction winning price by inputting the artist, physical and sales charateristics of the Korean artist. According to the result, the RMSE value, which explains the difference between the predicted and actual price by model, was 0.064. Painter Lee Dae Won had the highest predictive power, and Lee Joong Seop had the lowest. The results suggest the art market becomes more active as investment goods and demand for auction winning price increases.

A study on activation functions of Artificial Neural Network model suitable for prediction of the groundwater level in the mid-mountainous area of eastern Jeju island (제주도 동부 중산간지역 지하수위 예측에 적합한 인공신경망 모델의 활성화함수 연구)

  • Mun-Ju Shin;Jeong-Hun Kim;Su-Yeon Kang;Jeong-Han Lee;Kyung Goo Kang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.520-520
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    • 2023
  • 제주도 동부 중산간 지역은 화산암으로 구성된 지하지질로 인해 지하수위의 변동폭이 크고 변동양상이 복잡하여 인공신경망(Artificial Neural Network, ANN) 모델 등을 활용한 지하수위의 예측이 어렵다. ANN에 적용되는 활성화함수에 따라 지하수의 예측성능은 달라질 수 있으므로 활성화함수의 비교분석 후 적절한 활성화함수의 사용이 반드시 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 5개 활성화함수(sigmoid, hyperbolic tangent(tanh), Rectified Linear Unit(ReLU), Leaky Rectified Linear Unit(Leaky ReLU), Exponential Linear Unit(ELU))를 제주도 동부 중산간지역에 위치한 2개 지하수 관정에 대해 비교분석하여 최적 활성화함수 도출을 목표로 한다. 또한 최적 활성화함수를 활용한 ANN의 적용성을 평가하기 위해 최근 널리 사용되고 있는 순환신경망 모델인 Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) 모델과 비교분석 하였다. 그 결과, 2개 관정 중 지하수위 변동폭이 상대적으로 큰 관정은 ELU 함수, 상대적으로 작은 관정은 Leaky ReLU 함수가 지하수위 예측에 적절하였다. 예측성능이 가장 낮은 활성화함수는 sigmoid 함수로 나타나 첨두 및 최저 지하수위 예측 시 사용을 지양해야 할 것으로 판단된다. 도출된 최적 활성화함수를 사용한 ANN-ELU 모델 및 ANN-Leaky ReLU 모델을 LSTM 모델과 비교분석한 결과 대등한 지하수위 예측성능을 나타내었다. 이것은 feed-forward 방식인 ANN 모델을 사용하더라도 적절한 활성화함수를 사용하면 최신 순환신경망과 대등한 결과를 도출하여 활용 가능성이 충분히 있다는 것을 의미한다. 마지막으로 LSTM 모델은 가장 적절한 예측성능을 나타내어 다양한 인공지능 모델의 예측성능 비교를 위한 기준이 되는 참고모델로 활용 가능하다. 본 연구에서 제시한 방법은 지하수위 예측과 더불어 하천수위 예측 등 다양한 시계열예측 및 분석연구에 유용하게 사용될 수 있다.

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An Object-Based Image Retrieval Techniques using the Interplay between Cortex and Hippocampus (해마와 피질의 상호 관계를 이용한 객체 기반 영상 검색 기법)

  • Hong Jong-Sun;Kang Dae-Seong
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.42 no.4 s.304
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we propose a user friendly object-based image retrieval system using the interaction between cortex and hippocampus. Most existing ways of queries in content-based image retrieval rely on query by example or query by sketch. But these methods of queries are not adequate to needs of people's various queries because they are not easy for people to use and restrict. We propose a method of automatic color object extraction using CSB tree map(Color and Spatial based Binary をn map). Extracted objects were transformed to bit stream representing information such as color, size and location by region labelling algorithm and they are learned by the hippocampal neural network using the interplay between cortex and hippocampus. The cells of exciting at peculiar features in brain generate the special sign when people recognize some patterns. The existing neural networks treat each attribute of features evenly. Proposed hippocampal neural network makes an adaptive fast content-based image retrieval system using excitatory learning method that forwards important features to long-term memories and inhibitory teaming method that forwards unimportant features to short-term memories controlled by impression.