• Title/Summary/Keyword: short term neural network

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A Stock Price Prediction Based on Recurrent Convolution Neural Network with Weighted Loss Function (가중치 손실 함수를 가지는 순환 컨볼루션 신경망 기반 주가 예측)

  • Kim, HyunJin;Jung, Yeon Sung
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.123-128
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    • 2019
  • This paper proposes the stock price prediction based on the artificial intelligence, where the model with recurrent convolution neural network (RCNN) layers is adopted. In the motivation of this prediction, long short-term memory model (LSTM)-based neural network can make the output of the time series prediction. On the other hand, the convolution neural network provides the data filtering, averaging, and augmentation. By combining the advantages mentioned above, the proposed technique predicts the estimated stock price of next day. In addition, in order to emphasize the recent time series, a custom weighted loss function is adopted. Moreover, stock data related to the stock price index are adopted to consider the market trends. In the experiments, the proposed stock price prediction reduces the test error by 3.19%, which is over other techniques by about 19%.

Forecasting LNG Freight rate with Artificial Neural Networks

  • Lim, Sangseop;Ahn, Young-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2022
  • LNG is known as the transitional energy source for the future eco-friendly, attracting enormous market attention due to global eco-friendly regulations, Covid-19 Pandemic, Russia-Ukraine War. In addition, since new LNG suppliers such as the U.S. and Australia are also diversifying, the LNG spot market is expected to grow. On the other hand, research on the LNG transportation market has been marginalized. Therefore, this study attempted to predict short-term LNG 160K spot rates and compared the prediction performance between artificial neural networks and the ARIMA model. As a result of this paper, while it was difficult to determine the superiority and superiority of ARIMA and artificial neural networks, considering the relative free of ANN's contraints, we confirmed the feasibility of ANN in LNG 160K spot rate prediction. This study has academic significance as the first attempt to apply an artificial neural network to forecasting LNG 160K spot rates and are expected to contribute significantly in practice in that they can improve the quality of short-term investment decisions by market participants by increasing the accuracy of short-term prediction.

Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network assisted Peak to Average Power Ratio Reduction for Underwater Acoustic Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing Communication

  • Waleed, Raza;Xuefei, Ma;Houbing, Song;Amir, Ali;Habib, Zubairi;Kamal, Acharya
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.239-260
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    • 2023
  • The underwater acoustic wireless communication networks are generally formed by the different autonomous underwater acoustic vehicles, and transceivers interconnected to the bottom of the ocean with battery deployed modems. Orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) has become the most popular modulation technique in underwater acoustic communication due to its high data transmission and robustness over other symmetrical modulation techniques. To maintain the operability of underwater acoustic communication networks, the power consumption of battery-operated transceivers becomes a vital necessity to be minimized. The OFDM technology has a major lack of peak to average power ratio (PAPR) which results in the consumption of more power, creating non-linear distortion and increasing the bit error rate (BER). To overcome this situation, we have contributed our symmetry research into three dimensions. Firstly, we propose a machine learning-based underwater acoustic communication system through long short-term memory neural network (LSTM-NN). Secondly, the proposed LSTM-NN reduces the PAPR and makes the system reliable and efficient, which turns into a better performance of BER. Finally, the simulation and water tank experimental data results are executed which proves that the LSTM-NN is the best solution for mitigating the PAPR with non-linear distortion and complexity in the overall communication system.

A Study on the Lifetime Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on the Long Short-Term Memory Model of Recurrent Neural Networks

  • Sang-Bum Kim
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.236-241
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    • 2024
  • Due to the recent emphasis on carbon neutrality and environmental regulations, the global electric vehicle (EV) market is experiencing rapid growth. This surge has raised concerns about the recycling and disposal methods for EV batteries. Unlike traditional internal combustion engine vehicles, EVs require unique and safe methods for the recovery and disposal of their batteries. In this process, predicting the lifespan of the battery is essential. Impedance and State of Charge (SOC) analysis are commonly used methods for this purpose. However, predicting the lifespan of batteries with complex chemical characteristics through electrical measurements presents significant challenges. To enhance the accuracy and precision of existing measurement methods, this paper proposes using a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model, a type of deep learning-based recurrent neural network, to diagnose battery performance. The goal is to achieve safe classification through this model. The designed structure was evaluated, yielding results with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.8451, a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 1.3448, and an accuracy of 0.984, demonstrating excellent performance.

Air quality index prediction using seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average transductive long short-term memory

  • Subramanian Deepan;Murugan Saravanan
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.915-927
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    • 2024
  • We obtain the air quality index (AQI) for a descriptive system aimed to communicate pollution risks to the population. The AQI is calculated based on major air pollutants including O3, CO, SO2, NO, NO2, benzene, and particulate matter PM2.5 that should be continuously balanced in clean air. Air pollution is a major limitation for urbanization and population growth in developing countries. Hence, automated AQI prediction by a deep learning method applied to time series may be advantageous. We use a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model for predicting values reflecting past trends considered as seasonal patterns. In addition, a transductive long short-term memory (TLSTM) model learns dependencies through recurring memory blocks, thus learning long-term dependencies for AQI prediction. Further, the TLSTM increases the accuracy close to test points, which constitute a validation group. AQI prediction results confirm that the proposed SARIMA-TLSTM model achieves a higher accuracy (93%) than an existing convolutional neural network (87.98%), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator model (78%), and generative adversarial network (89.4%).

Study on Nonlinearites of Short Term, Beat-to-beat Variability in Cardiovascular Signals (심혈관 신호에 있어서 단기간 beat-to-beat 변이의 비선형 역할에 관한 연구)

  • Han-Go Choi
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2003
  • Numerous studies of short-term, beat-to-beat variability in cardiovascular signals have used linear analysis techniques. However, no study has been done about the appropriateness of linear techniques or the comparison between linearities and nonlinearities in short-term, beat-to-beat variability. This paper aims to verify the appropriateness of linear techniques by investigating nonlinearities in short-term, beat-to-beat variability. We compared linear autoregressive moving average(ARMA) with nonlinear neural network(NN) models for predicting current instantaneous heart rate(HR) and mean arterial blood pressure(BP) from past HRs and BPs. To evaluate these models. we used HR and BP time series from the MIMIC database. Experimental results indicate that NN-based nonlinearities do not play a significant role and suggest that 10 technique provides adequate characterization of the system dynamics responsible for generating short-term, beat-to-beat variability.

Development of Deep Learning Based Deterioration Prediction Model for the Maintenance Planning of Highway Pavement (도로포장의 유지관리 계획 수립을 위한 딥러닝 기반 열화 예측 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Yongjun;Sun, Jongwan;Lee, Minjae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.34-43
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    • 2019
  • The maintenance cost for road pavement is gradually increasing due to the continuous increase in road extension as well as increase in the number of old routes that have passed the public period. As a result, there is a need for a method of minimizing costs through preventative grievance preventive maintenance requires the establishment of a strategic plan through accurate prediction of road pavement. Hence, In this study, the deep neural network(DNN) and the recurrent neural network(RNN) were used in order to develop the expressway pavement damage prediction model. A superior model among these two network models was then suggested by comparing and analyzing their performance. In order to solve the RNN's vanishing gradient problem, the LSTM (Long short-term memory) circuits which are a more complicated form of the RNN structure were used. The learning result showed that the RMSE value of the RNN-LSTM model was 0.102 which was lower than the RMSE value of the DNN model, indicating that the performance of the RNN-LSTM model was superior. In addition, high accuracy of the RNN-LSTM model was verified through the comparison between the estimated average road pavement condition and the actually measured road pavement condition of the target section over time.

Development of Neural Network Model for Pridiction of Daily Maximum Ozone Concentration in Summer (하계의 일 최고 오존농도 예측을 위한 신경망모델의 개발)

  • 김용국;이종범
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.224-232
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    • 1994
  • A new neural network model has been developed to predict short-term air pollution concentration. In addition, a multiple regression model widely used in statistical analysis was tested. These models were applied for prediction of daily maximum ozone concentration in Seoul during the summer season of 1991. The time periods between May and September 1989 and 1990 were utilized to train set of learning patterns in neural network model, and to estimate multiple regression model. To evaluate the results of the different models, several Performance indices were used. The results indicated that the multiple regression model tended to underpredict the daily maximum ozone concentration with small r$^{2}$(0.38). Also, large errors were found in this model; 21.1 ppb for RMSE, 0.324 for NMSE, and -0.164 for MRE. On the other hand, the results obtained from the neural network model were very promising. Thus, we can know that this model has a prominent efficiency in the adaptive control for the non-linear multi- variable systems such as photochemical oxidants. Also, when the recent new information was added in the neural network model, prediction accuracy was increased. From the new model, the values of RMSE, NMSE and r$^{2}$ were 13.2ppb, 0.089, 0.003 and 0.55 respectively.

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Short-term Electric Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Transform and GMDH

  • Koo, Bon-Gil;Lee, Heung-Seok;Park, Juneho
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.832-837
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    • 2015
  • The group method of data handling (GMDH) algorithm has proven to be a powerful and effective way to extract rules or polynomials from an electric load pattern. However, because it is nonstationary, the load pattern needs to be decomposed using a discrete wavelet transform. In addition, if a load pattern has a complicated curve pattern, GMDH should use a higher polynomial, which requires complex computing and consumes a lot of time. This paper suggests a method for short-term electric load forecasting that uses a wavelet transform and a GMDH algorithm. Case studies with the proposed algorithm were carried out for one-day-ahead forecasting of hourly electric loads using data during the years 2008-2011. To prove the effectiveness of our proposed approach, the results were evaluated and compared with those obtained by Holt-Winters method and artificial neural network. Our suggested method resulted in better performance than either comparison group.

Classification of Behavior of UTD Data using LSTM Technique (LSTM 기법을 적용한 UTD 데이터 행동 분류)

  • Jeung, Gyeo-wun;Ahn, Ji-min;Shin, Dong-in;Won, Geon;Park, Jong-bum
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2018.10a
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    • pp.477-479
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    • 2018
  • This study was carried out to utilize LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) technique which is one kind of artificial neural network. Among the 27 types of motion data released by the UTD(University of Texas at Dallas), 3-axis acceleration and angular velocity data were applied to the basic LSTM and Deep Residual Bidir-LSTM techniques to classify the behavior.

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