• Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.41-47
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• 2022

A reliable prediction model of national occupational accident fatality rate can be used to evaluate level of safety and health protection for workers in a country. Moreover, the socio-economic aspects of occupational accidents can be identified through interpretation of a well-organized prediction model. In this paper, we propose a machine learning based relative comparison methods to predict and interpret a national occupational accident fatality rate based on socio-economic indicators. First, we collected 29 years of the relevant data from 11 developed countries. Second, we applied 4 types of machine learning regression models and evaluate their performance. Third, we interpret the contribution of each input variable using Shapley Additive Explanations(SHAP). As a result, Gradient Boosting Regressor showed the best predictive performance. We found that different patterns exist across countries in accordance with different socio-economic variables and occupational accident fatality rate.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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• 2021.07a
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• pp.387-390
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• 2021

최근 전자 상거래 시장이 급격한 성장을 이루면서 고객들의 급변하는 니즈를 파악하는 것이 기업들의 수익에 직결되는 요소로 인식되고 있다. 이에 기업들은 고객들의 니즈를 신속하고 정확하게 파악하기 위해, 기축적된 고객 관련 각종 데이터를 활용하려는 시도를 강화하고 있다. 기존 시도들은 주로 구매 행동 예측에 중점을 두었으나 고객 행동의 전후 과정을 해석하는데 있어 어려움이 존재했다. 본 연구에서는 고객이 구매한 상품을 확정 또는 환불하는 행동을 취할 때 해당 행동이 발생하는데 있어 어떤 요소들이 작용하였는지를 파악하고, 어떤 고객이 환불할 지를 예측하는 예측 모형을 새롭게 제시한다. 예측 모형 구현에는 트리 기반 앙상블 방법을 사용해 예측력을 높인 XGBoost 기법을 적용하였으며, 고객 의도에 영향을 미치는 요소들을 파악하기 위하여 대표적인 설명가능한 인공지능(XAI) 기법 중 하나인 SHAP 기법을 적용하였다. 이를 통해 특정 고객 행동에 대한 각 요인들의 전반적인 영향 뿐만 아니라, 각 개별 고객에 대해서도 어떤 요소가 환불결정에 영향을 미쳤는지 파악할 수 있었다. 이를 통해 기업은 고객 개개인의 의사 결정에 영향을 미치는 요소를 파악하여 개인화 마케팅에 사용할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Annual Conference of KIPS
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• 2021.11a
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• pp.845-848
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• 2021

최근 화석연료의 급격한 사용에 따른 자원고갈이나 환경오염과 같은 문제들이 심각해짐에 따라 화석연료를 대체할 수 있는 신재생에너지에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. 태양광 에너지는 다른 에너지원에 비해 고갈의 우려가 없고, 부지 선정의 제약이 크지 않아 수요가 증가하고 있다. 태양광 발전 시스템에서 생산된 전력을 효과적으로 사용하기 위해서는 태양광 발전량에 대한 정확한 예측 모델이 필요하다. 이를 위한 다양한 딥러닝 기반의 예측 모델들이 제안되었지만, 이러한 모델들은 모델 내부에서 일어나는 의사결정 과정을 들여다보기가 어렵다. 의사결정에 대한 설명이 없다면 예측 모델의 결과를 완전히 신뢰하고 사용하는 데 제약이 따른다. 이런 문제를 위해서 최근 주목을 받는 설명 가능한 인공지능 기술을 사용한다면, 예측 모델의 결과 도출에 대한 해석을 제공할 수 있어 모델의 신뢰성을 확보할 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 모델의 성능 향상을 기대할 수도 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)을 사용하여 모델을 구성하고, 모델에서 어떻게 예측값이 도출되었는지를 SHapley Additive exPlanation(SHAP)을 통하여 설명하는 태양광 발전량 예측 기법을 제안한다.

• Journal of Powder Materials
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• v.30 no.3
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• pp.210-216
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• 2023

In this study, machine learning models are proposed to predict the Vickers hardness of AlSi10Mg alloys fabricated by laser powder bed fusion (LPBF). A total of 113 utilizable datasets were collected from the literature. The hyperparameters of the machine-learning models were adjusted to select an accurate predictive model. The random forest regression (RFR) model showed the best performance compared to support vector regression, artificial neural networks, and k-nearest neighbors. The variable importance and prediction mechanisms of the RFR were discussed by Shapley additive explanation (SHAP). Aging time had the greatest influence on the Vickers hardness, followed by solution time, solution temperature, layer thickness, scan speed, power, aging temperature, average particle size, and hatching distance. Detailed prediction mechanisms for RFR are analyzed using SHAP dependence plots.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• v.44 no.5
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• pp.691-705
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• 2022

Shear failure in reinforced concrete (RC) structures is very hazardous. This failure is rarely predicted and may occur without any prior signs. Accurate shear strength prediction of the RC members is challenging, and traditional methods have difficulty solving it. This study develops a JAYA-GBRT model based on the JAYA algorithm and the gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT) to predict the shear strength of RC slender beams without stirrups. Firstly, 484 tests are carefully collected and divided into training and test sets. Then, the hyperparameters of the GBRT model are determined using the JAYA algorithm and 10-fold cross-validation. The performance of the JAYA-GBRT model is compared with five well-known empirical models. The comparative results show that the JAYA-GBRT model (R² = 0.982, RMSE = 9.466 kN, MAE = 6.299 kN, µ = 1.018, and Cov = 0.116) outperforms the other models. Moreover, the predictions of the JAYA-GBRT model are globally and locally explained using the Shapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) method. The effective depth is determined as the most crucial parameter influencing the shear strength through the SHAP method. Finally, a Graphic User Interface (GUI) tool and a web application (WA) are developed to apply the JAYA-GBRT model for rapidly predicting the shear strength of RC slender beams without stirrups.

• Annual Conference of KIPS
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.706-708
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• 2023

In this study, we embark on a journey to uncover the essence of emotions by exploring the depths of transfer learning on three pre-trained transformer models. Our quest to classify five emotions culminates in discovering the KLUE (Korean Language Understanding Evaluation)-BERT (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers) model, which is the most exceptional among its peers. Our analysis of F1 scores attests to its superior learning and generalization abilities on the experimental data. To delve deeper into the mystery behind its success, we employ the powerful SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations) method to unravel the intricacies of the KLUE-BERT model. The findings of our investigation are presented with a mesmerizing text plot visualization, which serves as a window into the model's soul. This approach enables us to grasp the impact of individual tokens on emotion classification and provides irrefutable, visually appealing evidence to support the predictions of the KLUE-BERT model.

• Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.63-71
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• 2023

The construction industry stands out for its higher incidence of accidents in comparison to other sectors. A causal analysis of the accidents is necessary for effective prevention. In this study, we propose a data-driven causal analysis to find significant factors of fatal construction accidents. We collected 14,318 cases of structured and text data of construction accidents from the Construction Safety Management Integrated Information (CSI). For the variables in the collected dataset, we first analyze their patterns and correlations with fatal construction accidents by statistical analysis. In addition, machine learning algorithms are employed to develop a classification model for fatal accidents. The integration of SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) allows for the identification of root causes driving fatal incidents. As a result, the outcome reveals the significant factors and keywords wielding notable influence over fatal accidents within construction contexts.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• v.49 no.1
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• pp.109-123
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• 2023

Headed studs welded to steel beams and embedded within the concrete of deck slabs are vital components of modern composite floor systems, where safety and economy depend on the accurate predictions of the stud shear resistance. The multitude of existing deck profiles and the complex behavior of studs in deck slab ribs makes developing accurate and reliable mechanical or empirical design models challenging. The paper addresses this issue by presenting a machine learning (ML) model developed from the natural gradient boosting (NGBoost) algorithm capable of producing probabilistic predictions and a database of 464 push-out tests, which is considerably larger than the databases used for developing existing design models. The proposed model outperforms models based on other ML algorithms and existing descriptive equations, including those in EC4 and AISC 360, while offering probabilistic predictions unavailable from other models and producing higher shear resistances for many cases. The present study also showed that the stud shear resistance is insensitive to the concrete elastic modulus, stud welding type, location of slab reinforcement, and other parameters considered important by existing models. The NGBoost model was interpreted by evaluating the feature importance and dependence determined with the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method. The model was calibrated via reliability analyses in accordance with the Eurocodes to ensure that its predictions meet the required reliability level and facilitate its use in design. An interactive open-source web application was created and deployed to the cloud to allow for convenient and rapid stud shear resistance predictions with the developed model.

• Journal of Powder Materials
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• v.31 no.2
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• pp.137-145
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• 2024

In order to predict the process window of laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) for printing metallic components, the calculation of volumetric energy density (VED) has been widely calculated for controlling process parameters. However, because it is assumed that the process parameters contribute equally to heat input, the VED still has limitation for predicting the process window of LPBF-processed materials. In this study, an explainable machine learning (xML) approach was adopted to predict and understand the contribution of each process parameter to defect evolution in Ti alloys in the LPBF process. Various ML models were trained, and the Shapley additive explanation method was adopted to quantify the importance of each process parameter. This study can offer effective guidelines for fine-tuning process parameters to fabricate high-quality products using LPBF.

• Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine
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• v.36 no.2
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• pp.39-48
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• 2024

Objectives The aim was to develop a method for detecting Sasang constitution based on the ratio of facial landmarks and provide an objective and reliable tool for Sasang constitution classification. Methods Facial images, KS-15 scores, and certainty scores were collected from subjects identified by Korean Medicine Data Center. Facial ratio landmarks were detected, yielding 2279 facial ratio features. Tree-based models were trained to classify Sasang constitution, and Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) analysis was employed to identify important facial features. Additionally, Body Mass Index (BMI) and personality questionnaire were incorporated as supplementary information to enhance model performance. Results Using the Tree-based models, the accuracy for classifying Taeeum, Soeum, and Soyang constitutions was 81.90%, 90.49%, and 81.90% respectively. SHAP analysis revealed important facial features, while the inclusion of BMI and personality questionnaire improved model performance. This demonstrates that facial ratio-based Sasang constitution analysis yields effective and accurate classification results. Conclusions Facial ratio-based Sasang constitution analysis provides rapid and objective results compared to traditional methods. This approach holds promise for enhancing personalized medicine in Korean traditional medicine.