• Title/Summary/Keyword: series model

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A damage mechanics based random-aggregate mesoscale model for concrete fracture and size effect analysis

  • Ni Zhen;Xudong Qian
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.147-162
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    • 2024
  • This study presents a random-aggregate mesoscale model integrating the random distribution of the coarse aggerates and the damage mechanics of the mortar and interfacial transition zone (ITZ). This mesoscale model can generate the random distribution of the coarse aggregates according to the prescribed particle size distribution which enables the automation of the current methodology with different coarse aggregates' distribution. The main innovation of this work is to propose the "correction factor" to eliminate the dimensionally dependent mesh sensitivity of the concrete damaged plasticity (CDP) model. After implementing the correction factor through the user-defined subroutine in the randomly meshed mesoscale model, the predicted fracture resistance is in good agreement with the average experimental results of a series of geometrically similar single-edge-notched beams (SENB) concrete specimens. The simulated cracking pattern is also more realistic than the conventional concrete material models. The proposed random-aggregate mesoscale model hence demonstrates its validity in the application of concrete fracture failure and statistical size effect analysis.

A Fitness Verification of Time Series Models for Network Traffic Predictions (네트워크 트래픽 예측을 위한 시계열 모형의 적합성 검증)

  • 정상준;김동주;권영헌;김종근
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.29 no.2B
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    • pp.217-227
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    • 2004
  • With a rapid growth in the Internet technology, the network traffic is increasing swiftly. As for the increase of traffic, it had a large influence on performance of a total network. Therefore, a traffic management became an important issue of network management. In this paper, we study a forecast plan of network traffic in order to analyze network traffic and to establish efficient correspondence. We use time series forecast models and determine fitness whether the model can forecast network traffic exactly. In order to predict a model, AR, MA, ARMA, and ARIMA must be applied. The suitable model can be found that can express the nature of traffic for the forecast among these models. We determines whether it is satisfied with stationary in the assumption step of the model. The stationary can get the results by using ACF(Auto Correlation Function) and PACF(Partial Auto Correlation Function). If the result of this function cannot satisfy then the forecast model is unsuitable. Therefore, we are going to get the correct model that is to satisfy stationary assumption. So, we proposes a way to classify in order to get time series materials to satisfy stationary. The correct prediction method is managed traffic of a network with a way to be better than now. It is possible to manage traffic dynamically if it can be used.

Analysis of Urban Heat Island Effect Using Time Series of Landsat Images and Annual Temperature Cycle Model (시계열 Landsat TM 영상과 연간 지표온도순환 모델을 이용한 열섬효과 분석)

  • Hong, Seung Hwan;Cho, Han Jin;Kim, Mi Kyeong;Sohn, Hong Gyoo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2015
  • Remote sensing technology using a multi-spectral satellite imagery can be utilized for the analysis of urban heat island effect in large area. However, weather condition of Korea mostly has a lot of clouds and it makes periodical observation using time-series of satellite images difficult. For this reason, we proposed the analysis of urban heat island effect using time-series of Landsat TM images and ATC model. To analyze vegetation condition and urbanization, NDVI and NDBI were calculated from Landsat images. In addition, land surface temperature was calculated from thermal infrared images to estimate the parameters of ATC model. Furthermore, the parameters of ATC model were compared based on the land cover map created by Korean Ministry of Environment to analyze urban heat island effect relating to the pattern of land use and land cover. As a result of a correlation analysis between calculated spectral indices and parameters of ATC model, MAST had high correlation with NDVI and NDBI (-0.76 and 0.69, respectively) and YAST also had correlation with NDVI and NDBI (-0.53 and 0.42, respectively). By comparing the parameters of ATC model based on land cover map, urban area had higher MAST and YAST than agricultural land and grassland. In particular, residential areas, industrial areas, commercial areas and transportation facilities showed higher MAST than cultural facilities and public facilities. Moreover, residential areas, industrial areas and commercial areas had higher YAST than the other urban areas.

A Causality Analysis of the Prices between Imported Fisheries and Domestic Fisheries in Distribution Channel (수입 수산물과 국내산 수산물의 가격간 유통단계별 인과성 분석 : 명태, 갈치, 조기 냉동품을 대상으로)

  • Cha, Young-Gi;Kim, Ki-Soo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.105-126
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    • 2009
  • This study applies the cointegration theory to analyse the causality of the prices between imported fisheries and domestic fisheries in distribution channel. We've focused on the prices of import, wholesale and retail about the frozen Alaska pollack, hairtail and croaker which take up high portion and are popular among most of the consumers. In process of analysis, the unit root test was adopted to find the stability of time series data prior to the cointegration test. If the time series data was found as stable one in unit root test, we should analyse the VAR model. If unstable, the cointegratioin test was adopeted to find the long-run equilibrium relationship between the data. When the long-run equilibrium relationship was found among the price of the import, wholesale and retail price, the VECM model was adoped. If not, the differenced VAR model was adopted. The main findings of this study could be summarized as follows ; First, according to the result of the analysis on VAR model, time series data of frozen Alaska pollack was found as stable and has causality relationship and close effect was existing among the import, wholesale and retail price. Second, the data of frozen hairtail was found as an unstable one in unit root test and the result of cointegration test showed the long-run equilibrium relationship at lag 1. From the results of VECM model, we could find that the coefficient of error correction is effective, and the sign is negative(-). It means that the existence of adjustment tendency to long-run equilibrium after a short-run deviation. But the short-run causality of the prices were not found except the price of wholesale. Third, according to the results of differenced VAR model, data from frozen croaker did not have the stability and long-run equilibrium. Moreover, it was found that the import price has a weak causality on the retail price. Because of having difficulties in collecting data, the result of this paper could not explain the relationship among the prices of import, wholesale and retail perfectly. However, it more or less contributed to a long-lasted debate on the direction of causality of price-setting in academic research and provided a useful guide for the policy makers in charge of the price-setting of fisheries products as well.

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A systematic review of studies using time series analysis of health and welfare in Korea (체계적 문헌고찰을 통한 국내 보건복지 분야의 시계열 분석 연구 동향)

  • Woo, Kyung-Sook;Shin, Young-Jeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.579-599
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the trends and risk of bias of research using time series analysis on health and welfare in Korea and to suggest a direction for future health and welfare research. The database searches identified 6,543 papers. Following the process for screening and selecting, a total of 91 papers were included in the systematic review. There has been a steady increase in the number of articles using time series analysis from 1987 to 2013. Time series analysis was applied in medicine and health science journals. The main goals were explanation and description. Most of the subjects were heath status and utilization of healthcare services. The main model used in the time series analysis was ARIMA followed by time series regression. The data were gathered from various sources, including the national statistical office and government agencies. For assessing risk of bias, some studies were found to have inadequate sample sizes or showed no time series graphs and plots. These findings suggest greater widespread utilization of time series analysis in the field of health and welfare and to use the appropriate analysis methods and statistical procedures to obtain more reliable results to improve the quality of research.

Development of an On-Line Model for the Prediction of Roll Force and Roll Power in Roughing Mill by FEM (유한요소법을 이용한 조압연에서의 압하력 및 압연동력 예측 온라인 모델 개발)

  • Kim S. H.;Kwak W. J.;Hwang S. M.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.134-137
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    • 2001
  • In this paper on-line model is derived from investigating via series of finite element process simulation. Some variables that little affect on non-dimensional parameters. ie. forward slip and torque factor. is extracted from composing on-line model Especially, this research focused on deriving on-line model which exactly predict roll force and roll power in the roughing mill process under small shape factor and small reduction ratio. The prediction accuracy of the proposed model is examined through comparison with predictions from a finite element process model

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Integrity Evaluation Model for a Straight Pipe with Local Wall Thinning Defect (직관 배관의 국부 감육결함에 대한 건전성 평가 모델)

  • Park Chi Yong;Kim Jin Weon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.29 no.5 s.236
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    • pp.734-742
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    • 2005
  • The present study proposes the integrity evaluation model for a straight pipe with local wall thinning defect, which reflects the characteristics of training shape and loading condition in the Piping of nuclear power plant. For this purpose, a series of finite element analyses are performed under various defect geometries and loading conditions, and real pipe experiment data performed previously is employed. The model includes the effect of thinning length as well as thinning depth and width, and also it considers the combined loading effect between internal pressure and bending moment. The proposed model has been validated using the results of finite element analysis and pipe experiment data. The results indicate that the proposed model provides more reliable predictions of pipe failure than the current existing model, in terms of accuracy, consistency, and conservativeness of results.

Verification of Finite Element Model Using the Almen Strip Test and Its Applications to Calculate Residual Stress Distribution (알멘 스트립 시험 모사를 이용한 유한요소모델의 유효성 검증 및 잔류응력분포 계산)

  • Yang, Z.R.;Park, S.H.;Lee, Y.S.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 2012
  • We performed a shot peening test and used a 2-D finite element model which predicts the compressive residual stress distribution below the material's surface. In this study, the concept of 'impact cycle' is introduced to account for the irregularity in the shot's impact position during testing. The impact cycle was imbedded in the finite element model. In the shot peening test, shot bombarded a type-A Almen strip surface with different impact velocities. To verify the proposed finite element model, we compared the deformed cross sectional shape of the Almen strips with the shapes computed by the proposed finite element model. Good agreement was noted between measurements and the finite element model predictions. With the verified finite element model, a series of finite element simulations was conducted to compute the residual stress distribution below the material's surface and the characteristics of these distributions are discussed.

A Theoretical Approach for criticizing the Model House of Apartment (아파트 모델하우스 비평을 위한 이론적 접근)

  • 전경화;김정근;홍형옥
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • no.19
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    • pp.121-127
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    • 1999
  • The objective of this study was to criticize the model house of apartment and suggest a evaluation model which could be used as an effective tool. The evaluation model had been developed based on the theoretical framework suggested by previous results of research related on housing design, which comprised the following four components : 1) the paradigm of future home and life-style, 2) marketing effects of housing developer, 3) goals and principles of housing design and 4) results of user-preferences study, an evaluation model was suggested as a preliminary form which would be modified in detail after series of tests in the field. The evaluation model will be used to provide standardized criteria for the quality of model houses, and eventually help to improve the quality of apartment housing design by balanced information from theorist, user and developer.

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Eigen-analysis of SSR in Power Systems with Modular Network Model Equations (Modular 네트워크 모델 구성에 의한 전력계통 SSR 현상의 고유치해석)

  • Nam, Hae-Kon;Kim, Yong-Gu;Shim, Kwan-Shik
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.10
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    • pp.1239-1246
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents a new algorithm to construct the modular network model for SSR analysis by simply applying KCL to each node and KVL to all branches connected to the node sequentially. This method has advantages that the model can be derived directly from the system data for transient stability study and turbine/generator shaft model, the resulted model in the form of augmented state matrix is very sparse, and thus efficient SSR study of a large scale system becomes possible. The proposed algorithm is verified with the IEEE First and Second Benchmark models.

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