• Title/Summary/Keyword: series model

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Effect of Air Pollution on Emergency Room Visits for Asthma : a Time Series Analysis (대기오염과 천식발작의 관련성에 관한 시계열적 연구)

  • Ju, Young-Su;Cho, Soo-Hun
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2001
  • Objectives : To evaluate the hypothesis that increasing ambient levels of ozone or particulate matter are associated with increased emergency room visits for asthma and to quantify the strength of association, if any, between these. Methods : Daily counts of emergency room visits for asthma, air quality, and weather data were collected from hospitals with over 200 beds and from monitoring Stations in Seoul, Korea from 1994 through 1997. Daily counts of emergency mom visits for asthma attack were analyzed using a general additive Poisson model, with adjustment for the effects of secular trend, seasonal variation, Sunday and holiday, temperature, and humidly, according to levels of ozone and particulate matter. Results : The association between daily counts of emergency room visits for asthma attack and ozone levels was statistically significant in summer(from June to August), and the RR by unit inclement of 100 ppb ozone was 1.30(95% CI = $1.11\sim1.52$) without lag time. With restriction of the period from April to September in 1996, the RR was 1.37(95% CI = $1.06\sim1.76$), and from June to August in 1995, the RR was 1.62(95% CI = $1.12\sim2.35$). In the data for children$(5\sim14yr)$, the RR was 2.57(95% CI = $1.31\sim5.05$) with restriction of the period from April to September in 1997. There was no Significant association between TSP levels and asthma attacks, but a slight association was seen between PM10 levels and asthma attacks in a very restricted period. Conclusion : There was a statistically significant association between ambient levels of ozone and daily counts of emergency room visits for asthma attack. Therefore, we must make efforts to effectively minimize air pollution, in order to protect public health.

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Effect of Joint Sets on the Earth Pressure against the Support System in a Jointed Rock Mass (절리형성 암반지층 굴착벽체에 작용하는 토압에 대한 절리군의 영향)

  • Son, Moorak;Adedokun, Solomon
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.31 no.12
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2015
  • This study examined the magnitude and distribution of earth pressure on the support system in a jointed rock mass due to the different joint sets as well as varying the rock type and joint condition (joint shear strength and joint inclination angle). Based on a physical model test and its numerical simulation, a series of numerical parametric analyses were conducted using a discrete element method. The results showed that the induced earth pressure was affected significantly by a joint set depending on the inclusion of the joint inclination angle, which induces a joint sliding condition, but the number of joint sets alone was not important, even though the earth pressure could be increased slightly as the number of joint sets is increased. In addition, the study results were compared with Peck's earth pressure for soil ground, which indicated that the earth pressure in a jointed rock mass could be considerably different from that in soil ground. The study suggests that the effects of joint sets as well as rock type and joint condition are important factors affecting the earth pressure in a jointed rock mass and they should be considered when designing a support system in a jointed rock mass.

Analysis of Load Capacity and Deformation Behavior of Suction Pile Installed in Sand (모래지반에 근입된 석션파일의 인발저항력 및 변위거동 분석)

  • Kim, You-Seok;Jang, Yeon-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.27 no.11
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2011
  • A series of centrifuge model tests to investigate the suction pile pullout loading capacity in sand have been performed. The main parameters that affect the pullout loading capacity of a suction pile include the mooring line inclination angle and the padeye position of the suction pile. With respect to the padeye position, the maximum pullout loading capacity is obtained when the padeye position is near 75% of the pile length from the top. The direction of the pile rotation changes when the padeye position reaches somewhere near 50~75% for all mooring line inclination angles. The translation displacement of suction pile to develop the time of maximum pullout loading capacity decreased as the mooring line inclination angle increased. In addition, the vertical displacements of the center of a suction piles for all cases appeared to develop toward the ground surface.

Analysis of Settlement Characteristics and Strength of Cement Mixing Ratio for a Backfill Material at a Railway Abutment (철도교대 뒤채움재료의 시멘트 혼합 비율에 따른 강도 및 침하특성 분석)

  • Yang, Sang-Beom;Choi, Chan-Yong;Kim, Nak-Kyung;Kim, Tae-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.32 no.9
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2016
  • Backfill materials of rail abutment were commonly composed with cement treated aggregate, general aggregate and soil. The friction angle of cement treated aggregate increased up to $40^{\circ}$ or more due to strength enhancement. However, $30^{\circ}{\sim}35^{\circ}$ of friction angle was typically applied for in-situ condition. This phenomenon could cause over-designing, therefore, it is essential to determine reasonable material properties of cemented treated aggregate. In this study, a series of CBR tests and circular model tests have been conducted for cement treated aggregate, while changing cement mixing ratio. Based on test results, characteristics of settlement and strength have been analyzed quantitatively. The settlement of cement treated aggregate decreased with the number of cyclic loading and aging period. In addition, The strength increment ratio in CBR test increased up to 13~16 times at 28 days aging.

A Study of Security QoS(Quality of Service) Measurement Methodology for Network Security Efficiency (네트워크 보안 효율성 제고를 위한 보안 QoS(Quality of Service) 측정방법론 연구)

  • Noh, Si-Choon
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2011
  • QoS(Quality of Service) is defined "The collective effect of service performance which determines the degree of satisfaction of a user of the service" by ITU-T Rec. E.800. The final goal of information system is to secure the performance efficiency within the required time. The security QoS framework is the modeling of the QoS measurement metrics, the measurement time schedule, instrument, method of measurement and the series of methodology about analysis of the result of measurement. This paper relates to implementing issue and performance measuring about blended mechanism between networking technology and security technology. We got more effectiveness in overall network security, when applying and composing amalgamated security mechanism between network technology and security technology. In this paper, we suggest techniques being used on infrastructure system and also offers a security QoS methodology as a model of more effective way. Methodology proposed in this research has proven that it is possible to measure response time through the scheduled method.

Motion generation using Center of Mass (무게중심을 활용한 모션 생성 기술)

  • Park, Geuntae;Sohn, Chae Jun;Lee, Yoonsang
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Graphics Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2020
  • When a character's pose changes, its center of mass(COM) also changes. The change of COM has distinctive patterns corresponding to various motion types like walking, running or sitting. Thus the motion type can be predicted by using COM movement. We propose a motion generator that uses character's center of mass information. This generator can generate various motions without annotated action type labels. Thus dataset for training and running can be generated full-automatically. Our neural network model takes the motion history of the character and its center of mass information as inputs and generates a full-body pose for the current frame, and is trained using simple Convolutional Neural Network(CNN) that performs 1D convolution to deal with time-series motion data.

Prediction of Ozone Concentration by Multiple Regression Analysis in Daegu area (다중회귀분석을 통한 대구지역 오존농도 예측)

  • 최성우;최상기;도상현
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.687-696
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    • 2002
  • Air quality monitoring data and meteorology data which had collected from 1995. 1. to 1999. 2. in six areas of Daegu, Manchondong, Bokhyundong, Deamyungdong, Samdukdong, Leehyundong and Nowondong, were investigated to determine the distribution and characteristic of ozone. A equation of multiple regression was suggested after time series analysis of contribution factor and meteorology factor were investigated during the day which had high concentration of ozone. The results show the following; First, 63.6% of high ozone concentration days, more than 60 ppb of ozone concentration, were in May, June and September. The percentage of each area showed that; Manchondong 14.4%, Bokhyundong 15.4%, Deamyungdong 15.6%, Samdukdong 15.6%, Leehyundong 17.3% and Nowondong 21.6%. Second, correlation coefficients of ozone, $SO_2$, TSP, $NO_2$ and CO showed negative relationship; the results were respectively -0.229, -0.074, -0.387, -0.190(p<0.01), and humidity were -0.677. but temperature, amount of radiation and wind speed had positive relationship; the results were respectively 0.515, 0.509, 0.400(p<0.01). Third, $R^2$ of equation of multiple regression at each area showed that; Nowondong 45.4%, Lee hyundong 77.9%, Samdukdong 69.9%, Daemyungdong 78.8%, Manchondong 88.6%, Bokhyundong 77.6%. Including 1 hour prior ozone concentration, $R^2$ of each area was significantly increased; Nowondong 75.2%, Leehyundong 89.3%, Samdukdong 86.4%, Daemyungdong 88.6%, Manchondong 88.6%, Bokhyundong 88.0%. Using equation of multiple regression, There were some different $R^2$ between predicted value and observed value; Nowondong 48%, Leehyundong 77.5%, Samdukdong 58%, Daemyungdong 73.4%, Manchondong 77.7%, Bokhyundong 75.1%. $R^2$ of model including 1 hour prior ozone concentration was higher than equation of current day; Nowondong 82.5%, Leehyundong 88.3%, Samdukdong 80.7%, Daemyungdong 82.4%, Manchondong 87.6%, Bokhyundong 88.5%.

Information Risk and Equity Premium (정보위험과 주식수익률 프리미엄)

  • Park, Jong-Won;Yeoh, Hwan-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.209-237
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    • 2010
  • This paper examines the relationship between information risk and equity premium in the Korean stock market. We use accruals quality as a proxy of information risk. Accruals quality (AQ) is estimated by Dechow and Dichev (2002) model, and then AQfactor is constructed based on the estimated AQ. Time-series and cross-sectional regression models are used to examine the relationship between information risk and equity premium, reflecting the critics of Core et al. (2008). The result of the paper shows that information risk proxied by accruals quality is not priced in equity premium in the Korean stock market. This result is consistent with Core et al. (2008) for US firms, but different with Francis et al. (2005) for US firms and Gray et al. (2008) for Australia firms. Also, the result shows that AQfactor is closely correlated with firm characteristic variables such as firm size. This implies that the effect of AQ on equity premium is more likely to arise from the pricing error due to firm characteristics rather than from an unknown risk factor.

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Daylight Assessment of Venetian Blind by Shading Heights and Slat Angles (베네시안 블라인드의 높이와 슬랫각도 조절에 따른 계절별 실내주광분포 분석)

  • Shin, Hwa-Young;Kim, Gon;Kim, Jeong Tai
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.105-111
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    • 2011
  • Aims of this study is to investigate the daylighting control strategy of venetian blind system was performed as a function of ratio of shading height to window and slat angles in the preliminary stage of the parametric study. Floor-to-ceiling window walls of living spaces are used widely in apartment buildings since the Korean government has legally allowed elimination of the balcony area. Enlarging living area by balcony elimination, the larger glass area of window is exposed to the direct sunlight. As a common sunlight controlling device, blind system can be used in all orientations and all latitudes and it may obstruct, absorb, reflect and transmit solar radiation to building by proper adjusting. However, blind system can produce discomfort in occupant and less energy efficiency, if it has not been controlled optimally. The simulation model was based on the unit module of typical living space with balcony elimination. The room dimension was $6.0m(w){\times}6.9m(d){\times}2.7m(h)$ with floor to ceiling height of 2.5m. The blind system was simulated at five slat angles (horizontal, $30^{\circ}$, $45^{\circ}$ upward and downward tilted) and the four ratio of shading height to window (fully closed, partly opened, no-blind) using the Desktop RADIANCE 2.0 program. The series of simulation results indicates that the advantages of available daylight and outside of view can be improved by proper adjusting blind system.

The Concentrations of PCBs in the Serum and Theri Predictors of Exposure n Korean Women (일부 한국 성인 여성들의 혈중 PCBs 농도 및 그 노출요인의 연구)

  • 민선영;정문호;이강숙;노영만;구정환
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 2000
  • PCBs [Polychlorinated biphenyls] are halogenated aromatic compounds with the empirical formula C12H10-nCln(n=1~10), and are a mixture of possible 209 different chlorinated congeners. PCBs were widely used as dielectric fluids for capacitors, transformers, plasticizers, lubricant inks, and paint additives. once released into the environment, PCBs persist for years because they are so resistant to degradation. In addition to their high degree of lipophilicity. In 1970s, the worldwide production of PCBs seem to be still in use. The environmental load of PCBs was prohibited since 1983 in Korea. In spite of these actions, many PCBs seem to be still in use. The environmental load of PCBs will continue to be recycled through air, land, water, and the biosphere for decades to come. This study was conducted to measure the concentrations of PCBs I the serum samples of 112 women by GC/MSD(Hewlett Packard 5897 Gas Chromatography-Mass Chromatography Detector) and CG/ECD(Hewlett Packard 5890 series-II gas chromatography-Electron capture detector, U.S.A). The main results of this study were as follows; The mean and standard deviation of serum PCBs were 3.613, 0.759 ppb, respectively and median of it was 3.828 ppb. The correlation coefficients of the concentrations of 13 PCB congeners ranged from 0.7913 to 0..9985 and were significantly correlated between each items(p=0.0001). The PCB concentrations were positively associated with age(simple linear regression; R2=0.86, =0.08023, p<0.001) and with total lipids in serums(simple linear regression; R=0.7058, =0.00486, p<0.001). The age adjusted model (Y=$\beta$0+$\beta$1age+$\beta$2X) was applied for possible predictors of PCBs levels in serum. For BMI(Body Mass Index), major residential area, and fish, meat, and dairy consumption, there was no association with PCBs levels, Also there was negative association for the number of pregnancy and lactation period with PCBs levels.

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