• Title/Summary/Keyword: series model

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Study on Performance of High Efficiency Series Propeller (KF Series) for Fishing Vessels (어선용 고효율 시리즈(KF 시리즈) 프로펠러에 대한 성능 연구)

  • Jang, Jin-Yeol;Kim, Moon-Chan;Lee, Won-Joon;Mun, Won-Jun;Lee, Chang-Sup;Moon, Il-Sung
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.416-424
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    • 2012
  • The MAU series has been usually used for the fishing vessel's propeller, which has been improved in consideration of the efficiency as well as the cavitation point of view in Pusan National University. The high efficiency standard series propeller(KF series) has been applied to the design of 52ton class fishing vessel's propeller in the previous study. The experimental study for the performance of the design propellers called KF series for 52 ton class fishing vessel has been conducted with five cases in Korea Ocean Research & Development Institute towing tank. The model tests have been carried out at different pitch ratio and expanded area ratio in comparison with the standard propeller to make the series chart. The KF series chart and the formula for performance expression have been completed on the basis of the experiment result.

The Effect of Series and Shunt Redundancy on Power Semiconductor Reliability

  • Nozadian, Mohsen Hasan Babayi;Zarbil, Mohammad Shadnam;Abapour, Mehdi
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.1426-1437
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    • 2016
  • In different industrial and mission oriented applications, redundant or standby semiconductor systems can be implemented to improve the reliability of power electronics equipment. The proper structure for implementation can be one of the redundant or standby structures for series or parallel switches. This selection is determined according to the type and failure rate of the fault. In this paper, the reliability and the mean time to failure (MTTF) for each of the series and parallel configurations in two redundant and standby structures of semiconductor switches have been studied based on different failure rates. The Markov model is used for reliability and MTTF equation acquisitions. According to the different values for the reliability of the series and parallel structures during SC and OC faults, a comprehensive comparison between each of the series and parallel structures for different failure rates will be made. According to the type of fault and the structure of the switches, the reliability of the switches in the redundant structure is higher than that in the other structures. Furthermore, the performance of the proposed series and parallel structures of switches during SC and OC faults, results in an improvement in the reliability of the boost dc/dc converter. These studies aid in choosing a configuration to improve the reliability of power electronics equipment depending on the specifications of the implemented devices.

Comparison of long-term forecasting performance of export growth rate using time series analysis models and machine learning analysis (시계열 분석 모형 및 머신 러닝 분석을 이용한 수출 증가율 장기예측 성능 비교)

  • Seong-Hwi Nam
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.191-209
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, various time series analysis models and machine learning models are presented for long-term prediction of export growth rate, and the prediction performance is compared and reviewed by RMSE and MAE. Export growth rate is one of the major economic indicators to evaluate the economic status. And It is also used to predict economic forecast. The export growth rate may have a negative (-) value as well as a positive (+) value. Therefore, Instead of using the ReLU function, which is often used for time series prediction of deep learning models, the PReLU function, which can have a negative (-) value as an output value, was used as the activation function of deep learning models. The time series prediction performance of each model for three types of data was compared and reviewed. The forecast data of long-term prediction of export growth rate was deduced by three forecast methods such as a fixed forecast method, a recursive forecast method and a rolling forecast method. As a result of the forecast, the traditional time series analysis model, ARDL, showed excellent performance, but as the time period of learning data increases, the performance of machine learning models including LSTM was relatively improved.

A Laplacian Autoregressive Time Series Model

  • Son, Young-Sook;Cho, Sin-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.101-120
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    • 1988
  • A time series model with Laplacian (double-exponential) marginal distribution, NLAR(2), was proposed by Dewald and Lewis (1985). The special cases of NLAR(2) process and their properties are considered. Extensions to the NLAR(p) is discussed. It is shown that the NLAR(1) satisfies the strong-mixing conditions, hence the model-free prediction interval using the sample quantiles can be obtained.

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Modeling and Analysis of Zero Voltage Switching PWM Half Bridge DC/DC Converter (영전압 스위칭 PWM 하프 브릿지 컨버터의 모델링 및 분석)

  • 강정일;정영석;노정욱;윤명중
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 1997.07a
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 1997
  • The circuit effects due to the transformer primary side series equivalent inductance in the Zero Voltage Switching Pulse Width Modulated Half Bridge DC/DC Converter and its impact on the effective duty are analyzed. The steady state equations and the small signal model of the converter are derived incorporating the effects of the complementary control and the utilization of transformer primary side series equivalent inductance. The open plant dynamics are analyzed on the basis of the model derived. The model predictions are confirmed by experimental measurements.

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Survey on the Market of Modular Building Using ARIMA Model (ARIM모형을 활용한 모듈러 건축시장 현황 조사)

  • Park, Nam-Cheon;Kim, Kyoon-Tai;Lee, Yuril
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2014.05a
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    • pp.14-15
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    • 2014
  • The modular construction is as yet early stage of market in Korea. So It is have difficulty of market demand forecast of the modular building. Therefore, this study was done analysis for market trends of the modular building using ARIMA(Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) model by time series data.

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A PARAMETER CHANGE TEST IN RCA(1) MODEL

  • Ha, Jeong-Cheol
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.135-138
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for parameter change in time series models based on a cusum of squares. Although the test procedure is well-established for the mean and variance in time series models, a general parameter case was not discussed in literatures. Therefore, here we develop the cusum of squares type test for parameter change in a more general framework. As an example, we consider the change of the parameters in an RCA(1) model. Simulation results are reported for illustration.

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Generating Complicated Models for Time Series Using Genetic Programming

  • Yoshihara, Ikuo;Yasunaga, Moritoshi
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.146.4-146
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    • 2001
  • Various methods have been proposed for the time series prediction. Most of the conventional methods only optimize parameters of mathematical models, but to construct an appropriate functional form of the model is more difficult in the first place. We employ the Genetic Programming (GP) to construct the functional form of prediction models. Our method is distinguished because the model parameters are optimized by using Back-Propagation (BP)-like method and the prediction model includes discontinuous functions, such as if and max, as node functions for describing complicated phenomena. The above-mentioned functions are non-differentiable, but the BP method requires derivative. To solve this problem, we develop ...

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Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Laplacian Autoregressive Time Series Model

  • Son, Young-Sook;Cho, Sin-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.359-368
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    • 1996
  • The maximum likelihood estimation is discussed for the NLAR model with Laplacian marginals. Since the explicit form of the estimates cannot be obtained due to the complicated nature of the likelihood function we utilize the automatic computer optimization subroutine using a direct search complex algorithm. The conditional least square estimates are used as initial estimates in maximum likelihood procedures. The results of a simulation study for the maximum likelihood estimates of the NLAR(1) and the NLAR(2) models are presented.

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A Fast Time Domain Digital Simulation for the Series Resonant Converter (직렬 공진형 변환기에 관한 시간 영역 디지틀 시뮬레이션)

  • Kim, Marn-Go;Han, Jae-Won;Youn, Myung-Joong
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1987.11a
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    • pp.534-538
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    • 1987
  • State-space techniques are employed to derive an equivalent nonlinear recurrent time-domain model that describes the series resonant converter behavior exactly. This model is employed effectively to analyze large signal behavior by propagating the recurrent equation and matching boundary conditions through digital computation. The model is verified with a laboratory converter for a steady-state operation.

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