• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.77-94
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• 1991

A finite difference method based on MAC method is used to simulate free-surface waves around a ship. Euler equations and continuity equation are differentiated using the forward time and central space, and solved by time marching scheme. By the employment of variable mesh system in horizontal and vertical direction, the numerical accuracy of wave simulation results is grossly improved. To verify the improvement of numerical accuracy, some numerical simulations are accomplished for Wigley, Series 60($C_{b}$=0.6) and a bulk carrier model. The computational results are compared to the various experimental data and show good agreements.

• Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.13-24
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• 1999

The objective of the study is to discriminate EEG(electroencephalogram) due to emotional changes. Emotion was evoked by the series of auditory stimuli which were selected from the natural sounds in the sound effect collection of compact disc. Seventeen university students participated and experienced positive or negative emotions by six auditory stimuli with intermission between stimuli. Temporal EEG ($T_3$, $T_4$, $T_5$, and $T_6$) was recorded at the same time and a subjective test was performed on the eleven point scales after the experiment. The maximum and minimum scores of the EEG among six stimuli EEG were analyzed for discrimination of emotion. The EEG signals were transformed into feature objects based on scalar intervention model coefficients. Auditory stimulus was considered as intervention variable. They were classified by Discriminant Analysis for each channel. The features showed results with the best classification accuracy of 91.2 % in $T_4$ for auditory stimuli. This study could be extended to establish an algorithm which quantifies and classifies emotions evoked by auditory stimulus using time-series models.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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• v.53 no.8
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• pp.551-560
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• 2004

In this paper, we propose a new architecture of Self-Organizing Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks (SOFPNN) that is based on a genetically optimized multilayer perceptron with fuzzy polynomial neurons (FPNs) and discuss its comprehensive design methodology involving mechanisms of genetic optimization, especially genetic algorithms (GAs). The proposed SOFPNN gives rise to a structurally optimized structure and comes with a substantial level of flexibility in comparison to the one we encounter in conventional SOFPNNs. The design procedure applied in the construction of each layer of a SOFPNN deals with its structural optimization involving the selection of preferred nodes (or FPNs) with specific local characteristics (such as the number of input variables, the order of the polynomial of the consequent part of fuzzy rules, and a collection of the specific subset of input variables) and addresses specific aspects of parametric optimization. Through the consecutive process of such structural and parametric optimization, an optimized and flexible fuzzy neural network is generated in a dynamic fashion. To evaluate the performance of the genetically optimized SOFPNN, the model is experimented with using two time series data(gas furnace and chaotic time series), A comparative analysis reveals that the proposed SOFPNN exhibits higher accuracy and superb predictive capability in comparison to some previous models available in the literatures.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.1-10
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• 2006

In the present study, the aerodynamic characteristics of elliptic airfoils are investigated numerically based on the RANS equations and the S-A turbulent model on unstructured meshes. Unlike the NACA series airfoil sections, elliptic airfoils have a relatively small leading edge radius and a rounded trailing edge. Also the maximum thickness is located in the middle of the chord. This geometric characteristics are responsible for the difference in the aerodynamic characteristics from those of NACA family airfoils. To identify the aerodynamic characteristics of elliptic airfoils, the results were compared with those of NACA series airfoils with a same maximum thickness. The effect of airfoil thickness variation on the aerodynamic characteristics were also investigated.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.33-48
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• 1995

In the process of containerization, the problem of regional maldistribution of container management plan arises seriously due to several factors like a number of unbalances of containers between loading and discharging ports. This study focus on the minimizing cost. This study is composed of two models which in effective management decision making show decision of the number of containers and transfer of empty containers. One is decision of the number of containers which carriers should possess by appropriate forecasting and the other is effective management decision making which includes the transfer of empty containers on calling ports. This study has suggested as follows, First, the Time Series analysis method, especially the "Exponential Smooting with Trend Adjustment" was used to forecast the trade volumes for the designated traffic route. Second, the Time Series analysis method in deciding the optimal number of owned container at the unbalances trade situation between East Bound and West Bound service, most important variables were found such as total traffic volume, the calling interval at a port, the number of days of voyage and the length of stay on shore of container for the optimal number of owned container. Third, effective management decision making model, which makes it possible to analyze the impacts of change in important matters such as lease and positioning policy, and actually influence decision making.on making.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.473-481
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• 2010

Forecasting for air demand such as international passengers and freight has been one of the main interests for air industries. This research has mainly focus on the comparison of the performances of the multivariate time series models. In this paper, we used real data such as exchange rates, oil prices and export amounts to predict the future demand on international passenger and freight.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.263-273
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• 2010

Missing values in time series can be treated as unknown parameters and estimated by maximum likelihood or as random variables and predicted by the conditional expectation of the unknown values given the data. The purpose of this study is to impute missing values which are regarded as the maximum likelihood estimator and random variable in incomplete data and to compare with two methods using ARMA and STAR model. For illustration, the Mumps data reported from the national capital region monthly over the years 2001~2009 are used, and estimate precision of missing values and forecast precision of future data are compared with two methods.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.43 no.8
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• pp.709-720
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• 2010

This paper describes the modeling of climate change impact on drought using a conceptual soil moisture model and presents the results of the modeling approach. The future climate series is obtained by scaling the historical series, informed by CCCma CGCM3-T63 with A2 green house emission scenario, using a daily scaling method that considers changes in the future monthly precipitation and potential evapotranspiration as well as in the daily precipitation distribution. The majority of the modeling results indicate that there will be more frequent drought in Korea in the future.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.9 no.10
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• pp.3851-3866
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• 2015

The dynamic nature of opportunistic networks results in long delays, low rates of success for deliveries, etc. As such user experience is limited, and the further development of opportunistic networks is constrained. This paper proposes a prediction-based routing method for opportunistic networks (PB-OppNet). Firstly, using an ARIMA model, PB-OppNet describes the historical contact information between a node pair as a time series to predict the average encounter time interval of the node pair. Secondly, using an optimal stopping rule, PB-OppNet obtains a threshold for encounter time intervals as forwarding utility. Based on this threshold, a node can easily make decisions of stopping observing, or delivering messages when potential forwarding nodes enter its communication range. It can also report different encounter time intervals to the destination node. With the threshold, PB-OppNet can achieve a better compromise of forwarding utility and waiting delay, so that delivery delay is minimized. The simulation experiment result presented here shows that PB-OppNet is better than existing methods in prediction accuracy for links, delivery delays, delivery success rates, etc.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.183-200
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• 2018

This study empirically tests the presence of rational bubbles in the ship prices using time series data from October 1996 to April 2017. To detect the existence of ship prices' rational bubbles, we use integration and cointegration tests, which were proposed by Campbell and Shiller(1987) and Diba and Grossman(1988), for circumventing misspecification of ship price model and applying the bubble test to nonstationary time series. The result of integration test supports existence of tanker price's rational bubble. The co-integration test also shows that drybulk ship and containership prices have been overvalued relative to the market fundamental, drybulk and container freight rates, due to non-stationary rational bubbles. These results provide Korean shipping industry and authorities implications that anticyclical ship investment and long-term and steady fleet capacity expansion policy are needed.