• Title/Summary/Keyword: series model

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Fatigue Damage Estimation for Mooring lines of Spar Platform Using System Identification Method (시스템 식별법을 이용한 스파 플랫폼 계류라인의 피로 수명 예측)

  • Kim, Yong-Gyun;Kim, Yooil;Kim, Byoung-Hoon
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents a methodology through which the time series of the dynamic response of mooring line tension can be predicted without relying on a time-consuming nonlinear time-domain analysis. The mooring line tension for the target short-term sea states was predicted using a Hammerstein-Wiener model, a popular system identification scheme, based upon the pre-calculated motion-tension time history data for some selected short-term sea states that do not overlap with the targeted ones. The obtained mooring line tension was further processed, and a fatigue damage comparison was made between the predicted and calculated values. The results showed that the predicted time series of the mooring line tension matched the calculated one fairly well. Thus, it is expected that the methodology may be employed to enhance the efficiency of mooring line tension analysis.

Estimation of Smoothing Constant of Minimum Variance and Its Application to Shipping Data with Trend Removal Method

  • Takeyasu, Kazuhiro;Nagata, Keiko;Higuchi, Yuki
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.257-263
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    • 2009
  • Focusing on the idea that the equation of exponential smoothing method (ESM) is equivalent to (1, 1) order ARMA model equation, new method of estimation of smoothing constant in exponential smoothing method is proposed before by us which satisfies minimum variance of forecasting error. Theoretical solution was derived in a simple way. Mere application of ESM does not make good forecasting accuracy for the time series which has non-linear trend and/or trend by month. A new method to cope with this issue is required. In this paper, combining the trend removal method with this method, we aim to improve forecasting accuracy. An approach to this method is executed in the following method. Trend removal by a linear function is applied to the original shipping data of consumer goods. The combination of linear and non-linear function is also introduced in trend removal. For the comparison, monthly trend is removed after that. Theoretical solution of smoothing constant of ESM is calculated for both of the monthly trend removing data and the non monthly trend removing data. Then forecasting is executed on these data. The new method shows that it is useful especially for the time series that has stable characteristics and has rather strong seasonal trend and also the case that has non-linear trend. The effectiveness of this method should be examined in various cases.

Spectral Analysis of DC Link Ripple Currents in Three-Phase AC/DC/AC PWM Converters (3상 AC/DC/AC PWM 컨버터의 직류링크 리플전류의 주파수 영역 해석)

  • 이동춘;박영욱;석줄기
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.244-252
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, do link ripple currents for three-phase ac/dc/ac PWM converters feeding adjustable speed ac machine drives are analysed in a frequency domain. The expression of the harmonic currents is developed by using switching functions of the converter and exponential courier series expansion. The effect of the displacement angle between the switching Periods of line-side converters and motor-side inverters on the dc link ripple currents is Investigated. Also, the influence of asynchronization of PWM is observed. The result of analysis is compared with frequency spectrum which results from PSIM simulation. The proposed analysis technique is useful to understand the principles of P% and to derive an equivalent model of the dc link capacitors in a high frequency range.

A Study of MPPT Control Algorithm for Boost Converter of Photovoltaic System Considering Capacitor Equivalent Series Resistance (커패시턴스 내부저항을 고려한 태양광용 Boost 컨버터에 대한 MPPT 제어 알고리듬 고찰)

  • Choi J. Y.;Yu G. J.;Lee D. G.;Lee K. O.;Jung Y. S.;Kim K. H.
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2001.12a
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2001
  • Photovoltaic systems normally use a maximum power point tracking (MPPT) technique to continuously deliver the highest possible power to the load when variations in the insolation and temperature occur. A simple method of tracking the maximum power points (MPPs) and forcing the boost converter system to operate close to these points is presented through deriving small-signal model and transfer function of boost converter. This paper aims at modeling boost converter including equivalent series resistance of input reservoir capacitor by state-space-averaging method. In the future, properly designed controller for compensation will be constructed for maximum photovoltaic power tracking control.

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A Study on the Effect of the Pressure Control of Cooperative Control System with Regenerative Brake for a Military SHEV (군용 직렬형 하이브리드 전기 차량을 위한 회생제동 협조제어 시스템의 압력제어 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Soonkyu;Choi, Hyunseok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.517-525
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    • 2016
  • In this research, the effect of the pressure control of cooperative control system with regenerative brake for a military series hybrid-electric vehicle was studied. A cooperative control system with regenerative brake was developed to maximize regenerative energy from electric traction motors of the vehicle. However, the pressure control method of the system was modified to solve a time delay problem and it deteriorates the performance of the system. A Simulink model including the hybrid-electric components, the cooperative control system with regenerative brake, and the vehicle dynamics was developed and used to find a solution. The regenerative energy ratio with respect to the whole brake energy was increased in this research from less than 60 % to over 80 %.

Comparison Study on Stress Sharing Characteristics of Sand or Gravel Compaction Piles with Low Replacement Area Ratio (모래와 쇄석을 이용한 저치환율 다짐말뚝공법의 응력분담특성에 관한 비교)

  • You, Seung-Kyong;Cho, Sung-Min;Kim, Ji-Yong;Shim, Min-Bo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.443-452
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    • 2005
  • The compaction pile methods with low replacement area ratio used sand(SCP) or gravel(GCP) has been usually applied to improvement of soft clay deposits. In order to design accurately compaction pile method with low replacement area ratio, it is important to understand the mechanical interaction between sand piles and clays and its mechanism during consolidation process of the composition ground. In this paper, a series of numerical analyses on composition ground improved by SCP and GCP with low replacement area ratio were carried out, in order to investigate the mechanical interaction between sand piles and clays. The applicability of numerical analyses, in which and elasto-viscoplastic consolidation finite element method was applied, could be confirmed comparing with results of a series of model tests on consolidation behaviors of composition ground improved by SCP. And,through the results of the numerical analyses, each mechanical behaviors of compaction piles and clays in the composition ground during consolidation was elucidated, together with stress sharing mechanism between compaction piles and clays.

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Forecasting and Analysis of Air Meteorological Service Charge using ARIMA-Intervention Time Series Model (ARIMA-개입모델을 이용한 항공기상정보 사용료 징수액 추정 및 적정성 연구)

  • Kim, Kwang-Ok;Park, Sung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.9-22
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    • 2018
  • Korea meteorological administration(KMA) has started to levy air meteorological service charge on both national and foreign carriers since 2005. The charge has grown on 2010 and 2014 twice. However, KMA has still kept asking airlines to agree with another increase in the charge due to the low cost of goods recovery ratio of 7%. The air meteorological charge has changed from 2,210 KRW at the beginning to 11,400 KRW as of June 2018. According to ARIMA intervention time series analysis, it was proven national carriers would make a payment of 831 million KRW 2018 and 1,024 million KRW 2019, showing 186.2% and 123.2% increase compared to last year respectively. The total amount of charge for both national LCC and foreign airlines was aggregated up to 1,952 million KRW 2019, 227% bigger than the charge paid at 2017. Considering the 50% increase of consumer price index last decade, the increased charge would impair the global competitiveness of national carriers. It could be suggested that current air meteorological charge scheme be improved to apply overseas trend and for national carriers to have a competitive advantage in global aviation market.

Post-buckling analysis of piles by perturbation method

  • Zhao, M.H.;He, W.;Li, Q.S.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.191-203
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    • 2010
  • To investigate the critical buckling load and post-buckling behavior of an axially loaded pile entirely embedded in soil, the non-linear large deflection differential equation for a pinned pile, based on the Winkler-model and the discretionary distribution function of the foundation coefficient along pile shaft, was established by energy method. Assuming that the deflection function was a power series of some perturbation parameter according to the boundary condition and load in the pile, the non-linear large deflection differential equation was transformed to a series of linear differential equations by using perturbation approach. By taking the perturbation parameter at middle deflection, the higher-order asymptotic solution of load-deflection was then found. Effect of ratios of soil depth to pile length, and ratios of pile stiffness to soil stiffness on the critical buckling load and performance of piles (entirely embedded and partially embedded) after flexural buckling were analyzed. Results show that the buckling load capacity increases as the ratios of pile stiffness to soil stiffness increasing. The pile performance will be more stable when ratios of soil depth to pile length, and soil stiffness to pile stiffness decrease.

Dynamic Linkages between Food Inflation and Its Volatility: Evidence from Sri Lankan Economy

  • MOHAMED MUSTAFA, Abdul Majeed;SIVARAJASINGHAM, Selliah
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.139-145
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    • 2019
  • This study examines the dynamic linkages between food price inflation and its volatility in the context of Sri Lanka. The empirical evidence derived from the monthly data for the period from 2003M1 to 2017M12 for Sri Lanka. The relationship between inflation rate and inflation volatility has attracted more attention by theoretical and empirical macroeconomists. Empirical studies on the relationship between food inflation and food inflation variability is scarce in the literature. Food price inflation is defined as log difference of food price series. The volatility of a food price inflation is measured by conditional variance generated by the FIGARCH model. Preliminary analysis showed that food inflation is stationary series. Granger causality test reveals that food inflation seems to exert positive impact on inflation variability. We find no evidence for inflation uncertainty affecting food inflation rates. Hence, the findings of the study supports the Friedman-Ball hypothesis in both cases of consumer food price inflation and wholesale food price inflation. This implies that past information on food inflation can help improve the one-step-ahead prediction of food inflation variability but not vice versa. Our results have some important policy implications for the design of monetary policy, food policy thereby promoting macroeconomic stability.

The Power Spectral Estimation of Heart Rate Variability using Lomb-Scargle's algorithm (Lomb-Scargle알고리즘에 의한 심박변동의 파워스펙트럼 추정)

  • Shin, K.S.;Jeong, K.S.;Choi, S.J.;Lee, J.W.;Lee, M.H.
    • Proceedings of the KOSOMBE Conference
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    • v.1997 no.05
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    • pp.275-278
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    • 1997
  • Standard methods estimating the power spectral density(PSD) from an irregularly sampled cardiac event series require deriving a new evenly-spaced signal applicable to those methods. To avoid that requirement, in this study, the power spectrum of heart rate variability was estimated by Lomb-Scargle's algorithm, which is a means of obtaining PSD estimates directly from irregularly sampled timeseries observed in astronomy. To assess the performance of Lomb-Scargle algorithm in the power spectral analysis of heart rate variability, it was applied to various cardiac event series derived through integral pulse frequency modulation model(IPFM) simulation and from real ECG signals, and the resultant power spectra was compared with those obtained by a conventional method based on the FFT. In result, it is concluded that Lomb-Scargle's periodogram is very effective in the power spectral analysis of heart rate variability, especially in the presence of arrhythmia and/or dropouts of cardiac events.

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