• Title/Summary/Keyword: series model

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Dynamic stiffness matrix of composite box beams

  • Kim, Nam-Il
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.473-497
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    • 2009
  • For the spatially coupled free vibration analysis of composite box beams resting on elastic foundation under the axial force, the exact solutions are presented by using the power series method based on the homogeneous form of simultaneous ordinary differential equations. The general vibrational theory for the composite box beam with arbitrary lamination is developed by introducing Vlasov°Øs assumption. Next, the equations of motion and force-displacement relationships are derived from the energy principle and explicit expressions for displacement parameters are presented based on power series expansions of displacement components. Finally, the dynamic stiffness matrix is calculated using force-displacement relationships. In addition, the finite element model based on the classical Hermitian interpolation polynomial is presented. To show the performances of the proposed dynamic stiffness matrix of composite box beam, the numerical solutions are presented and compared with the finite element solutions using the Hermitian beam elements and the results from other researchers. Particularly, the effects of the fiber orientation, the axial force, the elastic foundation, and the boundary condition on the vibrational behavior of composite box beam are investigated parametrically. Also the emphasis is given in showing the phenomenon of vibration mode change.

Stochastic Structure of Daily Rainfall in Korea (한국 일강우의 추계학적 구조)

  • 이근후
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.72-80
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    • 1989
  • Various analyses were made to investigate the stochastic structure of the daily rainfall in Korea. Records of daily rainfall amounts from 1951 to 1984 at Chinju Metesrological Station were used for this study. Obtained results are as follows : 1. Time series of the daily rainfall at Chinju were positively, serially correlated for the lag as large as one day. 2. Rainfall events, defined as a sequence of consecutive wet days separated by one or more dry days, showed a seasonal variation in the occurrence frequency. 3. The marginal distribution of event characteristics of each month showed significant dif- ferences each other. Events occurred in summer had longer duration and higher magnitude with higher intensity than those of events occurred in winter. 4. There were significant positive correlations among four event characteristics ; dura- tion, magnitude, average intensity, and maximum intensity. 5. Correlations among the daily rainfall amounts within an event were not significant in general. 6. There were no consistant significancy in identity or difference between the distribu- tions of daily rainfall amounts for different days within events. 7. Above mentioned characteristics of daily rainfall time series must be considered in building a stochastic model of daily rainfall.

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Prediction of Dynamic Line Rating by Time Series Weather Models (시계열 기상 모델을 이용한 동적 송전 용량의 예측)

  • Kim, Dong-Min;Bae, In-Su;Kim, Jin-O;Chang, Kyung
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.11b
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    • pp.35-38
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    • 2005
  • This paper suggests the method that forecast Dynamic Line Rating (DLR). Thermal Overload Risk (TOR) of next time is forecasted based on current weather condition and DLR value by Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). To model weather element of transmission line for MCS, we will propose the use of weather forecast system and statistical models that time series law is applied. Also, through case study, forecasted TOR probability confirmed can utilize by standard that decide DLR of next time. In short, proposed method may be used usefully to keep safety of transmission line and reliability of supply of electric Power by forecasting transmission capacity of next time.

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Prediction of Future Land use Using Times Series Landsat Images Based on CA (Cellular Automata)-Markov Technique (시계열 Landsat 영상과 CA-Markov기법을 이용한 미래 토지이용 변화 예측)

  • Lee, Yong-Jun;Pack, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the temporal land cover change by gradual urbanization of Gyeongan-cheon watershed. This study used the five land use of Landsat TM satellite images(l987, 1991, 2001, 2004) which were classified by maximum likelihood method. The five land use maps examine its accuracy by error matrix and administrative district statistics. This study analyze land use patterns in the past using time.series Landsat satellite images, and predict 2004 year land use using a CA-Markov combined CA(Cellular Automata) and Markov process, and examine its appropriateness. Finally, predict 2030, 2060 year land use maps by CA-Markov model were constructed from the classified images.

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Orographic Precipitation Analysis with GPD Model and Linear Regression (GPD 모형 및 선형회귀분석을 이용한 산악형 강수 해석)

  • Um, Myoung-Jin;Yun, Hye-Seon;Cho, Won-Cheol;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1053-1057
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 산악형 강수 해석을 위해 제주도내 강우관측 자료를 이용하여 확률강우량 산정 및 고도와의 선형회귀분석을 수행하였다. 제주도내 강우관측 자료는 기상관서 4개소 및 AWS(Automatic Weather System, 자동기상관측소) 13개소의 자료를 활용하였다. 확률강우량 산정시 AWS 강우관측 자료는 AMS(Annual Maximum Series, 연 최대치 계열) 모형을 적용하기에는 자료기간이 충분하지 않으므로 짧은 자료기간에 적합한 PDS(Partial Duration Series, 부분 기간치 계열) 모형을 적용하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 PDS의 대표적인 분포형인 GPD(Generalized Pareto Distribution)를 적용하여 지속시간별 확률강우량을 산정하였다. 산정된 지속시간별 확률강우량과 고도와의 관계를 확인하기 위하여 선형회귀분석을 수행하였다. 회귀분석 결과 확률강우량은 고도가 증가함에 따라 선형적으로 증가하였다. 또한, 재현기간이 길어질수록 고도에 따른 확률강우량 증가율도 증가하였다. 다만, 재현기간과 관계없이 지속시간이 짧을 경우 확률강우량과 고도와의 선형 관계는 약해지는 것으로 나타났다.

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Switched discrete sliding mode control for ZCS series rosonant AC to DC converter (영전류 스위칭 방식의 직렬 공진형 AC/DC 컨버터를 위한 전환모드 이산 슬라이딩 제어)

  • 문건우;이정훈;이대식;윤명중
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.1219-1226
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    • 1993
  • A buck-boost zero current switched(ZCS) series resonant AC to DC converter for the DC output voltage regulation together with high power factor is proposed. The proposed single phase AC to DC converter enables a zero current switching operation of all the power devices allowing the circuit to operate at high swtiching frequencies and high power levels. A dynamic model for this Ac to DC converter is developed and an analysis for the internal operational characteristics is explored. Based on this analysis, a switched discrete sliding mode control(SDSMC) technique is investigated and its advantages over the other types of current control techniques are discussed. With the proposed control technique, the unity power factor without a current overshoot and a wide range of output voltage can be obtained.

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Parameterization of Along-Wind Dispersion Coefficients based on Field and Wind Tunnel Data

  • Kang, Sung-Dae
    • Environmental Sciences Bulletin of The Korean Environmental Sciences Society
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    • v.10 no.S_1
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2001
  • Observations related to the along-wind dispersion of puffs were collected from 12 field sites and from a wind tunnel experiment and used to test simple similarity relations. Because most of the date made use of concentration time series observation from fixed monitors, the basic observation was t, the standard deviation of the concentration time series. This data also allowed the travel time, t, from the source to the receptor to be estimated, from which the puff advective speed ue, could be determined. The along-wind dispersion coefficient, x, was then assumed to equal tue. The data, which extended over four orders of magnitude, supported the similarity relations t=0.1 t and x=1.8 $u^*$t, where t is the travel time and $u^*$ is the friction velocity. About 50% of the observations were within a factor of two of the predictions based on the similarity relations.

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Implementation of Efficient Weather Forecasting Model Using the Selecting Concentration Learning of Neural Network (신경망의 선별학습 집중화를 이용한 효율적 온도변화예측모델 구현)

  • 이기준;강경아;정채영
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.25 no.6B
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    • pp.1120-1126
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    • 2000
  • Recently, in order to analyze the time series problems that occur in the nature word, and analyzing method using a neural electric network is being studied more than a typical statistical analysis method. A neural electric network has a generalization performance that is possible to estimate and analyze about non-learning data through the learning of a population. In this paper, after collecting weather datum that was collected from 1987 to 1996 and learning a population established, it suggests the weather forecasting system for an estimation and analysis the future weather. The suggested weather forecasting system uses 28*30*1 neural network structure, raises the total learning numbers and accuracy letting the selecting concentration learning about the pattern, that is not collected, using the descending epsilon learning method. Also, the weather forecasting system, that is suggested through a comparative experiment of the typical time series analysis method shows more superior than the existing statistical analysis method in the part of future estimation capacity.

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Developing Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Model-Based Estimator for Short-Term Load Forecasting (단기부하예측을 위한 Tskagi-Sugeno 퍼지 모델 기반 예측기 설계)

  • 김도완;박진배;장권규;정근호;주영훈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.523-527
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a new design methods of the short-term load forecasting system (STLFS) using the data mining. The proposed predictor takes form of the convex combination of the linear time series predictors for each inputs. The problem of estimating the consequent parameters is formulated by the convex optimization problem, which is to minimize the norm distance between the real load and the output of the linear time series estimator, The problem of estimating the premise parameters is to find the parameter value minimizing the error between the real load and the overall output. Finally, to show the feasibility of the proposed method, this paper provides the short-term load forecasting example.

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A Simplified Control Algorithm for Three-Phase, Four-Wire Unified Power Quality Conditioner

  • Singh, Bhim;Venkateswarlu, P.
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.91-96
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, a simplified control algorithm for a three-phase, four-wire unified power quality conditioner (UPQC) is presented to compensate for supply voltage distortions/unbalance, supply current harmonics, the supply neutral current, the reactive power and the load unbalance as well as to maintain zero voltage regulation (ZVR) at the point of common coupling (PCC). The UPQC is realized by the integration of series and shunt active filters (AFs) sharing a common dc bus capacitor. The shunt AF is realized using a three-phase, four leg voltage source inverter (VSI) and the series AF is realized using a three-phase, three leg VSI. A dynamic model of the UPQC is developed in the MATLAB/SIMULINK environment and the simulation results demonstrating the power quality improvement in the system are presented for different supply and load conditions.