• Title/Summary/Keyword: sequential prediction error method

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IDENTIFICATION OF MODAL PARAMETERS BY SEQUENTIAL PREDICTION ERROR METHOD (순차적 예측오차 방법에 의한 구조물의 모우드 계수 추정)

  • Lee, Chang-Guen;Yun, Chung-Bang
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1990.10a
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    • pp.79-84
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    • 1990
  • The modal parameter estimations of linear multi-degree-of-freedom structural dynamic systems are carried out in time domain. For this purpose, the equation of motion is transformed into the autoregressive and moving average model with auxiliary stochastic input (ARMAX) model. The parameters of the ARMAX model are estimated by using the sequential prediction error method. Then, the modal parameters of the system are obtained thereafter. Experimental results are given for a 3-story building model subject to ground exitations.

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Identification of Model Parameters by Sequential Prediction Error Method (순차적 예측오차 방법에 의한 구조물의 모우드 계수 추정)

  • 윤정방;이창근
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.143-148
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    • 1990
  • The modal parameter estimations of linear multi-degree-of-freedom structural dynamic systems are carried out in time domain. For this purpose, the equation of motion is transformed into the auto regressive and moving average model with auxiliary stochastic input(ARMAX) model. The parameters of the ARMAX model are estimated by using the sequential prediction error method. Then the modal parameters of the system are obtained thereafter. Experimental results are given for a 3-story budding model subject to ground exitations.

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Candidate Points and Representative Cross-Validation Approach for Sequential Sampling (후보점과 대표점 교차검증에 의한 순차적 실험계획)

  • Kim, Seung-Won;Jung, Jae-Jun;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.31 no.1 s.256
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2007
  • Recently simulation model becomes an essential tool for analysis and design of a system but it is often expensive and time consuming as it becomes complicate to achieve reliable results. Therefore, high-fidelity simulation model needs to be replaced by an approximate model, the so-called metamodel. Metamodeling techniques include 3 components of sampling, metamodel and validation. Cross-validation approach has been proposed to provide sequnatially new sample point based on cross-validation error but it is very expensive because cross-validation must be evaluated at each stage. To enhance the cross-validation of metamodel, sequential sampling method using candidate points and representative cross-validation is proposed in this paper. The candidate and representative cross-validation approach of sequential sampling is illustrated for two-dimensional domain. To verify the performance of the suggested sampling technique, we compare the accuracy of the metamodels for various mathematical functions with that obtained by conventional sequential sampling strategies such as maximum distance, mean squared error, and maximum entropy sequential samplings. Through this research we team that the proposed approach is computationally inexpensive and provides good prediction performance.

Age Prediction based on the Transcriptome of Human Dermal Fibroblasts through Interval Selection (피부섬유모세포 전사체 정보를 활용한 구간 선택 기반 연령 예측)

  • Seok, Ho-Sik
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.494-499
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    • 2022
  • It is reported that genome-wide RNA-seq profiles has potential as biomarkers of aging. A number of researches achieved promising prediction performance based on gene expression profiles. We develop an age prediction method based on the transcriptome of human dermal fibroblasts by selecting a proper age interval. The proposed method executes multiple rules in a sequential manner and a rule utilizes a classifier and a regression model to determine whether a given test sample belongs to the target age interval of the rule. If a given test sample satisfies the selection condition of a rule, age is predicted from the associated target age interval. Our method predicts age to a mean absolute error of 5.7 years. Our method outperforms prior best performance of mean absolute error of 7.7 years achieved by an ensemble based prediction method. We observe that it is possible to predict age based on genome-wide RNA-seq profiles but prediction performance is not stable but varying with age.

Experimental Study for Modal Parameter Estimation of Structural Systems (구조물의 자유진동특성 추정을 위한 실험적 연구)

  • 윤정방;이형진
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1994.10a
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    • pp.175-182
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    • 1994
  • As for the safety evaluation of existing large-scale structures, methods for estimation of the structural and dynamic properties are studied. Sequential prediction error method in time domain and improved FRF estimator in frequency domain are comparatively studied. For this purpose, impact tests of 2 bay 3 floor steel frame structure are performed. Results from both methods are found to be consistent to each others, however those from the finite-element analysis are slightly different from experimental results.

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Sums-of-Products Models for Korean Segment Duration Prediction

  • Chung, Hyun-Song
    • Speech Sciences
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.7-21
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    • 2003
  • Sums-of-Products models were built for segment duration prediction of spoken Korean. An experiment for the modelling was carried out to apply the results to Korean text-to-speech synthesis systems. 670 read sentences were analyzed. trained and tested for the construction of the duration models. Traditional sequential rule systems were extended to simple additive, multiplicative and additive-multiplicative models based on Sums-of-Products modelling. The parameters used in the modelling include the properties of the target segment and its neighbors and the target segment's position in the prosodic structure. Two optimisation strategies were used: the downhill simplex method and the simulated annealing method. The performance of the models was measured by the correlation coefficient and the root mean squared prediction error (RMSE) between actual and predicted duration in the test data. The best performance was obtained when the data was trained and tested by ' additive-multiplicative models. ' The correlation for the vowel duration prediction was 0.69 and the RMSE. 31.80 ms. while the correlation for the consonant duration prediction was 0.54 and the RMSE. 29.02 ms. The results were not good enough to be applied to the real-time text-to-speech systems. Further investigation of feature interactions is required for the better performance of the Sums-of-Products models.

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Selection of Optimal Sensor Locations for Thermal Error Model of Machine tools (공작기계 열오차 모델의 최적 센서위치 선정)

  • 안중용
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.345-350
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    • 1999
  • The effectiveness of software error compensation for thermally induced machine tool errors relies on the prediction accuracy of the pre-established thermal error models. The selection of optimal sensor locations is the most important in establishing these empirical models. In this paper, a methodology for the selection of optimal sensor locations is proposed to establish a robust linear model which is not subjected to collinearity. Correlation coefficient and time delay are used as thermal parameters for optimal sensor location. Firstly, thermal deformation and temperatures are measured with machine tools being excited by sinusoidal heat input. And then, after correlation coefficient and time delays are calculated from the measured data, the optimal sensor location is selected through hard c-means clustering and sequential selection method. The validity of the proposed methodology is verified through the estimation of thermal expansion along Z-axis by spindle rotation.

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Damage Estimation of Structures Incorporating Structural Identification (동특성 추정을 이용한 구조물의 손상도 추정)

  • Yun, Chung-Bang;Lee, Hyeong-Jin;Kim, Doo-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1995.04a
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    • pp.136-143
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    • 1995
  • The problem of the structural identification becomes important, particularly with relation to the rapid increase of the number of the damaged or deteriorated structures, such as highway bridges, buildings, and industrial facilities. This paper summarizes the recent studies related to those problems by the present authors. The system identfication methods are generally classified as the time domain and the frequency domain methods. As time doamin methods, the sequential algorithms such as the extended Kalman filter and the sequential prediction error method are studied. Several techniques for improving the convergences are incorporated. As frequency domain methods, a new frequency response function estimator is introduced. For damage estimation of existing structures, the modal perturbation and the sensitivity matrix methods are studied. From the example analysis, it has been found that the combined utilization of the measurement data for the static response and the dynamic (modal) properties are very effictive for the damage estimation.

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Design of a Lossless Audio Coding Using Cholesky Decomposition and Golomb-Rice Coding (콜레스키 분해와 골롬-라이스 부호화를 이용한 무손실 오디오 부호화기 설계)

  • Cheong, Cheon-Dae;Shin, Jae-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.1480-1490
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    • 2008
  • Design of a linear predictor and matching of an entropy coder is the art of lossless audio coding. In this paper, we use the covariance method and the Choleskey decomposition for calculating linear prediction coefficients instead of the autocorreation method and the Levinson-Durbin recursion. These results are compared to the polynomial predictor. Both of them, the predictor which has small prediction error is selected. For the entropy coding, we use the Golomb-Rice coder using the block-based parameter estimation method and the sequential adaptation method with LOCO-land RLGR. The proposed predictor and the block-based parameter estimation have $2.2879%{\sim}0.3413%$ improved compression ratios compared to FLAC lossless audio coder which use the autocorrelation method and the Levinson-Durbin recursion. The proposed predictor and the LOCO-I adaptation method could improved by $2.2879%{\sim}0.3413%$. But the proposed predictor and the RLGR adaptation method got better results with specific signals.

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Estimation of Localized Structural Parameters Using Substructural Identification (부분구조 추정법을 이용한 국부구조계수추정)

  • 윤정방;이형진
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, a method of substructural identification is presented for the estimation of localized structural parameters. for this purpose, an auto-regressive and moving average with stochastic input (ARMAX) model is derived for the substructure to process the measurement data impaired by noises. The sequential prediction error method is used fer the estimation of unknown localized parameters. Using the substructural method, the number of unknown parameters can be reduced and the convergence and accuracy of estimation can be improved. For some substructures, the effect of the input excitation is expressed in terms of the responses at the inferences with the main structure, and substructural identification may be carried out without measuring the actual input excitation to the whole structure. Example analysis is carried out for idealized structural models of a multistory building and a truss bridge. The results indicate that the present method is effective and efficient for local damage estimation of complex structures.

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