• Title/Summary/Keyword: scenarios

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Robust 3D Object Detection through Distance based Adaptive Thresholding (거리 기반 적응형 임계값을 활용한 강건한 3차원 물체 탐지)

  • Eunho Lee;Minwoo Jung;Jongho Kim;Kyongsu Yi;Ayoung Kim
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.106-116
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    • 2024
  • Ensuring robust 3D object detection is a core challenge for autonomous driving systems operating in urban environments. To tackle this issue, various 3D representation, including point cloud, voxels, and pillars, have been widely adopted, making use of LiDAR, Camera, and Radar sensors. These representations improved 3D object detection performance, but real-world urban scenarios with unexpected situations can still lead to numerous false positives, posing a challenge for robust 3D models. This paper presents a post-processing algorithm that dynamically adjusts object detection thresholds based on the distance from the ego-vehicle. While conventional perception algorithms typically employ a single threshold in post-processing, 3D models perform well in detecting nearby objects but may exhibit suboptimal performance for distant ones. The proposed algorithm tackles this issue by employing adaptive thresholds based on the distance from the ego-vehicle, minimizing false negatives and reducing false positives in the 3D model. The results show performance enhancements in the 3D model across a range of scenarios, encompassing not only typical urban road conditions but also scenarios involving adverse weather conditions.

Economic Assessment of Manganese Nodules Mining (심해저 망간단괴 사업의 경제성 평가)

  • Hwang, Seog-Won;Hwang, Jung-Tae
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.260-270
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    • 2008
  • The economics of manganese nodules mining was assessed based on 36 scenarios which reflect recent changes of the metal market. Those scenarios included optimistic/neutral/pessimistic prospect for the cost, 2 production scales(1.5 MT and 3 MT) and 6 assumptional paths of future metal prices. A large part of scenarios, in which optimistic or neutral prospect for the cost and metal prices were assumed, showed good economic feasibility of the project. For example, 37.12% of Internal Rate of Return(IRR) was obtained in the scenario of 3 MT production, neutral cost prospect and present metal price maintained in the future.

A Study on the Analysis of the Leakage Characteristics and the Selection of Leakage Scenarios of the Blending Hydrogen into Natural Gas Pipeline (수소혼입 천연가스 배관망의 누출 특성 분석 및 누출 시나리오 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Song Su Tak;Ki Seop Lim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2024
  • This study analyzed cases of hydrogen (H2) and natural gas (CH4) leakage from a hydrogen-blended natural gas pipeline to determine a range of leakage characteristics, including leakage type, pipe material, pipe diameter, pressure, and damage size. Based on the results of this analysis, five hydrogen-blended natural gas leakage scenarios were selected. The national vision for a carbon-neutral society by 2050 is a very important strategic objective and promotes environmentally sustainable economic development in the age of the climate crisis. Accordingly, zero-carbon and low-carbon policies are being promoted in various fields, including energy production, consumption, and industrial processes. Hydrogen-blended natural gas is eco-friendly and is considered an important step towards carbon neutrality, with various countries including the United States and several European countries conducting empirical research to further investigate its potential. In Korea, a national research project commenced in April 2023 to verify and demonstrate the life cycle safety of blending hydrogen into the natural gas network. The results of this study will provide important data for the analysis of the damage impacts caused by the leakage of hydrogen-blended natural gas, such as the diffusion of gas clouds, fires, and gas explosions.

Development of Maneuvering Scenario for Data-Driven Modeling of Ship Dynamics (선박 동역학의 데이터 기반 모델링을 위한 조종 시나리오 개발)

  • Dong-Hwan Kim;Minchang Kim;Seungbeom Lee;Jeonghwa Seo
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.226-235
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    • 2024
  • A method for quantifying the adaptability of ship maneuver scenarios for data-driven modeling of ship dynamics is developed based on the principal component analysis. A random maneuver scenario is suggested as a reference for ship dynamics, which can obtain the converged principal components of ship dynamics features by the Monte Carlo simulation. Principal components of conventional maneuver scenarios defined by the International Maritime Organization (IMO) are compared to that of the random maneuver. A conventional ship dynamics model for a container carrier vessel for four degrees of freedom dynamics is introduced to simulate the random and IMO maneuver scenarios. It is confirmed that the IMO tests follow the tendency of random maneuver scenario in terms of execution time and adaptability.

Electricity mix scenarios simulation for Korean carbon neutrality in 2050

  • Pilhyeon Ju;Sungyeol Choi;Jongho Lee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.8
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    • pp.3369-3377
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    • 2024
  • As the realization of carbon neutrality has been a main assignment for coping with the global climate change, it became necessary to analyze upcoming changes in electricity mix with economic and technical viewpoints. This paper presents a newly-developed simulation model that reflects the daily intermittency of renewable energy by applying daily average power supply-demand patterns for each season. Also, the paper provides an economic analysis in the viewpoint of investment cost, annual cost and power generation cost by utilizing the calculations from the simulation model. Four scenarios are selected for the analyses, one based on the Korean Government's 2050 Carbon Neutrality Scenario and three Nuclear Power Build-up scenarios, which are newly suggested by the authors. The simulation results show that the increase of nuclear energy from 5.7% of Government's Scenario to 37.7% of the proposed Nuclear Power Build-up Scenario leads to the decrease of about 704 billion US$ in investment cost and about 181 billion US$ in annual cost; with reduction in the increase of 2050 expected generation cost from 3.1 to 1.6 times compared with the referenced 2021 average cost. Further, this study has significance in performing the economic analysis with the expected daily power supply-demand patterns in 2050.

Survey of Risk Evaluation in the Clinical Research for IRB Members and Researchers (임상시험심사위원회 위원과 연구자를 대상으로 연구의 위험평가 설문조사)

  • Choi, Yong-Sung;Lee, Sun Ju;Yim, Hyeon Woo;Choe, Byung-in;Lee, Jae Won;Oh, Sang-cheul;Shin, Im Hee;Huh, Jung-Sik;Kwon, Ivo;Kim, Jin Seok;Yoo, Soyoung;Cho, Hyunin;Lee, Mi-Kyung;Shin, Hee-Young;Kim, Duck-An
    • The Journal of KAIRB
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.5-21
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: Institutional review board (IRB) classifies risks of clinical trials into less than minimal risk, minor increase over minimal risk, and more than minimal risk. Based on classification and evaluation for risk, IRB decides whether permitting consent exemption or asking additional protection for clinical research subject or not. The purpose of this study is to analyze how IRB members evaluate minimal risk by sending questionnaire survey with 12 predetermined scenarios. Methods: IRB members and researchers (pediatrician, gastroenterologist, neurologist, and neurosurgeon) in 11 different hospitals were asked to answer survey questions via email or online. We analyzed the differences of answers among several subgroups in each predetermined scenarios. Result: Responders were 212 personnel(110 researchers and 102 IRB members) from 11 centers. There were significant differences between IRB members and researchers in response such as blood sampling, skin prick test, one time catheterization in a girl, spinal tapping in child, non-enhance MRI in child, non-enhance MRI with chrolal hydrate in a child, spinal tapping without anesthesia in adult, bioequivalence test, gastric endoscopy, and non-enhance CT. significant differences between medical IRB members and non-medical members were also revealed in one time catheterization in a girl, spinal tapping in a child, non-enhance MRI in a child, bioequivalence test. Depending on researchers' department, they responded differently in several questionnaires as well. Conclusions: We have found that IRB members and researchers evaluate the risks differently. Researchers compared to IRB members, medical IRB members compared to non-medical members answered less than minimal risk in many cases. In assessing and evaluating the risks associated with the study, medical IRB members answered predetermined scenarios as less dangerous compared to non-medical IRB members. Difference among researchers where also revealed significantly. Researchers answered predetermined scenarios as less dangerous compare to other department researchers, especially in predetermined scenarios containing procedures they are familiar with.

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Assessment of Water Use Vulnerability Considering Climate and Socioeconomic Changes in Han River Watershed (기후 및 사회·경제 변화를 고려한 한강 유역의 물이용 취약성 평가)

  • Park, Hyesun;Kim, Heey Jin;Chae, Yeora;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.965-972
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    • 2017
  • Assessment of vulnerability of water use to climate change include a variety of climate change scenarios. However, in most future vulnerability studies, only the climate change scenarios are used and not the future scenarios of social and economic indicators. Therefore, in this study, we applied the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) climate change scenario and Shared Socioeconomic reference Pathway (SSP) developed by IPCC to reflect the future. We selected indicators for estimating the vulnerability of water use, and indices were integrated with a multi-criteria decision making approach - Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). The indicator data utilized national statistics and reports, social and economic scenarios, and simulated results from the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model which reflects climate change scenario. Finally, we derived the rankings of water use vulnerability for the short-term future (2020) and mid-term future (2050) within the Han River watershed. Generally, considering climate change alone and considering climate change plus social and economic changes showed a similar spatial distribution. In the future scenarios, the watershed rankings were similar, but showed differences with SSP scenario in some watersheds. Therefore, considering social and economic changes is expected to contribute to more effective responses to climate change.

Economic Assessment for Flood Control Infrastructure under Climate Change : A Case Study of Imjin River Basin (기후변화를 고려한 홍수방재시설물의 경제성분석 : 임진강 유역사례)

  • Kim, Kyeongseok;Oh, Seungik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2017
  • In Imjin River basin, three floods occurred between 1996 and 1999, causing many casualties and economic losses of 900 billion won. In Korea, flood damage is expected to increase in the future due to climate change. This study used the climate scenarios to estimate future flood damage costs and suggested a real options-based economic assessment method. Using proposed method, the flood control infrastructures in Imjin River basin were selected as a case study site to analyze the economic feasibility of the investment. Using RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) climate scenarios, the future flood damage costs were estimated through simulated rainfall data. This study analyzed the flood reduction benefits through investment in the flood control infrastructures. The volatility of flood damage reduction benefits were estimated assuming that the RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 climate scenarios would be realized in the future. In 2071, the project option value would be determined by applying an extension option to invest in an upgrading that would allow the project to adapt to the flood of the 200-year return period. The results of the option values show that the two investment scenarios are economically feasible and the project under RCP8.5 climate scenario has more flood damage reduction benefits than RCP4.5. This study will help government decision makers to consider the uncertainty of climate change in the economic assessment of flood control infrastructures using real options analysis. We also proposed a method to quantify climate risk factors into economic values by using rainfall data provided by climate scenarios.

A Study on Improvement of Fire-fighter's outfits and fire-fighting scenarios for effective water-extinguishment on ship (효과적인 선상 수소화를 위한 소방원 장구 및 화재진압 시나리오 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Sim, Hyo-Sang;Park, Young-Soo;Ha, Won-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.100-102
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    • 2016
  • Every crew are in great peril that they should put out a fire on board in person due to a property of ship isolated. Accordingly, it is essential to verify whether the fire-fighter's outfits and fire-fighting scenarios in accordance with present regulations are safe and effective actually. As a result of comparison between shore fire-fighter's outfits and fire-fighting scenarios and those on ship and statistics calculation of the place and frequency of the fire of actual ship, present limitations of fire suppression system and fire-fighter's outfits were proved. In addition, derive the distance to the place on ship that has highest frequency of fire occurrence from examining actual ship's drawings according to their description and size. Finally from experiments in more experimental groups by changing numbers of actual fire-fighters and environment and conduction of survey of a number of crew in active service on ship, the most effective fire-fighter's outfits system and fire-fighting scenarios will be derived.

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Analysis of Land Use Change Using RCP-Based Dyna-CLUE Model in the Hwangguji River Watershed (RCP 시나리오 기반 Dyna-CLUE 모형을 이용한 황구지천 유역의 토지이용변화 분석)

  • Kim, Jihye;Park, Jihoon;Song, Inhong;Song, Jung-Hun;Jun, Sang Min;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.33-49
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study was to predict land use change based on the land use change scenarios for the Hwangguji river watershed, South Korea. The land use change scenario was derived from the representative concentration pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. The CLUE (conversion of land use and its effects) model was used to simulate the land use change. The CLUE is the modeling framework to simulate land use change considering empirically quantified relations between land use types and socioeconomic and biophysical driving factors through dynamical modeling. The Hwangguji river watershed, South Korea was selected as study area. Future land use changes in 2040, 2070, and 2100 were analyzed relative to baseline (2010) under the RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. Binary logistic regressions were carried out to identify the relation between land uses and its driving factors. CN (Curve number) and impervious area based on the RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were calculated and analyzed using the results of future land use changes. The land use change simulation of the RCP4.5 scenario resulted that the area of urban was forecast to increase by 12% and the area of forest was estimated to decrease by 16% between 2010 and 2100. The land use change simulation of the RCP8.5 scenario resulted that the area of urban was forecast to increase by 16% and the area of forest was estimated to decrease by 18% between 2010 and 2100. The values of Kappa and multiple resolution procedure were calculated as 0.61 and 74.03%. CN (III) and impervious area were increased by 0-1 and 0-8% from 2010 to 2100, respectively. The study findings may provide a useful tool for estimating the future land use change, which is an important factor for the future extreme flood.