• Title/Summary/Keyword: scenario-based development

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Preliminary Study for Risk Assessment Estimation of Urban Underground Connect Section Using VISSIM : Comparison of Characteristics Based on Diverge/Merge (VISSIM을 활용한 도심 지하도로 연결로 위험도 산정을 위한 기초연구 : 분·합류부 기준 특성 비교)

  • Park, Sang Hyun;Lee, Jin Kak;Yang, Choong Heon;Kim, Jin Guk
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.59-74
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    • 2021
  • The domestic road space is reaching the limit of planar space distribution, and Increasingly, the importance of three-dimensional space distribution through the development of underground space. therefore, In this study, a study was conducted on a traffic control method that can safely induce two different traffic flows in the connection between the ground road and the underground road. Through VISSIM, we calculated the appropriate amount of outflow and inflow traffic compared to the capacity of the main line when there is a Merge/Diverge section in the underground road. and Through the analysis of the number of conflicts, the appropriate traffic control level for safety in the underground, A basic study was conducted on the level of risk in the underpass according to the level of delay in the ground part through the analysis of the delay scenario of the ground road.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on women's health nursing clinical practicums in the spring 2020 semester in Korea: a nationwide survey study

  • Kim, Mijong;Jeong, Geum Hee;Park, Hae Sook;Ahn, Sukhee
    • Women's Health Nursing
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.256-264
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study investigated the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on women's health nursing clinical practicums in undergraduate nursing schools in Korea during the spring 2020 semester. Methods: A cross-sectional online survey on clinical practicum teaching experiences in the spring 2020 semester was distributed to members of the Korean Society of Women Health Nursing (KSWHN) who taught undergraduate nursing. One faculty member from each of 203 institutions was requested to respond and there were no duplicate participants. Seventy-nine participants (38.9%) responded and 74 responses were analyzed. Descriptive statistics were presented for all survey items. Results: Fifty-two faculty members (70.3%) belonged to universities and 22 (29.7%) taught at colleges. Thirty-eight (51.4%) answered that their institutions had affiliated teaching hospitals. More than half (52.7%) conducted hospital-based clinical practicums either entirely (n=20) or partially (n=19), whereas the rest of them (47.3%) conducted clinical practicums at school or home via online teaching. The typical teaching methods for offline or online education were case conferences, tests or quizzes, scenario studies, nursing skill practicums, (virtual) nursing simulations, and simulated patient education. Most of faculties (93.2%) supported the development of an educational platform to share educational materials and resources, such as case scenarios. Conclusion: Nursing faculty members utilized various teaching methods to enhance clinical skills and mitigate limited clinical exposure during the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic. The KSWHN should move forward to develop an education platform and modalities for members who face many challenges related to the accessibility and quality of nursing education contents.

Predicting the Suitable Habitat of Invasive Alien Plant Conyza bonariensis based on Climate Change Scenarios (기후변화 시나리오에 의한 외래식물 실망초(Conyza bonariensis)의 서식지 분포 예측)

  • Lee, Yong-Ho;Oh, Young-Ju;Hong, Sun-Hea;Na, Chea-Sun;Na, Young-Eun;Kim, Chang-Suk;Sohn, Soo-In
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2015
  • This study was conducted to predict the changes of potential distribution for invasive alien plant, Conyza bonariensis in Korea. C. bonariensis was found in southern Korea (Jeju, south coast, southwest coast). The habitats of C. bonariensis were roadside, bare ground, farm area, and pasture, where the interference by human was severe. Due to the seed characteristics of Compositae, C. bonariensis take long scattering distance and it will easily spread by movement of wind, vehicles and people. C. canadensis in same Conyza genus has already spread on a national scale and it is difficult to manage. We used maximum entropy modeling (MaxEnt) for analyzing the environmental influences on C. bonariensis distribution and projecting on two different RCP scenarios, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The results of our study indicated annual mean temperature, elevation and temperature seasonality had higher contribution for C. bonariensis potential distribution. Area under curve (AUC) values of the model was 0.9. Under future climate scenario, the constructed model predicted that potential distribution of C. bonariensis will be increased by 338% on RCP 4.5 and 769% on RCP 8.5 in 2100s.

Reviewing of Integrated Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change and Sea-Level Rise on Agricultural Sector (기후변화·해수면 상승에 따른 농업부문 통합평가 사례연구 비교분석 및 개선방안)

  • Ahn, SoEun;Oh, SeoYun
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.299-314
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this paper is to review integrated assessment studies conducted to address the impacts of climate change sea-level rise on agricultural sector and to derive suggestions for improving the integrated assessment process to assist decision-makers in establishing climate change adaptation policy. We collect integrated assessment studies which are based on the impact-pathway analysis, compare their step-by-step procedures and identify main factors addressed in each step. The assessment process is typically carried out in the sequence of scenario development, determination of assessment scope, physical impact assessment, economic analysis and synthesis of the outcomes from each step. We identify two types of integrated assessment. The first one examines the impacts of changes in temperature and/or precipitation on the crop-cultivation patterns and/or agricultural productivity and resulting economic effects on agricultural sector. The other investigates the impacts of sea-level rise on land use/coverage and resulting economic damages in terms of land-value loss where the effects on agriculture is treated as one sector among others. To enhance integrated assessment, we suggest that 1) scenarios need to incorporate the effects of climate change and sea-level rise simultaneously, 2) scope of the assessment needs to be extended to include ecosystem services as well as crop production, 3) social and cultural aspects need to be considered in addition to economic analysis, and 4) synthesis of the outcomes from each step should be able to combine quantitative as well as qualitative information.

Influences of Forest Management Activity on Growth and Diameter Distribution Models for Larix kaempferi Carriere Stands in South Korea (산림시업이 일본잎갈나무 임분의 생장과 직경분포모형에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Sun Joo;Lee, Young Jin
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study was to analyze the influences of forest management activity on the diameter distribution of Larix kaempferi Carriere stands in South Korea. We used 232 managed stands data, 47 unmanaged stands data of National Forest Inventory for this study. We employed the Weibull distribution function for estimating diameter based on percentiles and parameter recovery method. The results revealed that the average diameter breast height movements and growth of tree in the managed stands higher than the unmanaged stands according to the scenario: age, site index, and tree density change. The finding shows the percentage of the total amount of large class diameter was also high in the managed stands. The results of this study could be apply for the estimation of multi-products of timbers per diameter classes and stand structure development for Larix kaempferi Carriere stands in South Korea.

Probabilistic Analysis of Drought Propagation Over The Han River Basin Under Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 한강 유역의 확률론적 가뭄 전이 분석)

  • Muhammad, Nouman Sattar;Kim, Ji-Eun;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2019
  • The knowledge about drought propagation is very important in accurate estimation of hydrological drought characteristics and efficient development of early warning system. This study investigated a probabilistic relationship of drought propagation based on Bayesian network model for historic period and for future projection under climate change scenario RCP 8.5 over the Han River basin. The results revealed that the propagation rate and lag time have increasing and decreasing trends from the historic period of 1967-2013 to the future periods of 2014-2053 and 2054-2100 under climate change, respectively. The probabilistic results of Bayesian model revealed that the probability of occurrence of lag time varied spatially and decreased when the intensity of meteorological drought changed from moderate to severe and extreme condition during 1967-2013. The values of probability increased in the first future period of 2014-2053 in several sub-basins and slight decreased in the second period of 2054-2100. The proposed probabilistic results will be useful for the decision makers to develop related policies with an appropriate insight toward the future drought status.

Design and Implementation of Library Chatbot for Non-face-to-face Reference Services (비대면 참고정보서비스를 위한 도서관 챗봇 설계 및 구현 연구)

  • Yoo, Jiyoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.151-179
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    • 2020
  • This study explores the potential of using a library chatbot to improve the non-face-to-face digital reference services for academic library users by designing and implementing a library chatbot. Through data analysis, user needs and library services were analyzed, and a scenario was designed by selecting an appropriate development method. For user-friendly interaction, the personality of the chatbot and user interface was designed to evaluate its usability. In addition, the accuracy was verified through the response accuracy evaluation and performance evaluation of the chatbot, and the effectiveness of the chatbot was evaluated through a user satisfaction survey. In order to manage the operation and maintain service quality, the chatbot is improved by monitoring user-chatbot conversations and reflecting user feedback. Based on these findings, recommendations for designing and implementing a library chatbot were made to help improve library reference services.

Development of Ice Load Generation Module to Evaluate Station-Keeping Performance for Arctic Floating Structures in Time Domain

  • Kang, Hyun Hwa;Lee, Dae-Soo;Lim, Ji-Su;Lee, Seung Jae;Jang, Jinho;Jung, Kwang Hyo;Lee, Jaeyong
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.394-405
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    • 2020
  • To assess the station-keeping performance of floating structures in the Arctic region, the ice load should be considered along with other environmental loads induced by waves, wind, and currents. However, present methods for performance evaluation in the time domain are not effective in terms of time and cost. An ice load generation module is proposed based on the experimental data measured at the KRISO ice model basin. The developed module was applied to a time domain simulation. Using the results of a captive model test conducted in multiple directions, the statistical characteristics of ice loads were analyzed and processed so that an ice load corresponding to an arbitrary angle of the structure could be generated. The developed module is connected to commercial dynamic analysis software (OrcaFlex) as an external force input. Station-keeping simulation in the time domain was conducted for the same floating structure used in the model test. The mooring system was modeled and included to reflect the designed operation scenario. Simulation results show the effectiveness of the proposed ice generation module and its application to station-keeping performance evaluation. Considering the generated ice load, the designed structure can maintain a heading angle relative to ice up to 4°. Station-keeping performance is enhanced as the heading angle conforms to the drift direction. It is expected that the developed module will be used as a platform to verify station-keeping algorithms for Arctic floating structures with a dynamic positioning system.

The related record about 'Daejanggeum' and its modern acceptance (대장금(大長今)' 관련 기록의 현대적 수용 - 문화콘텐츠로의 생성과 전개 양상 분석 -)

  • Nam, Eunkyung
    • (The)Study of the Eastern Classic
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    • no.43
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    • pp.33-64
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    • 2011
  • The historical drama played on TV in 2003, Daejanggeum is originally based on the short historical record of lady doctor of the palace from the [Jungjong record] of Josun. The drama mixed fiction and historic record well together draw enormous interest and became a novel, musical and animation for children. Also the location of shooting drama became a theme park to attract travelers and the name 'Daejanggeum' was used for products to create great additional value. Most of all, the drama then was exported to overseas and became the representing drama of Korea. Therefore, drama is the representing piece that proved the success of historic data with its application as various modern cultural contents. The analysis of success reason of showed the creation of new modern woman character, fresh selection of the item that suits well in the time of desiring wellbeing, the strong drama scenario with different story development compared to previous historic drama. Also, it used 'one source multi use' method prior to the broadcasting and prepared production of various cultural contents. This success of Daejanggeum means a lot from the point of 'modern acceptance of tradition' to tradition researchers.

Development of a decision scaling framework for drought vulnerability assessment of dam operation under climate change (Decision Scaling 기반 댐 운영 기후변화 가뭄 취약성 평가)

  • Kim, Jiheun;Seo, Seung Beom;Cho, Jaepil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.273-284
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    • 2023
  • Water supply is continuously suffering from frequent droughts under climate change, and such extreme events are expected to become more frequent due to climate change. In this study, the decision scaling method was introduced to evaluate the drought vulnerability under future climate change in a wider range. As a result, the water supply reliability of the Boryeong Dam ranged from 95.80% to 98.13% to the condition of the aqueduct which was constructed at the Boryeong Dam. Furthermore, the Boryeong Dam was discovered to be vulnerable under climate change scenarios. Hence, genetic algorithm-based hedging rules were developed to evaluate the reduction effect of drought vulnerability. Moreover, three demand scenarios (high, standard, and low demand) were also considered to reflect the future socio-economic change in the Boryeong Dam. By analyzing quantitative reliability and the probability of extreme drought occurrence under 5% of the water storage rate, all hedging rules demonstrated that they were superior in preparing for extreme drought under low-demand scenarios.