• Title/Summary/Keyword: scenario-based development

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Analysis of Response Status Based on Cyber Crisis Scenario (사이버 위기 시나리오 기반 대응 현황 분석)

  • Lee, Daesung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.296-297
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    • 2019
  • An effective crisis management system capable of responding early in the event of a major disaster or cyber crisis is needed not only within the organization but also with the partner organizations and the outside. In this paper, we review the domestic and international countermeasures against major disasters and cyber crises, and discuss the emerging crisis responses and future prospects along with the development of ICT technology.

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Evolution of Limits to Growth Studies and its Implications on Concept and Strategy of Sustainable Development (성장의 한계 논의의 전개와 지속가능발전에의 함의)

  • Moon, Tae Hoon
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.5-32
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    • 2016
  • Purpose of this paper is to review series of Limits to Growth studies from its original Rome Club Report published in 1972 to the most recent one in 2012 by Jorgen Randers and finds its implications on concept and strategy of sustainable development. For this purpose first, this paper reviewed series of Limits to Growth studies in details with focus on scenarios used in simulation of world model. Second, response to the original Limit to Growth was reviewed and to see validity of its scenario based simulations, simulated results of interest variables and actual historical data up to the year 2010 was compared. Third, structure and key arguments in both studies, Limit to Growth studies and Our Common Future was explained and compared. Finally, implications of the Limit to Growth studies on concept and strategy for sustainable development was discussed. Based on the comparison, this paper argued that even if the term sustainable development was not used in the Limit to Growth at all, concept and strategies for sustainable development implied in the Limit to Growth are more clear and specific than those of Our Common Future. Since Limit to Growth studies were simulation based ones that produce detailed behaviors on interest variables, it clarifies more clearly the abstract concept of sustainable development and thus, provides specific guidelines for the direction of sustainable policy which has been suffering long from vagueness of concept of sustainable development.

Specifcation and Farmalization of Transition Event Sequence (천이 사건 순서의 표현과 정형화)

  • Kim, Jung-Sool;Kang, Byung-Wook
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.1204-1215
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we propose a scenario representing method, a specification language, and a verification technique for OARTS(Object based Approach for Real-Time Systems). As well as the general modeling method(event trace diagram), this study includes a specification language and a verification technique because there was no study about methodological level technique for scenario development as yet. Centering around the synchronization problem of transition of external modules which are the communication interfaces based on the objects, we lay stress on the representation of sequence of external events and internal action transitions. From the results of practical experiences, it has been ascertained that the proposed method reflect well the requirements in the analysis step, and its validity of the representation has been identified by a conceptual verifier. We support that it can serve as an analyzing tool for representing a general real-time scenarios also.

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CONSTRUCTION EDUCATIONAL GAME FOR K-12

  • Youjin Jang;Moonseo Park;Hyun-Soo Lee;Chanhyuk Park
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.546-552
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    • 2013
  • The future competitiveness of construction industry is dependent on K-12 students. However, unfavorable images of construction industry have negative influence on K-12 students' decision-making of their career. This negative image makes them not want to find out what actually happens in construction industry. Consequently, it is important to give K-12 students the opportunity to know what construction employees actually do in their job. Studies show that K-12 students who encounter the job early-on are more likely to choose it as their career. In this context, this paper proposes construction educational game in which it can serve as a medium for capturing K-12 students' interest in Construction Management (CM). Based on the literature reviews, challenges of construction educational game for K-12 students which are edutainment, hands-on experience and social interaction, are derived. To address these issues, conceptual model and scenario are designed. Based on designed scenario, prototype of Simulation based Construction Game in Virtual World (SCGVW) is developed in Second Life (SL) and applicability test to K-12 students are implemented. This paper concludes with a discussion of the lessons learned and the future development steps of the construction educational game for K-12 students.

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A Study on Development of Disney Animation's Box-office Prediction AI Model Based on Brain Science (뇌과학 기반의 디즈니 애니메이션 흥행 예측 AI 모형 개발 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Eun;Yang, Eun-Young
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.405-412
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    • 2018
  • When a film company decides whether to invest or not in a scenario is the appropriate time to predict box office success. In response to market demands, AI based scenario analysis service has been launched, yet the algorithm is by no means perfect. The purpose of this study is to present a prediction model of movie scenario's box office hit based on human brain processing mechanism. In order to derive patterns of visual, auditory, and cognitive stimuli on the time spectrum of box office animation hit, this study applied Weber's law and brain mechanism. The results are as follow. First, the frequency of brain stimulation in the biggest box office movies was 1.79 times greater than that in the failure movies. Second, in the box office success, the cognitive stimuli codes are spread evenly, whereas in the failure, concentrated among few intervals. Third, in the box office success movie, cognitive stimuli which have big cognition load appeared alone, whereas visual and auditory stimuli which have little cognitive load appeared simultaneously.

An Predictive Analytics based on Goal-Scenario for Self-adaptive System (자가적응형 시스템을 위한 목표 시나리오 기반 예측 분석)

  • Baek, Su-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.11
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    • pp.77-83
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    • 2017
  • For efficient predictive analysis, self-healing research is needed that enables the system to recover autonomously by self-cognition and diagnosing system problems. However, software development does not provide formal contextual information analysis and appropriate presentation structure according to external situation. In this paper, we propose a prediction analysis method based on the change contents by applying the extraction rule to the functions that can act, data, and transaction based on the new Goal-scenario. We also evaluated how well the predictive analysis met through the performance indicators for achieving the requirements goal. Compared with the existing methods, the proposed method has a maximum 32.8% higher matching result through performance measurement, resulting in a 28.9% error rate and a 45.8% reduction in the change code. This shows that it can be processed into a serviceable form through rules, and it shows that performance can be expanded through predictive analysis of changes.

A Simulator Development for Determining the Sonar Sensor Configuration of Unmanned Underwater Vehicles Based on a Hold-at-Risk Scenario (위험제어 시나리오 기반의 무인잠수정 소나 센서 배열 선정을 위한 시뮬레이터 개발)

  • Shin, Myoungin;Lee, Jinho;Hong, Wooyoung;Kim, Woo Shik;Bae, Hoseuk;Cho, Hyunjin
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.21-33
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    • 2020
  • This study develops a simulator for determining the sonar sensor configuration of unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs) based on a scenario, in order for UUVs to conduct an effective anti-submarine warfare (ASW). First, we analyze the missions and operational concepts of UUVs in the field of ASW, and then select a Hold-at-Risk scenario as the one with the highest priority. Next, for modeling the components of a simulator, the motion, acoustic characteristic, and environment condition of the platforms (UUV and target submarine) are specified. Especially, based on the beam pattern of each sonar configuration considered in this paper, the passive sonar equation is used to verify target detection, and we further estimate the azimuth and elevation of the target using amplitude and phase of the received signal, respectively. The simulation results show the performance tendency depending on the sonar sensor configurations of a UUV, and the simulator provides a high applicability under various scenarios.

A Linear Approximation Model for an Asset-based Weapon Target Assignment Problem (자산기반 무기할당 문제의 선형 근사 모형)

  • Jang, Jun-Gun;Kim, Kyeongtaek;Choi, Bong-Wan;Suh, Jae Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.108-116
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    • 2015
  • A missile defense system is composed of radars detecting incoming missiles aiming at defense assets, command control units making the decisions on weapon target assignment, and artillery batteries firing of defensive weapons to the incoming missiles. Although, the technology behind the development of radars and weapons is very important, effective assignment of the weapons against missile threats is much more crucial. When incoming missile targets toward valuable assets in the defense area are detected, the asset-based weapon target assignment model addresses the issue of weapon assignment to these missiles so as to maximize the total value of surviving assets threatened by them. In this paper, we present a model for an asset-based weapon assignment problem with shoot-look-shoot engagement policy and fixed set-up time between each anti-missile launch from each defense unit. Then, we show detailed linear approximation process for nonlinear portions of the model and propose final linear approximation model. After that, the proposed model is applied to several ballistic missile defense scenarios. In each defense scenario, the number of incoming missiles, the speed and the position of each missile, the number of defense artillery battery, the number of anti-missile in each artillery battery, single shot kill probability of each weapon to each target, value of assets, the air defense coverage are given. After running lpSolveAPI package of R language with the given data in each scenario in a personal computer, we summarize its weapon target assignment results specified with launch order time for each artillery battery. We also show computer processing time to get the result for each scenario.

Development and application of Scenario-based Admission Management VR contents for nursing students

  • Kim, Yu-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.209-216
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, I developed a scenario-based admission management virtual reality (SAM VR) content for practical training for nursing students and verified the effectiveness. The SAM VR contents used in the study was developed by the researcher using Gear VR and smartphone according to the standard practical procedure suggested by the Korea Acreditation Board of Nursing Education and Evaluation. In the 30 experimental groups who received practical training using SAM VR contents, learning flow, learning confidence, and learning satisfaction increased statistically significantly after the practical training (p<.001). In the control group, who received practical training in the traditional way, learning confidence increased after the practical training (p<.005), but there was no change in learning flow and learning satisfaction (p>.005). It was verified that the SAM VR contents are effective practical education contents for nursing students' learning flow, learning confidence and learning satisfaction.

Urban Growth Prediction each Administrative District Considering Social Economic Development Aspect of Climate Change Scenario (기후변화시나리오의 사회경제발전 양상을 고려한 행정구역별 도시성장 예측)

  • Kim, Jin Soo;Park, So Young
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2013
  • Land-use/cover changes not only amplify or alleviate influence of climate changes but also they are representative factors to affect environmental change along with climate changes. Thus, the use of land-use/cover changes scenario, consistent climate change scenario is very important to evaluate reliable influences by climate change. The purpose for this study is to predict and analyze the future urban growth considering social and economic scenario from RCP scenario suggested by the 5th evaluation report of IPCC. This study sets land-use/cover changes scenario based on storyline from RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenario. Urban growth rate for each scenario is calculated by urban area per person and GDP for the last 25 years and regression formula based on double logarithmic model. In addition, the urban demand is predicted by the future population and GDP suggested by the government. This predicted demand is spatially distributed by the urban growth probability map made by logistic regression. As a result, the accuracy of urban growth probability map is appeared to be 89.3~90.3% high and the prediction accuracy for RCP 4.5 showed higher value than that of RCP 8.5. Urban areas from 2020 to 2050 showed consistent growth while the rate of increasing urban areas for RCP 8.5 scenario showed higher value than that of RCP 4.5 scenario. Increase of urban areas is predicted by the fact that famlands are damaged. Especially RCP 8.5 scenario indicated more increase not only farmland but also forest than RCP 4.5 scenario. In addition, the decrease of farmland and forest showed higher level from metropolitan cities than province cities. The results of this study is believed to be used for basic data to clarify complex two-way effects quantitatively for future climate change, land-use/cover changes.